MattW

It'll see some growth but nothing crazy. I'm gonna go with $375m overseas.

I think high 200's is likely. 275 or so.

Really? I was going by BoxOfficeMojo which has it at 145. But yeah, 4 will do more than 3.

IM2 did 12.8m in japan and IM3 did 25.1m. Thor did 5.7m in japan, so I'm gonne guess Thor 2 won't hit 10m. That should put the final at $205m domestic, and about $435m overseas. I'll say it first, I was off by quite a bit on the domestic side. I thought 225 was the absolute bare minimum it would make and it would very likely do over 250m, with 700ww an easy target. To belabor the point very briefly, the avengers bump for IM3 was that it only dropped 20% of the avengers ww total, but the avengers bump for Thor 2 was that it made 40% more than Thor did.

Yup, I'm with everyone else here, 800-900. I think it'll beat Pacific Rim and Iron Man 3 in China. $150m or more.

I tried adding up the opening weekend from everywhere together, and if Avengers had opened everywhere all at once it would have made at least 412m ww, and possibly as high as 440m. So, what's the chance that Avengers 2 will make over $500m WW in its opening weekend?

I think low to mid 500s. My general impression is that spiderman has reached market saturation and there will be little growth from here on out aside from inflation. I could be wrong though. We'll see.

So it's at 365.6m overseas, but does that include all of China's box office up to now, or just the 35m OW there?

I think Catching Fire will just barely get to the far side of $500m overseas. I'll say $515. The reviews are very positive (surprisingly so IMO, but then again I'm not a huge fan of the first one and haven't read the books), however I think that will be a bigger factor for the domestic box office.

I was all into predicting superhero movies this past summer, and I put down $275-$350 million overseas for The Winter Soldier (and $200-260 for North America). But for the sake of giving a single hard number I'll go with $325 million.

I can't see more than a small bump over part 1, $740m, $750m, something around there. Part 3 is the one where a big jump seems likely.

I think 80-120 million overseas is likely, something on the order of Safe House and Looper.

I see both domestic and overseas numbers for Furious 6 moving up just marginally from Fast 5, around $250 and $500 respectively. That's still pretty incredible, top 75 all time domestic and top 50 all time worldwide. And I think pushing out number 7 next year is too soon. That one will probably see either a plateau or a slight drop in both numbers.