miketheavenger Posted December 23, 2014 Share Posted December 23, 2014 I can only speak for my theater, but Honig im Kopf has been marketed relentlessly here. They even showed like 3-4 complete scenes from the movie and one trailer in front of my Hobbit 3 screening. While that may have oversaturated the audience, it could also lead to a huge opening IMO. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted December 23, 2014 Author Share Posted December 23, 2014 I can only speak for my theater, but Honig im Kopf has been marketed relentlessly here. They even showed like 3-4 complete scenes from the movie and one trailer in front of my Hobbit 3 screening. While that may have oversaturated the audience, it could also lead to a huge opening IMO. Here in Austria, Til Schweiger is not that much of a draw so I can't say much here but an additional big opening would be nice since Austria had the fewest admissions since god-knows-when in 2014. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted December 26, 2014 Author Share Posted December 26, 2014 First weekend trend for Germany: #1: Hobbit3 - 875k admissions (-10%), new nr.1 for Germany 2014 with more than 4,2mil total, but a bit below my 900k estimate. #2: Honig im Kopf - 750k admissions!! I was counting on more than 500k and hoping for 600 but 750 is incredible! #3: Exodus - 350k, I was counting on 300k so that's also better than expected! #4: NatM2 - 240k, flat or even up from last week! Good after the lukewarm opening. #5: Paddington - 200k (-5%) #6: Bibi%Tina2 - 225k (incl. previews, weekend-only will probably be behind Paddington), that's exactly within expectations and a bit better than B&T1 (which, btw, is still playing in a few theaters) #7: MJ1 - 110k (-35%, something had to lose screens with all those openers, still respectable) #8: Penguins - 100k (-20%) #9 will probably be "The Theory of Everything" which manages a good PTA in its select theaters. Overall, a very very very strong weekend for theaters! 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
miketheavenger Posted December 26, 2014 Share Posted December 26, 2014 My feeling for Honig im Kopf wasn't off, anyway. I knew this would be one of Schweigers more successful movies. The marketing really seemed to spark interest with audiences. Hopefully Hobbit can still get to 6mil admissions even with a slight drop from last weekend. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted December 26, 2014 Author Share Posted December 26, 2014 Yep, will be close for H3 - if this number holds, it will be about 200k behind H1 and 100k ahead of H2 after Sunday. Of course, H1 had much less competition in its 3rd weekend (only big opener was Life of Pi with 500k); there were only 3 releases over 200k admissions (here's the 2012 link); but the same weekend last year was even stronger than this year (link to 2013) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
James Posted December 26, 2014 Share Posted December 26, 2014 Yep, will be close for H3 - if this number holds, it will be about 200k behind H1 and 100k ahead of H2 after Sunday. Of course, H1 had much less competition in its 3rd weekend (only big opener was Life of Pi with 500k); there were only 3 releases over 200k admissions (here's the 2012 link); but the same weekend last year was even stronger than this year (link to 2013) Well, the final weekend trend was off 75K admissions last week. So maybe TH will be over 900.000 adm after all. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted December 26, 2014 Author Share Posted December 26, 2014 Yep, would be nice if it did go up a bit, there's definitely room in those theaters. btw, Bibi&Tina2's success establishes a new domestic low-budget franchise with reliable numbers, very similar to the Enid Blyton adaptions. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mockingjay Raphael Posted December 26, 2014 Share Posted December 26, 2014 What's the last total numbers in ADM for MJ1? It is already higher than CF? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poseidon Posted December 26, 2014 Share Posted December 26, 2014 Of course, on the biggest weekend of the year, there will be the first snow all over Germany and it will be a lot of snow, followed by freezing cold. AMAZING! It can only get better in 2015. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted December 26, 2014 Author Share Posted December 26, 2014 What's the last total numbers in ADM for MJ1? It is already higher than CF? If you compare corresponding weekends, MJ1 is roughly 5% ahead of CF. MJ1 should be at 3,6mil admissions today, 3,7 on Sunday. Would be nr.1 in Germany, only H3 is just overtaking it and be at 4,2 on Sunday ... 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted December 27, 2014 Author Share Posted December 27, 2014 Saturday trend on insidekino - heavy snow in southern Germany dampens the numbers a bit, everything except kids stuff is dropping a few percent from the first trend. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hernan Gonzalez Posted December 27, 2014 Share Posted December 27, 2014 Saturday trend on insidekino - heavy snow in southern Germany dampens the numbers a bit, everything except kids stuff is dropping a few percent from the first trend. Don't worry I was in Munich last night to take a plane back to Barcelona and it was just 1 cm snow it was snowing all over Bayern but it was pretty light. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leyla Posted December 27, 2014 Share Posted December 27, 2014 (edited) ^ Do you plan to see Honig im Kopf IndustriousAngel? I love Til & would be good to hear your opinion? Edited December 27, 2014 by Lady of Lorien Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted December 27, 2014 Author Share Posted December 27, 2014 Maybe, but if I do, it's more because of Hallervorden ... last year's "Sein letztes Rennen" was really great, funny and touching, on of the best 2013 releases and 9/10 on my IMDB list. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted December 27, 2014 Author Share Posted December 27, 2014 Don't worry I was in Munich last night to take a plane back to Barcelona and it was just 1 cm snow it was snowing all over Bayern but it was pretty light. There's maybe a misunterdtanding here - the problem with snow is not that it's making it difficult to reach the theater. The problem with snow is that, as soon as it drops, people are thinking of outdoors activities - skiing, sled-driving, building a snowman ... watching a movie, in Germany, is always only 2nd choice. It's the same thing during the year with sunny weekends - everyone's outdoors, BBQing or wandering or biking or sitting in a beer garden - theaters are emtpy. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hernan Gonzalez Posted December 27, 2014 Share Posted December 27, 2014 (edited) There's maybe a misunterdtanding here - the problem with snow is not that it's making it difficult to reach the theater. The problem with snow is that, as soon as it drops, people are thinking of outdoors activities - skiing, sled-driving, building a snowman ... watching a movie, in Germany, is always only 2nd choice. It's the same thing during the year with sunny weekends - everyone's outdoors, BBQing or wandering or biking or sitting in a beer garden - theaters are emtpy. Sorry! It was my fault. I always spend Christmas at my aunt's place near Nürnberg. This Christmas Day we were watching Frozen, wishing for snow Edited December 27, 2014 by Henry II of Arendelle 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poseidon Posted December 27, 2014 Share Posted December 27, 2014 In Germany it's more about newspapers spreading panic and people staying at hjome, thinkinking death himself is waiting for them on the streets. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted December 28, 2014 Author Share Posted December 28, 2014 (edited) ugh, Sunday trend even worse - everything went down another few percent #1: Hobbit3 - 825k admissions #2: Honig im Kopf - 650k (still above my expectations) #3: Exodus - 240k #4: Bibi%Tina2 - 210k #5: NatM2 - 190k #6: Paddington - 175k #7: MJ1 - 125k (the only movie that went up compared to earlier estamate) #8: Penguins - 90k #9: Kokosnuss - 80k #10: The Theory of Everything - 75k Edited December 28, 2014 by IndustriousAngel 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted December 30, 2014 Author Share Posted December 30, 2014 Germany's Top20 last weekend: title admissions th. PTA total drop week 1 The Hobbit 3 845.065 930 909 4.239.101 -13 3 2 Honig im Kopf 678.354 611 1.110 678.354 - 1 3 Exodus 246.493 486 507 246.493 - 1 4 Night at the Museum 3 199.745 589 339 550.505 -14 2 5 Bibi & Tina 2 188.950 609 310 221.848 - 1 6 Paddington 186.734 757 247 1.174.567 -12 4 7 Mockingjay 1 125.035 484 258 3.606.729 -26 6 8 Penguins from Madagascar 92.625 647 143 1.248.085 -26 5 9 Der kleine Drache Kokosnuss 89.262 458 195 286.788 -18 2 10 The Theory of Everything 79.876 248 322 91.512 - 1 11 Alles ist Liebe 31.608 396 80 411.409 -59 4 12 Interstellar 30.840 178 173 1.584.751 -14 8 13 The Loft 26.304 98 268 105.846 +19 3 14 Kill the Boss 2 22.075 181 122 343.501 -37 5 15 Hadi Insallah 18.318 40 458 38.653 +53 2 16 Magic in the Moonlight 16.161 117 138 151.590 -22 4 17 Qu'est-ce qu'on a fait au Bon Dieu? 14.762 143 103 3.660.881 +19 23 18 Clouds of Sils Maria 12.226 54 226 36.181 -12 2 19 A Walk Among the Tombstones 11.426 159 72 417.706 -11 7 20 The Homesman 10.706 74 145 35.853 -19 2 Good to excellent numbers for the openers (except Exodus which was still "ok"), soft drops, and a new nr.1 for Germany! The top 3 are still in release, and after the strong opening, "Honig im Kopf" is a new contender for #2 of 2014 behind Hobbit3. btw, QecqoafaBD went up a bit from last weekend and is still nr.2 for 2014, 50k admissions ahead of MJ1. In Austria, "Streif" - a docu-drama about the Kitzbühel downhill race event - was nr.2 for the weekend behind Hobbit3, really excellent start! Next weekend: Only one wide opener - "Fury" - with mixed reviews, so the question is: Who will win the first 2015 weekend - "Honig im Kopf" with a super hold, or Hobbit3 again? Fury should make it to nr.3. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted January 1, 2015 Author Share Posted January 1, 2015 (edited) presales for the weekend see Hobbit3 in front of HiK but I suspect that, as a 3D movie, H3 gets more presales while HiK might attract more walk-in business. In US$, H3 will come out nr.1 anyway. As to "Fury" - well, it's not flopping but atm I would give it 250k admissions max (going by my theater, 150k), another really mediocre opening. Edited January 1, 2015 by IndustriousAngel Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...