mexico Mexico Box Office | Inside Out 2 close to $72M; will Day One create much noise?

[Carlangonz]

Lc will be a different story but in admissions Pixar will take the 1-2-3 podium back.

[Purple Minion]

All Time Gross in USD

01    85,378,425    The Super Mario Bros Movie
02    81,165,976    Spider-Man: No Way Home
03    77,594,943    Avengers: Endgame
04    71,882,369    Toy Story 4
05    63,900,000    Inside Out 2

[Sophia Jane]

IO2 do $100m in Mexico

[Purple Minion]

Don't think it will unless ER drastically improves. It'd need 1.83B lc which is on the highest end of forecasts. Said that, nobody was expecting this gargantuan 2nd weekend, so...

 

My total guess (it will come back to bite me, lol): 1.705B lc, $95M USD.

 

 

Edited June 23 by Purple Minion

[Carlangonz]

1 hour ago, Purple Minion said:

My total guess (it will come back to bite me, lol): 1.705B lc, $95M USD.

Going same route. Even if DM4 doesn't drastically affects it, still will take a lot of screens.

$1.7B would mean 23.5M admissions which is ahead of not only Mario but No Way Home and Coco's first run as well.

[Flip]

6 hours ago, Carlangonz said:

Lc will be a different story but in admissions Pixar will take the 1-2-3 podium back.

Isn’t Endgame 2nd in admits?

[charlie Jatinder]

I am at 25M admits and 1850M gross.

Edited June 24 by charlie Jatinder

[Carlangonz]

4 hours ago, Flip said:

Isn’t Endgame 2nd in admits?

I forgot to clarify is for animation. 
 

1 hour ago, charlie Jatinder said:

I am at 25M admits and 1850M gross.

This will be the route if it follows Mario. Will be fun to follow the comp as Mario at this point onwards went without holidays but didn't get competition -neither direct or indirect- until weekend 5 with Guardians.

Inside Out 2 has been insane without any sort of holidays but will lose screens starting next weekend and Despicable Me 4 comes in two weekends. I think even $1.9B could be doable but will be hard as it pushes the admissions ceiling.

[charlie Jatinder]

I mean we have a perfect comp for this, which matches the exact calendar configuration and degree of competition. 

 

Toy Story 4.

TS4 did 7.1M admits in its FSS (June 21-23) and nearly 18M after that.
IO2 did ~4.3M. If IO2 follows that it will add ~11M (i.e. 26.5M final).

Now TS4 had spillover advantage in the weekdays so the first few days of weekdays will be hard to match but then TS4 first weekend was... well its first while IO2 has done 4.3M in 2nd which means some lack of frontloaded demand for IO2. 

That said, it doesn't need 11M, it only needs 9.5M for 25M, which should be easy enough.

[Purple Minion]

Deadline is reporting a fricking unbelieable 27% drop for IO2. Are we on the verge of a Super Sunday?

[Olive]

Disney le da el respiro que necesitaba este verano a la TaquillaMX haciendo el 80% del acumulado de fin de semana de buenazos $469.5M gracias a los 6M de espectadores que se dieron cita muy seguramente a UNA peli o quizás a alguno de los otros 6 estrenos o 69 contenidos dando el rol por las salas del país. Acá el detalle:
Con varios récords ya en la bolsa y asegurando cuadro de honor histórico, Intensamente 2 tiene una 2a semana con 4,927 pantallas donde logra sumar $392.6M a sus épicos $1,172.7M!!! *inserte sentimiento de Felicidad*

[Purple Minion]

Rough translation. I am speechless:

 

Disney injects life to the Mexican Box Office summer, 469.5M lc and 6M tickets sold overall this weekend.
With several records already in the bag, Inside Out 2 second week got 4,927 screens and added 392.6M lc to its epic 1,172.7M lc total *insert feeling of happiness*

 

@Olive, could you share the source?

 

 

Edited Monday at 05:01 PM by Purple Minion

[Olive]

10 minutes ago, Purple Minion said:

Rough translation. I am speechless:

 

Disney injects life to the Mexican Box Office summer, this weekend reached a great 469.5M lc and 6M tickets sold.
With several records already in the bag, Inside Out 2 second week got 4,927 screens and added 392.6M lc to its epic 1,172.7M lc total *insert feeling of happiness*

 

@Olive, could you share the source?

 

 

https://x.com/Showbeast

[Carlangonz]

15.4M admissions. Second weekend is bigger than several recent 4-Day openings including Barbie, Multiverse of Madness (excluding previews) and The Way of Water; roughly the same as Mario's first TFSS frame.

[keysersoze123]

So whatever optimistic benchmarks were set, it blew past it !!! This was with Copa America Cup in progress as well. Amazing stuff indeed. I wonder how it will hold against DM4. Otherwise 2B could have been an option 🙂

[Carlangonz]

13 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

I mean we have a perfect comp for this, which matches the exact calendar configuration and degree of competition. 

 

Toy Story 4.

TS4 did 7.1M admits in its FSS (June 21-23) and nearly 18M after that.
IO2 did ~4.3M. If IO2 follows that it will add ~11M (i.e. 26.5M final).

Now TS4 had spillover advantage in the weekdays so the first few days of weekdays will be hard to match but then TS4 first weekend was... well its first while IO2 has done 4.3M in 2nd which means some lack of frontloaded demand for IO2. 

That said, it doesn't need 11M, it only needs 9.5M for 25M, which should be easy enough.

Second FSS:
TS4 - 4.1M/16.6M to date
IO2 - 4.5M/15.4M to date 

Had dropped the comp in lc but you're right, it still works for admissions as the gap is closing.

I thought FFH was on TS4's fourth weekend but it was on the third and it dropped 60%. DM4 will be bigger than FFH but getting this extra weekend will be a relief. 

As for late legs; D&W won't be as big or as much of a direct competition as TLK was to TS4. $1.7B/$90M is the floor.

[Purple Minion]

All Time Movies, lc

 

01 1,618,296,317    Spider-Man: No Way Home (2021)

02 1,542,527,997    The Super Mario Bros. Movie (2023)

03 1,474,211,950    Avengers: Endgame (2019)

04 1,375,619,677    Toy Story 4 (2019)

05 1,172,700,000    Inside Out 2 (2024)

 

IO2 could well be #3 in a week.

 

 

[XXR & Friends]

15 minutes ago, Purple Minion said:

All Time Movies, lc

 

01 1,618,296,317    Spider-Man: No Way Home (2021)

02 1,542,527,997    The Super Mario Bros. Movie (2023)

03 1,474,211,950    Avengers: Endgame (2019)

04 1,375,619,677    Toy Story 4 (2019)

05 1,172,700,000    Inside Out 2 (2024)

 

IO2 could well be #3 in a week.

 

 

What is the admissions record?

[Purple Minion]

4 minutes ago, XXR & Friends said:

What is the admissions record?

 

All Time Movies, Admissions

 

01    25,200,946    Toy Story 4 (2019)

02    24,861,959    Avengers: Endgame (2019)

03    24,191,290    Coco (2017)

04    23,418,424    Spider-Man: No Way Home (2021)

05    22,744,954    The Super Mario Bros. Movie (2023)

---

12    15,400,000    Inside Out 2 (2024)

 

Amazing ATP for an animated movie.

[HowSway]

So is Mexico now the second most important market for Hollywood?