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hasanahmad

Monday est Box Office: Snow White 5.4, MIB3 2.7, Avengers 2

By hasanahmad, in Numbers and Data

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kesleyk Straight-to-DVD

kesleyk

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I'm just saying kesleyk, that you don't have to be a "seasoned" box office follower to know that a film will increase tomorrow. Everything should increase tomorrow with the possible exception of SW, because it is its first Tuesday.

Outstanding. You may be right, and there is a greater probability that you are correct as compared with my guess. I only take exception to your contention that it is somehow mathematically provable, or even 100% guaranteed. I have nothing tied to this, and it doesn't particularly hurt when my guesses are wrong and yours are right. I still enjoy seeing how close my model works regardless. Cheers.
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ecstasy Global Phenomenon

ecstasy

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Outstanding. You may be right, and there is a greater probability that you are correct as compared with my guess. I only take exception to your contention that it is somehow mathematically provable, or even 100% guaranteed. I have nothing tied to this, and it doesn't particularly hurt when my guesses are wrong and yours are right. I still enjoy seeing how close my model works regardless. Cheers.

So are you just tracking TA or other movies as well?What did you have for TA last week?
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kesleyk Straight-to-DVD

kesleyk

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So are you just tracking TA or other movies as well?What did you have for TA last week?

Just TA. I will probably follow DKR even though I'm starting to worry about bane.Last week I had:T-2.6W-2.1H-2.4W/E-20 (total 27.1 vs. actual 29.0, about 6.7% low)
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ecstasy Global Phenomenon

ecstasy

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Just TA. I will probably follow DKR even though I'm starting to worry about bane.Last week I had:T-2.6W-2.1H-2.4W/E-20 (total 27.1 vs. actual 29.0, about 6.7% low)

Ah I see. Don't worry about TDKR. It's gonna be fine box office wise. Challenge TA for OW record.
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ecstasy Global Phenomenon

ecstasy

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# Title Mon, Jun. 4 2012 Locations Avg. Total Wks. Dist.1 Snow White and the Huntsman $5,376,525 -63% 3,773 -- $1,425 $61,594,225 1 Universal2 Men in Black 3 $2,727,859 -65% 4,248 0 $642 $113,806,622 2 Sony / Columbia3 Marvel's The Avengers $2,042,375 -65% 3,670 -248 $557 $554,992,773 5 Disney4 The Dictator $561,166 -58% 2,649 -365 $212 $51,373,530 3 Paramount5 The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel $545,660 -56% 1,294 61 $422 $25,925,348 5 Fox Searchlight6 What to Expect When You're Expecting $524,071 -53% 2,907 -114 $180 $31,226,171 3 Lionsgate7 Battleship $518,760 -64% 3,144 -558 $165 $55,923,905 3 Universal8 Chernobyl Diaries $418,477 -50% 2,433 0 $172 $14,916,698 2 Warner Bros.9 Dark Shadows $408,058 -58% 3,002 -402 $136 $71,085,104 4 Warner Bros.10 The Hunger Games $208,749 -52% 1,099 -322 $190 $398,549,683 11 LionsgateLimited (100 — 999) # Title Mon, Jun. 4 2012 Locations Avg. Total Wks. Dist.1 Think Like a Man $67,244 -60% 509 -277 $132 $89,780,492 7 Sony / Screen Gems2 The Pirates! Band of Misfits $63,425 -67% 585 -299 $108 $28,623,829 6 Sony / Columbia3 Crooked Arrows $57,355 -60% 327 260 $175 $1,212,690 3 Branded/Peck Films4 Mirror Mirror $47,860 -52% 357 -65 $134 $62,959,668 10 Relativity Media5 Dr. Seuss' The Lorax $47,250 -51% 315 -75 $150 $211,533,110 14 Universal6 The Lucky One (2012) $36,393 -53% 404 -211 $90 $59,005,504 7 Warner Bros.7 The Three Stooges $28,706 -62% 285 -40 $101 $42,775,518 8 Fox8 Wrath of the Titans $20,898 -55% 205 -50 $102 $83,242,666 10 Warner Bros.9 The Five-Year Engagement $19,620 -58% 218 -56 $90 $28,304,220 6 Universal10 Journey 2: The Mysterious Island $19,211 -50% 155 -20 $124 $103,365,419 17 Warner Bros. / New Line11 The Cabin in the Woods $16,152 -50% 136 -67 $119 $41,180,492 8 Lionsgate12 Safe (2012) $13,868 -57% 175 63 $79 $16,954,660 6 Lionsgate13 High School $13,088 -48% 200 -- $65 $95,920 1 Anchor Bay Films

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JackO Blockbuster

JackO

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I'm just saying kesleyk, that you don't have to be a "seasoned" box office follower to know that a film will increase tomorrow. Everything should increase tomorrow with the possible exception of SW, because it is its first Tuesday.

It will increase but not as much as i would like.
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ecstasy Global Phenomenon

ecstasy

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Sony’s ‘MIB 3′ Passes $400 Million Worldwide

By MIKE FLEMING | Tuesday June 5, 2012 @ 4:03pm EDT

Tags: $400 Million Worldwide Revenue, MIB3, Sony Pictures

Comments (0) Sony Pictures has announced that after hitting $398.8 million last night, MIB 3 was poised to move beyond $400 million in worldwide revenue today. That will surely put the film on course to eclipse the $441 million worldwide that Men In Black II turned in back in 2002. http://www.deadline.com/2012/06/sonys-mib-3-passes-400-million-worldwide/

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Rthmessiah Blockbuster

Rthmessiah

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Mathematical certainty? Not. I don't put much stock in how predecessors tracked, but even looking at IM shows that every tuesday dropped from monday between opening w/e and july 15th except 6/3 (+8.6) and 7/8 (+0.6). 9 of 11 were drops, including 5 of 7 in june and july. You may be right, and it may be more likely, but this is not a mathematically provable concept.

It's 100% guaranteed to increase today. I'd bet my life savings, my house,my stock options at work and my RRSP's. IM came out 4 years ago before discount Tuesdays took off.

Don't disagree with you about increase Tuesday, but on your comment about discount tuesdays your refering to Canada right its had discount Tuesdays since the early 80's and even though few years back some cinemas in major cities stopped and restarted, discount Tuesdays have always had increase in Canada BO and market share regardless of if the NA total for the day went up or down from Monday.couple quick ExamplesTA week1 tuesdayUSA -11% from MonCan +58% from Monday and mkt share increased by 6%NA -7%Iron Manweek 1 tuesdayUSA -10%Can +22% +5% mkt shareNA -6%Week5USA +4%Can +70% +4% mkt shareNA +9%Spider-manweek1 TuesUSA -22%Can +70% mkt share doublesNA -10%week5USA -1%Can +108% mkt share doublesNA +10%
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