keysersoze123
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Posts posted by keysersoze123
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If Leo were to collaborate again with Cameron or Nolan, its going to have 1B potential. Even another Spielberg collab has huge potential. PTA definitely not.
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I dont know about previews for sure, but Friday is not missing 20m at this point. Its a holiday boosted BO on that day. Question is how much higher it can go above 20m is going to decide where its going to end up for the week. "Just" 20m would mean low 60s OW at this point.
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23 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said:
IMAX, 9 figure budget, and August release doesn't scream just prestige project to me. Now I'm not denying Punch Drunk Love and Licorice Pizza didn't make much money. I was only arguing that they are pretty easy to watch movies. Idk, this is rumored to be action heavy. Could be the most action heavy film Dicaprio has been in since Inception.
Also I'm not saying it makes $1 billion if you are using my previous comments as an indication of my prediction. That was a joke. $200 mil sounds way too low tho. Killers of the Flower Moon made $160 mil and that's Leo's least GA friendly film in eons. I'm expecting The Revenant numbers for this if it's the kind of film I'm expecting it to be.
Let us see. Revenant was a limited release in christmas that built significant oscar buzz and Leo/Hardy combo to ride Jan/Feb BO season. This is a summer release. I am skeptical it can get that high. PTA has zero audience hook. If Punch Drunk Love with a superstar could not even open and I am skeptical he is going to do it in 2025.
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53 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said:
Eh, PTA has totally proven to be capable of making something GA friendly (like Punch Drunk Love and Licorice Pizza aren't exactly esoteric) and he must've come to WB with something palatable for them to give him over 100 million.
debatable how GA friendly they were. Punch Drunk Love with Sandler did under 18m domestic and 25m WW. Sandler used to have regular 100m hits back then. Licorize pizza is another BO flop though that opened in COVID era. I dont think PTA is any hook for audience and Leo has 1B grosser that is Titanic. Only Inception came close and that is a sci-fi action movie with Nolan coming after Dark Knight.
if this movie does 200m WW its great. WB is financing it as a prestige project. Not for a blockbuster success.
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Political themed movies dont have huge upside despite controversies. We are already sick of reading all the crap around MAGA. Plus knowing PTA, it wont be GA friendly as well.
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I could not find this thread. Anyway I hope this is wrong. DanielRPK is not always right.
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Not sure how accurate this is going to be. But its not screaming a blockbuster for sure.
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On 3/25/2024 at 9:34 PM, keysersoze123 said:
Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire MTC1
Previews(T-3) - 58668/597617 1110918.90 3196 shows +10239
Friday - 64635/941190 1167794.51 5097 shows +13660
Terrific day but I expected this looking at Monday PS for past few weeks. It always seem to be huge coming out of a weekend. Let us see if the momentum continues tomorrow or is it just the Monday thing. I am thinking 8m previews is in play after this and true friday in high teens or even 20m is in play with very good walkups considering its a semi holiday and will play well with family crowd.
something like 8/20/21/15 - 64m OW is my prediction a this point.
Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire MTC1
Previews(T-2) - 69155/640680 1297769.61 3491 shows +10487
Friday - 80734/1083696 1441303.64 6044 shows +16099
Flattish day for previews. Not surprised after how things went yesterday and lack of any catalyst. Friday did go up a bit and I feel good about 20m+ True Friday or even more once we get to gauge walkups on thursday. I am still feeling good about my prediction yesterday.
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Just finished season 1. Definitely intriguing show. Wont say its fantastic but definitely worth a look. I thought the plot was too convoluted and as a story it was not complete. Just a part 1 of a bigger story. That said episodes were crisp and characters were mostly well written. Wade and the character portrayed by Wong were really good. The scientist were ok. Not that convincing as super smart genius. funniest character Jack does not last too long either. Romantic sub plots were meh as well.
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9 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said:
Just saying, they also questioned the feasibility of a Greta Gerwig movie making a billion roo.
Is he taking another pop culture character and turning into a movie or is Leo in a PTA joint. if its 1st anything is on the table. Otherwise there is a ceiling. PTA's movies are not for everyone.
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1 hour ago, Cookson said:
Won’t China alone have a pretty big launch? That seems kinda low by deadline.
Why would you expect deadline to be any kind of expert on OS BO. I am not sure studio low balled and gave this number setting low expectations.
Based on Maoyan the OW in China will be close to 50m OW. Asia will do great as well as should Latin America. @charlie Jatinder is good at predicting OS OW. ask in OS thread for the movie.
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nm. I did not read the entire post. Is there any Easter break(unlikely). If Maoyan is right we are looking at 350m OW.
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46 minutes ago, dudalb said:
Jennifer Lawrence is rich enough so she never has to do a paycheck movie again.
I wonder what made her hang on to XMen movies that long. Especially after Apocalypse was critical/commercial flop.
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1 minute ago, Squire said:
If Sony did fudge the numbers, is there any precedence for this? That eventually has to come to light (possibly with a correction weeks from now), right?
Nothing beats Transformers 2 OW. Mojo put a caveat.
* Note: Revenge of the Fallen's weekend gross fell $3 million short of Paramount's Sunday estimate, which would have put the five-day opening at $198.2 million. Though shy of $200 million, it would have still ranked second among the all time five-day starts. However, Paramount revised its grosses from Wednesday and Thursday upward, and that's what pushed the total past $200 million. Wednesday went from $60.6 million to $62.0 million, and Thursday went from $28.6 million to $29.1 million. Paramount reported that the differences came from unreported showings from the movie's midnight openings on Wednesday night, which went from the previously reported $16 million at around 3,000 theaters to $16.8 million at close to 3,300 theaters, as well as late reports from institutional IMAX locations and theaters in Puerto Rico and some Caribbean islands (which the studio counts in its domestic numbers), which accounted for $1.1 million of the difference.
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Normally movies do like 3-4x the wednesday PS on thursday at MTC1. Sometimes movies do even better like say Venom 2 or Minions. This can do 5x as thursday evening should behave like Friday and Friday walkups tend to be way better than thursday. Friday should behave like saturday and so walkups will be even better than that.
I want to see the pace today before going overboard on the predictions. Let us see if there is any acceleration as show counts will increase a lot today as well.
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23 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:
Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire MTC1
Previews(T-4) - 48429/567757 926667.77 2982 shows +4822
Friday - 50975/843140 930224.17 4430 shows +7113
It should hopefully have a good final 4 days. its just the kind of movie that should finish strong.
Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire MTC1
Previews(T-3) - 58668/597617 1110918.90 3196 shows +10239
Friday - 64635/941190 1167794.51 5097 shows +13660
Terrific day but I expected this looking at Monday PS for past few weeks. It always seem to be huge coming out of a weekend. Let us see if the momentum continues tomorrow or is it just the Monday thing. I am thinking 8m previews is in play after this and true friday in high teens or even 20m is in play with very good walkups considering its a semi holiday and will play well with family crowd.
something like 8/20/21/15 - 64m OW is my prediction a this point.
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2 hours ago, filmlover said:
We're never getting another season of this show lmao.
Also:
We've always known you were a saint Chris!
its stupid if hollywood blacklisted her due to academy win !!!
Also
WTF PTA. you have never had a BO success and you are now going all in just bcos of Leo. I hope this is way off.
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1 hour ago, charlie Jatinder said:
If it was $44.5M actuals, I would have totally expected Sony to make it $45M+ but from $43M, that will be absurd.
is 17.7 remotely possible. Seem way higher than what you had on Sunday morning.
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1 hour ago, Noctis said:
Will finish with under $700m. GxK will put a dent in its worldwide gross.
Nah. it will continue to hold well in core markets which can handle multiple movies. Plus many of those markets are not as much Imax driven as domestic. It will gross 700m WW for sure.
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@TheFlatLannister just grab the screenshot and paste it at https://snipboard.io/ and it provides a link. easiest way to share.
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6 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:
FLORIDA
Civil War
Thursday
T-18
SHOWINGS
SEATS SOLD
TOTAL SEATS
PERCENT SOLD
386
1908
77509
2.5%
*numbers taken as of 5:00PM EST
SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY
N/A SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY
0
SELLOUTS
0
COMPS
T-18
(0.864x) of Ghostbusters $4.06M
(0.414x) of Dune 2 $3.85M
Comps average: $3.96M
This is a very good start
WTF. Seems crazy strong for sure. Let us see how this goes.
2 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:Are you including early shows?
there is something off here, there is absolutely no way it has sold that many seats. (Unless people are somehow really committed to Florida alliance… lol)
Probably you are counting blocked seats in some cinemas. That would also explain how GB comps for Dune were so high and same here for Civil War.
Dune comp being $3M is almost impossible.
I dont think EA shows matter. its not that large a scale release to make a huge difference. Its either than CW is overperforming in Florida or we have too many blocked seats. I think daily pace will tell the tale.
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23 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:
Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire MTC1
Previews(T-5) - 43607/567712 839031.33 2981 shows +3433
Friday - 43862/842039 806261.62 4422 shows +5263
More I think, Friday will be 2.5x the previews. 7m previews could still take OD to 25m and OW in high 50s. Slightly higher numbers will take it to 60s OW.
Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire MTC1
Previews(T-4) - 48429/567757 926667.77 2982 shows +4822
Friday - 50975/843140 930224.17 4430 shows +7113
It should hopefully have a good final 4 days. its just the kind of movie that should finish strong.
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Untitled PTA Project | August 8, 2025 | DiCaprio eyed to lead
in Box Office Discussion
Posted
Are you look at averages when it opened only prestige theaters in NYC/LA. They are not representative of broader market interest. That audience get hooked into wider base of movies.