Mexico Box Office | Garfield scratches great $8.4M 6-day OW; safe $2.5M start for The Fall Guy

[scabab]

That'd be about $9.8 million for Broly, not $9.5 million that they said on Screen Daily.

[Carlangonz]

JANUARY 18-20 WEEKEND. GLASS IS SECOND HIGHEST BLUMHOUSE OPENING EVER; DOUBLES SPLIT’S FIRST FRAME. BROLY *THIS CLOSE* TO CROSS $10M. AQUAMAN TOPS IRON MAN 3 AND IS ABOUT TO PASS $30M.

 

Glass

- 91.64% ahead of Split and only 18.37% behind Halloween’s opening back in October. Should surpass Split’s lifetime gross by next weekend and pass $200M.

- Second highest opening for a Blumhouse title under Halloween and third for a January release only behind last weekend’s Dragon Ball Super: Broly and 2015’s Spongebob: Out of the Water.

 

Dragon Ball Super: Broly

-Now it has doubled Resurrection of F entire run. Held better than Battle of Gods and slightly worse than Resurrection, is following closer the latter comp so should finish with $210M-$215M lc ($10.8M-$11.3M USD).

 

A Dog’s Way Home

-24.8% behind A Dog’s Purpose first weekend. Won’t have problem on going over $70M.

 

Aquaman

-Now it’s the 19^th highest grosser ever above Iron Man 3, should pass $600M lc, only the second Warner’s title to do so along with Batman v Superman.

 

#	MOVIE	WEEKEND	% CHANGE	TOTAL (MXN)	TOTAL (USD)	ADM.	TOTAL ADM.
1	Glass	$79.4		$83.9	$4.38	1.30	1.38
2	Dragon Ball Super: Broly	$29.31	-76,28%	$188.01	$9.83	593.5K	3.7
3	A Dog's Way Home	$28.8		$28.8	$1.50	538.7K	538.7K
4	Second Act	$14.99	-51,33%	$61.83	$3.23	254.7K	1.1
5	Aquaman	$10.4	-50,45%	$596.9	$29.98	208.6K	11.2
6	Creed II	$6.9	-62,29%	$116.1	$5.97	117.9K	2.09
7	Belzebuth	$6.34	-52,33%	$27.5	$1.44	124.7K	583.7K
8	The Upside	$4.2		$4.2	$219K	67.4K	67.4K
9	Spider-Man: Into the Spiderverse	$3.8	-60,41%	$166.1	$8.44	73.6K	3.2
10	Bumblebee	$3.2	-65,21%	$224.5	$11.36	72.6K	4.4

 

This Friday opens: Mirreyes vs Godínez, The Mule, Mermaid: Lake of Dead, Fleuve Noir and At Eternity’s Gate.

[Purple Minion]

15    618,218,437    Ice Age: Continental Drift (2012)
16    612,207,511    Despicable Me 2 (2013)
17    600,377,842    No se Aceptan Devoluciones* (2013)

18    596,900,000    Aquaman (2018)
19    596,730,000    Maleficent (2014)
20    591,366,759    Iron Man 3 (2013)

 

[scabab]

So is this an estimate? Because last week Broly was at $6.5 million but then Box Office Mojo has it at $6.08 million instead.

[Purple Minion]

Interesting analysis by Comscore (in Spanish) about the Mexican industry/market in 2018. Among other data:

 

Quote

 

• Top 5 movies = 25.1% of total gross in 2015, 18.1% in 2016, 20.8% in 2017 and 21.6% in 2018.
• 21 movies > 200M lc in 2018, compared with 24 in 2016.
• Three 2018 movies are now part of the all-time Top 10 in lc:  Avengers Infinity War, Los Increíbles 2 y Jurassic World Fallen Kingdom.
• Querétaro is the fastest growing market in the country.

 

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/méxico-comscores-box-office-performance-analysis-luis-b-vargas-gomez/?published=t

 

Edited January 23, 2019 by Purple Minion

[Purple Minion]

On 1/21/2019 at 4:10 PM, scabab said:

So is this an estimate? Because last week Broly was at $6.5 million but then Box Office Mojo has it at $6.08 million instead.

The figures CANACINE publishes each Monday in local currency are the only actuals; any other are estimates because of exchange rate variations.  You can calculate the USD "actuals" by picking an ER - either opening day or current day.

 

ER when Broly opened: 0.05271

Current ER: 0.05212

[Carlangonz]

Mirreyes vs Godínez about to break a record for a local opener in january. 

 

Glass already passed Split's total. Expect 55%-60% drop.

 

Burn the Stage did pretty huge on a single day release, blockbuster-sized PSA. 

 

HTTYD 3 previews doing great, should fuel buzz for next weekend's opening.

Edited January 27, 2019 by Carlangonz

[Purple Minion]

Glass up to $8.1M, Broly passes $10M.

[scabab]

Screendaily says $10.3 million for Broly.

[Carlangonz]

On 1/22/2019 at 2:26 PM, Purple Minion said:

Interesting analysis by Comscore (in Spanish) about the Mexican industry/market in 2018. Among other data:

 

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/méxico-comscores-box-office-performance-analysis-luis-b-vargas-gomez/?published=t

 

Great analysis! Really hope admissions see a boost this year and beat 2017's numbers despite price increases on tickets.

 

Expecting a big jump next year for states like Coahuila which is getting a huge investment from Cinépolis. Also expecting that Monterrey keeps leading the growth of the three main cities, both Cinépolis and Cinemex have been closing locations there to either build new ones or improve the ones existing. Not surprised about Merida, is been supported by more competition and better products in the city. 

 

Great to see smaller chains like Cinemagic, Henry and Cinetop getting more presence in the country.

 

The all-time Disney record is definitely being broken by Disney itself, actually it can be beaten only with six releases (Endgame, Toy Story 4, Lion King, Dumbo, Captain Marvel and Aladdin) and being the first studio to top $4B. 

[Carlangonz]

2 hours ago, scabab said:

Screendaily says $10.3 million for Broly.

It's $10.3M, the othe figure was just rounded-down. 

 

By the way: Fox has said through their social media channels that this is the last weekend the movie plays in theatres.

[scabab]

That was quick but I suppose it's good enough.

[Purple Minion]

Aquaman is now among the 18 releases to gross over 600M lc:

 

16    612,207,511    Despicable Me 2 (2013)

17    605,600,000    Aquaman (2018)
18    600,377,842    No se Aceptan Devoluciones* (2013)

[Carlangonz]

JANUARY 25-27 WEEKEND. MIRREYES VS GODINEZ SURPASSES EXPECTATIONS AND IS THE SECOND HIGHEST OPENING FOR A LOCAL TITLE. GLASS POISED TO BECOME SHYAMALAN’S BIGGEST HIT.  IN PREVIEWS. TOOTHLESS SOARS IN HOW TO TRAIN YOUR DRAGON'S PREVIEWS.

 

Mirreyes Contra Godínez

- Second highest opening for a local title; sixth highest for a January release. Could top $200M but it’ll be challenged in three weeks by another local comedy.

 

Glass

- This Thursday tops Split’s lifetime gross and by Saturday should outgross Last Airbender as M. Night Shyamalan’s highest grossing film.

 

How To Train Your Dragon 3

- Pretty good number considering they were only single-day previews. Bodes well for a $70M+ opening.

 

#	MOVIE	WEEKEND	% CHANGE	TOTAL (MXN)	TOTAL (USD)	ADM.	TOTAL ADM.
1	Mirreyes Contra Godínez	$65.3		$65.3	$3.44	1.12	1.12
2	Glass	$34.05	-57,11%	$152.5	$7.97	569.7K	2.7
3	How To Train your Dragon 3	$26		$26	$1.37	481.8K	481.8K
4	The Mule	$16.9		$16.9	$892K	252.2K	252.2K
5	A Dog's Way Home	$15.72	-45,41%	$56.8	$2.96	311.7K	1.1
6	BTS. Love Yourself: Tour in Seoul	$11		$11	$580K	110K	110K
7	Mermaid: Lake of Dead	$10.2		$10.2	$538K	202.7K	202.7K
8	Dragon Ball Super: Broly	$8.7	-70,31%	$205.23	$10.73	181.8K	4.1
9	Second Act	$5.11	-65,91%	$73.97	$3.86	83.14K	1.3
10	Aquaman	$4.3	-58,65%	$605.6	$30.43	89.01K	11.4

 

This Friday opens: How To Train Your Dragon 3, The Favourite, Vice, The Hatred, Un Filósofo en la Arena, The Wife (Re-release), Pyewacket and Gauguin.

[scabab]

So Broly did $10.7 million instead of $10.3 million?

[carlsalf38]

What a great number for MvsG. I have heard a lot of opinions. Some people say it's actually funny and some say it's horrible. Haven't been able to see it but I hope I can see it soon. Although of course I prefer to see The Favourite, Vice or How to Train your Dragon 3 first. (How much will this get to? 70-80m in the first three days?)

 

Considering the great start for mexican movies (also Belzebuth did "ok") and the incoming La Boda de Mi Mejor Amigo (by the way, now we can use the word Zorra in the marketing??? Is that ok?) will this year be the biggest in Mexican history? How much do you think LBMMA will do? Thanks to nostalgia and the perfect date will it get to 100M in it's first 4 days?? Or will people will hate it because they will compare it to Julia Roberts??

 

February looks like a cemetary. Other than HTTYD and La Boda nothing will get even close to 70M in total¡ Alita looks... weird and the Lego Movie 2, after the 30M finish of the Lego Ninjago movie, I don't see this one improving too much.

[Carlangonz]

13 hours ago, carlsalf38 said:

(How much will this get to? 70-80m in the first three days?)

$75M+ Previews have done its work building buzz. 

 

13 hours ago, carlsalf38 said:

will this year be the biggest in Mexican history? How much do you think LBMMA will do? Thanks to nostalgia and the perfect date will it get to 100M in it's first 4 days?? Or will people will hate it because they will compare it to Julia Roberts??

Probably it will. I think No Manches Frida 2 is coming and there's also a big title in summer (need to check but is based on a book and has a pretty good ensamble). I hope Las Niñas Bien does well, it had great reception in Morelia Film Fest.

 

As for LBDMMA it's going to be tricky. Marketing is been lazy for it and it'll canibalize screens with Alita and Lego. Anything over $40M for it is good, I'm expecting $35M-$45M by now. It's a female driven film just like last year's Una Mujer sin Filtro and La Boda de Valentina so somewhere in the range of those two. Definitely needs a good opening, local big titles lately aren't as leggy as they used to be and I'm not expecting this one to be the exception.

 

Alita is taking over that male audience that neither Boda or Lego are drawing. 

I do can see Lego making over $100M total, Ninjago was just really bad and affected by the Cinépolis-Universal/Warner fight.

[Purple Minion]

HTTYD2 opened to $6.9M (90M lc) for a $20M+ total. Of course, ER was 40% lower back then. Plus, HTTYD had one of the best legs for an animated movie. Hope HTTYD3 can break 100M lc OW+P even with a Feb release.

[Purple Minion]

Massive $7.7M OW for Dragon 3! Biggest DreamWorks Animation release ever. 

Edited February 3, 2019 by Purple Minion

[tupek]

Yeah, it felt buzz was strong here for Dragon 3.

 

But, did it surpass Shrek 2 or Shrek Forever After' OW?