China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[POTUS 2020]

good hold by F7, it will be at $348 by sunday. ¿$360 finish?

standard drop 60-70% will bring it in at 352m~

the 3 day holiday could boost that considerably, don't know how much w 13% of screens,  2 movies last year bumped over the previous weekend. Could be 360m by sunday. or greater. another 10-12m+ after the weekend

[The Futurist]

It seems that April 2015 Box office just doubles April 2014.

Yeah, I have other sources confirming this, China box office is booming like crazy this year, any explantions why the sudden burst ?

[Quigley]

No, AOU midnights won't come close to FF7 because its not opening on a weekend.

Update release date:

Tomorrowland will open May 26th, 4 days than previous date, good news for AOU it will have one more competition-free weekend.

San Andreas - June 2nd

Jurrasic World - June 10th

Insurgent - June 13th (should be last Hollywood movie before local protection period)

What about competition from domestic films?

[Olive]

Yeah, I have other sources confirming this, China box office is booming like crazy this year, any explantions why the sudden burst ?

more and more discount tickets nowadays 

 

What about competition from domestic films?

No big local movie before mid -June.

[Olive]

AOU gewara numbers almost hit 10k 12 days pre-release, and Wanda cinemas the biggest chain haven't started selling.

 

AOU's target demo is students and teens so its presales will be good.

[Olive]

How FF7 Gewara numbers developed:

2015-04-01 10:45 - 15

2015-04-02 08:39 -139

2015-04-03 07:57 - 856

2015-04-04 08:11 - 4,166

2015-04-05 08:03 - 9,352

2015-04-06 18:11 - 22,717

2015-04-07 08:26 - 28,380

2015-04-07 18:40 - 81,588

2015-04-08 00:32 - 99,682

2015-04-08 07:25 -101,494

2015-04-09 00:58 -141,564

2015-04-09 17:31-167,068

2015-04-10 00:45 -193,250 

2015-04-10 19:37 - 286,403

2015-04-10 23:22 - 319,921

2015-04-11 23:36 - 472,900

2015-04-12 00:00 midnight shows started

[Neo]

No, AOU midnights won't come close to FF7 because its not opening on a weekend.

 

Update release date:

Tomorrowland will open May 26th, 4 days than previous date, good news for AOU it will have one more competition-free weekend.

San Andreas - June 2nd

Jurrasic World - June 10th

Insurgent - June 13th (should be last Hollywood movie before local protection period)

But can't AOU surpass F7 in pre-sales?

[Olive]

But can't AOU surpass F7 in pre-sales?

F7 pre-sales exploded in the last days pre- release, not sure the same will happen to AOU.

[Olive]

Surprise! FF7 will win this May day holiday weekend, it won't drop today despite losing half showtimes.

Local openers underperforming.

[alee7915]

Surprise! FF7 will win this May day holiday weekend, it won't drop today despite losing half showtimes.

Local openers underperforming.

 

Are you fan of Mariah Carey?

[DayTripper]

Insurgent - June 13th (should be last Hollywood movie before local protection period)

 

How long will the protection period last?

[Olive]

How long will the protection period last?

6.19 - 7.31

[SchumacherFTW]

Has anyone else noticed that Jurassic World is coming out in China before pretty much anywhere else yet?

[Quigley]

Basically the date change is a slaughter for Tomorrowland. Although anything above $700M will be good for that film and it doesn't need China to achieve it.

[abra]

Has anyone else noticed that Jurassic World is coming out in China before pretty much anywhere else yet?

 

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[POTUS 2020]

Surprise! FF7 will win this May day holiday weekend, it won't drop today despite losing half showtimes.

Local openers underperforming.

im not surprised. Been looking for this for two weeks and pissed off FD over it. The question is will it get more showtimes if its beating the new releases today and how strong can it hold? Was hoping it could be up over 50%+ from yesterday.

 

Not dropping from yesterday or do you mean last thursday?

Edited April 30, 2015 by No Prisoners

[fmpro]

AOU gewara numbers almost hit 10k 12 days pre-release, and Wanda cinemas the biggest chain haven't started selling.

 

AOU's target demo is students and teens so its presales will be good.

Almost 12k now

So far so good

[Olive]

Thursday(4/30/2015) estimates

#/Title: Daily(yuan)~Total(yuan)~Total($)

1.You Are My Sunshine: 63M~63M ~$10.1M including $2.2M Previews

 

2.Furious 7: 31.4M~2122M~$342.2M #1 all time grosser

 

3.Helios: 31.2M~31.2M~$5M

 

4.The Left Ear: 21.2M~302M~$48.7M

 

5.Home: 4.6M~65.6M~$10.6M

 

Incredible hold for F7, 400M usd?

Edited April 30, 2015 by Johnny Storm

[POTUS 2020]

 

Incredible hold for F7, 400M usd?

 

Holiday bump in effect. If it follows Classmate's pattern for the next 3 days as shown in the projection, it will have a $22m weekend and fall way short. 380m~

I was hoping for a better hold the past several days and bigger bump today off of that.

It needs to do something sick tomorrow and hold like a mo'fo' next week to get to 390's

		TF4								FF7
Day	Yuan	% +/-	Last Week	Total	$ Tot		Yuan	% +/-	Last Week	TF4 vs FF7	Total	$ Tot	% Cume
Fri	195			195	32
Sat	223	14.4%		418	69		51	- MN
Sun	213	-4.6%		631	103		347			63.1%	398	64	-37.9%
Mon	123	-42.1%		754	124		185	-46.7%		50.3%	583	94	-23.9%
Tues	112	-8.9%		866	142		167	-9.7%		48.8%	750	121	-14.8%
Wed	95	-15.7%		961	157		137	-18.0%		44.8%	887	143	-9.2%
Thur	84	-11.0%		1045	171		115	-16.1%		36.6%	1002	162	-5.6%
Fri	87	3.4%	-55.3%	1132	186		142	23.8%		63.5%	1144.4	185	-0.5%
Sat	130	48.8%	-41.9%	1262	207		226	59.0%		74.7%	1370.8	221	6.9%
Sun	118	-9.0%	-44.6%	1379	226		185	-18.1%	-46.6%	57.3%	1556.2	251	11.0%
Mon	54	-58.33%	-56.1%	1433	235		73	-60.6%	-60.5%	35.2%	1629.2	263	11.8%
Tue	53	-1.85%	-52.8%	1486	244		64	-11.8%	-61.4%	21.5%	1694	273	12.1%
Wed	43	-18.87%	-54.5%	1529	251		52	-18.6%	-61.8%	21.9%	1746	282	12.3%
Thu	39	-9.30%	-53.7%	1568	257		45	-14.1%	-60.9%	15.4%	1791	289	12.4%
Fri	42	7.69%	-51.8%	1610	264		59	31.1%	-58.6%	40.5%	1850	298	13.0%
Sat	62	47.62%	-52.2%	1672	274		92	55.1%	-59.6%	47.6%	1942	313	14.2%
Sun	58	-6.45%	-50.8%	1730	284		69	-24.6%	-62.8%	19.0%	2011	324	14.3%
Mon	26	-55.17%	-51.9%	1756	288		26	-62.3%	-64.4%	0.0%	2037	328	14.1%
Tue	28	7.69%	-47.2%	1784	293		26	0.0%	-59.6%	-7.1%	2063	333	13.7%
Wed	23	-17.86%	-46.5%	1807	296		24	-8.8%	-54.8%	3.0%	2086	336	13.6%
Thu	18	-21.74%	-53.8%	1825	299		31	32.5%	-30.2%	74.4%	2118	342	14.1%
Fri	16.7	-7.22%	-60.2%	1842	302	P	55	75.2%	-6.8%	229.3%	2173	350	16.0%
Sat	15.5	-7.19%	-75.0%	1858	305	P	50	-9.1%	-45.4%	222.6%	2223	358	17.7%
Sun	25.3	63.23%	-56.4%	1883	309	P	35	-30.0%	-49.3%	38.3%	2258	364	18.0%
					April	30	-	May	3 Bump	2014
			Classmate							CA2
	April	Yuan	May	Yuan	Pr/Day	Pre/wk	April	Yuan	Prev/wk	May	Yuan	Pr/day	Prev/wk
			W A30	29	55.1%		Wed	7.0		W A30	5.5	96.4%	-14%
	Thu		Thu M1	51	75.9%		Thu	7.0	-45%	Th M1	11	100.0%	57%
	Fri	22.0	Fri M2	46	-9.8%	109%	Fri	5.8	-51%	Fri M2	13	18.2%	124%
	Sat	39.3	Sat M3	32	-30.4%	-19%	Sat	10.4	53%	Sat M3	8	-38.5%	-23%
	Sun	36.5	Sun	13	-59.4%	-64%	Sun	9.0	-53%	Sun	closed
	Mon	21.4					Mon	4.7	-47%
	Tue	18.7					Tue	2.8	-61%
	Fri-Sat	61	Fri-Sat	78		27.2%	W-Sat	30.2		W-Sat	38		24.2%
	Fri-Mon	119.2	W-Sat	158		32.6%

[A Marvel Fanboy]

For FF7, It looks like 2122m + 62m (+100%) + 62m + 43m = 2289m $369m by Sunday, $4m more than my $365m best scenario prediction last week. No Prisoner's $390m by Sunday is not even close, even a little more off than a failed predictor $351m (worst scenario) prediction.

 

 

Looks FF7 could win five weeks in a row. 277m this week, Chappie wont do more than 80m next week.

 

 

Sadly both Helios and Silent Separation underperformed. Le Vision's distrbution is a mess, they can not even beat Enlight (The Left Ear) with a property like Silent Separation....

 

Helio probably would lose some money with a 120m production budget.

 

The reason JW got June 10 is because, as I implied earlier, protection period starts June 19, and there are so many more HW movies to be released after the protection period. It is actually unclear if  the protection period will end by July 31. If so, it would mean a day and date release for MI5 and other HW big movies like T5, AntMan ... could also open in August. More likely, some of these would go Sep or even Oct. But we shall see.

 

 

Anyway, JW could be the next HW blockbuster that does more in China than at home.