Carlangonz Posted October 21, 2023 Share Posted October 21, 2023 The Marvels shows are up and tickets go on sale on Thursday. No Wednesday previews but rather midnight shows which is the first time since The Rise of Skywalker. It's tracking... meh. Thinking The Flash/Quantumania scenario but will be a hard track with discrepancies over comps. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flip Posted October 21, 2023 Share Posted October 21, 2023 8 movies so far between 300m-400m LC this year, wonder if FNAF will join that club or make it 2 with Spidey in the 400-500m section 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purple Minion Posted October 22, 2023 Author Share Posted October 22, 2023 I hope so, that section looks so empty compared to previous years. Weekend figures: Flower Moon is not in the Top 5 OS, so OW is below $1.3M. Totals: Exorcist Believer $8.2M, Paw Patrol $6.3M. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purple Minion Posted October 23, 2023 Author Share Posted October 23, 2023 Killers ended up opening at #4, $800K. May have opened below Wolf in lc. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted October 24, 2023 Share Posted October 24, 2023 12 hours ago, Purple Minion said: Killers ended up opening at #4, $800K. May have opened below Wolf in lc. 1. Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour - $43.6M/$138.5M (-53.52%) 2. Radical - $43.2M 3. The Exorcist: Believer - $15.5M/$151,7M (-57.65%) 4. Killers of the Flower Moon - $14.2M 5. The Equilizer 3 - $11.7M/54.7M (-62.5%) 6. Mira - $9.4M 7. Paw Patrol: The Mighty Movie - $8.4M/$113M (-46.15%) 8. Saw X - $4M/$91.2M (-61.9%) 9. The Nun II - $2M/$384.3M (-60%) 10. Guimoon: The Lightless Door - $1.7M Spectacular drop for The Eras Tour considering its nature. It is now the highest grossing concert event ever. It'll keep playing on IMAX until next weekend but maybe exhibitors give it another one on regular screens. Radical above my expectectations and Killers of the Flower Moon on line with them. We'll see how much WOM benefits each one of them but overall a bit of a letdown for both. Equilizer took a big hit as well after the audience clash with Scorsese's film. All horror titles also taking big drops but Nun II keeps pulling through to show up on the Top 10. Is all set and done to welcome Five Nights at Freddy's. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted October 24, 2023 Share Posted October 24, 2023 (edited) On 10/20/2023 at 4:06 PM, Carlangonz said: FIVE NIGHTS AT FREDDY'S (PREVIEWS) - T-5 DAYS Title Sold Total Available Occupancy Growth on sales Increase on seats Five Nights at Freddy's 5611 7135 78.64% +9.08% 0 Comps at the same point before release Title Sold Total Available Occupancy Growth from T-7 Comp in % Comp in lc Fast X (T-5) 5098 17153 29.72% +28.41% 110,06% $40.72M Comps at T-0 Title Sold Total Available Occupancy Comp in % Comp in lc The Flash (T-0) 4812 11053 43.54% 116.6% $18.66M GOTG 3 (T-0) 6643 12606 52.69% 84.46% $20.27M FIVE NIGHTS AT FREDDY'S (PREVIEWS) - T-2 DAYS Title Sold Total Available Occupancy Growth from T-5 Five Nights at Freddy's 6189 7135 86.74% +10.3% Comp at the same point before release. Title Sold Total Available Occupancy Growth from T-5 Comp in % Comp in lc Fast X (T-2) 6500 17153 37.89% +27.5% 95.22% $35.23M Comps at T-0 Title Sold Total Available Occupancy Comp in sales Comp in lc The Flash (T-0) 4812 11053 43.54% 128.62% $20.58 GOTG 3 (T-0) 6643 12606 52.69% 93.17% $22.36 Occupancy over 85% happened before I anticipated. Wondering if 90% be possible, if so that would be insane. Of course growth will now be minimal due to lack of screens and seats. Comps at this point are useless; once they all align will point to o/u $25M previews but its own limitations will bring it down by o/u $10M. Although overperformance on other chains might lift it up a few millions. This is the kind of fan-rush where demand spreads to wherever it can. Out of eight locations: two are over 80% full, one over 85%, three over 90% and one over 95% which is basically only handicap and single seats spread across auditoriums. On 10/20/2023 at 4:06 PM, Carlangonz said: WEDNESDAY PREVIEWS + THURSDAY OPENING Day Number of shows Seats sold Total seats Occupancy Growth from T-8 Wednesday (T-5) 34 5611 7135 78.64% +9,08 Thursday (T-6) 54 3690 11876 31.07% +8,34 Total 88 9301 19011 48.92% +8,78 Comps at the same point before release Day Number of shows Seats sold Total seats Occupancy Growth fom T-8 Comp in % Comp in lc Spiderverse (T-6) 84 8692 19284 45.07% +15% 107.01% $47.08M Barbie (T-6) 106 12557 23117 54.32% +20.09% 74.07% $78.88M WEDNESDAY PREVIEWS + THIRSDAY OPENING Day Number of shows Seats sold Total seats Occupancy Growth from T-5 Wednesday (T-2) 34 6189 7135 86.74% +10.3 Thursday (T-3) 54 4165 11876 35.07% +12.87 Total 88 10354 19011 54.46% +11.32% Comps at the same point before release Day Number of shows Seats sold Total seats Occupancy Growth fom T-6 Comp in % Comp in lc Spiderverse (T-3) 84 9797 19284 50.8% +12,71 105.69% $46.5M Barbie (T-3) 106 15226 23117 65.86% +21,26 68% $72.42M Pace has managed to improve and even though it lags behind Spiderverse is still great considering that one had slowed down at this point. Even if we remove Wed numbers, Thu growth isn't much bigger than combined average because matinees and sub shows still hurting growth so once again... is up to final allocation to see how much accelerates on its final hours. Overall I'm within the same range but higher end on OD leaning more into $40M and lower end on opening weekend at $170M. Biggest opening for a horror title since 2019's It: Chapter II. Edited October 24, 2023 by Carlangonz 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purple Minion Posted October 24, 2023 Author Share Posted October 24, 2023 Loving Freddie's tracking, hope it reaches 200M lc! CANACINE is not reporting The Eras Tour numbers, in their Top 10 Radical is #1 with 636K tickets sold. Audience for Flower Moon was 153.9K. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted October 25, 2023 Share Posted October 25, 2023 Final allocation for Freddy coming in and is huge! Pure Thursday count is 30k seats which is close to Spiderverse's 33k seats and combining it with Wednesday it expands to 37k. Main concern now is hurricane Otis which is hitting on the Pacific coast and shutting down one state. Center of the country including major markets such as Mexico City and Puebla will likely face rainy weather all rest of the week. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted October 26, 2023 Share Posted October 26, 2023 On 10/23/2023 at 7:29 PM, Carlangonz said: FIVE NIGHTS AT FREDDY'S (PREVIEWS) - T-2 DAYS Title Sold Total Available Occupancy Growth from T-5 Five Nights at Freddy's 6189 7135 86.74% +10.3% Comp at the same point before release. Title Sold Total Available Occupancy Growth from T-5 Comp in % Comp in lc Fast X (T-2) 6500 17153 37.89% +27.5% 95.22% $35.23M Comps at T-0 Title Sold Total Available Occupancy Comp in sales Comp in lc The Flash (T-0) 4812 11053 43.54% 128.62% $20.58 GOTG 3 (T-0) 6643 12606 52.69% 93.17% $22.36 FIVE NIGHTS AT FREDDY'S (PREVIEWS) - T-6 HOURS Title Sold Total Available Occupancy Growth from T-2 Increase on seats Five Nights at Freddy's 6939 7411 93.63% +12.12% 276 T-0.5 HOURS Title Sold Total Available Occupancy Growth from T-6 Hrs Five Nights at Freddy's 7123 7411 96.11% +2.65% Overall better pace than what it had showed on previous week despite limitations and with a couple extra shows. Occupancy is nuts! Not even on par with most Marvel titles but Endgame/Infinity War levels right away. I'm not including comps but as suspected Guardians and Fast X point towards $25M and Flash to $23M. Cinemex and indie chains unlike Cinepolis did add extra shows thoughout the night so likely that'll help it to push previews number o/u $18M. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted October 26, 2023 Share Posted October 26, 2023 On 10/23/2023 at 7:29 PM, Carlangonz said: WEDNESDAY PREVIEWS + THIRSDAY OPENING Day Number of shows Seats sold Total seats Occupancy Growth from T-5 Wednesday (T-2) 34 6189 7135 86.74% +10.3 Thursday (T-3) 54 4165 11876 35.07% +12.87 Total 88 10354 19011 54.46% +11.32% Comps at the same point before release Day Number of shows Seats sold Total seats Occupancy Growth fom T-6 Comp in % Comp in lc Spiderverse (T-3) 84 9797 19284 50.8% +12,71 105.69% $46.5M Barbie (T-3) 106 15226 23117 65.86% +21,26 68% $72.42M FIVE NIGHTS AT FREDDY'S - WEDNESDAY PREVIEWS + THURSDAY OPENING Day Number of shows Seats sold Total seats Occupancy Growth from T-2 Wednesday (T-0.5 Hours) 36 7123 7411 96.11% +2.65% Thursday (T-15 Hours) 156 5512 30485 18.08% +32.34% Total 192 12635 37896 33.34% +22.03% Comps at the same point before release Day Number of shows Seats sold Total seats Occupancy Growth fom T-3 Comp in % Comp in lc Spiderverse (T-16 hours) 175 13954 33397 41.78% +42,43% 90.55% $39.84M Barbie (T-16 hours) 258 23370 45283 51.61% +53,49% 54.07% $57.58M Fast X (T-15 Hours) 359 13778 63874 21.57% na 91.7% $68.04M Bad news coming from this side. Absolutely meh final hours despite getting final allocation before comps and pace took it now under Spiderverse. Hopefully walk-ins get stronger but because school is hard to tell. Rainy days will factor in as well if instead we get storms but I'd rather go conservative to $160M-$170M. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted October 26, 2023 Share Posted October 26, 2023 (edited) THE MARVELS (OPENING DAY) - FIRST 12 HOURS (T-14 DAYS) 49 sold out of 12,962 available The Flash - 634/10,065 Across the Spiderverse - 2,203/17,820 Insidious: The Red Door (!) - 58/2,036 Well at least we know there's no fan rush. This may be one for the ages. Edited October 26, 2023 by Carlangonz 2 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustLurking Posted October 27, 2023 Share Posted October 27, 2023 16 hours ago, Carlangonz said: THE MARVELS (OPENING DAY) - FIRST 12 HOURS (T-14 DAYS) 49 sold out of 12,962 available The Flash - 634/10,065 Across the Spiderverse - 2,203/17,820 Insidious: The Red Door (!) - 58/2,036 Well at least we know there's no fan rush. This may be one for the ages. its 12h is lower than insidious...? lol... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted October 27, 2023 Share Posted October 27, 2023 22 hours ago, Carlangonz said: THE MARVELS (OPENING DAY) - FIRST 12 HOURS (T-14 DAYS) 49 sold out of 12,962 available The Flash - 634/10,065 Across the Spiderverse - 2,203/17,820 Insidious: The Red Door (!) - 58/2,036 30 hours update 125 sold / 13,979 available Across the Spiderverse (36 hours) - 4,876/19,284 Barbie (30 hours) - 2,627/22,440 The Little Mermaid (30 hours) - 449/11,662 If sub-$100M happens that would be a first for MCU since 2016's Dr Strange. Of course this excludes Shang-Chi which was released amidst pandemic but still below Eternals. 2 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purple Minion Posted October 27, 2023 Author Share Posted October 27, 2023 Update on Radical, per Deadline: The drama had fantastic holds this week, dropping less than 20% each day until Five Nights at Freddy’s officially entered play. The cume on Radical through Thursday is $3.6M. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted October 28, 2023 Share Posted October 28, 2023 11 hours ago, Carlangonz said: 30 hours update 125 sold / 13,979 available Across the Spiderverse (36 hours) - 4,876/19,284 Barbie (30 hours) - 2,627/22,440 The Little Mermaid (30 hours) - 449/11,662 If sub-$100M happens that would be a first for MCU since 2016's Dr Strange. Of course this excludes Shang-Chi which was released amidst pandemic but still below Eternals. its astonishing that entire world have suddenly decided to give up on MCU or may be specifically this movie. Thes are absolutely shocking numbers. Brazil is also showing something similar. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purple Minion Posted October 28, 2023 Author Share Posted October 28, 2023 $2.1M Friday for Freddy, biggest OD for a horror movie this year and 2nd best opening day for Blumhouse just 4% below Halloween. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zakiyyah6 Posted October 28, 2023 Share Posted October 28, 2023 12 hours ago, keysersoze123 said: its astonishing that entire world have suddenly decided to give up on MCU or may be specifically this movie. Thes are absolutely shocking numbers. Brazil is also showing something similar. It is too early to say that the world has given up on the MCU entirely. The quality for recent MCU movies has been more inconsistent. That was always going to hurt in the long run. Spider-Man No Way Home, Wakanda Forever and GOTG 3 can't hold the entire universe on its back. It doesn't help that Captain Marvel over performed because Marvel lied about how important it was in marketing. People liked the film at the time but it was always due for a big drop, even in the best of times. This is the worst of times so The Marvels is going to do even worse. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purple Minion Posted October 29, 2023 Author Share Posted October 29, 2023 Boom. $10.8M OW for Freddy's, massive Sat/Sun, #1 OS market by a large margin. That's about 195M lc. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purple Minion Posted October 29, 2023 Author Share Posted October 29, 2023 (edited) 20% of Freddy's OS OW grossed here. Booyah. Latest Trolls opened to $1.5M. Exorcist Believer total is $8.9M, still #1 market OS. Edited October 29, 2023 by Purple Minion Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophia Jane Posted October 30, 2023 Share Posted October 30, 2023 (edited) Mexico is Marvel Nation Is the country which love Marvel more than almost everywhere,on par with Phillippines,Singapore etc. A shit quality Marvel movie will enter top 5 of year in Mexico,Mexico spoil Marvel like Marvel is the nation’s own childern. If a Marvel movie performance suck in Mexico,we can certainly said it will performence suck in every markets. Edited October 30, 2023 by Sophia Jane Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...