CoolioD1 Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 12 Years a Slave American Hustle Captain Phillips Dallas Buyers Club Gravity Her Nebraska Saving Mr. Banks The Wolf of Wall Street Agree w/ this 100% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 Don't get the confidence in DBC getting a spot. It missed the globes, the BFCA and the BAFTA. It only showed some stregth in the PGA wide 10 list. It was an obvious SAG nominee, but that only shows actors loved that films while the best picture race is decided by a totally different type of voters. Also, the support for heavy acting vehicles will spread through 12YAS, AH and Nebraska. ONTOH, Philomena got three of the main precursors (Globe, BFCA, BAFTA), has the British touch (sooo important), is friendlier to the Academy tastes, and is having a very good BO run. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 Dallas Buyers Club didn't miss with the BFCA, also it's SAG ensemble nomination was seen as a surprise by most, as well as it's WGA nomination over the Coen brothers, who are favorites there. And it got a nomination from the costume design guild over some baitier choices. There's a lot of love for that film, man. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 Sorry. I skipped the BFCA nom for DBC. I'm still not sure about its chances... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pieman Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 ONTOH, Philomena got three of the main precursors (Globe, BFCA, BAFTA), has the British touch (sooo important), is friendlier to the Academy tastes, and is having a very good BO run. I think Philomena is well liked but this category is just so damn crowded this year and maybe it's just too small a film to stand out. It didn't get BFCA and I think the Globe and BAFTA noms are justifiable without bearing any significance on the Oscar race. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 Philomena's BAFTA nom you could just say is them throwing a British film in the line-up, because it's kinda obligatory for them and the golden globe nom could be justified by saying it was a sorta weaker field. I mean, so many of the contenders were over in the comedy/musical category this year, anyway. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pieman Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 (edited) Philomena's BAFTA nom you could just say is them throwing a British film in the line-up, because it's kinda obligatory for them and the golden globe nom could be justified by saying it was a sorta weaker field. I mean, so many of the contenders were over in the comedy/musical category this year, anyway. I think Saving Mr. Banks has a better chance but they are both targeting the same demographic. Philomena got in because the HFPA really loved it disproportionately to everyone else. It got in for BAFTA because it's the token Brit Best Picture nominee. Saving Mr Banks may have not gotten the globe nod for Best Picture either because the Disney thing didn't translate to some of the foreign journalists or because it was sort of on the cusp of Drama and Comedy, and they didn't think it had the gravitas to compete in Drama. I also maintain that SMB missed the SAG ensemble nod because it's a film about Hollywood and the creative process that almost entirely shuns the role of actors. I still think the film is a near lock for a nomination and I think a lot of the cynics that have been rallying against the film are going to look foolish for shutting it out of their predictions. Edited January 9, 2014 by pieman 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blankments Posted January 10, 2014 Share Posted January 10, 2014 Philomena's BAFTA nom you could just say is them throwing a British film in the line-up, because it's kinda obligatory for them and the golden globe nom could be justified by saying it was a sorta weaker field. I mean, so many of the contenders were over in the comedy/musical category this year, anyway. On an unrelated note, I have no idea what qualifies American Hustle as a Comedy while Mr. Banks was under Drama. American Hustle wasn't funny at all, and even though Banks was very heartwrenching at points, it also gave quite a few laughs. It's much more a dramedy than Hustle was 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted January 10, 2014 Author Share Posted January 10, 2014 Okay I want to get more people to do the Oscar predict game-maybe somehow this should be mentioned in the other forms.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dark Alfred Posted January 10, 2014 Share Posted January 10, 2014 I think Philomena is in. Would love DBC to get in,but I think it will narrowly miss out, just like ILD. My surprise pick is Fruitvale, if enough members saw the film it should be in despite getting no recognition lately. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted January 10, 2014 Author Share Posted January 10, 2014 I kind of see Philomena being a Beasts/Loud and Close of 2013. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted January 10, 2014 Author Share Posted January 10, 2014 I'll start the 2014 thread when the nominees go up.(BTW I think Gone Girl will be something to mention in there) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted January 10, 2014 Author Share Posted January 10, 2014 (edited) Okay-what movie is ILD?Edit: Nevermind, it's the Coen brothers film, when he said it misses out I thought he meant a film that missed out recently and I was trying to think of one. Edited January 10, 2014 by Impact Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted January 10, 2014 Author Share Posted January 10, 2014 You know-this will be the first time since we have had 10 noms where no pre October release gets a BP nom unless if something magically sneaks in. (well 10 noms in modern times of course as I'm not counting the old days ) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pieman Posted January 10, 2014 Share Posted January 10, 2014 (edited) I think the internet film snobs are way overestimating Inside Llewyn Davis and Her. I think only one of them can get into Best Picture and it will probably be Her because it's had a much better precursor run. It's like when people were still predicting The Master and Moonrise Kingdom to get nominated despite little precursor support. I also think that Dallas Buyers Club, despite doing well with the guilds, could get ignored in Best Picture (it seems to me like the type of film that would have a hard time generating that many number 1 votes). This would leave space for the more conventional but Academy friendly films like Philomena and Saving Mr Banks to get in. Which I think is what will happen. Edited January 10, 2014 by pieman 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted January 10, 2014 Share Posted January 10, 2014 I know no one currs but chris hemsworth announcing the nominations. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ezen Baklattan Posted January 10, 2014 Share Posted January 10, 2014 I like to think of Harvey potentially not getting a nod this year as karma for butchering Snowpiercer's U.S. release by cutting out a lot. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted January 10, 2014 Share Posted January 10, 2014 I like to think of it as karma for just being Harvey Weinstein in general. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Posted January 10, 2014 Share Posted January 10, 2014 I like to think of Harvey potentially not getting a nod this year as karma for butchering Snowpiercer's U.S. release by cutting out a lot.And not even giving it a 2013 release or any confirmed release dates at all for that matter. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leyla Posted January 11, 2014 Share Posted January 11, 2014 (edited) I know no one currs but chris hemsworth announcing the nominations. u're wrong the only news better would be is that they're announcing together with Bruhl Edited January 11, 2014 by Tauriel Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
