Gavin Feng Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 (edited) 10 hours ago, Assie said: Don't want to be a dick but.. bvs made 95M$ so 110M$ is not much more, don't think the increase is as high as the market growth in the last few years. 4 hours ago, Barnack said: How much of that increase would be the added service fee (or does the 110M is before them ?) market growth since batfleck1 is 10% plus the 6% fee. Its essentially flat Coco heading to 30m+. Up 20%+ over thursday Still tracking Dangal closely while 60m ahead. It may not bump next weekend like Dangal but should match dangals 3rd weekend and maintain its lead. However Coco will have a lot of screen loss on weekend 4. Dangal took a hit as well in the 4th frame but then got a 100m yuan boost from the june holiday during the midweek. 1.2B/$180m looking good but need to see how it does next week before calling it a lock. 1.3B/$195m possible, matching Dangal, if it weathers the 4th weekend well. Edited December 4, 2017 by POTUS 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UserHN Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 (edited) 1 hour ago, POTUS said: market growth since batfleck1 is 10% plus the 6% fee. Its essentially flat Coco heading to 30m+. Up 20%+ over thursday Still tracking Dangal closely while 60m ahead. It may not bump next weekend like Dangal but should match dangals 3rd weekend and maintain its lead. However Coco will have a lot of screen loss on weekend 4. Dangal took a hit as well in the 4th frame but then got a 100m yuan boost from the june holiday during the midweek. 1.2B/$180m looking good but need to see how it does next week before calling it a lock. 1.3B/$195m possible, matching Dangal, if it weathers the 4th weekend well. Wow. That is wonderful for Coco. I'm glad that the better animated film has a chance to gross higher in China. No offense to the fans of the DM3, but while the movie is fun, it's just a generic movie. I wish Illumination aim higher in the future and develop an Oscar-caliber film. I can't even think of an Illumination movie that has 85%+ rating on Rotten Tomatoes. Edited December 4, 2017 by UserHN 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted December 4, 2017 Author Share Posted December 4, 2017 (edited) Coco faces more competition than ZOO/Dangal did going forward, starting the 4th Friday Date Major Opener Scale Evaluated 12/8 47 Meters Down 60m Paddington 2 600m Loving Vincent 30m 12/15 The Thousand Faces of Dunjia 200m Youth 300m Santa & Cie 40m 12/22 Legend of the Demon Cat 400m Bleeding Steel 700m The Liquidator 900m 12/29 The Ex-File: The Return of the Exes 300m Miracles of the Namiya General Store 150m Hanson and the Beast 100m Yao Yao Ling 60m 1/5 Star Wars: The Last Jedi 500m 1/12 Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle 900m Edited December 4, 2017 by firedeep 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 50 minutes ago, firedeep said: Coco faces more competition than ZOO/Dangal did going forward, starting the 4th Friday Date Major Opener Scale Evaluated 12/8 47 Meters Down 60m Paddington 2 600m Loving Vincent 30m 12/15 The Thousand Faces of Dunjia 200m Youth 300m Santa & Cie 40m 12/22 Legend of the Demon Cat 400m Bleeding Steel 700m The Liquidator 900m 12/29 The Ex-File: The Return of the Exes 300m Miracles of the Namiya General Store 150m Hanson and the Beast 100m Yao Yao Ling 60m 1/5 Star Wars: The Last Jedi 500m 1/12 Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle 900m Dangal lost 40% of its shows on 4th Friday. Revenue dropped to 12m from Thursdays 16m. Coco may lose 50-60%. You think paddington will be 600m? Looks like its opening in the 20s, maybe 30m. PS pacing up 40%+ for Coco and JL. School out tomorrow? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted December 4, 2017 Author Share Posted December 4, 2017 31 minutes ago, POTUS said: Dangal lost 40% of its shows on 4th Friday. Revenue dropped to 12m from Thursdays 16m. Coco may lose 50-60%. You think paddington will be 600m? Looks like its opening in the 20s, maybe 30m. PS pacing up 40%+ for Coco and JL. School out tomorrow? A normal Tuesday. Paddington 2 could perform just like A Dog's Purpose. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 (edited) 13 hours ago, Assie said: Don't want to be a dick but.. bvs made 95M$ so 110M$ is not much more, don't think the increase is as high as the market growth in the last few years. I am curious as to how Wonder Woman, BVS, GOTG2, JL compare in admissions to MOS's $63m in 2013. Cause these films finished around $95-100m recently. Edited December 4, 2017 by a2knet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UserHN Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 3 hours ago, POTUS said: market growth since batfleck1 is 10% plus the 6% fee. Its essentially flat Coco heading to 30m+. Up 20%+ over thursday Still tracking Dangal closely while 60m ahead. It may not bump next weekend like Dangal but should match dangals 3rd weekend and maintain its lead. However Coco will have a lot of screen loss on weekend 4. Dangal took a hit as well in the 4th frame but then got a 100m yuan boost from the june holiday during the midweek. 1.2B/$180m looking good but need to see how it does next week before calling it a lock. 1.3B/$195m possible, matching Dangal, if it weathers the 4th weekend well. Does this mean that $150 million is now a lock for Coco, and that it is now setting its sights to a possible $180 million total gross? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 1 hour ago, a2knet said: I am curious as to how Wonder Woman, BVS, GOTG2, JL compare in admissions to MOS's $63m in 2013. Cause these films finished around $95-100m recently. Thor R 20.94M JL 18.45M GOTG2 18.41M BVS 17.40M Wonder Woman 16.81M MOS 9.67M 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 Just now, Olive Skywalker said: Thor R 20.94M JL 18.45M GOTG2 18.41M BVS 17.40M Wonder Woman 16.81M MOS 9.67M Thanks. Looks like I was focusing on China's theatrical growth but ignoring the ER which is kinda silly of me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 (edited) Top 25 of 2017 , as of Dec.04th Rank Movie Ttitle Gross(¥) Gross($) Admissions Country Date #1 Wolf Warriors 2 ¥5,679.3 $842.6 159.43 CHN 2017/7/27 #2 The Fate of the Furious 8 ¥2,671.0 $388.2 72.87 USA 2017/4/14 #3 Never Say Die ¥2,200.3 $330.9 65.83 USA 2017/9/30 #4 Kung Fu Yoga ¥1,752.6 $254.7 45.91 CHN/HK 2017/1/28 #5 Journey to the West 2 ¥1,655.9 $240.7 42.29 CHN/HK 2017/1/28 #6 Transformers: The Last Knight ¥1,551.2 $227.1 42.00 USA 2017/6/23 #7 Dangal ¥1,299.1 $188.3 43.20 IND 2017/5/5 #8 Pirates of the Caribbean 5 ¥1,179.9 $172.2 32.95 USA 2017/5/26 #9 Kong: Skull Island ¥1,160.5 $168.7 33.01 USA 2017/3/24 10 xXx: Return of Cage ¥1,127.5 $163.9 31.14 USA 2017/2/10 11 Resident Evil: The Final Chapter ¥1,111.9 $162.1 32.06 USA 2017/2/24 12 Duckweed ¥1,048.5 $152.4 28.87 CHN 2017/1/28 13 Despicable Me 3 ¥1,037.8 $152.6 30.46 USA 2017/7/7 14 Spider-man: homecoming ¥774.1 $119.5 22.02 USA 2017/9/8 15 Buddies in India ¥757.9 $110.2 21.31 CHN 2017/1/28 16 Thor:Ragonarok ¥743.3 $111.9 20.95 USA 2017/11/3 17 War for the Planet of the Apes ¥739.8 $112.9 21.15 USA 2017/9/15 18 Logan ¥731.7 $106.4 22.60 USA 2017/3/3 19 Wu Kong ¥696.5 $102.9 19.39 CHN/HK 2017/7/13 20 Guardians of the Galaxy Vol.2 ¥686.1 $99.4 18.41 USA 2017/5/5 21 Justice League ¥654.7 $98.7 18.45 USA 2017/11/17 22 The Mummy ¥625.6 $92.1 17.77 USA 2017/6/9 23 Wonder Woman ¥610.1 $89.6 16.81 USA 2017/6/2 24 A Dog's Purpose ¥608.1 $88.4 20.28 USA 2017/3/3 25 Beauty and the Beasts ¥591.6 $85.9 16.87 USA 2017/3/17 Edited December 4, 2017 by Olive Skywalker 4 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 19 minutes ago, Olive Skywalker said: Beauty and the Beasts Beasts 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brainbug Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 With a runtime of 150+ minutes for TLJ, wont the Chinese moviegoers fall asleep? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UserHN Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 21 minutes ago, Brainbug said: With a runtime of 150+ minutes for TLJ, wont the Chinese moviegoers fall asleep? I don't expect TLJ to cross $100 million in China anyway. Rogue One with Donnie Yen and Jiang Wen only grossed $69 million. I'll expect TLJ to gross less than that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 12 minutes ago, UserHN said: I don't expect TLJ to cross $100 million in China anyway. Rogue One with Donnie Yen and Jiang Wen only grossed $69 million. I'll expect TLJ to gross less than that. TFA runtime is 136 minutes and grossed $124m. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FantasticBeasts Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 @Olive Skywalker @Gavin Feng @POTUS What do you expect from TLJ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 12 minutes ago, FantasticBeasts said: @Olive Skywalker @Gavin Feng @POTUS What do you expect from TLJ? 70-80M USD 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 optimistic $100M. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FantasticBeasts Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 12 minutes ago, Olive Skywalker said: 70-80M USD Makes sense after Rogue One's disapointment. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 Just now, FantasticBeasts said: Makes sense after Rogue One's disapointment. It will face Jumanji in its 2nd week, will lose lots of screens. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...