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MattW

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Everything posted by MattW

  1. MattW
    Me (not all of them): Avengers - 540 Mad Max - 125 Jurassic - 225 Inside Out - 250 Terminator - 140 Minions - 275 Ant-Man - 170 MI Rogue - 190 Fantastic4 - 110
  2. MattW
    I'm thinking 40-45 too. 44 would be the same Friday to Saturday drop FF4 had after removing Thursday.
  3. MattW
    60 before Friday, 60 on Friday, +50+40? +60+40? +60+50? +140dom = 340-380 This is the new transformers. Except I enjoy this series.
  4. MattW
    They updated it I guess. I knew that seemed way too high.
  5. MattW
    I'm not so sure about these big numbers. With 7pm shows instead of 10pm for FF6, and with all the extra hype and coverage I could easily see something like this: Th - 15.8 Fri - 40 Sat - 35 Sun - 23 OW - 114 Those are similar Fri-Sat and Sat-Sun drops that FF4 had which is the same weekend. The only difference is the bigger Thursday number and that's more than explained by the above.
  6. MattW
    http://deadline.com/2015/04/furious-7-supercharges-weekend-with-15-8m-thursday-preview-1201403822/ The last paragraph says it's at $94.8 million overseas. Is that just Thursday or does that include some places on Friday?
  7. MattW
    The top rated R openings isn't a very good list as many opened mid-week. Matrix reloaded made 158m in it's first week (if we include the wed previews as part of thurs as all movies today do), Hangover 2 did 149m, and passion did 145m, and I think all would be over 100m OW if they had opened on a friday. But still, AS might double the previous best opening for the month. When was the last time that happened?
  8. MattW
    The italy numbers are surprisingly good, makes me think it should do 200 or more total overseas.
  9. MattW
    Not trying to steal Elessar's spot, but here's week by week based on the sunday afternoon estimates:
  10. MattW
    Dang it, fixed. Thanks.
  11. MattW
    That's how it's doing compared to the last two. Edit - oops. Fixed.
  12. MattW
    Yeah, mid-300's seems about right to me.
  13. MattW
    I think 350-400m os. Plenty considering the 165m budget but I'm not sure it was a wise decision on WB's part to get distribution for whatever they traded it for.
  14. MattW
    One example is Australia. Top movie from the last few years is Avengers, and IM3 dropped a similar percentage as it did in North America (and Thor2 actually had a similar drop as well). Other countries like that are mostly western countries like Lordmandeep said. In my mind that signals the same pattern for AOU will most likely apply across those countries.
  15. MattW
    Need for Speed did as much as FF6 in china so I'm gonna guess 7 will do over 100m pretty easily. Flat or marginal growth everywhere else so I think 650-ish OS and 900 ww.
  16. MattW
    AOU will increase in many territories but I think it will decrease in others as well, like it will in north america. I would guess down about 50-100 and up about 250-300, net +200 ---> ~1.1b
  17. MattW
    Here's a Black panther announcement video:
  18. MattW
    Captain America Civil War - May 6, 2016 (no release July 2016) Dr Strange - Nov 4, 2016 GotG2 - May 5, 2017 Thor Ragnarok - July 28, 2017 Black Panther - Nov 3, 2017 Avengers Infinity War pt 1 - May 4, 2018 Captain Marvel - July 6, 2018 Inhumans - Nov 2, 2018 Avengers Infinity war pt 2 - May 3, 2019
  19. MattW

    .

  20. MattW
    Its pretty easy to copy paste Mojo's data into a google spreadsheet which keeps the functionality of it. I did the worldwide charts, might do some other things at some point.
  21. MattW
    Looks like it'll just barely scrape by $700m. North America has maybe another 500k, and overseas maybe up to 3m. After next weekend GotG will also be over 700m, which puts the total so far at 7. Mockingjay and Hobbit3 are guaranteed, Interstellar is a possible and Big Hero 6 is a maybe. Up to 11 this year, and that's quite a lot. 2012 and 2013 had 8 each.
  22. MattW
    Seems like it should get over 100m overseas at this point. 60m so far with a few more markets coming up.
  23. MattW
    Another case where the chinese report ($30m) is higher than the US report ($26.6m).
  24. MattW
    325-330 from NA, 333-340 from existing OS markets, 7-10 from Italy (for nice round numbers). That puts it at 665-680m. Add in Thor2's china number and it's at 720-735. Avengers China number puts it at 750-765. I'd say that's the upper limit. Edit, very soft drop everywhere this weekend, seems like the upper end is certain, $670 without China or Italy.
  25. MattW
    With IM3 doing $120m and Cap2 doing $115 I'd expect about double for the full Avengers, maybe a smidge more. My very non-expert guess is about $230-250m.
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