Marathon Posted May 9, 2019 Share Posted May 9, 2019 45 minutes ago, Nakamura said: How much in USD EG has now? Prediction for the weekend? I don't know the average ticket price for EG, so this is just a guess, but using Infinity War's average ticket price gets you 2 894 048 € for the current admissions, which with the current exchange rate is 3 241 334 USD. As for the coming weekend, I have no idea. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marathon Posted May 13, 2019 Share Posted May 13, 2019 Pokémon Detective Pikachu opened over a normal FSS frame and posted 22 294 admissions. It's an alright start, and certainly better than any recent videogame movie opener. Just gotta hope for legs now. Holdovers: Avengers: Endgame dropped 55.3% in its 3rd weekend, a rather harsh but understandable drop, as so much demand has been burnt up now. And even with that, it was still a big weekend for Endgame in terms of admissions (22 481), slightly bigger than Pikachu's opening. If it drops in the same ballpark next weekend, crossing 300k admissions could be postponed to the weekend after it. It currently has 279 449 admissions. Tolkien dropped 40.9% from its opening weekend. It's decent, but I would have liked a softer drop because its opening wasn't that big. 47 659 admissions so far. Otherwise... not much to report, really. Let's hope the following weekends bring out some fireworks, even though John Wick 3 won't probably bring them here, as the last JW movie did 37 194 admissions in 2017. Room to grow, of course, but still, I'm not expecting big numbers for it. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danhtruong5 Posted May 13, 2019 Share Posted May 13, 2019 17 minutes ago, Marathon said: Pokémon Detective Pikachu opened over a normal FSS frame and posted 22 294 admissions. It's an alright start, and certainly better than any recent videogame movie opener. Just gotta hope for legs now. Holdovers: Avengers: Endgame dropped 55.3% in its 3rd weekend, a rather harsh but understandable drop, as so much demand has been burnt up now. And even with that, it was still a big weekend for Endgame in terms of admissions (22 481), slightly bigger than Pikachu's opening. If it drops in the same ballpark next weekend, crossing 300k admissions could be postponed to the weekend after it. It currently has 279 449 admissions. Tolkien dropped 40.9% from its opening weekend. It's decent, but I would have liked a softer drop because its opening wasn't that big. 47 659 admissions so far. Otherwise... not much to report, really. Let's hope the following weekends bring out some fireworks, even though John Wick 3 won't probably bring them here, as the last JW movie did 37 194 admissions in 2017. Room to grow, of course, but still, I'm not expecting big numbers for it. How much in USD for Endgame now? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marathon Posted May 13, 2019 Share Posted May 13, 2019 (edited) On 5/13/2019 at 3:06 PM, danhtruong5 said: How much in USD for Endgame now? Reverse-engineering from Box Office Mojo's last Finland gross update gets the average ticket price to €13 (not sure if that's right but let's go with that). So the gross could be something like 4 068 777 USD now. Edited May 20, 2019 by Marathon Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marathon Posted May 22, 2019 Share Posted May 22, 2019 John Wick: Chapter 3 had a 5-day opening and posted 21 591 admissions. Comparison to the previous chapter (JW2) is a bit difficult because that had a normal FSS opening with 7 208 admissions. JW2 finished its run with 37 194 admissions, a healthy 5.16x multiplier. JW3 probably won't reach that multi due to being a 5-day opener. Still, it should reach at least 60k admissions. Maybe the finish is somewhere between 60-80k. Holdovers: Pokémon Detective Pikachu dropped 50.5% from its opening weekend. Not gonna lie, that feels like a disappointing drop because Pikachu's opening was not inflated by previews at all - it had literally zero preview screenings! Overall admissions 45 462 so far. Let's hope for a better drop this coming weekend. Avengers: Endgame suffered another harsh drop, 56.5% this time. EG is definitely running out of fuel, but it doesn't perhaps matter because it's already done so much. Especially now that it crossed 300k admissions (300 108), a historic total for a superhero movie: no previous CBM/superhero movie had crossed 300k admissions here before. Tolkien suffered a horrendous 58.4% drop. While I wouldn't put this run into a "bomb" category, it's definitely a bitter disappointment, especially when its per-theater-average is not all that great. Overall admissions 62 367 so far. Let's hope the summer blockbuster season will bring some much needed fireworks because the overall state of the box office is very anemic right now. 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marathon Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 Aladdin had a 5-day opening and posted 38 688 admissions. What's a good comp? I don't know, but let's go with Beauty and the Beast. That one opened, albeit over a normal FSS frame, with 52 059 admissions back in 2017. BatB finished its run with 259 558 admissions, a just under 5x multiplier. Aladdin likely won't get such a multi, but it should do at least 120k admissions. We'll see how it goes. Holdovers: John Wick: Chapter 3 dropped a hefty 67.6% from its 5-day opening, but a softer 44.2% from its FSS portion. Hard to say much about this yet due to how weekend-heavy the 5-day opening was. Total admissions 34 497 so far. Pokémon Detective Pikachu held surprisingly well against Aladdin (IF it was somewhat direct competition) with a 40.7% drop. Total admissions 57 947 so far. Avengers: Endgame recorded, perhaps surprisingly, its first decent drop in a while with 41.8%. Total admissions 310 462 so far. Well well well... Tolkien somehow managed a genuinely unbelievable drop, 17.4%(!!). Where the hell did this drop come from? I haven't got the slightest idea. Hopefully this isn't just a temporary bright spot in an otherwise disappointing run. Late legs, yes, hopefully? Milestone: Dumbo crossed 100k admissions (100 256), a good milestone - and it's holding quite well late into its run - but it looks like it will fall just short of my original (hypothetical) projection of 120k admissions at the end of its run. 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marathon Posted June 4, 2019 Share Posted June 4, 2019 Unfortunately, the openers didn't bring much excitement to the box office... Rocketman opened over a 5-day frame and posted 19 531 admissions. If this was a 3-day opening, the result would be more encouraging. Now, its 5-day haul is only somewhat better than A Star Is Born's 3-day opening (14 634). And whereas ASIB had crossover potential (which it then realized, as proved by its astonishing legs here), I'm struggling to see Rocketman expanding much beyond its core audience. Which makes the timing of the release absolutely perplexing. During fall/awards season, it might have been able to reach out to more older adults and stretch its legs, but now, during summertime, Rocketman might be viewed as something you can skip, with more blockbuster-y and family offerings about to dominate the landscape. Godzilla: King of the Monsters also had a 5-day opening, and struggled with a measly 11 485 admissions. Even for a 3-day opening that would be poor, but for a 5-day opening the result is abysmal. Compared to the 2014 Godzilla (which also had a 5-day opening), the opening is down by 47.8%. Maybe this is not that huge of a surprise, as compared to the 2014 film, KotM had very limited hooks to offer to general audiences. It was basically "more Godzilla, but with different enemies", and it wasn't enough to move the needle this time, sadly. Holdovers: Aladdin dropped 54.6% from its 5-day opening, and a pretty sweet 37.6% from its FSS portion. Certainly an encouraging early performance for this movie, and the prospect of over 120k admissions are looking good. Total admissions 77 377 so far. John Wick: Chapter 3 dropped a nice 40.2% from last weekend. It's looking to develop quite solid legs. Total admissions 44 088 so far. Pokémon Detective Pikachu had a very similar drop to last time, 40.1%. Another solid weekend performance. Total admissions 67 634 so far. Avengers: Endgame had another great drop, only 32.2%. Looks like it could over 330k admissions at the end of its run. Total admissions 318 581 so far. Tolkien did not thankfully return to lackluster drops, instead, it managed a still great 32.6% drop this time. It can hopefully still do over 100k admissions at the end of its run. Total admissions 80 084 so far. 5 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunny Max Posted June 4, 2019 Share Posted June 4, 2019 1 hour ago, Marathon said: Unfortunately, the openers didn't bring much excitement to the box office... Rocketman opened over a 5-day frame and posted 19 531 admissions. If this was a 3-day opening, the result would be more encouraging. Now, its 5-day haul is only somewhat better than A Star Is Born's 3-day opening (14 634). And whereas ASIB had crossover potential (which it then realized, as proved by its astonishing legs here), I'm struggling to see Rocketman expanding much beyond its core audience. Which makes the timing of the release absolutely perplexing. During fall/awards season, it might have been able to reach out to more older adults and stretch its legs, but now, during summertime, Rocketman might be viewed as something you can skip, with more blockbuster-y and family offerings about to dominate the landscape. Godzilla: King of the Monsters also had a 5-day opening, and struggled with a measly 11 485 admissions. Even for a 3-day opening that would be poor, but for a 5-day opening the result is abysmal. Compared to the 2014 Godzilla (which also had a 5-day opening), the opening is down by 47.8%. Maybe this is not that huge of a surprise, as compared to the 2014 film, KotM had very limited hooks to offer to general audiences. It was basically "more Godzilla, but with different enemies", and it wasn't enough to move the needle this time, sadly. Holdovers: Aladdin dropped 54.6% from its 5-day opening, and a pretty sweet 37.6% from its FSS portion. Certainly an encouraging early performance for this movie, and the prospect of over 120k admissions are looking good. Total admissions 77 377 so far. John Wick: Chapter 3 dropped a nice 40.2% from last weekend. It's looking to develop quite solid legs. Total admissions 44 088 so far. Pokémon Detective Pikachu had a very similar drop to last time, 40.1%. Another solid weekend performance. Total admissions 67 634 so far. Avengers: Endgame had another great drop, only 32.2%. Looks like it could over 330k admissions at the end of its run. Total admissions 318 581 so far. Tolkien did not thankfully return to lackluster drops, instead, it managed a still great 32.6% drop this time. It can hopefully still do over 100k admissions at the end of its run. Total admissions 80 084 so far. Great Hold by Aladdin ... Is their Any Chance To Cross 100K Admissions ??? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marathon Posted June 4, 2019 Share Posted June 4, 2019 40 minutes ago, Sunny Max said: Great Hold by Aladdin ... Is their Any Chance To Cross 100K Admissions ??? Yes, will certainly do over 100k admissions, most likely over 120k. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunny Max Posted June 4, 2019 Share Posted June 4, 2019 (edited) 3 minutes ago, Marathon said: Yes, will certainly do over 100k admissions, most likely over 120k. Superb ... Solid Trending in Almost All Markets ... Thnxxx Edited June 4, 2019 by Sunny Max 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marathon Posted June 10, 2019 Share Posted June 10, 2019 A heavily deflated weekend for all of the holdovers, most likely due to the hot weather, so not much point reading anything into them (except maybe Rocketman and Godzilla); I'll just put the drop and the overall admissions. X-Men: Dark Phoenix opened over a normal FSS frame (just like its predecessor, Apocalypse) and posted 9 478 admissions, an anemic total. Apocalypse opened with 11 934 admissions back in 2016, and going all the way back to 2014, Days of Future Past opened with 15 880 admissions. Not exactly the kind of box office news needed to light a fuse to a powder keg, to say the least. A grim 2019, outside of a handful of movies, thus continues. Holdovers: Aladdin | -52.2% | 99 961 adm. Rocketman | -80.4% (from the 5-day) -65.5% (from the FSS) | 31 740 adm. (even for a deflated weekend Rocketman's drop seems bonkers!) JW3 | -50.7% | 49 484 adm. Godzilla: KotM | -83.2% (from the 5-day) -71.9% (from the FSS) | 18 117 adm. (horror drop, an absolute horror drop) Pikachu | -54.6% | 75 599 adm. Endgame | -56.2% | 323 227 adm. Tolkien | -70.2% | 83 831 adm. (a drop grim enough to make Mordor look like cotton candy paradise) Horror, horror, horror, all around. Looking forward, next weekend HAS TO have an effective bounce back, because the following, Midsummer weekend is always a complete dead zone for movies. Here's to hoping anyhow. 🙏 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunny Max Posted June 10, 2019 Share Posted June 10, 2019 100K Adm for Aladdin ... Nice .. though drop is been big .. but i m expecting decent hold in next weekend .. (120K adms possible) KOTM horrible drop ... might not cross 30K admissions .. 😕 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marathon Posted June 24, 2019 Share Posted June 24, 2019 A very quick and short update. I didn't update last time because the overall results were so lackluster, and Men In Black: International opened very weakly, so I pretty much said, f**k it, lmao. While this might be an odd time to do an update - the Midsummer weekend, the deadest of the dead box office weekends - it is pretty much only due to Aladdin, the one movie currently at the box office offering at least some sort of respite/anodyne. It crossed 130k admissions (131 378). It should do over 150k admissions further down the line, maybe even 175-180k. 200k might be a bridge too far, who knows, but still, this is a very good performance. Almost everything else... 4 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marathon Posted July 4, 2019 Share Posted July 4, 2019 The Secret Life of Pets 2 opened over 5 days and posted 53 847 admissions. That's slightly less than what the original opened with (54 705) back in 2016, but the caveat here is that the original was a 3-day opening. Thus, it's hard to say yet how much worse this opening is. Always extremely annoying when franchise movies have different opening frames (3 vs 5 days)... anyway, it should still be able to do over over/under 200k admissions, unless it falls off a cliff in the subsequent weeks. The original SLOP finished with 297 257 admissions. Annabelle Comes Home likewise opened over a 5-day frame, and posted 21 181 admissions. Again, comparison to the previous movie (Creation) is difficult because that one opened over a 3-day frame (I just hate these discrepancies!), with 12 640 admissions. We'll see how it goes. Creation finished with 56 508 admissions. Yesterday landed with a resounding thud, gathering only 7 865 admissions over a 3-day frame. Maybe it can recover later, but a thoroughly uninspiring opening. No update on holdovers for now, as they plod along in workmanlike fashion. If they happen to cross a significant milestone, I'll notify then of course. 4 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marathon Posted July 8, 2019 Share Posted July 8, 2019 Finally some good news! Spider-Man: Far From Home opened over a 5-day frame and posted 53 644 admissions. That's a huge leap over the last Spidey (Homecoming) which opened (over a similar 5-day frame) with 29 196 admissions back in 2017. A +83.7% improvement!! Homecoming finished its run with 88 557 admissions, a 3.03x multiplier from its opening. Since the word of mouth should be (much) better for FFH, it should be able to at least match that multi despite a bigger opening. Holdovers: The Secret Life of Pets 2 dropped 55.1% from the 5-day, but only 10% from the FSS! That's fantastically well. It has already crossed 100k admissions (107 418), so the pet owners, restless kids, and desperate parents haven't yet given up on this franchise. 😜 Annabelle Comes Home dropped 67.3% from the 5-day, but 41.5% from the FSS. Not overly frontloaded so far. 37 670 admissions in the bag. Yesterday dropped 38.6% from its opening weekend. Hard to say how this bodes for the rest of the run, but at least it's not falling off the face of the earth. Still, the subsequent holds would need to be pretty insane for this movie to have any relevance whatsoever at the year-end box office. Milestone: Aladdin crossed 150k admissions (158 418), and is not showing any signs of slowing down - in fact, in weekend-to-weekend admissions it had a slight increase, +1.1%! - so even 200k admissions are still very much on the table! Fantastic run. 4 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tag 2 Posted July 23, 2019 Share Posted July 23, 2019 Lion King? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marathon Posted July 23, 2019 Share Posted July 23, 2019 @Tag 2 The Lion King did 72 728 admissions over a 5-day frame. I'm too busy right now to start scouring for comps, but it should be able to match Beauty and the Beast live action remake's total admissions (259 558) at the end of its run. Over 300k could be a bit tougher, unless the word of mouth is really great. Matching the original animated Lion King's first run admissions (462 058) here seems extremely unlikely. More info in this article (via Google Translate): https://translate.google.fi/translate?sl=fi&tl=en&u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.elokuvauutiset.fi%2Fsite%2Fuutiset2%2F8979-leijonakuningas-sai-viidessae-paeivaessae-yli-70-000-katsojaa 7 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tag 2 Posted July 23, 2019 Share Posted July 23, 2019 2 hours ago, Marathon said: @Tag 2 The Lion King did 72 728 admissions over a 5-day frame. I'm too busy right now to start scouring for comps, but it should be able to match Beauty and the Beast live action remake's total admissions (259 558) at the end of its run. Over 300k could be a bit tougher, unless the word of mouth is really great. Matching the original animated Lion King's first run admissions (462 058) here seems extremely unlikely. More info in this article (via Google Translate): https://translate.google.fi/translate?sl=fi&tl=en&u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.elokuvauutiset.fi%2Fsite%2Fuutiset2%2F8979-leijonakuningas-sai-viidessae-paeivaessae-yli-70-000-katsojaa Ok,thanks. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunny Max Posted July 23, 2019 Share Posted July 23, 2019 Excellent start by the TLK ... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
