XXRDJisDoctorDoom Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 5 minutes ago, Fake said: $150M is dead. $140M is dead. $130M is dead. $125M is probably also dead. $120M will be a good total from here. How can that be if it will be at $100 million through Sunday? It's only gonna make $20 million more after that? I don't see how it only does $20 million more after $100 million in 9 days. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FranMan Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 (edited) I think they're basing their projections on the current drop rate and the potential percentage of screens ceded to the new wide releases this weekend. Edited January 14, 2016 by FranMan Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 (edited) 13 minutes ago, VenomXXR said: How can that be if it will be at $100 million through Sunday? It's only gonna make $20 million more after that? I don't see how it only does $20 million more after $100 million in 9 days. HIGH END: a/o Thursday: $75M FRI-SUN: $25M MON-THU: $10M FRI-SUN: $10M (-60% drop) MON-THU: $4M FRI-SUN: $3M (-70% drop, KFP3 opens) REST: $2M That's $129M, and that's the high end I'm thinking more likely FRI-SUN: $22M MON-THU: $9M FRI-SUN: $8M (-64%) MON-THU: $3M FRI-SUN: $2M (-75%) REST: $1M TOTAL: $120M Edited January 14, 2016 by Fake 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXRDJisDoctorDoom Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 6 minutes ago, Fake said: HIGH END: a/o Thursday: $75M FRI-SUN: $25M MON-THU: $10M FRI-SUN: $10M (-60% drop) MON-THU: $4M FRI-SUN: $3M (-70% drop, KFP3 opens) REST: $2M That's $129M, and that's the high end I'm thinking more likely FRI-SUN: $22M MON-THU: $9M FRI-SUN: $8M (-64%) MON-THU: $3M FRI-SUN: $2M (-75%) REST: $1M TOTAL: $120M Well that sucks lol I remember the enthusiasm when presales started picking up and it was tracking for somewhere near $50 million OD (that only lasted about 2 hours or something). I think it was @No Prisoners who said (at that point of course) that with a "gun to his head" he'd estimate it would do $250 million! Then the bottom fell out! Now we won't even get half of that!! Spoiler Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lihongkim Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 If all members of Running Man China a ambassador, It wills help SW7 a lots. Everyone loves RM. Unfortunately,they were promoting Devil & Angel at that time. Damn!!! 4.5/10 made over 600M Yuan. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Polaroids Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 30 minutes ago, Lihongkim said: If all members of Running Man China a ambassador, It wills help SW7 a lots. Everyone loves RM. Unfortunately,they were promoting Devil & Angel at that time. Damn!!! 4.5/10 made over 600M Yuan. That's actually pretty doubtful. Their popularity is waning and ratings have dropped by a lot - plus the embarrassing controversies aren't helping them (the RM/Australia issue, the Luhan/Zheng Kai issue). Season 2 of Running Man had higher ratings and more positive audience response. Deng Chao has always been pretty famous outside of RM, as is his relationship with Sun Li, which is why Devil and Angel did well box office-wise but after the overwhelmingly negative response, I don't see them helping much either. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted January 14, 2016 Author Share Posted January 14, 2016 Besides those imports: Batman v Superman Captain America: Civil War X-Men Warcraft Alice in Wonderland 2 Independence Day 2 Star Trek: Beyond Bourne 5 Suicide Squad Ice Age 5 Doctor Strange Fantastic Beasts Local releases that could also outgross SW7: Kung Fu Panda 3 The Mermaid The Man from Macao 3 The Great Wall The Monkey King 2 Crazy Aliens L.O.R.D Rail Road Tigers I am Li Xuelian Chongqing Hot Po Finding Mr Right 2 The Three-Body Problem Ip Man 3 The Lost Tomb Not considering sleep hits ... 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted January 14, 2016 Author Share Posted January 14, 2016 42 minutes ago, Lihongkim said: If all members of Running Man China a ambassador, It wills help SW7 a lots. Everyone loves RM. Unfortunately,they were promoting Devil & Angel at that time. Damn!!! 4.5/10 made over 600M Yuan. SW7 was actually featured on one of the RM shows I believe. 1 hour ago, FranMan said: Ah, I see. Didn't know that their popularity dipped. Thanks. Maybe not exactly "popularity dipped" (at least we don't know yet until their next film comes out), more like "a little criticisim crisis" ... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FranMan Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Pride and Prejudice and Zombies in with a shout too, seeming. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Firedeep with most Hollywood movies underperforming what is the expectation for BvS, CA3 and X-Men? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KP1025 Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 3 minutes ago, FranMan said: Pride and Prejudice and Zombies in with a shout too, seeming. Surprised Independence Day 2 not in Top 5. Seems very Transformers-like with giant CGI sequences and sci-fi action. I think it has a shot at $300+ million more so than the rest on that list. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted January 14, 2016 Author Share Posted January 14, 2016 22 minutes ago, druv10 Maul said: Firedeep with most Hollywood movies underperforming what is the expectation for BvS, CA3 and X-Men? Ideally, each could do up to 1.5B but I think BVS will be lowest of the three as Zack's movies always seem to lack female power 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sgchn40 Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 16 minutes ago, KP1025 said: Surprised Independence Day 2 not in Top 5. Seems very Transformers-like with giant CGI sequences and sci-fi action. I think it has a shot at $300+ million more so than the rest on that list. Indeed, especially since it has Angela Baby. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted January 14, 2016 Author Share Posted January 14, 2016 24 minutes ago, FranMan said: Pride and Prejudice and Zombies in with a shout too, seeming. 16 minutes ago, KP1025 said: Surprised Independence Day 2 not in Top 5. Seems very Transformers-like with giant CGI sequences and sci-fi action. I think it has a shot at $300+ million more so than the rest on that list. Doubaners are not general audience .... PPZ might not even get released, let alone be top 5 at CBO ... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FranMan Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 I'm guessing it's down to lack of awareness. Other than the first trailer that dropped, probably not much marketing has been done since or at least beeped on the Chinese radar. I can see BvS. Cap 3 and Warcraft making the 200-300m blockbuster club, and more depending on how much more the movie hits with the audience. X-Men would have to depend more on early reviews and WOM, IMO. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KP1025 Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 I'm not sure about Warcraft. I know the game is popular in China, but the movie doesn't look interesting to me at all as a former player. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FranMan Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 8 minutes ago, firedeep said: Doubaners are not general audience .... Is it because Duoban users comprise Chinese members from not just China (i.e. HK, Taiwan, Singapore, Malaysia) or is it because the users are more cultural critics and less general audience? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted January 14, 2016 Author Share Posted January 14, 2016 1 hour ago, FranMan said: more cultural critics Doubaners are more into Oscar movies, arthouse movies and commercial blockbusters headlined by Oscar actors/directors ... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerPaw Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 3 hours ago, KP1025 said: I'm not sure about Warcraft. I know the game is popular in China, but the movie doesn't look interesting to me at all as a former player. Me neither, saw the trailer and lost my appetite. Haha. Will be interesting to see which 1 gross more in China, Independence Day or Warcraft. Bvs or Cap America 3. Fun year. =) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Go fighting looks to underperform, under 150M yuan 3 day possible. KFP3 should really be pushed forward for a week or two... 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
