Olive Posted November 9, 2016 Share Posted November 9, 2016 Friday presales: 17 hours to go One Piece Gold: 4.44M(will likely break the record of 2D anime OD) Billy Lynn: 3.64M (very disappointing) Dr Strange:2.14M(has a shot of being #1on Friday, and will definitely be on Saturday) 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daxtreme Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 So how does it look like for total in china? Too early to tell? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 4 hours ago, Daxtreme said: So how does it look like for total in china? Too early to tell? Doctor Strange I assume. $100m~ 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 Looks like 24 mill ish today IMO. Maybe a bit lower. Standart drop i guess 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 (edited) Thursday Estimates Doctor Strange: ¥23.5M/¥415M (-14.5%) Hide and Seek: ¥4.25M/¥59.6M Mr Donkey: ¥4.2M/¥152M Keeping Up with the Joneses: ¥2.33M/¥8.45M Operation Mekong: ¥1.34M/¥1175M Mechanic: Resurrection:¥0.95M/¥337M Inferno:¥0.66M/¥132M Friday Forecast: Dr Strange 32-34M very likely retain #1 spot Billy Lynn 26-27M One Piece 23-25M Edited November 10, 2016 by Olive 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fabiopazzo2 Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 (edited) 6 minutes ago, Olive said: Thursday Estimates Doctor Strange: ¥23.5M/¥415M (-14.5%) Hide and Seek: ¥4.25M/¥59.6M Mr Donkey: ¥4.2M/¥152M Keeping Up with the Joneses: ¥2.33M/¥8.45M Operation Mekong: ¥1.34M/¥1175M Mechanic: Resurrection:¥0.95M/¥337M Inferno:¥0.66M/¥132M Friday Forecast: Dr Strange 28-30M likely retain #1 spot Billy Lynn 26-27M One Piece 23-25M lower friday than Antman? Edited November 10, 2016 by fabiopazzo2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 Just now, fabiopazzo2 said: lower friday than Antman? I'm being conservative, maybe 32-34M? I fear it won't increase as big as Ant-man. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 3 minutes ago, fabiopazzo2 said: lower friday than Antman? Nearly 50% screen showings will be cut tomorrow Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fabiopazzo2 Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 12 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said: Nearly 50% screen showings will be cut tomorrow Ah... after 1 week?? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 4 minutes ago, fabiopazzo2 said: Ah... after 1 week?? Billy Lynn and One Piece take away for most.But Doctor Strange still has many until I am not Madame Bovary and Fantastic Beasts come. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fabiopazzo2 Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 29 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said: Billy Lynn and One Piece take away for most.But Doctor Strange still has many until I am not Madame Bovary and Fantastic Beasts come. Thanks Gavin Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Durden Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 Why Ant-Man just falls 8.7% in the second weekend ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted November 11, 2016 Share Posted November 11, 2016 4 hours ago, Durden said: Why Ant-Man just falls 8.7% in the second weekend ? Because only Conan and some small-budget local films released, and cinema staff didn’t think that giving more screen showings for those films could earn more money. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted November 11, 2016 Share Posted November 11, 2016 4 hours ago, Durden said: Why Ant-Man just falls 8.7% in the second weekend ? And also, nearly 50% mean that the screen showings change form 75,132(Thu) to 41,829(Fri). 41,829/75,132-1=-44.3% The 8.7% you said is the changing of proportion of whole days.The showings for Ant-Man changed from 45,655(Thu) to 36,236(Fri). 36,236/45,655-1=-20.6% 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted November 11, 2016 Share Posted November 11, 2016 Forgot that there will be a Double 11 boost, my forecast will be severely underestimated Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted November 11, 2016 Share Posted November 11, 2016 2 hours ago, Olive said: Forgot that there will be a Double 11 boost, my forecast will be severely underestimated What is D11?? If it plays out normal today we could see 36+ which would be great and more than AntMan Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jiangsen Posted November 11, 2016 Share Posted November 11, 2016 1 hour ago, fmpro said: What is D11?? If it plays out normal today we could see 36+ which would be great and more than AntMan November 11 in China is known as Singles' Day (or sometimes in Mandarin literally "double eleven"). It's a kind of Valentine's Day that sees a slight boost in moviegoing. Also it's been co opted by Alibaba as a crazy e-commerce bonanza where there are nutso deals on everything. Sorta like America's Cyber Monday after Thanksgiving but like magnitudes bigger. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted November 11, 2016 Share Posted November 11, 2016 So what is the expected growth for the Chinese market in 2016? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted November 11, 2016 Share Posted November 11, 2016 31 minutes ago, Fullbuster said: So what is the expected growth for the Chinese market in 2016? It has lowered a lot the growth during the year after some 3-4 first months increasing. And ER does not help. After being constant for last weeks, it is dropping again since Trump victory. 6.81 today. Maybe we will see a low increase in Yuan, but it is probable to see a decrease in dollars relative to last year. By the end of October, BO was a 5% in Yuan than last year: http://forums.boxofficetheory.com/topic/18770-monthlyquarterlyyearly-box-office-watch/?do=findComment&comment=2723566 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted November 11, 2016 Share Posted November 11, 2016 12 minutes ago, peludo said: It has lowered a lot the growth during the year after some 3-4 first months increasing. And ER does not help. After being constant for last weeks, it is dropping again since Trump victory. 6.81 today. Maybe we will see a low increase in Yuan, but it is probable to see a decrease in dollars relative to last year. By the end of October, BO was a 5% in Yuan than last year: http://forums.boxofficetheory.com/topic/18770-monthlyquarterlyyearly-box-office-watch/?do=findComment&comment=2723566 Only up 5% in Yuan??? And a possible fall in $?? Wow, I knew it had slowed down a bit but I never expected it to be so bad o_O Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...