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China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

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Really? They look low to me.

The sunday to monday drop was steep. Tuesday and Wed drops were normalI think its headed to around 90 mill $. Lets see what happens friday
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TF4 has been moved up to 6.25 ? that's a surprise. But I think it's a little pointless since 6.27 is already so close to Godzilla (unless TF4 has been moved to 6.25 in NA as well.) Godzilla and TF4 both have too similar type of audience.

 

IMO China Film should have interchanged the release dates of Edge of Tomorrow (6.6) and Godzilla (6.13). That would be good for all three: Edge, Godzilla, TF4.

 

Real summer holidays wont start until 7.1~7.10 in majority schools.

No change in TF4's North American release-- it is still set for 6.27.

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Will it bounce back this weekend?

Early Friday Showtimes share

Coming Home  39.9% 

TASM2  26.03% (28% at last ?)

 

I think it's not bad for spidey.

 

My prediction:

Mon.  16.37M

Tues.  16.41M

Wed.  15.30M(Est.)

Thur.  13.0M(-15%)

Fri.    20.2M(+55%)

Sat.  37.4M(+85%)

Sun. 28.1M(-25%)

 

147.1M

Edited by nVIDIADriver
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Spidey will do fine this weekend, only 3D show and only imported film of note (yes, specifically referring to you, Jason Statham) on screens...plus, family auds will be back, no other animated to distract it.  Next week will be a different story with X out in full force (go X-men!).

 

Just don't see Coming Home, despite the huge show count share, to be 500 mil huge, it will do 300 thereabouts methinks.

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Realistic prediction for TF4? 250M USD?I'm assuming it's going to be big, but how big?

I'm guessing 220M or so, it depends on how long of a period it will be without 3D or foreign pic for it to dominate.  I can't/don't see local films that can hold this off (sorry tiny times 3) so depends on how soon Dragon 2 or Dawn of the Planet of the Apes come up.

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There are some little increases for spidey 

 

Sun. 61.14M

Mon. 36.33M

Tues. 34.32M

Wed. 28.32M

Thur. 23.95M

Fri. 38.90M(+62.4%,much better than estimate)

Sat. 75.02M(+92.9%,still amazing)

Sun. 52.22M(-30.4%)

Mon. 16.41M

Tues. 16.66M

Wed. 14.27M

Thur. 13.40M(Est.)

 

 

Friday Showtimes share(final)

Coming Home  33.51% 

TASM2  26.48% (beyond my expectation :D )

 

My prediction for today is 21M(+56%).

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There are some little increases for spidey 

 

Sun. 61.14M

Mon. 36.33M

Tues. 34.32M

Wed. 28.32M

Thur. 23.95M

Fri. 38.90M(+62.4%,much better than estimate)

Sat. 75.02M(+92.9%,still amazing)

Sun. 52.22M(-30.4%)

Mon. 16.41M

Tues. 16.66M

Wed. 14.27M

Thur. 13.40M(Est.)

 

 

Friday Showtimes share(final)

Coming Home  33.51% 

TASM2  26.48% (beyond my expectation :D )

 

My prediction for today is 21M(+56%).

 

So this Thu is 44% less than last Thu. That's decent right? I think Mon to Mon and Tue to Tue drops worried people but not to forget, Mon and Tue were days 2 and 3 because of the weird release. So the weekday to weekday drops were going to big in the early part of 2nd week at least. I think the drops should stabilize over the weekend and next week.

 

mon to mon : -54.8%

tue to tue : -51.5%

wed to wed : -49.6%

thu to thu : -44.0%

Edited by a2k
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