TalismanRing Posted July 21, 2023 Share Posted July 21, 2023 % Change from FRI to FRI 3PM MI7: -37.77% Elemental +9.4% July 21 2023 - FRIDAY 3PM Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross (Total) Admissions (Total) Number of Screens Revenue Share 1 Mission: Impossible Jul 12, 2023 $734,714 ($18,339,171) 95,434 (2,326,451) 1,650 33.12% 2 Detective Conan Jul 20, 2023 $419,771 ($1,284,755) 61,522 (184,111) 992 18.92% 3 Elemental Jun 14, 2023 $435,769 ($35,469,205) 60,921 (4,616,395) 1,000 19.64% 4 Barbie Jul 19, 2023 $225,970 ($942,668) 33,725 (136,991) 720 10.18% 5 Insidious: The Red Door Jul 19, 2023 $163,248 ($895,385) 22,504 (120,533) 726 7.35% 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted July 21, 2023 Share Posted July 21, 2023 Well I do think we will see the damage this weekend, the jumps for Elemental are a lot weaker than last week. Looking at presalles we can expect the same on saturday. With a 140% jump vs 200% we would still have a 20-25% ish lower saturday even if friday starts flat or a bit up on last week. The big factor also is the CGV ratio is almost 50% vs it being 41-43% in previous weeks. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son Posted July 21, 2023 Share Posted July 21, 2023 Yeah I'm guessing we'll see a slight increase on Friday then a fairly significant drop on Sat/Sun. More important is how big the Mon -> Mon jump will be with schools off, and Smugglers PS growth rate. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted July 21, 2023 Share Posted July 21, 2023 July 21 2023 - FRIDAY 5PM Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross (Total) Admissions (Total) Number of Screens Revenue Share 1 Mission: Impossible Jul 12, 2023 $834,784 ($18,436,500) 108,285 (2,339,302) 1,665 33.43% 2 Elemental Jun 14, 2023 $500,897 ($35,528,878) 68,951 (4,624,425) 1,009 20.06% 3 Detective Conan Jul 20, 2023 $460,770 ($1,325,619) 66,925 (189,514) 995 18.45% 4 Barbie Jul 19, 2023 $252,283 ($968,870) 37,250 (140,516) 730 10.1% 5 Insidious: The Red Door Jul 19, 2023 $191,449 ($923,472) 26,108 (124,137) 735 7.66% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted July 21, 2023 Share Posted July 21, 2023 July 21 2023 - FRIDAY 7PM Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross (Total) Admissions (Total) Number of Screens Revenue Share 1 Mission: Impossible Jul 12, 2023 $926,775 ($18,521,631) 120,323 (2,351,338) 1,674 33.77% 2 Elemental Jun 14, 2023 $556,460 ($35,570,799) 75,737 (4,631,209) 1,012 20.28% 3 Detective Conan Jul 20, 2023 $494,947 ($1,359,452) 71,439 (194,026) 999 18.03% 4 Barbie Jul 19, 2023 $276,605 ($992,913) 40,433 (143,699) 739 10.08% 5 Insidious: The Red Door Jul 19, 2023 $220,974 ($952,712) 29,878 (127,907) 741 8.05% 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted July 21, 2023 Share Posted July 21, 2023 July 21 2023 - FRIDAY 9PM Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross (Total) Admissions (Total) Number of Screens Revenue Share 1 Mission: Impossible Jul 12, 2023 $1,029,515 ($18,610,685) 133,483 (2,364,498) 1,680 34.36% 2 Elemental Jun 14, 2023 $612,441 ($35,599,553) 82,388 (4,637,860) 1,017 20.44% 3 Detective Conan Jul 20, 2023 $522,616 ($1,386,449) 75,118 (197,705) 1,003 17.44% 4 Barbie Jul 19, 2023 $298,587 ($1,014,338) 43,270 (146,536) 744 9.96% 5 Insidious: The Red Door Jul 19, 2023 $255,784 ($986,936) 34,195 (132,222) 751 8.53% 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son Posted July 21, 2023 Share Posted July 21, 2023 (edited) Barbie's numbers are looking pretty similar to ATSV after the first few days ATSV %YD Barbie %YD 70799 66426 40775 -42% 36840 -45% 49864 +22% 45000* +22% 102322 +105% 88653 -13% 26426 -70% 27339 +3% FINAL 920,000* FSS OW using ATSVs holds would be ~212k but it's dropping a little worse so maybe 200k. I can't see it getting ATSVs 3.8x multiplier given the worse WOM and upcoming competition, maybe 3x at best for 600k admissions final? That would be $4.2m at the current ATP. Edited July 21, 2023 by IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mr1006 Posted July 21, 2023 Share Posted July 21, 2023 So I just watched Smugglers via a preview event - I think it's going to do the best of the 4 big Korean blockbusters of the summer because it's a feel-good movie with the cathartic ending. I also think it might appeal to females because IMO it's the first female-led Korean blockbuster. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted July 21, 2023 Share Posted July 21, 2023 July 21 2023 - FRIDAY 11PM Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross (Total) Admissions (Total) Number of Screens Revenue Share 1 Mission: Impossible Jul 12, 2023 $1,085,310 ($18,652,819) 140,139 (2,371,154) 1,688 34.4% 2 Elemental Jun 14, 2023 $644,746 ($35,604,673) 86,138 (4,641,610) 1,020 20.43% 3 Detective Conan Jul 20, 2023 $538,674 ($1,401,835) 77,120 (199,707) 1,005 17.07% 4 Barbie Jul 19, 2023 $310,789 ($1,025,983) 44,725 (147,991) 745 9.85% 5 Insidious: The Red Door Jul 19, 2023 $290,656 ($1,021,240) 38,328 (136,355) 756 9.21 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son Posted July 21, 2023 Share Posted July 21, 2023 23 hours ago, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said: Total Presales for the upcoming days as of Thursday 00:00 Elemental - 87,659 (-17.6% LW) MI7 - 165,821 (-49.0% LW) Barbie - 50,351 Detective Conan - 78,997 Insidious - 29,456 Smugglers (T-5) - 82,194 Ransomed (T-12) - 18,524 Kinda meh all around, I think Elemental will drop this weekend as next weeks weekdays will take priority for some viewers as schools are off. Smugglers is now running at just 62.7% of MI7's T-5 which could be a good sign for Elemental and MI7's longevity next weekend. Total Presales for the upcoming days as of Friday 00:00 Elemental - 107,569 (-30% LW) MI7 - 186,860 (-51% LW) Barbie - 46,732 Detective Conan - 65,627 Smugglers (T-4) - 87,259 Ransomed (T-11) - 30,521 The Moon (T-11) - 39,353 Big presale drops for Elemental and MI7 but the walkups should be relatively better. Elemental probably drops mid-20s this weekend, MI7 probably high 30s. Smugglers ain't moving much, I know it's had sneaks but its overall pace seems more in line with GOTG3 and BPWF than a megahit. Ransomed and The Moon might be bigger. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son Posted July 21, 2023 Share Posted July 21, 2023 23 hours ago, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said: Showings for Thursday July 20 Comparing with yesterday Detective Conan: 2,683 showings, 117,904 admissions, 43.9 PSA MI7: 5,887 showings (-11%), 102,913 admissions (-9%), 17.5 PSA (+2%) Elemental: 3,020 showings (-16%), 67,301 admissions (-14%), 22.3 PSA (+4%) Barbie: 2,326 showings (-23%), 36,814 admissions (-45%), 15.8 PSA (-29%) Insidious: 1,643 showings (-18%), 36,414 admissions (-40%), 22.2 PSA (-28%) As I expected, Conan does deal some damage to Elemental, and the combined effect of MI7 + Conan + Barbie + Insidious manages to take away more showings from it than MI7 alone in its debut last week (Elemental had 3,157 showings last Thursday). Barbie's performance has been poor though and Insidious is dropping fast so I expect it to win some screens back from both over the weekend and theatres are gonna give Conan a fair shot after what was a great opening day even if the walkups were low. Showings for Friday July 21 Comparing with yesterday MI7: 6,130 showings (+4%), 141,040 admissions (+37%), 23.0 PSA (+31%) Elemental: 3,327 showings (+10%), 86,899 admissions (+29%), 26.1 PSA (+17%) Detective Conan: 2,706 showings (+1%), 77,590 admissions (-34%), 28.7 PSA (-35%) Barbie: 2,339 showings (n/c), 45,024 admissions (+22%), 19.2 PSA (+22%) Insidious: 1,716 showings (+4%), 39,715 admissions (+9%), 23.1 PSA (+4%) 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son Posted July 21, 2023 Share Posted July 21, 2023 (edited) On 7/20/2023 at 4:26 PM, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said: CGV starts - Friday 00:20 Elemental - 17,000 (+42% LW, +55% YD) MI7 - 27,000 (-23% LW, +69% YD) Detective Conan - 26,000 (-41% YD) Barbie - 13,000 Insidious - 8,246 (+8% YD) Admission starts - Friday 01:00 Elemental - 33,162 (+14% LW, +47% YD, 922 screens) MI7 - 53,168 (-35% LW, +56% YD, 1,564 screens) Detective Conan - 42,985 (-48% YD, 951 screens) Barbie - 23,403 (+28% YD, 676 screens) Insidious - 14,475 (+13% YD, 661 screens) Really high CGV ratio today CGV starts - Saturday 00:20 Elemental - 35,000 (-24% LW, +106% YD) MI7 - 56,000 (-46% LW, +107% YD) Detective Conan - 23,000 (-12% YD) Barbie - 13,000 (n/c YD) Admission starts - Saturday 01:00 Elemental - 75,655 (-30% LW, +128% YD, 1,092 screens) MI7 - 121,364 (-49% LW, +128% YD, 1,520 screens Detective Conan - 42,214 (-2% YD, 908 screens) Barbie - 29,617 (+27% YD, 696 screens) Elemental wins back more screens but it still trails last week's count by 10%. obviously presales are significantly down but it should be able to perform at around 90% of last Saturday in walkups and get to around 200-220k if I were to guess for a low 20s drop. Edited July 21, 2023 by IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GOGODanca Posted July 21, 2023 Share Posted July 21, 2023 6 minutes ago, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said: CGV starts - Saturday 00:20 Elemental - 35,000 (-24% LW, +106% YD) MI7 - 56,000 (-46% LW, +107% YD) Detective Conan - 23,000 (-12% YD) Barbie - 13,000 (n/c YD) Admission starts - Saturday 01:00 Elemental - MI7 - Detective Conan - Barbie - conan and barbie cgv, holy shit Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted July 22, 2023 Share Posted July 22, 2023 July 21 2023 - SATURDAY 11AM Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross (Total) Admissions (Total) Number of Screens Revenue Share 1 Mission: Impossible Jul 12, 2023 $1,228,255 ($19,862,635) 151,697 (2,524,075) 1,541 39.63% 2 Elemental Jun 14, 2023 $730,917 ($36,289,097) 98,396 (4,740,928) 1,124 23.58% 3 Detective Conan Jul 20, 2023 $384,934 ($1,789,298) 51,043 (251,273) 920 12.42% 4 Barbie Jul 19, 2023 $263,336 ($1,290,910) 33,762 (182,114) 714 8.49% 5 Insidious: The Red Door Jul 19, 2023 $162,004 ($1,197,263) 20,405 (158,456) 675 5.22% 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted July 22, 2023 Share Posted July 22, 2023 (edited) % Change from SAT to SAT 1PM MI7: -45.11% Elemental -26.6% July 21 2023 - SATURDAY 1PM Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross (Total) Admissions (Total) Number of Screens Revenue Share 1 Mission: Impossible Jul 12, 2023 $1,456,309 ($20,090,612) 180,611 (2,552,981) 1,557 39.97% 2 Elemental Jun 14, 2023 $894,445 ($36,452,625) 119,415 (4,761,947) 1,137 24.55% 3 Detective Conan Jul 20, 2023 $438,942 ($1,843,306) 57,979 (258,209) 922 12.04% 4 Barbie Jul 19, 2023 $296,573 ($1,324,147) 37,942 (186,294) 723 8.14% 5 Insidious: The Red Door Jul 19, 2023 $186,716 ($1,221,976) 23,495 (161,546) 684 5.12% Edited July 22, 2023 by TalismanRing 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted July 22, 2023 Share Posted July 22, 2023 % Change from SAT to SAT 3PM MI7: -44.78% Elemental -26.87% July 21 2023 - SATURDAY 3PM Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross (Total) Admissions (Total) Number of Screens Revenue Share 1 Mission: Impossible Jul 12, 2023 $1,715,676 ($20,349,978) 213,237 (2,585,607) 1,570 40.02% 2 Elemental Jun 14, 2023 $1,082,971 ($36,641,151) 143,146 (4,785,678) 1,143 25.26% 3 Detective Conan Jul 20, 2023 $507,941 ($1,912,305) 66,741 (266,971) 932 11.85% 4 Barbie Jul 19, 2023 $340,129 ($1,367,703) 43,357 (191,709) 734 7.93% 5 Insidious: The Red Door Jul 19, 2023 $225,920 ($1,261,179) 28,340 (166,391) 693 5.27% 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son Posted July 22, 2023 Share Posted July 22, 2023 (edited) 19 hours ago, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said: Barbie's numbers are looking pretty similar to ATSV after the first few days ATSV %YD Barbie %YD 70799 66426 40775 -42% 36840 -45% 49864 +22% 45000* +22% 102322 +105% 88653 -13% 26426 -70% 27339 +3% FINAL 920,000* FSS OW using ATSVs holds would be ~212k but it's dropping a little worse so maybe 200k. I can't see it getting ATSVs 3.8x multiplier given the worse WOM and upcoming competition, maybe 3x at best for 600k admissions final? That would be $4.2m at the current ATP. Okay the ATSV comp is completely dead already. Looks like Barbie is only gonna increase ~30% Fri -> Sat which is catastrophic. 60k Sat incoming then maybe 50k Sun for a 155k admission OW. 400k admissions final but even that is optimistic if it drops screens fast. Edited July 22, 2023 by IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted July 22, 2023 Share Posted July 22, 2023 % Change from SAT to SAT 5PM MI7: -43.97% Elemental -25.83% July 21 2023 - SATURDAY 5PM Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross (Total) Admissions (Total) Number of Screens Revenue Share 1 Mission: Impossible Jul 12, 2023 $1,960,260 ($20,594,562) 243,405 (2,615,775) 1,587 39.95% 2 Elemental Jun 14, 2023 $1,256,198 ($36,814,378) 164,463 (4,806,995) 1,148 25.6% 3 Detective Conan Jul 20, 2023 $569,000 ($1,973,364) 74,308 (274,538) 940 11.59% 4 Barbie Jul 19, 2023 $385,267 ($1,412,841) 48,829 (197,181) 740 7.85% 5 Insidious: The Red Door Jul 19, 2023 $284,929 ($1,320,188) 35,475 (173,526) 707 5.8% 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannastop Posted July 22, 2023 Share Posted July 22, 2023 4 minutes ago, TalismanRing said: (4,806,995) Just 52,000 more until Elemental reaches the top 50 Foreign movies in Korea! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted July 22, 2023 Share Posted July 22, 2023 July 21 2023 - SATURDAY 7PM Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross (Total) Admissions (Total) Number of Screens Revenue Share 1 Mission: Impossible Jul 12, 2023 $2,150,584 ($20,784,887) 267,009 (2,639,379) 1,597 40% 2 Elemental Jun 14, 2023 $1,373,311 ($36,931,491) 178,777 (4,821,309) 1,152 25.54% 3 Detective Conan Jul 20, 2023 $614,156 ($2,018,521) 79,818 (280,048) 944 11.42% 4 Barbie Jul 19, 2023 $422,039 ($1,449,613) 53,189 (201,541) 744 7.85% 5 Insidious: The Red Door Jul 19, 2023 $341,701 ($1,376,960) 42,250 (180,301) 722 6.35% 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...