Giesi Posted November 30, 2015 Share Posted November 30, 2015 So Insidekino really predicts the OW record for Star Wars and 10mio+ admissions. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted November 30, 2015 Author Share Posted November 30, 2015 Presales are really extremely strong and there's not much competition - while 10mil can never be a safe bet, the OW record is definitely possible - and from there on, with holidays until Jan10 - legs should be beautiful too! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted December 1, 2015 Author Share Posted December 1, 2015 Germany's Top20 last weekend: title admissions th. PTA total adm. total € drop week 1 Mockingjay 2 668.266 730 915 2.237.436 23.928.819 -42 2 2 Spectre 423.377 795 533 5.506.691 52.734.132 -45 4 3 The Good Dinosaur 156.143 523 299 156.143 1.223470 - 1 4 Bridge of Spies 87.020 446 195 87.235 818.764 - 1 5 Inside Out 44.340 556 80 3.274.418 27.312.749 -47 9 6 Hotel Transsylvania 2 37.471 611 61 1.536.119 11.517.147 -55 7 7 The Night Before 36.596 214 171 55.074 431.551 - 1 8 Er ist wieder da 31.094 465 69 2.313.459 18.689.069 -55 8 9 La Giovinezza 26.479 71 373 34.995 270.211 - 1 10 Highway to Hellas 26.016 249 104 26.016 215.469 - 1 11 Irrational Man 15.257 130 117 112.163 886.261 -49 3 12 Fack Ju Göhte 2 13.095 289 45 7.595.011 61.809.154 -57 12 13 The Gift 9.910 102 97 30.020 189.321 - 1 14 Ritter Trenk 9.832 342 29 130.801 807.714 -62 4 15 Steve Jobs 9.381 233 40 132.026 1.083.476 -65 3 16 The Martian 7.489 135 55 1.331.526 14.618.869 -58 8 17 Paranormal Activity 5 6.193 209 30 497.900 5.528.147 -62 6 18 Les Héritiers 5.953 106 56 69.698 461.078 -21 4 19 Rico, Oskar und das Herzgebreche 5.861 66 89 516.850 2.871.008 +27 25 20 Ali Baba ve 7 Cüceler 4.309 36 120 24.690 -29 3 While MJ2, IO and Spectre continue to draw in crowds, the openers were really weak … TGD is by far the lowest opening for Pixar ever, and BoS fared more than poor for a Spielberg/Hanks starrer. Next weekend: "In the Heart of the Sea" is trying for the adventure crowd … Howard's "Rush" was a bit of a success story but I don't know if HotS can cash in on that; Top3 should be possible though. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lab276 Posted December 1, 2015 Share Posted December 1, 2015 (edited) Look at this list of top 10 openers. One of these things is not like the others. 1 2.590.464 1.226 2.113 01 Harry Potter 1 (WB) 2 2.489.952 1.249 1.994 02 Harry Potter 2 (WB) 3 2.400.158 1.243 1.931 05 Harry Potter 4 (WB) 4 2.395.588 1.061 2.258 06 Ice Age 2 (FOX) 5 2.164.909 899 2.408 04 (T)Raumschiff Surprise (NCO) 6 2.115.200 830 2.548 15 Fack Ju Göhte 2 (NCO) 7 2.050.755 1.337 1.534 03 Der Herr der Ringe 3 (WB) 8 2.032.136 1.004 2.024 03 Findet Nemo (BV) 9 2.021.239 1.266 1.597 02 Der Herr der Ringe 2 (WB) 10 1.987.285 1.204 1.651 04 Harry Potter 3 (WB) Edited December 1, 2015 by lab276 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted December 2, 2015 Share Posted December 2, 2015 InsideKino @MarkGInsideKino 8m8 minutes ago View translation Disney meldet bislang 550.000 im Vorverkauf verkaufte Tickets für STAR WARS - DAS ERWACHEN DER MACHT in Deutschland 550 k tickets have been pre-sold for SW7. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quigley Posted December 3, 2015 Share Posted December 3, 2015 On 2/12/2015, 11:24:15, The Good Olive said: 550 k tickets have been pre-sold for SW7. How does that compare to other films' presales? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted December 3, 2015 Share Posted December 3, 2015 8 minutes ago, quigquag33 said: How does that compare to other films' presales? 50 Shades of Grey 750K two days pre opening 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Giesi Posted December 3, 2015 Share Posted December 3, 2015 11 minutes ago, quigquag33 said: How does that compare to other films' presales? Fifty shades helds the record with 750k presales 2 days before its release. I'm sure StarWars can top that. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted December 4, 2015 Author Share Posted December 4, 2015 Weekend trend for Germany: #1: MJ2 - 400k admissions (-40%) #2: Spectre - 250k (-40%) #3: TgD - 100k (-35%) Krampus also at 100k but that includes strong previews Heart of the Sea is flopping hard ... 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted December 5, 2015 Author Share Posted December 5, 2015 Saturday update: #1: MJ2 - 400k admissions (-40%) #2: Spectre - 275k (-35%), already close to 6mil total! #3: TgD - 120k-150k (at least a good hold if nothing else) #4: Krampus - 85k (proper weekend more like 70k) 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
James Posted December 6, 2015 Share Posted December 6, 2015 Look at this list of top 10 openers. One of these things is not like the others. 1 2.590.464 1.226 2.113 01 Harry Potter 1 (WB) 2 2.489.952 1.249 1.994 02 Harry Potter 2 (WB) 3 2.400.158 1.243 1.931 05 Harry Potter 4 (WB) 4 2.395.588 1.061 2.258 06 Ice Age 2 (FOX) 5 2.164.909 899 2.408 04 (T)Raumschiff Surprise (NCO) 6 2.115.200 830 2.548 15 Fack Ju Göhte 2 (NCO) 7 2.050.755 1.337 1.534 03 Der Herr der Ringe 3 (WB) 8 2.032.136 1.004 2.024 03 Findet Nemo (BV) 9 2.021.239 1.266 1.597 02 Der Herr der Ringe 2 (WB) 10 1.987.285 1.204 1.651 04 Harry Potter 3 (WB) Nice. I want Fantastic Beasts do dominate 2016. Bodes well for it.[emoji2] Trimis de pe al meu SM-J100H folosind Tapatalk Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted December 7, 2015 Author Share Posted December 7, 2015 actuals tomorrow but last estimates were good, except the Dinosaur which dropped harder with 25%. Best opener: Krampus with a little under 70k admissions. btw, in Austria, Krampus snatched the top spot with more than 40k admissions!!! Incredible if you consider that Germany has 10x as many inhabitants and the markets are very similar. Might be related to the fact that there's a special Austrian dubbing for Krampus. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted December 8, 2015 Author Share Posted December 8, 2015 Germany's Top20 last weekend: title admissions th. PTA total adm. total € drop week 1 Mockingjay 2 412.625 736 561 2.827.681 29.954.437 -38 3 2 Spectre 279.637 771 363 5.903.439 56.523.476 -34 5 3 The Good Dinosaur 117.922 563 209 302.050 2.997.646 -25 2 4 Krampus 68.408 303 226 80.966 663.485 - 1 5 Bridge of Spies 61.340 488 126 186.390 1.699.443 -30 2 6 Dügün Dernek 2 53.331 67 796 53.331 479.473 - 1 7 Love the Coopers 40.883 226 181 53.920 403.785 - 1 8 In the Heart of the Sea 38.298 416 92 40.595 431.728 - 1 9 Le tout nouveau testament 29.650 71 418 38.010 279292 - 1 10 Inside Out 29.390 502 59 3.310.302 27.563.855 -34 10 11 Hotel Transsylvania 2 24.167 552 44 1.565.009 11.707.175 -36 8 12 la Giovinezza 21.602 82 263 71.827 558.288 -18 2 13 The Night Before 20.317 211 96 86.188 688.098 -45 2 14 Er ist wieder da 16.839 369 46 2.340.874 18.902.839 -46 9 15 Highway to Hellas 13.173 252 52 49.027 390.316 -49 2 16 Burnt 12.471 140 89 36.531 280.350 - 1 17 Irrational Man 10.405 119 87 129.656 1.020.280 -32 4 18 Sa ock pa jorden 9.142 107 85 10.296 82.831 - 1 19 Fack Ju Göhte 2 7.677 236 33 7.605.203 61.889.070 -41 13 20 Ritter Trenk 5.987 310 19 137.836 850.365 -39 5 Overall a pretty good weekend, it's just that no opener did any major business. Especially HotS is a complete flop, didn't expect that as "Rush" was a medium-sized hit … among older releases, FJG2 finally crossed 7,6mil admissions and Spectre 5,9mil. Next weekend: Everyone is waiting for the Star Wars Hammer, so a typical quiet before the storm. "The Little Prince" and "Heidi" try to liven up the family market, "Heidi" has got some pretty good reviews and might generate some business outside the core demo. "Knock Knock" looks weak. MJ2 and Spectre will continue to collect tickets before losing their screens. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quigley Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 On 20/10/2015, 6:49:39, The Good Olive said: Pixar admissions in Germany 8.836.474 - Finding Nemo 6.104.073 - Ratatouille 3.590.658 - A Bug's Life 3.501.969 - The Incredibles 3.317.980 - Monsters, Inc. 3.230.130 - Wall-E 2.978.759 - UP 2.948.160 - Toy Story 2 2.621.941 - Toy Story 2.213.156 - Cars 2.003.490 - Inside Out (in release) 1.840.219 - Cars 2 1.591.518 - Toy Story 3 1.464.409 - Brave 1.402.630 - Monsters University I guess Inside Out will end up at no. 5. Not bad at all. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted December 11, 2015 Author Share Posted December 11, 2015 Yep, good for IO! First weekend trend for Germany: #1: MJ2 - 240k (-40%, crosses 3mil, if true, total > MJ1 at this point) #2: Spectre - 185k (-35%, crosses 6mil) #3: Heidi - 175k and best opener #4: TGD - 120k (at least it doesn't drop but still total <500k - bah) 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted December 13, 2015 Author Share Posted December 13, 2015 final estimates are higher for both MJ2 and Spectre, lower for Heidi. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted December 15, 2015 Author Share Posted December 15, 2015 Germany's Top20 last weekend: title admissions th. PTA total adm. total € drop week 1 Mockingjay 2 275.164 720 382 3.213.156 33.830.181 -33 4 2 Spectre 206.345 770 268 6.188.480 59.273.567 -26 6 3 Heidi 147.885 585 253 171.751 1.136.633 - 1 4 The Good Dinosaur 100.828 593 170 424.289 3.174.719 -14 3 5 The Little Prince 57.173 573 100 74.638 549.563 - 1 6 Bridge of Spies 50.950 533 96 260.754 2.367.171 -17 3 7 Krampus 50.683 319 159 151.570 1.250.361 -26 2 8 Dügün Dernek 2 50.551 87 581 118.504 1.036.318 -5 2 9 Love the Coopers 37.947 240 158 106.286 811.503 -7 2 10 Le tout nouveau testament 32.141 94 342 84.290 629.728 +8 2 11 Inside Out 25.191 436 58 3.340.603 27.774.750 -14 11 12 Knock Knock 21.304 142 150 46.945 323.263 - 1 13 In the Heart of the Sea 20.653 412 50 76.102 786.785 -46 2 14 Hotel Transsylvania 2 18.200 420 43 1.587.502 11.855.285 -25 9 15 La Giovinezza 18.093 95 190 100.492 785.398 -16 3 16 The Night Before 16.474 206 80 107.133 866.039 -19 3 17 Er ist wieder da 14.444 308 47 2.361.423 19.065.253 -14 10 18 Highway to Hellas 9.351 229 41 63.513 500.323 -29 3 19 Irrational Man 7.770 106 73 141.799 1.112.576 -25 5 20 Burnt 6.416 149 43 49.198 380.292 -49 2 Overall, the weekend was not as bad as expected, good opening for "Heidi" and some nice holds (after the extremely bad opening, TGD at least keeps doing 6-digit-weekends). Next weekend: Star, Wars and 7 will smash the competition (except Heidi and TGD I guess). An opening north of 2,5mil admissions seems a safe bet by now and some expectations rise towards the 3mil treshold - crazy! 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
James Posted December 15, 2015 Share Posted December 15, 2015 So in USD we talk over 20m? Trimis de pe al meu SM-J100H folosind Tapatalk Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted December 15, 2015 Author Share Posted December 15, 2015 with 3D, we're talking over 30mil Weekend 3D shows sell for more than 14€ per standard ticket at my theater, that's about 16USD with current exchange rates. You can do the math from there ... even if you take into account that there are a lot of discount options, 35mil from Germany and 4-5mil from Austria seem a good estimate. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Giesi Posted December 15, 2015 Share Posted December 15, 2015 I hope SW will crash Ice Age 2's first week record, 4mio admissions are possible. Isn't it crazy??? And people told me SW is irrelevant in Germany a few month ago. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...