Quigley Posted October 21, 2014 Share Posted October 21, 2014 Monday dropped about 45% from last Monday (15.4M vs 27.8M). Not good but not bad either. What really matters is Tuesday's % drop from last Tuesday, since Hercules is coming out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Archerdude Posted October 21, 2014 Share Posted October 21, 2014 Monday dropped about 45% from last Monday (15.4M vs 27.8M). Not good but not bad either. What really matters is Tuesday's % drop from last Tuesday, since Hercules is coming out. What if it beats Hercules' day 1...probably will be a close call? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
juni78ukr Posted October 21, 2014 Share Posted October 21, 2014 Tuesday est. 1. Hercules 18 mln yuan or 2.93 mln 2. Guardians 13 mln yuan or 2.12 mln. Total 456 mln yuan or 74.1 mln. 3. Break up buddies 9 mln yuan or 1.47 mln. Total 1080 mln yuan or 175.5 mln. 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
picores Posted October 21, 2014 Share Posted October 21, 2014 What's the likely final total of Hercules with that OD? Seems very low. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Donald Posted October 21, 2014 Share Posted October 21, 2014 I think its previews Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quigley Posted October 21, 2014 Share Posted October 21, 2014 (edited) Drop from last Tuesday for GotG is estimated at 51% (13M vs 26.3M) - let's hope it doesn't get any lower. In my opinion, this is looking ok. With 50% drops (on average) from now on, it can still reach $100M. UPDATE: As a post lower down mentions, the Tuesday actual is 13.6M so the drop is 48% from last Tuesday. Edited October 23, 2014 by Quigley 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
juni78ukr Posted October 21, 2014 Share Posted October 21, 2014 I think around 95-100 yuan opening week for Hercules. 18-15-13-13-21-17. Maybe lower. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted October 21, 2014 Share Posted October 21, 2014 GOTG will lose at least a third showtimes on Friday. Weekly Forecas (Oct 20-26): 1. Lucy 110M/ $17.8M NEW 2. GOTG 90M/$14.6M 515M/$83.7M 3. Hercules 88M/14.3M new 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Archerdude Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 GOTG will lose at least a third showtimes on Friday. Weekly Forecas (Oct 20-26): 1. Lucy 110M/ $17.8M NEW 2. GOTG 90M/$14.6M 515M/$83.7M 3. Hercules 88M/14.3M new Then Maze Runner and TMNT happens next week, I think Herc definitely drew the short end of the stick here but Olive what's your sense of where GOTG will end up using this trajectory? 540, US$90 Mil thereabouts? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 Then Maze Runner and TMNT happens next week, I think Herc definitely drew the short end of the stick here but Olive what's your sense of where GOTG will end up using this trajectory? 540, US$90 Mil thereabouts? Yeah, with high end around 550M hopefully. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 Tuesday final numbers Hercules 15M OD,much lower than est. GOTG 13.6M, total 459M 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LexJoker Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 Hows presales for Lucy? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 Tuesday final numbers Hercules 15M OD,much lower than est. GOTG 13.6M, total 459M Im calling it: Time of death.. Whatever the clock is at your place Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 Wednesday est. 1. Hercules 12M/1.95M, total 25M/$4.1M 2. Guardians 11.8M/1.9M, Total 471M/$76.6M. 3. Breakup 8.1M/1.3M, Total 1102M/$179.1M. Early Friday Showtimes 1. Lucy 41% 2. Herc 13.6% 3. GOTG 10.5% 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Durden Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 (edited) poor Hercules Edited October 23, 2014 by Durden 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Violence Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 (edited) Fury is reportedly in line for 11/21 (not confirmed), as a buyout release from Huayi Brothers. But then CFGC themselves might be releasing Mockingjay as a buyout release on the same day, so it's reasonable to think that Fury won't be out on the 21st unless CFGC doesn't really give a shit about Mockingjay (which is entirely plausible). Edited October 23, 2014 by Bob Violence 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Wednesday act. 1. Hercules 12.3M/2.0M, total 27.3M/$4.4M 2. Guardians 12.2M/2.0M, Total 472M/$76.8M. 3. Breakup 8.3M/1.35M, Total 1104M/$179.4M. updated Friday Showtimes 1. Lucy 32.2% 2. Herc 15.2% 3. GOTG 14.4% 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quigley Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 (edited) Wednesday act. 1. Hercules 12.3M/2.0M, total 27.3M/$4.4M 2. Guardians 12.2M/2.0M, Total 472M/$76.8M. 3. Breakup 8.3M/1.35M, Total 1104M/$179.4M. updated Friday Showtimes 1. Lucy 32.2% 2. Herc 15.2% 3. GOTG 14.4% Wednesday drop from last week is 48%. Showtimes are dropping to 14.4%, compared to 31.8% last weekend. So its screen occupation will drop by 55%. A similar drop in weekend gross would mean around $9.6M (45% of $21.3M). So including Thursday earnings, it will have earned about $88M by Sunday. Edited October 23, 2014 by Quigley Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Wednesday act. 1. Hercules 12.3M/2.0M, total 27.3M/$4.4M 2. Guardians 12.2M/2.0M, Total 472M/$76.8M. 3. Breakup 8.3M/1.35M, Total 1104M/$179.4M. updated Friday Showtimes 1. Lucy 32.2% 2. Herc 15.2% 3. GOTG 14.4% That is a big drop for Lucy. That can not be a good sign.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 That is a big drop for Lucy. That can not be a good sign.. That's good news for GOTG. 90M+ will happen for sure now. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...