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July 15, 2023: Saturday 9PM
 
 
Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross
(Total)
Admissions
(Total)
Number of Screens Revenue Share
1  

Mission: Impossible

Jul 12, 2023 $4,103,217
($10,408,833)
508,838
(1,299,497)
2,303 60.05%
2  

Elemental

 

Jun 14, 2023 $2,003,458
($31,236,631)
256,787
(4,018,722)
1,263 29.32%
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July 15, 2023: Saturday 11PM
 
 
Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross
(Total)
Admissions
(Total)
Number of Screens Revenue Share
1  

Mission: Impossible

Jul 12, 2023 $4,250,683
($10,556,299)
525,912
(1,316,571)
2,310 60.12%
2  

Elemental

 

Jun 14, 2023 $2,068,210
($31,301,382)
264,160
(4,026,095)
1,266 29.25%
 
Edited by TalismanRing
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On 7/14/2023 at 4:05 PM, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said:

Sat 00:00 Total Presales

 

Elemental - 152,838 (-14.4% LW)

MI7 - 378,670

Barbie (T-4) - 15,761

Detective Conan (T-5) - 31,584

Smugglers (T-11) - 32,787

Ransomed (T-18) - 11,740

 

Great hold for Elemental, in terms of absolute numbers the saturday drop will be decided more by walkups though. Again idk if that's a good number for MI7. Barbie finally added more than 3k presales in a single day but it's far too little and far too late. Smugglers will be massive.

Total Presales for the upcoming days as of Sunday 00:00

 

Elemental - 115,713 (-13.3% LW)

MI7 - 257,582

Barbie (T-3) - 19,747

Detective Conan (T-4) - 39,567

Smugglers (T-10) - 37,589

Ransomed (T-17) - 12,000

 

Pretty much the same trajectories as yesterday

Edited by IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son
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On 7/14/2023 at 4:31 PM, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said:

July 14, 2023 - FRIDAY FINAL

 

MI7 - 231,260 (+42% YD)

Elemental - 89,365 (+62% YD, -38% LW)

 

Showings

 

MI7 - 9,513 (+2% YD)

Elemental - 3,555 (+13% YD, -29% LW)

July 15, 2023 - SATURDAY FINAL*

*Will go up by a few hundred in the next few hours

 

MI7 - 528,835 (+129% YD)

Elemental - 265,723 (+197% YD, -21% LW)

 

Showings

 

MI7 - 9,450 (-1% YD)

Elemental - 4,750 (+34% YD, -23% LW)

 

Elemental continues to gain back screens, however the PSA was pretty much identical at 55.9 each so we'll see if there's a drastic change tomorrow.

Edited by IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son
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4 minutes ago, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said:

Sun 00:00 Total Presales

 

Elemental - 115,713 (-13.3% LW)

MI7 - 257,582

Barbie (T-3) - 19,747

Detective Conan (T-4) - 39,567

Smugglers (T-10) - 37,589

Ransomed (T-17) - 12,000

 

Pretty much the same trajectories as yesterday

So Elemental's pre-sales for Sunday are down by 24% from Saturday pre-sales whereas for MI7, they are down by 32%. Not bad

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1 minute ago, upriser7 said:

So Elemental's pre-sales for Sunday are down by 24% from Saturday pre-sales whereas for MI7, they are down by 32%. Not bad

Notably these are sales for “Sunday and beyond” not just for Sunday. We will get CGV for that in ~15 mins and nationwide in ~50

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9 minutes ago, LegionGPT said:

Notably these are sales for “Sunday and beyond” not just for Sunday. We will get CGV for that in ~15 mins and nationwide in ~50

Yes I should have made that more clear. Of course being a sunday most of the presales will be for Sunday anyway so I think the CGV/nationwide drop will be similar

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On 7/14/2023 at 4:25 PM, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said:

CGV starts - Saturday

 

Elemental - 46k (-13% LW, +283% YD)

MI7 - 103k (+194% YD)

 

Admissions starts - Saturday

 

Elemental - 108,646 (-15% LW, +274% YD, 1,221 screens)

MI7 - 236,967 (+192% YD, 2,242 screens)

 

Elemental is definitely gaining screens off of MI7 now, it's unusual to see a new movie lose screens Fri -> Sat.

CGV starts - Sunday 00:20

 

Elemental - 44k (-14% LW, -4.3% YD)

MI7 - 89k (-14% YD)

 

Admissions starts - Sunday 01:00

 

Elemental - 105,977 (-15.0% LW, -2.5% YD, 1,213 screens)

MI7 - 204,929 (-13.5% YD, 2,182 screens)

Edited by IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son
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July 16, 2023: Sunday 9AM
 
Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross
(Total)
Admissions
(Total)
Number of Screens Revenue Share
1  

Mission: Impossible

Jul 12, 2023 $1,754,356
($12,338,958)
219,010
(1,538,592)
2,195 59.11%
2  

Elemental

 

Jun 14, 2023 $866,236
($32,182,458)
115,272
(4,142,934)
1,224 29.18%
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July 16, 2023: Sunday 11AM
 
Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross
(Total)
Admissions
(Total)
Number of Screens Revenue Share
1  

Mission: Impossible

Jul 12, 2023 $1,984,996
($12,569,599)
249,493
(1,569,075)
2,207 58.53%
2  

Elemental

 

Jun 14, 2023 $1,014,534
($32,330,755)
135,158
(4,162,820)
1,231 29.91%

 

 

% from Saturday

 

MI7:   -11.8%

Elemental:  - .04%

Edited by TalismanRing
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3 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:
July 16, 2023: Sunday 11AM
 
Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross
(Total)
Admissions
(Total)
Number of Screens Revenue Share
1  

Mission: Impossible

Jul 12, 2023 $1,984,996
($12,569,599)
249,493
(1,569,075)
2,207 58.53%
2  

Elemental

 

Jun 14, 2023 $1,014,534
($32,330,755)
135,158
(4,162,820)
1,231 29.91%

Good sign that Elemental's 11AM number is exactly same as Saturday...I think last week Sunday number at 11AM was 2.5% lower than Saturday 11AM number and Sunday ended at 4% lower than Saturday

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July 16, 2023: Sunday 3PM
 
Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross
(Total)
Admissions
(Total)
Number of Screens Revenue Share
1  

Mission: Impossible

Jul 12, 2023 $2,791,625
($13,376,169)
350,075
(1,669,651)
2,232 57.51%
2  

Elemental

 

Jun 14, 2023 $1,527,026
($32,843,247)
199,543
(4,227,205)
1,244 31.46%

 

Elemental has passed GOTG3 as #4 in yearly B.O. Should pass #3 First Slam Dunk next weekend

 

Saturday 3PM Numbers %

MI7:  -9.35%   (386,176)
Elemental:  +1.94%  (195,742)

 

Elemental - 17.98% last Sunday

Edited by TalismanRing
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49 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:
July 16, 2023: Sunday 3PM
 
Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross
(Total)
Admissions
(Total)
Number of Screens Revenue Share
1  

Mission: Impossible

Jul 12, 2023 $2,791,625
($13,376,169)
350,075
(1,669,651)
2,232 57.51%
2  

Elemental

 

Jun 14, 2023 $1,527,026
($32,843,247)
199,543
(4,227,205)
1,244 31.46%

 

Elemental has passed GOTG3 as #4 in yearly B.O. Should pass #3 First Slam Dunk next weekend

 

Saturday 3PM Numbers %

MI7:  -9.35%   (386,176)
Elemental:  +1.94%  (195,742)

 

Elemental - 17.98% last Sunday

Phenomenal hold for Elemental over the weekend!!! 6.5 to 7M admissions are likely end result.

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20 hours ago, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said:

Fallout opened way higher (2.3m 3-day, 3.3m 5-day) but only had a 2.86 multiplier off the 3-day to finish at 6.58m admissions. This is obviously starting lower so will need much better legs to surpass Fallout. TGM is the second comp and is probably a better one since it also opened on a Wednesday before holidays started. The numbers are quite similar so far:

 

Day TGM Dead Reckoning 1
EA 64,704 166,787
Wed 188,312 229,759
Thu 146,105 162,721
Fri 216,163 231,398
Sat 472,306 518,000*
Sun 438,673  
3-day 1,127,142  
OW 1,526,263  
Final 8,177,446  
Multiplier (FSS) 7.26  

 

If DR1 can finish at 518k that would be the exact same Thu -> Fri jump TGM had. It's not quite holding as good as TGM overall though since its Wed -> Sat multiplier is 2.25x versus 2.51x for TGM, but it's definitely gonna be leggier than Fallout. The problem is the competition. Elemental slowly chipping away at its screen count + Conan next week + Smugglers after that and Ransomed after that is a MUCH tougher first four weeks than what TGM had to deal with (500k local opener week 2, Love & Thunder opening to 1.75m week 3 but being very frontloaded, nothing in week 4). By the end of week 4 TGM had 5.73m admissions, I think DR1 would be very lucky to have 5m by the same point, but even 4m would be a good achievement.

 

IMO 5-6m admissions as the ceiling seems right but maybe other people have more insights to share that might work in its favour.

 

 

5 hours ago, GOGODanca said:

what kind of sunday drop would indicate very good legs in s.korea for mi7? how much did tgm drop?

TGM dropped 7.1% Sat -> Sun (see above), looks like today will be about the same maybe a touch worse.

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24 minutes ago, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said:

 

TGM dropped 7.1% Sat -> Sun (see above), looks like today will be about the same maybe a touch worse.

 

It is 9.4% behind Saturday and the evening is still yet to come, more likely that it goes back up to 12% -15% than it is to get close to TGM number. TGM was 1k behind on CGV of saturday at 17:20 PM to get a 7% drop (started down 5k on CGV, so basicly gained 4k till 16:20pm). Then TGM dropped  11k over the next 6 hours.

 

MI7 has been holding quite a bit worse during the day then TGM so it will atleast match the 11k drop + 16k it down already + atleast 1k down in the next hour = down 28k CGV atleast. (so -13%) And that's asuming it will start to hold as well as TGM from this point forward.

 

EDIT: nvm it a holiday tomorrow (didn't know) my bad. So IronJimbo is 100% correct, it's looking at close to the same drop with the big astrix that obviously it's not a like for like comparison.

Edited by pepsa
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10 minutes ago, pepsa said:

 

It is 9.4% behind Saturday and the evening is still yet to come, more likely that it goes back up to 12% -15% than it is to get close to TGM number. TGM was 1k behind on CGV of saturday at 17:20 PM to get a 7% drop (started down 5k on CGV, so basicly gained 4k till 16:20pm). Then TGM dropped  11k over the next 6 hours.

 

MI7 has been holding quite a bit worse during the day then TGM so it will atleast match the 11k drop + 16k it down already + atleast 1k down in the next hour = down 28k CGV atleast. (so -13%) And that's asuming it will start to hold as well as TGM from this point forward.

Evening should hold well given that tomorrow is a holiday no? Probably falls a bit but not too much.

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