Yeah Quorums estimates are just ridiculous with 200 as the floor but it is achievable. Especially if reviews are strong, which it sounds like it will be.
A 200 million + OW would be industry shifting. When it's happened the industry pivots to follow it. With Avengers it was cinematic universes, with Jurassic World it was reboots, Star Wars it was legasequels. If Deadpool hit it it changes the approach to R rated films for the next decade.
There's footage descriptions with spoilers, but a big thing is that apparently basically all the footage in the trailers is from the first 40 minutes.
The big red thing at the end of the new footage is just Alioth, who's also in the other ones. He's just more red than purple in that shot for some reason.
So there's almost definitely a trailer coming in the next week. Surprised they'd do it before SDCC but it is in line with the usual promotion timeline stuff for a September release.