China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

[druv10]

7 minutes ago, BoilingHotCoffee said:

it appears that the gap between Coco and Justice League is now shortening at this time

Lack of showtimes is hurting Coco but Sunday showtimes are already over 18% compared to 10% on Fri and 15% for Sat.

[druv10]

JL has narrowed the gap to under 2M so it's likely to squeak out a win for Saturday but Sunday won't be a contest. Coco presales are already higher than Saturday with 3+ hrs still to go plus Sunday showtimes are at 18.5% and that number should be around 20% by the end. Sunday most likely will see an increase over Saturday, at worst I could see is flat.

[fmpro]

1 hour ago, druv10 said:

JL has narrowed the gap to under 2M so it's likely to squeak out a win for Saturday but Sunday won't be a contest. Coco presales are already higher than Saturday with 3+ hrs still to go plus Sunday showtimes are at 18.5% and that number should be around 20% by the end. Sunday most likely will see an increase over Saturday, at worst I could see is flat.

 

Yeah.. Coco could win the weekend due to a incredible sunday. 

Good call @Olive Skywalker

[Olive]

Disney did so little marketing for Coco, and it hasn't generated same buzz as Zootopia did at the point, 

Flash was really a hot topic on social media, was all over the place during Zoo's OW, that helped a lot .

[druv10]

10 minutes ago, Olive Skywalker said:

Disney did so little marketing for Coco, and it hasn't generated same buzz as Zootopia did at the point, 

Flash was really a hot topic on social media, was all over the place during Zoo's OW, that helped a lot .

Hey, what are the chances Coco get's an extension?

[Olive]

5 minutes ago, druv10 said:

Hey, what are the chances Coco get's an extension?

If it holds well, 100% it will and can play into Christmas and New year period.

[Olive]

Coco +270% over Friday

Moana +178%

Zootopia +170%

[druv10]

Sunday presales are up 29% for Coco and we still have couple hrs until midnight in China. An increase is very likely on Sunday!!!

Edited November 25, 2017 by druv10

[A Marvel Fanboy]

Sunday will increase 40%. 65~70m Sunday.

 

COCO turns to be Pixar's Zootopia. 1B+ is happenning. I am predicting 150m for next Saturday alone.

 

DM3 worldwide is done. COCO (WW, DOM and China) #1 animation hit of 2017.

Edited November 25, 2017 by firedeep

[druv10]

4 minutes ago, firedeep said:

Sunday will increase 40%. 65~70m Sunday.

 

COCO turns to be Pixar's Zootopia. 1B+ is happenning. I am predicting 150m for next Saturday alone.

 

DM3 worldwide is done. COCO (WW, DOM and China) #1 animation hit of 2017.

Holy shit, I would love for this to happen such an amazing movie!!!

[Olive]

Saturday est after service fees
Justice League  -  48.8m / 521.4m +94%
Coco  -  47.1m/59.9m +270%

Manhunt  -  26.2m/56.1m -11%
Orient Express  -  3.76m / 218.7m +155%
Thor: Ragnarok  -  3.63m / 733.3m +184%

 

Sunday Maoyan prediction

Coco 58.2M

JL 36.3m

[fmpro]

6 minutes ago, firedeep said:

Sunday will increase 40%. 65~70m Sunday.

 

COCO turns to be Pixar's Zootopia. 1B+ is happenning. I am predicting 150m for next Saturday alone.

 

DM3 worldwide is done. COCO (WW, DOM and China) #1 animation hit of 2017.

 

[seduh]

I would love that, but let's wait. DM is the biggest animated franchise, while Coco is an original movie. Coco will be sucesfull, that's a fact.

[efialtes76]

12 minutes ago, firedeep said:

Sunday will increase 40%. 65~70m Sunday.

 

COCO turns to be Pixar's Zootopia. 1B+ is happenning. I am predicting 150m for next Saturday alone.

 

DM3 worldwide is done. COCO (WW, DOM and China) #1 animation hit of 2017.

No.Worlwide DM3 will be number 1.

[meriodejaneiro]

11 hours ago, Brainiac5 said:

Does that pretty much lock 100mil?

 

10 hours ago, Olive Skywalker said:

100%

 

7 hours ago, fmpro said:

 

100-105 mill IMO

 

7 hours ago, UserHN said:

So this is the first ever DCEU film to reach $100 million in China.

 

5 hours ago, Krissykins said:

So with $100m would Justice League be the biggest film of the DCEU in China? 

Why are you all so confident in JL making the $100M? I have always doubted it. From the very beginning JL has been behind Thor 3's numbers (ow, daily ...) and the gap between their cumulative box office has been increasing ever since JL opening day. 

 

Thor 3 ow: $55M (Thu: 1,12M - Fri: 16,07M - Sat: 22,02M - Sun: 15,79M) 

JL ow: $52,36M (Thu: 1,33M - Fri: 15,28M - Sat: 21,17M - Sun: 14,58M)   -------------------------> +2,64M for Thor 3.

 

Thor 3 week1: Mon: 5,99M - Tue: 5,02M - Wed: 4,49M - Thu: 3,88M) = 74,38M 1st week

JL week1: Mon: 4,86M - Tue: 4,05M - Wed: 3,55M - Thu: 3,09M) = 67,92M 1st week   ----------> +6,46M for Thor 3.

 

Thor 3 we#2: (Fri: 4,80M ...) = 79,18M after 8 days.

JL we#2: (Fri: 3,82M ...) = 71,74M after 8 days.  -------------------------------------------------------> +7,44M for Thor 3.

 

Only on thursday night previews JL made more than Thor 3. Ever since, Thor 3 has outcome JL #s' day after day.

 

The gap is now on 7,44M and seems it will increase day after day. If Thor 3 is now at 110M with a final cume to 111 or 112 max. If you detract the gap to Thor 3 cume, 111-7,44 = 103,56 final for JL if it matches Thor 3 numbers daily from now on, which seems pretty unfeasible.  

 

I think JL is gonna struggle to reach the 100M imo. Even more if Coco's ow and further performance increases daily as it seems to be for this opening week (cutting JL's legs).

 

Unless there's a holiday in China these coming days that will give JL some extra 2-3M, I think JL is out of the 100M club.

[POTUS 2020]

Zoo was 9.5 rating. Coco still at 9.6

F   22m

S   60

S   72

M  36

T   69  holiday

W  44

T   43

F   71

S   167

S   150

Monday will show how big the WoM wave is building.  Zoo dropped just 50% instead of the usual 75-80%.

Should it increase on Sunday and hold -50-60% on Monday then we could have something big, 1B?. Zoo wed increased over monday after a tues holiday.

A lot of local releases coming but zoo and dangal were able to hold screens against competition.  

 

Edited November 25, 2017 by POTUS

[druv10]

6 minutes ago, meriodejaneiro said:

 

 

 

 

Why are you all so confident in JL making the $100M? I have always doubted it. From the very beginning JL has been behind Thor 3's numbers (ow, daily ...) and the gap between their cumulative box office has been increasing ever since JL opening day. 

 

Thor 3 ow: $55M (Thu: 1,12M - Fri: 16,07M - Sat: 22,02M - Sun: 15,79M) 

JL ow: $52,36M (Thu: 1,33M - Fri: 15,28M - Sat: 21,17M - Sun: 14,58M)   -------------------------> +2,64M for Thor 3.

 

Thor 3 week1: Mon: 5,99M - Tue: 5,02M - Wed: 4,49M - Thu: 3,88M) = 74,38M 1st week

JL week1: Mon: 4,86M - Tue: 4,05M - Wed: 3,55M - Thu: 3,09M) = 67,92M 1st week   ----------> +6,46M for Thor 3.

 

Thor 3 we#2: (Fri: 4,80M ...) = 79,18M after 8 days.

JL we#2: (Fri: 3,82M ...) = 71,74M after 8 days.  -------------------------------------------------------> +7,44M for Thor 3.

 

Only on thursday night previews JL made more than Thor 3. Ever since, Thor 3 has outcome JL #s' day after day.

 

The gap is now on 7,44M and seems it will increase day after day. If Thor 3 is now at 110M with a final cume to 111 or 112 max. If you detract the gap to Thor 3 cume, 111-7,44 = 103,56 final for JL if it matches Thor 3 numbers daily from now on, which seems pretty unfeasible.  

 

I think JL is gonna struggle to reach the 100M imo. Even more if Coco's ow and further performance increases daily as it seems to be for this opening week (cutting JL's legs).

 

Unless there's a holiday in China these coming days that will give JL some extra 2-3M, I think JL is out of the 100M club.

100M is gonna happen. Coco will take showtimes from Manhunt and other movies. JL should have healthy drop relative to China next weekend.

[fmpro]

7 minutes ago, meriodejaneiro said:

 

 

 

 

Why are you all so confident in JL making the $100M? I have always doubted it. From the very beginning JL has been behind Thor 3's numbers (ow, daily ...) and the gap between their cumulative box office has been increasing ever since JL opening day. 

 

Thor 3 ow: $55M (Thu: 1,12M - Fri: 16,07M - Sat: 22,02M - Sun: 15,79M) 

JL ow: $52,36M (Thu: 1,33M - Fri: 15,28M - Sat: 21,17M - Sun: 14,58M)   -------------------------> +2,64M for Thor 3.

 

Thor 3 week1: Mon: 5,99M - Tue: 5,02M - Wed: 4,49M - Thu: 3,88M) = 74,38M 1st week

JL week1: Mon: 4,86M - Tue: 4,05M - Wed: 3,55M - Thu: 3,09M) = 67,92M 1st week   ----------> +6,46M for Thor 3.

 

Thor 3 we#2: (Fri: 4,80M ...) = 79,18M after 8 days.

JL we#2: (Fri: 3,82M ...) = 71,74M after 8 days.  -------------------------------------------------------> +7,44M for Thor 3.

 

Only on thursday night previews JL made more than Thor 3. Ever since, Thor 3 has outcome JL #s' day after day.

 

The gap is now on 7,44M and seems it will increase day after day. If Thor 3 is now at 110M with a final cume to 111 or 112 max. If you detract the gap to Thor 3 cume, 111-7,44 = 103,56 final for JL if it matches Thor 3 numbers daily from now on, which seems pretty unfeasible.  

 

I think JL is gonna struggle to reach the 100M imo. Even more if Coco's ow and further performance increases daily as it seems to be for this opening week (cutting JL's legs).

 

Unless there's a holiday in China these coming days that will give JL some extra 2-3M, I think JL is out of the 100M club.

 

Holiday on tuesday and nothing big next weekend. Should be over 600 mill by tuesday and rest is no problem

[seduh]

Amazing for Coco, it will be funny to folow it's box office at least for three weeks

[A Marvel Fanboy]

The Monkey King (3D) Zootopia (3D) Coco (3D) Maoyan 　 9.3 　 　 9.5 　 　 9.6 　 Day Daily Gross (RMB/M) Change (%) Cume Gross  (RMB/M) Daily Gross  (RMB/M) Change  (%) Cume Gross (RMB/M) Daily Gross (RMB/M) Change (%) Cume Gross (RMB/M) Thu 　 　 　 　 　 　 　 　 　 Fri 18 -% 28 23 -% 23 12 -% 12 Sat 29 61.1% 57 60.5 163.0% 83.5 44 266.7% 56 Sun 40.5 39.7% 97.5 72.5 19.8% 156 60 36.4% 116 Mon 39.6 -2.2% 137.1 36.5 -49.7% 192.5 　 　 　 Tue 58 46.5% 195.1 69 89.0% 238.5 　 　 　 Wed 66 13.8% 261.1 44.5 -35.5% 306 　 　 　 Thu 49 -25.8% 310.1 43 -3.4% 349 　 　 　 Fri 37 -24.5% 347.1 72 67.4% 421 　 　 　 Sat 63 70.3% 410.1 170 136.1% 591 　 　 　 Sun 62 -1.6% 472.1 150 -11.8% 741 　 　 　 Mon 31 -50.0% 503.1 43 -71.3% 784 　 　 　 Tue 28.5 -8.1% 531.6 38 -11.6% 822 　 　 　 Wed 25.2 -11.6% 556.8 33.5 -11.8% 855.5 　 　 　 Thu 22.2 -11.9% 579 29 -13.4% 884.5 　 　 　 Fri 21 -5.4% 600 47 62.1% 931.5 　 　 　 Sat 38.1 81.4% 638.1 109 131.9% 1040.5 　 　 　 Sun 39 2.4% 677.1 86 -21.1% 1126.5 　 　 　 Mon 17 -56.4% 694.1 18.5 -78.5% 1145 　 　 　 Tue 16.7 -1.8% 710.8 17 -8.1% 1162 　 　 　 Wed 15 -10.2% 725.8 15.2 -10.6% 1177.2 　 　 　 Thu 9.6 -36.0% 735.4 14 -7.9% 1191.2 　 　 　 Fri 9.8 2.1% 745.2 19.4 38.6% 1210.6 　 　 　 Sat 20 104.1% 765.2 50 157.7% 1260.6 　 　 　 Sun 21.2 6.0% 786.4 43 -14.0% 1303.6 　 　 　 Mon 9.7 -54.2% 796.1 10 -76.7% 1313.6 　 　 　 Tue 10.2 5.2% 806.3 10 0.0% 1323.6 　 　 　 Wed 9.7 -4.9% 816 9 -10.0% 1332.6 　 　 　 Thu 7.8 -19.6% 823.8 9 0.0% 1341.6 　 　 　 Fri 7 -10.3% 830.8 10 11.1% 1351.6 　 　 　 Sat 13 85.7% 843.8 32 220.0% 1383.6 　 　 　 Sun 15 15.4% 858.8 32 0.0% 1415.6 　 　 　 first 30 days 　 　 858.8 　 　 1415.6 　 　 　 All #s excluding service fees

Edited November 25, 2017 by firedeep