BO Germany/Austria: Deadpool&Wolverine #1

[Giesi]

I kind of expected decreasing numbers, the weather around here is fabulous. And it's really interesting to see that no superhero movie can break out in Germany, I mean something like 5M+ adm.

[Aristis]

1 hour ago, Giesi said:

I kind of expected decreasing numbers, the weather around here is fabulous. And it's really interesting to see that no superhero movie can break out in Germany, I mean something like 5M+ adm.

Well, Spiderman had more than 5M admissions (5.186.528)

 

But yeah, would have been strange if the prediction would have hold. We have to expect better weather now - it seems like in May there could occur something like summer temperatures. I wonder why weather is such a big issue in Germany whereas in other countries it isn't. Maybe Germans love being outside?

 

But maybe with this (rather) low opening (which is still more than doubling the former CA) next week there will be a good hold. Something like 25% drop.

[Aristis]

CA:CW 600k (went up a bit from former estimates, while JB and Zoo dropped, a good sign for the First Avenger ) Even more impressive considering that the first movie made 339.797 admissions in its entire run...

 

TJB 205 (1.19M admissions cume) -43%

HtbS 80k -37%

Zoo 60k -50% The good weather killed it this weekend... But Family-Movies rise and fall with the weather, so there could be an increase again next weekend

 

Edited May 2, 2016 by Aristis

[George Parr]

It's obviously a bit early for an accurate weather-prediction, but right now it looks like the next weekend will have even better weather, with sun all around and over 20° everywhere.

 

Funnily enough, the actual weekend of Civil War was slightly behind the one BvS had (545k against ~555k), though that's only because Civil War started a day earlier.

[IndustriousAngel]

Yep, with good weather next weekend, and Angry Birds the weekend after, JB's chances at 3mil are gone, as are Zoo's at 4mil I guess.

[HH84]

1 hour ago, George Parr said:

It's obviously a bit early for an accurate weather-prediction, but right now it looks like the next weekend will have even better weather, with sun all around and over 20° everywhere.

 

Funnily enough, the actual weekend of Civil War was slightly behind the one BvS had (545k against ~555k), though that's only because Civil War started a day earlier.

Civil War didn't start a day earlier than BvS. Both started on a thursday with previews on wednesday evening like almost every big release here in Germany. BvS start was 630,432 incl. 75,542 previews and the estimate for CW is 600,000 incl. 55,000 previews.

[Olive]

So we can't expect any good legs for CA now?

[Aristis]

26 minutes ago, Olive said:

So we can't expect any good legs for CA now?

CW went up with the last estimate even with to warm weather so it is not that strong affected by the weather. It will depend on the film itself, if German audiences like it... It won't have as bad legs as BvS. I think 2M should happen.

[Quigley]

45 minutes ago, Olive said:

So we can't expect any good legs for CA now?

 

BvS was released on Easter weekend. I don't know how big Easter is in Germany but if the moviegoing habits are any similar to UK and US, movies released on Easter weekend are very frontloaded. I doubt CA3 legs will be so bad.

[George Parr]

2 hours ago, HH84 said:

Civil War didn't start a day earlier than BvS. Both started on a thursday with previews on wednesday evening like almost every big release here in Germany. BvS start was 630,432 incl. 75,542 previews and the estimate for CW is 600,000 incl. 55,000 previews.

 

Odd, insidekino doesn't list it that way. Mhm, or the * stood for something else, e.g. estimates, that could be true as well.

 

I'd disagree with "every big release" though, Star Wars only started Thursday after midnight

[HH84]

The 5th is a national holiday and on friday most schools are out and a lot of people take the friday of, to have a long weekend. The 15th and 16th are also national holidays and the 26th is a holiday in some areas. These holidays should also help CW's legs.

[HH84]

24 minutes ago, George Parr said:

 

Odd, insidekino doesn't list it that way. Mhm, or the * stood for something else, e.g. estimates, that could be true as well.

 

I'd disagree with "every big release" though, Star Wars only started Thursday after midnight

In Germany these wednesday evning previews are not part of the opening weekend like in the US. They changed that a couple of years ago.

 

That's why I wrote "almost every big release"

SW7 and AOU are the only ones from last year that I can remember besides kids movies, which sometimes have previews the sunday before release.

[George Parr]

3 hours ago, HH84 said:

In Germany these wednesday evning previews are not part of the opening weekend like in the US. They changed that a couple of years ago.

 

That's why I wrote "almost every big release"

SW7 and AOU are the only ones from last year that I can remember besides kids movies, which sometimes have previews the sunday before release.

 

I know what things are like in Germany, I am from Germany

 

In the past, a movie that had a * next to it often indicated something being different than normal, like the total mentioned having an additional day (those lists aren't always just about the weekend numbers after all), hence my thought of CW having an additional day, as it was the only movie on the list to have it. That it only refers to the total being an estimate, is something I only realised a bit later.

 

I'm not sure if the holiday will help all that much. Sure, it's three days off, plus another bridge-day that many people take off as well, but we are looking at the first really great weekend in terms of weather for the entire country. No "sun and 15 degrees" like it was in a sizeable part of the country this weekend, it is likely heading for 20+ everywhere.

Edited May 2, 2016 by George Parr

[HH84]

3 hours ago, George Parr said:

 

I know what things are like in Germany, I am from Germany

 

In the past, a movie that had a * next to it often indicated something being different than normal, like the total mentioned having an additional day (those lists aren't always just about the weekend numbers after all), hence my thought of CW having an additional day, as it was the only movie on the list to have it. That it only refers to the total being an estimate, is something I only realised a bit later.

 

I'm not sure if the holiday will help all that much. Sure, it's three days off, plus another bridge-day that many people take off as well, but we are looking at the first really great weekend in terms of weather for the entire country. No "sun and 15 degrees" like it was in a sizeable part of the country this weekend, it is likely heading for 20+ everywhere.

Thanks for clarifying. Now I understand.

 

Yeah, that's true. Especially the first weekend with great weather has always a big impact. Good thing, they released it a week earlier here.

 

Regarding the previews: For some reason "Bad Neighbors 2" is getting midnights here. Normally only huge blockbusters like LOTR, HP or SW get those. Kinda odd.

[IndustriousAngel]

Germany's Top20 last weekend:

	title	admissions	th.	PTA	total adm.	total €	drop	week
1	Captain America - Civil War	545.288	615	887	598.176	6.898.838	-	1
2	The Jungle Book	206.513	696	297	1.191.779	11.593.928	-42	3
3	How to Be Single	80.222	536	150	803.923	6.624.826	-37	4
4	Zootopia	66.751	675	99	3.459.721	28.395.296	-44	9
5	Rico, Oskar und der Diebstahlstein	62.509	482	130	72.325	464.117	-	1
6	A Hologram for the King	51.034	312	164	65.906	518.637	-	1
7	The Boss	40.200	491	82	153.248	1.220.476	-50	2
8	En Man Som Heter Ove	34.663	317	109	271.561	2.081.704	-24	4
9	Le Goût des merveilles	19.616	275	71	403.712	2.979.868	-32	8
10	Gods of Egypt	19.469	400	49	97.627	979.874	-65	2
11	The Huntsman	19.321	373	52	373.146	3.904.845	-65	4
12	Kung Fu Panda 3	17.156	441	39	835.329	6.327.315	-51	7
13	Batman vs Superman	11.710	248	47	1.512.916	16.659.538	-71	6
14	Die Kommune	10.184	85	120	38.352	288.743	-44	2
15	Bibi & Tina 3	6.933	225	31	1.929.389	12.134.953	-38	15
16	Ratchet & Clank	6.614	120	55	9.023	79.749	-	1
17	Allegiant	6.499	127	51	428.411	3.502.362	-49	7
18	Hardcore Henry	6.260	181	35	75.446	613.696	-57	3
19	Der geilste Tag	5.487	165	33	1.645.590	13.471.760	-59	10
20	The Lady in the Van	4.927	102	48	47.410	346.702	-48	3

 

Well, that was an overall disappointing weekend, though CA:CW did ok, even if I had hoped for a little more. Drops were bad all around the chart but BvS plummeting >70% are really bad.

 

Next weekend: Neighbors 2 should do reasonably well (say, 250k) given that there's no competition for it. With no big releases to take away admissions, holdovers should see better drops (I hooope …), and with an additional holiday, overall business is supposed to pick up a little (I think the Thu holiday is the reason N2 gets Wed midnights)

 

[IndustriousAngel]

first trend for the weekend from insidekino, and it's a horrible one:

#1: CA-CW - 325k admissions (-40%)

#2: N2 - 175k

#3: JB - 100k (-50%)

Baaad numbers all around, hopeless ...

[Olive]

Weather too good?

[IndustriousAngel]

17 minutes ago, Olive said:

Weather too good?

seems like it, yes. Here, blue sky with not a single cloud anywhere ... I'm going cycling now!

[Quigley]

Isn't a sub-50% drop good for Civil War?

[IndustriousAngel]

22 minutes ago, Quigley said:

Isn't a sub-50% drop good for Civil War?

yep, considering the weather, it's at least not bad.