terrestrial Posted January 13, 2017 Share Posted January 13, 2017 22 minutes ago, el sid said: Bavaria. Here it is ok. But I heard about the storms in other regions. Problem is this will continue over the next weeks, I mean one or several regions always will be affected by snow storms, minus temperatures and so on. So I just hope the weather has no bigger influence than „normal“ for a winter weekend. Bavaria as well. But on the top of a hill, not that far away from the Alps. We'll get up to 90km/h this night, last weekend it was ~ 70km/h +/- Looking at the map of the Unwetterzentrale I think there might be reason for some people not to drive a car, or? Not sure if this will work (it might change as the source will change) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted January 13, 2017 Share Posted January 13, 2017 (edited) I just realised they have a map for Greenwich to MEZ and some extra too (do we have a kind of Europe thread? Weather impact thing?) Edited January 13, 2017 by terrestrial Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted January 14, 2017 Author Share Posted January 14, 2017 (edited) Whew, just been shoveling snow for more than an hour ... On the BO front, it might happen we'll have the same top2 as last week, Rogue One Great Wall and La La Land (GW in front atm) are fighting for places 2-4, comedies Demain tout commence and Why Him are fighting for #5/6 it seems Edited January 14, 2017 by IndustriousAngel 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George Parr Posted January 14, 2017 Share Posted January 14, 2017 2nd trend seems to be mostly identical to the first one when it comes to the top movies. Only The Great Wall is down from 160 to 150k, while Vaiana is up from 110 to 125k Movies that didn't get mentioned in the first trend: Vier gegen die Bank 75k Sing 75k Assassin's Creed 75k Ballerina 60k Bob der Streuner 50k Wbd Hartmanns 45k Fantastic Beasts 25k ... 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted January 14, 2017 Share Posted January 14, 2017 To me its funny to observe the changing weather on those maps without doing anything. And it does give a bit of impression where to expect what. I am in the 'slippery roads' area still. Acc weather reports tomorrow will be even more snow for us. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted January 15, 2017 Author Share Posted January 15, 2017 Final estimates from insidekino.de: 1. Passengers - 225k (-45%) 2. The Great Wall - 160k 3/4: Demain tout commence / Moana with 145k each 5/6: Why Him (depends on number of previews) or Rogue One 9 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
el sid Posted January 15, 2017 Share Posted January 15, 2017 21 hours ago, terrestrial said: To me its funny to observe the changing weather on those maps without doing anything. And it does give a bit of impression where to expect what. I am in the 'slippery roads' area still. Acc weather reports tomorrow will be even more snow for us. Yes, it did indeed change :). It looks even worse now and not very encouraging. This is the first winter where I really pay attention which impact the weather has on our box office, so I'm curious myself :). 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted January 15, 2017 Share Posted January 15, 2017 7 hours ago, el sid said: Yes, it did indeed change :). It looks even worse now and not very encouraging. This is the first winter where I really pay attention which impact the weather has on our box office, so I'm curious myself :). I work most Sundays, usually starting either at midday or later, today was even a bit earlier, drove back starting shortly after 6 in the evening, needed ~ again trice the time of what I usually need. But the streets I use are rather small regional ones, of the sort that get as the latest a winter service. And yes, the map looks worse, there seem for the moment to be not one little area with normal conditions left. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted January 16, 2017 Author Share Posted January 16, 2017 (edited) Final numbers have Great Wall at 170k admissions, a bit better than feared - still not very good for a wannabe blockbuster. In Austria, comedy weekend: "Why Him" took the lead with surprising 40k admissions, "Demain tout commence" at #2 with 21k (down 28% from last week, but it had a much better start than in Germany, so no big expansion). LaLaLand #3 and Passengers only #4 - it's rare that Austria's BO is that different from the German one! Edited January 16, 2017 by IndustriousAngel 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dingdong123 Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 On 1/15/2017 at 6:07 PM, IndustriousAngel said: Final estimates from insidekino.de: 1. Passengers - 225k (-45%) 2. The Great Wall - 160k 3/4: Demain tout commence / Moana with 145k each 5/6: Why Him (depends on number of previews) or Rogue One Is that a good drop for Moana or what? Is 2 million admissions still attainable? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted January 16, 2017 Author Share Posted January 16, 2017 2mil would be possible without competition but now there are two upcoming movies aimed exclusively at young girls - canadian/french CGI Ballerina (US release title "Leap!") and the week after, german horse-com Wendy - and while both get more or less critically panned, they will take quite a bite out of Moana's audience I suspect. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 How was 2016 in Germany in the end? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted January 16, 2017 Author Share Posted January 16, 2017 4 minutes ago, Fullbuster said: How was 2016 in Germany in the end? Not a good year, but at least the strong last quarter saved it from being a total disaster, and now 2017 seems to continue with good numbers. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 2 minutes ago, IndustriousAngel said: Not a good year, but at least the strong last quarter saved it from being a total disaster, and now 2017 seems to continue with good numbers. That's great then I guess SW8 will be the highest-grossing movie of the year Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George Parr Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 (edited) 1 hour ago, IndustriousAngel said: 2mil would be possible without competition but now there are two upcoming movies aimed exclusively at young girls - canadian/french CGI Ballerina (US release title "Leap!") and the week after, german horse-com Wendy - and while both get more or less critically panned, they will take quite a bite out of Moana's audience I suspect. Ballerina has already started last weekend, has it not? It had around 60k admissions, including previews. Episode VIII being the highest grossing movie should be a given, though I think things will be a whole lot closer when it comes to admissions. It should definately drop quite a bit from the 9m TFA had, and who knows how much Despicable Me 3 will do (part 2 had only around 3.7m, but Minions almost 7m). Not sure what else could get there, maybe Beauty & the Beast. Jungle Book fell rather flat in Germany, but I don't think the same will happen to BatB. There is also the 5th POTC movie, a franchise that has always done well here, even if the 4th one had already dropped a bit. All in all, I'd still see Episode VIII ahead at this point, but if it only gets into the 6-7 million range (II and III had 5.8 and 5.6m), things could possibly become interesting. Edited January 16, 2017 by George Parr 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted January 16, 2017 Author Share Posted January 16, 2017 22 minutes ago, George Parr said: Ballerina has already started last weekend, has it not? It had around 60k admissions, including previews. Thanks, I've overlooked that one - just read some reviews today and thought it was only previews uintil now Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted January 18, 2017 Author Share Posted January 18, 2017 Germany's Top20 last weekend: title admissions th. PTA total adm. total € drop week 1 Passengers 226.858 601 377 751.045 7.765.187 -45 2 2 The Great Wall 171.680 501 343 171.680 1.964.335 - 1 3 Demain tout commence 150.618 340 443 393.217 3.292.505 -16 2 4 Moana 145.763 655 223 1.460.932 11.482.911 -46 4 5 La La Land 138.298 115 1.203 160.424 1.420.859 - 1 6 Why Him? 138.225 366 378 165.709 1.322.374 - 1 7 Rogue One 135.176 592 228 3.699.139 41.586.724 -57 5 8 Sing 96.227 713 135 2.095.968 16.743.968 -55 6 9 Vier gegen die Bank 87.482 660 133 989.745 8.041.028 -54 4 10 Assassin's Creed 73.399 548 134 881.158 9.306.750 -57 3 11 Willkommen bei den Hartmanns 56.164 535 105 3.378.880 27.237.607 -49 11 12 Ballerina 52.854 355 149 58.637 421.916 - 1 13 A Streetcat Named Bob 48.369 201 241 60.641 483.787 - 1 14 Feuerwehrmann Sam - Achtung Außerirdische 48.289 266 182 121.233 766.949 -34 2 15 Fantastic Beasts 34.463 301 114 3.383.190 33.598.480 -61 9 16 Die Blumen von Gestern 25.992 86 302 30.850 245.339 - 1 17 Paula - Mein Leben soll ein Fest sein 19.795 165 120 193.120 1.516.125 -29 5 18 Calgi Cengi Ikimiz 15.267 60 254 48.264 442.642 -45 2 19 Allied 11.368 182 62 245.660 2.061.490 -69 4 20 Hell or High Water 10.869 102 107 29.488 185.685 - 1 Not as good as the last one, but still a good weekend. Among openers, The Great Wall disappointed a bit, while Why Him? was within expectations, and La La Land much better than expected - with a PTA of >1200, distributors must be crying in hindsight for not giving it a wider release. With that many openers, holdovers were bound to suffer, drops were hard across the chart with the exception of Demain tout commence, but even that one dropped despite a 58% expansion in theaters. Next weekend: xXx - Return of Xander Cage is the top opener, I don't know if it can make it to 500k for the weekend but #1 for the weekend is guaranteed. Collateral Beauty will not be a hit, the times when Will Smith was a draw are long past, I don't expect more than 100k admissions. For young children, the 2nd Ritter Rost adaption gets released - should make the Top10, too. Smaller releases are Manchester by the Sea and Personal Shopper - frankly, the market seems mighty crowded these days, especially with La La Land getting at least double the theaters of this week and a chance at the Top3. 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted January 18, 2017 Author Share Posted January 18, 2017 afterthought while looking through bookings for the next days ... while xXx is selling a little better than Great Wall last week, it's not that far ahead. Might be the next not-so-blockbustery wannabe blockbuster. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
el sid Posted January 18, 2017 Share Posted January 18, 2017 Same here. xXx3 has to improve a lot in the next hours or tomorrow to reach 500k admissions. By the look of it at the moment I would say it's lucky to reach 300k. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Giesi Posted January 18, 2017 Share Posted January 18, 2017 So what are everybody's predictions for the top hits of 2017? Will SW8 be without a doubt the #1 film? Is BatB the first Disney life-action remake to really break out? Can Pirates 5 stop the downward spiral of oblivion? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...