IndustriousAngel Posted February 5, 2016 Author Share Posted February 5, 2016 ... and here's the first weekend estimate from insidekino, and it will be a very close race for #1! #1: Robinson Crusoe - 275k (don't know if there's previews included) #2/3: B&T3 and H8 with 240k each (that would be the exact 25% drop for H8 I was hoping for) #4: Alvin4 - 210k (crazy hold) #5: Revenant - 160k (-35%, ok) #6: Goosebumps - 140k So, it's the weekend of the family movies. Robinson shockingly strong, B&T3 still on a 2mil total trajectory, Alvin and even Goosebumps managed a respectable opening against that much competition. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George Parr Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 TFA meanwhile looking for around 100k. If that holds, it would once again be slightly above LOTR 2 and 3. That would be the third weekend in a row above 3, and second weekend in a row above 2. Though the differences are marginal, and the weekdays are decidely in favour of the LOTR movies. No idea how the last weekdays were, but I guess the movie should be somewhere between 8.71 and 8.725 million admissions after the weekend. There might actually be just enough steam left to get past 9 million in the end. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
efialtes76 Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Trend 2: 1.TH8-240k 2.Robinson Crusoe-240k 3.Bibi&Tina 3-225k 4.Alvin 4-200k 5.The Revenant-175k 6.Goosebumps-125k SW7-90k Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
efialtes76 Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 (edited) Final Trend: 1.TH8-225k 2.B&T3-200k 3.Robinson Crusoe-175k 4.The Revenant-175k 5.Alvin 4-150k 6.Goosebumos-125k SW7-90k Edited February 7, 2016 by efialtes76 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George Parr Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Everything down from the earlier trends, Robinson Crusoe quite significantly so, I wonder if that is due to the uncertainty of the impact carnival would have or if it is just coincidence. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted February 7, 2016 Author Share Posted February 7, 2016 It seems family movies had an absoluteley massive Thursday ... no idea why; often it's weather situations when a weekend turns this lopsided. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted February 8, 2016 Author Share Posted February 8, 2016 Actuals tomorrow, but insidekino reports: #1: H8 - 220k admissions (-29%) #2: B&T3 - 180k (-46%, crosses 1mil) #3: Rev - 175k (-27%, crosses 2mil) It seems that the massive overload of family stuff did indeed lead to some cannibalisation; every single family movie is dropping hard from first estimates. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted February 8, 2016 Author Share Posted February 8, 2016 btw, in Austria, H8 is doing better than in Germany, it's again #1 with a 37% drop and has already crossed 100k admissions total (Germany has 10x the inhabitants of Austria) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted February 9, 2016 Author Share Posted February 9, 2016 Germany's top20 last weekend: title admissions th. PTA total adm. total € drop week 1 The Hateful 8 224.026 605 387 701.824 7.063.976 -28 2 2 Bibi & Tina 3 185.014 760 243 1.109.880 7.052.918 -44 3 3 The Revenant 176.621 748 236 2.065.968 19.525.800 -26 5 4 Alvin & Chipmunks 4 134.224 620 216 437.295 2.828.307 -42 2 5 Robinson Crusoe 129.519 510 254 157.841 1.216.623 - 1 6 Tschiller: Off Duty 109.137 503 217 117.332 1.089.923 - 1 7 Star Wars 7 90.796 445 204 8.718.855 99.015.236 -37 8 8 Goosebumps 87.260 547 160 119.175 1.020.908 - 1 9 Ride Along 2 63.885 362 176 375.107 3.102.044 -41 3 10 The Forest 51.118 117 437 59.806 524.498 - 1 11 Ich bin dann mal weg 47.397 531 89 1.659.946 12.953.037 -22 7 12 Suffragette 39.104 127 308 44.232 351.318 - 1 13 The Big Short 29.978 192 156 304.272 2.590.801 -27 4 14 Daddy's Home 27.385 299 92 193.545 1.489.494 -45 3 15 The 5th Wave 26.279 338 78 357.044 2.888.191 -54 4 16 Hilfe, ich hab meine Lehrerin geschrumpft 21.010 395 53 1.010.268 6.289.687 -43 8 17 The Danish Girl 19.575 167 117 286.845 2.305.782 -30 5 18 Brooklyn 18.366 116 158 93.239 727.446 -24 3 19 Kardesim Benin 16.941 63 269 105.266 937.763 -44 3 20 Creed 14.673 279 53 330.882 2.979.423 -63 4 Well, all those family releases were bound to hurt each other so the drops are hard as expected - the family openers Robinson and Goosebumps did not bad under these circumstances. Schweiger's Tschiller otoh is a desaster (well, it's a TV series anyway) - and The Forest managed the biggest PTA! Should have a good 2nd weekend. H8 and Revenant had very soft drops, although H8's -28% are a bit harder than what I was hoping for. Revenant crossed 2mil total - who would have expected that from such an extreme film? B&T3 has crossed 1,1mil total and should stay in theaters a few more months, I see it doing at least 1,8mil total. A bit farther down the charts, "Hilfe, ich habe …" has also broken the million barrier - nice surprise once more from a domestic kids film. The Force Awakens had a drop somewhere between the grown-up and the family stuff, as was to be expected - it's still trajectoring towards 9mil total, very nice! Next weekend: After the rush of family stuff last weekend, there's still one more, the only wide release Die Wilden Kerle 6 - it's been a while since the last installment (7 or 8 years) which is never good for a kid franchise, but DWK5 had about 1,7mil admissions so even with a sizeable drop an opening in the 300k range and a #1 opening should be possible. Deadpool is a wildcard; it has not that many theaters but good buzz; problem is: It's going against Dirty Grandpa which is aiming at much the same demo I guess. Well, and there's Sisters, too - three raunchy releases at the start, well, I suppose the distributors know what they're doing. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aristis Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 I don't know if it was already written, but I don't think so: SW is third alltime in euro with €99.015.236M in Germany. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aristis Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 This box shouldn't be there Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quigley Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 Hooray, SW7 is reaching the 100M€ mark in Germany!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Giesi Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 Where can I find the biggest movies in the DDR? I know there is a list available on insidekino but it only features the biggest inland hits. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted February 9, 2016 Author Share Posted February 9, 2016 https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Liste_erfolgreicher_Filme#Erfolgreichste_DDR-Filme_in_der_DDR_nach_Zuschauerzahlen 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted February 10, 2016 Author Share Posted February 10, 2016 Update: Deadpool is going wide, too - more than 500 theaters, so it may in fact have a shot a nr.1. Reviews are pretty good and the buzz is there, and maybe the comedy angle (always good in Germany) wil help Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aristis Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 (edited) And the official FFA yearly numbers are out: 139,2M admissions (Nearly 140M, why couldn't it reach that mark ) €1.167,1M (up from the record of €1033M in 2012 and 19,1% up from 2014), should be around $1,3B for the year (would have been nearly $1,6B a few years ago ) 37,1M admissions (27,5 %) for German movies. And for the first time in many years more cinemas than the year before (893 with 4692 halls) Average ticket price: €8,39 (about $9,20) , 4% up from the last year (in € only, in Dollar in fact it could be down). 3D share 21,9% (2014: 22,3%) Well, a very good year Edited February 10, 2016 by Aristis 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aristis Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 I read two numbers now: 893 (which I wrote above) and 1648. Is it possible that the first number is the number of cities which have a cinema and the 1648 the total number of cinemas? 893 would be extremely few I think now. I saw now that the hobbit for example was shown in 930 cinemas so there are probably 1648 cinemas... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted February 10, 2016 Author Share Posted February 10, 2016 yep, there are more: http://de.statista.com/statistik/daten/studie/3077/umfrage/anzahl-der-kinos-in-deutschland-seit-dem-jahr-2002/ btw, can't say much yet about "Die wilden Kerle", but among the three raunchy openers, Deadpool is killing or at least maiming Sisters and Granpa. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poseidon Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 Deadpool is going to break out, will easily get to #1 this weekend. Can't see it going under 400k, will probably land somewhere between 400-500k. Maybe even more, but with movies like Deadpool, you have to be cautious, if they work everywhere, not only in big cities. Looking much better than 300P2 2 years ago and will have Valentinesday on Sunday to boost the gross and also better weather. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
el sid Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 (edited) The Thursday estimates via insidekino.de (forum): New Releases: Deadpool: 129k (!) Dirty Grandpa: 29.5k (not bad at all) Sisters: 6k Holdovers: Tschiller: Off Duty: 10k (last Thursday: 12k) The Forest: 3.5k The Hateful Eight: 32.5 (it was overestimated a lot last Thursday with 43k and actually it had 30k, so I don't completely trust these numbers but it's a good hold so or so) The Revenant: 17.5 (l.T.: 21k, again a very good hold) Star Wars: 5k (l.T: 8k) So very good for Deadpool! My conservative guess was more around 350-400k admissions because it has many showings everywhere as well as in my theaters and they are well booked but not completely sold out. But if these estimates hold 500k are not out of reach. Dirty Grandpa is a success given the poor reviews. Tschiller at least has a good hold and should have almost the same admissions as last weekend. Edited February 11, 2016 by el sid Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...