fmpro Posted November 12, 2016 Share Posted November 12, 2016 80-90% increase for DS today is very possible. AntMan did 80%.. Still running ahead and 100mill is looking more and more likely Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted November 12, 2016 Share Posted November 12, 2016 Don't over-estimate, Friday was already inflated, doubt it will increase more than 80%. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted November 12, 2016 Share Posted November 12, 2016 (edited) 5 hours ago, fmpro said: 80-90% increase for DS today is very possible. AntMan did 80%.. Still running ahead and 100mill is looking more and more likely it will be close to 80% even a with the bumped Friday. nice call 678m/$100m will happen if it keeps at least 1/2 its show next weekend. 700m possible Day Yn Daily % +/- Last Week Tot $Tot Yn Daily % +/- Last Week Tot $Tot Fri 76 80 13 81 85 13 Sat 108 41.6% 188 29 119 47.1% 204 30 Sun 84 -22.1% 272 43 94 -21.5% 298 44 Mon 32 -61.9% 304 48 34 -63.7% 332 49 Tues 29 -10.0% 333 52 31 -9.4% 363 53 Wed 25 -13.2% 358 56 27 -11.0% 390 58 Thur 23 -9.0% 380 60 23 -16.1% 413 61 Fri 33 46.4% -56.3% 414 65 37 60.9% -54.4% 450 66 Sat 60 80.2% -44.4% 474 74 66 78.4% -44.7% 516 76 Sun 47 -22.2% -44.4% 520 82 proj 51 -22.7% -45.5% 567 84 Mon 15.3 -74.5% -52.2% 536 84 17.0 -74.2% -50.0% 584 86 Tue 14.7 -3.9% -49.0% 550 86 15.5 -8.8% -49.7% 600 88 Wed 13.4 -8.8% -46.4% 564 88 14.0 -9.7% -48.9% 614 91 Thu 12.2 -9.0% -46.4% 576 90 12.5 -10.7% -45.7% 626 92 Fri 15.6 27.9% -53.2% 592 93 Sat 30.5 95.5% -49.2% 622 98 Sun 22.0 -27.87% -52.9% 644 101 Mon 7.3 -66.8% -52.3% 651 102 Tue 5.0 -31.5% -66.0% 656 103 Wed 2.7 -46.0% -79.9% 659 103 Thu 2.6 -3.7% -78.7% 662 104 672 105 XR 6.38 XR 6.78 Using todays total and projecting the dailies for total BO thru the 17th finds Nov flat YoY at that point. Edited November 12, 2016 by POTUS 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted November 12, 2016 Share Posted November 12, 2016 Saturday Estimates Doctor Strange: ¥66.5M/¥518M (+75%) Billy Lynn: ¥ 30.6m/56.9M One Piece: ¥25.5M/49.8M Scandal Maker: ¥12.5M/23.7m Mr Donkey: ¥4.2M/¥159M Hide and Seek: ¥2.8M/¥64.3M Operation Mekong: ¥1.2M/¥1177M Trolls:¥1.66M/¥49.3M 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted November 12, 2016 Share Posted November 12, 2016 5 minutes ago, Olive said: Saturday Estimates Doctor Strange: ¥66.5M/¥518M (+75%) Billy Lynn: ¥ 30.6m/56.9M One Piece: ¥25.5M/49.8M Scandal Maker: ¥12.5M/23.7m Mr Donkey: ¥4.2M/¥159M Hide and Seek: ¥2.8M/¥64.3M Operation Mekong: ¥1.2M/¥1177M Trolls:¥1.66M/¥49.3M Great weekly hold for DS. If it doesn't collapse next weekend than 100M will happen. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted November 12, 2016 Share Posted November 12, 2016 15 hours ago, terrestrial said: China Film Insider @china_film 2m There’ll soon be more movie theaters in China than in the US -@CNBC http://www.cnbc.com/2016/11/11/movie-theaters-china-market-us-culture-cinema-hollywood.html … Interesting article they are still drinking the koolaid on growth and I don't know how they are getting 9.9b for this from cnbc In terms of revenue, the Chinese market is still smaller than the U.S. According to consultancy PwC, the revenue will grow from $9.9 billion in 2016 to $11 billion in 2020. However, IHS forecasts that China's box office revenue will top the U.S. market by 2019. interesting note. even with the BO close to flat this year, the per screen admissions will stay within the low end of the 12 year range. But if they build at a similar rate for next year and if the market stays flat they are going to be a new low level per screen and 20% below the average Screens % Inc Adm (m) Adm Inc Adm P/Sc BO $M % Inc Tix Ave 2003 125 2004 187 49.6% 2005 4400 157 35682 250 33.7% $1.59 2006 4700 6.8% 176 12.1% 37447 342 36.8% $1.94 2007 5600 19.1% 195 10.8% 34821 438 28.1% $2.25 2008 5700 1.8% 209 7.2% 36667 586 33.8% $2.80 2009 6300 10.5% 263 25.8% 41746 873 49.0% $3.32 2010 7800 23.8% 290 10.3% 37179 1452 66.3% $5.01 2011 9200 17.9% 370 27.6% 40217 1929 32.9% $5.21 2012 14000 52.2% 462 24.9% 33000 2586 34.1% $5.60 2013 18100 29.3% 612 32.5% 33812 3400 31.5% $5.56 2014 23600 30.4% 830 35.6% 35169 4800 41.2% $5.78 2015 31500 33.5% 1200 44.6% 38095 6800 41.7% $5.67 2016 39000 23.8% 1300 8.3% 33333 7000 2.9% $5.38 2017 45000 15.4% 1350 3.8% 30000 7000 0.0% $5.19 2005-16% Increase 786% 23% 728% 22% 36673 1820% 36% 379% Average Average Average Average 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted November 12, 2016 Share Posted November 12, 2016 24 minutes ago, druv10 said: Great weekly hold for DS. If it doesn't collapse next weekend than 100M will happen. 100m is locked. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted November 12, 2016 Share Posted November 12, 2016 50 minutes ago, Olive said: Saturday Estimates Doctor Strange: ¥66.5M/¥518M (+75%) Billy Lynn: ¥ 30.6m/56.9M One Piece: ¥25.5M/49.8M Scandal Maker: ¥12.5M/23.7m Mr Donkey: ¥4.2M/¥159M Hide and Seek: ¥2.8M/¥64.3M Operation Mekong: ¥1.2M/¥1177M Trolls:¥1.66M/¥49.3M 66,5m should be a 80% increase from 37,5 mill 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvaGiannaTara Posted November 12, 2016 Share Posted November 12, 2016 Holy moly. Did Dr.Strange made almost as much on its second saturday as its opening day ? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted November 12, 2016 Share Posted November 12, 2016 Just now, fmpro said: 66,5m should be a 80% increase from 37,5 mill and more importantly held -45% WoW after losing 45% of its theaters. very rare these last few months 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ttr Posted November 12, 2016 Share Posted November 12, 2016 I want Moana to pass $100m there, that would be so great. I'd like China to be more like Japan and SK when it comes to Disney animation because when it happens the results are amazing : Zootopia wouldn't be beyond $1B without China. So you love Disney, don't you [emoji4] Maybe the Shanghai Park will give elevation to WDAS and vice versa. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quigley Posted November 12, 2016 Share Posted November 12, 2016 What do we expect from Sunday? 20-25% drop from Sat? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted November 12, 2016 Share Posted November 12, 2016 1 hour ago, fmpro said: 66,5m should be a 80% increase from 37,5 mill Fri actual 37.9m 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted November 12, 2016 Share Posted November 12, 2016 2 hours ago, ttr said: So you love Disney, don't you Maybe the Shanghai Park will give elevation to WDAS and vice versa. Let's hope so 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kswiston Posted November 12, 2016 Share Posted November 12, 2016 (edited) 2 hours ago, Olive said: Fri actual 37.9m That math was wrong anyhow, even with the old Friday, the bump would have been 77%. So about ¥100M to go before Strange passes BvS? Edited November 12, 2016 by kswiston Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted November 12, 2016 Share Posted November 12, 2016 1 hour ago, kswiston said: That math was wrong anyhow, even with the old Friday, the bump would have been 77%. So about ¥100M to go before Strange passes BvS? Will beat BVS with ease, I have it finish around 720M, likely beating Winter Soldier. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted November 13, 2016 Share Posted November 13, 2016 Looks like DS will have a great drop today 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted November 13, 2016 Share Posted November 13, 2016 1 hour ago, fmpro said: Looks like DS will have a great drop today language is so funny, here great will be in translation used for 'big' and for 'good'. A big drop wouldn't be good, but good is, what was meant (I think). = not a criticism, only pointing out a detail that threw me for a second. Thanks for the update Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted November 13, 2016 Share Posted November 13, 2016 Just now, terrestrial said: language is so funny, here great will be in translation used for 'big' and for 'good'. A big drop wouldn't be good, but good is, what was meant (I think). = not a criticism, only pointing out a detail that threw me for a second. Thanks for the update In Chinese, A good/great drop = small drop/ good hold A big/nasty drop =bad hold. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ttr Posted November 13, 2016 Share Posted November 13, 2016 language is so funny, here great will be in translation used for 'big' and for 'good'. A big drop wouldn't be good, but good is, what was meant (I think). = not a criticism, only pointing out a detail that threw me for a second. Thanks for the update I think it depends more on person than on language. For a BOT person great drop is small, but for "normal" person great drop could mean large drop. Actually I think great in general has a positive tone in it. So one can translate it as he/she wants in this case... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...