What? I don't think we're talking about exactly the same thing. I meant that MJ would be less frontloaded than those two and make up for lower preview numbers, not catch up numbers wise.
Well, the whole Potter series is a bit different. They range from 56 million tickets (SS) to 37 million tickets (DH1) and HBP is on the lower half of things.
I think MJ will be more comparable to BD1 in terms of overall gross decreases but I included Potter because I don't think it is any coincidence that a "Part 1" is the lowest attended in the series.
http://boxofficemojo.com/franchises/chart/?id=harrypotter.htm
DH1 saw a dip from HBP and is actually the lowest attended in the series. DH2 was the one that saw the big uptick.
I knew this was going to be smaller than CF. It's the whole "Part 1" effect. It happened to Potter, Twilight, and now HG. It will also happen to Avengers when the time comes, even if the circumstances are a bit different.
Still a great number, and should do at least $140-150 million OW.
For most of the posters here Avatar 2 will be considered a huge flop if it does anything less than a 50% increase on the original in all markets.
Very few people here know how to manage expectations much less accepting reality after they aren't met.
Just saw Interstellar again with my roommates and another friend. All three of them totally loved it. I was really worried about one in particular because he typically goes for more fast paced action films but he really enjoyed it and even wants to see it again.
One of them even said I undersold it. I was a bit shocked to hear that.
Superman Returns is one of the most well-made love letters to a director/film series ever. It's a solid enough movie that is helped a lot by Spacey and Routh.
That said it is really boring and a being such a homage to previous films it can't really get out of Donner's films shadow. I give it a C+ which is a bit higher than I'd give MoS. Both films have problems just on completely different ends of the spectrum.
Interstellar is doing great overseas. It should definitely hit $150 million domestic, how much higher it goes is the question. It'd be cool if it flirts with Contact's adjusted numbers.
Geez, I went from hoping this movie would do $300+ million to hoping for around $170 million. I guess that's the business for you though.
There are really no good comps for Interstellar from 2008 and it was also the day OoS was released so things for its type of movie would probably be skewed anyway but the weekend could go something like this-
Thurs - $3.2 (-5%)
Fri - $8 (+150%)
Sat - $12.2 (+53%)
Sun - $7.2 (-41%)
That would be -43.8% for a $27.4 million weekend. Not too bad but not that great either. It does have a shot at $30+ though.
Is BH6 follows Madagascar 2-
Thurs - $1.9 (+1.5%)
Fri - $7.98 (+319.8%)
Sat - $16.53 (+107.2%)
Sun - $9.77 (-40.9%)
$34.28 million there for a 39% drop. Seems like it could possibly get higher.
Actually I think I'm wrong. BH6 might have some difficulty making much more than $30 million over the weekend. I didn't realize it's weekdays crashed so hard after VD. Still I think it is good for at least $30.
Do they really expect BH6 to drop 47%? This second weekend of November has historically had great holds for animated films dating back to MI in 2001.
If D&D gets first place it'll have to open with no less than like $37 million.