MattW

I would have been less surprised by We are your Friends if you told me it made 1.8m from Thursday previews.

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-08-25/china-agencies-said-to-assume-yuan-at-7-to-dollar-in-research-idqx3oae I always take economic forecasting with a grain of salt but in this case I think it's a pretty small grain: 6.4 right now, let's see where this goes...

Take into account the sudden change in the exchange rate and the real possibility of a few more bumps between now and the end of september when MI5 is done with its run. I think everyone should be using chinese currency as Firedeep requested. If you use USD then it could very well be both above and below Ultron.

TMNT did 65.6 OW and 6.7 its first monday. 6.6 is good for compton

Barely any drop off at all. Aug 2-9 was 567.3 to 607.5 = 40.2m Aug 10-16 was 607.5 to 644.5 = 37m Were there new openings?

SOC opening day over FF OW SOC OW over FF dom total

That's my rough guess as well, ~175d, 200+ china, low 300's everywhere else. 800 is possible but very unlikely.

If Ted 2 makes half of what the first Ted made in the remaining countries it'll be at about $235m worldwide. My guess is it'll probably end up around 200-215.

Updated to $1,161,967,115 overseas. Total now $1,513,000,025 After all the 2012 releases were done there were 15 billion dollar movies. After this year's movies are done there will be 15 movies over $1.1 billion. After all 2009 releases were done there were 5 billion dollar movies. After this year's are done there will be 5 (possibly 6) movies over $1.5 billion.

I don't really like the comparison to ghost protocol. Comparing a winter/Christmas opening to a summer one isn't very good. I'm more curious how it compares to dawn of the planet of the apes or days of future past for example, more recent action/adventure summer(ish) releases that did similar numbers overseas as ghost protocol.

Variety says at least 20m friday for mi5 Vacation 12.5m FSS http://variety.com/2015/film/news/tom-cruise-mission-impossible-box-office-1201554352/

Hollywood Reporter says M:I5 18m for friday, 45+ for the weekend, if not 47+ 16m FSS for Vacation which seems high to me. http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/mission-impossible-rogue-nation-box-812341

Umberto Gonzalez says it's tracking big, superhero levels: https://twitter.com/elmayimbe/status/627131780605194240

Looking at the growth of a few hollywood franchises to me it seems like 1.6b or so for MI5, but at the same time that's a big number, IDK. I'm going with over for now I guess.

Here's roughly how I see it: This is the first time I've broken it down this much so excuse any major misteps. Eur+Jap+Austr could be called the mature markets, including new zealand and most of the big western european countries. I see a small drop in attendance plus the exchange rate bringing this group down. SK+Ru+Br+Mx are solid growth markets but the exchange rate will mute that somewhat from Skyfall. China about double. UK affected by exchange rate and attendance drop. Rest includes some growth markets but also some exchange rate trouble. Domestic should probably more or less be equal to Casino Royale (but with more large screens, thus higher than the adjusted 206).

There's a digital IMAX near me that has $5 tuesdays for all shows including 3D. Cinemark doesn't offer the $5 tuesday for their large screens around here though.

On the low end, 35+45+50 for the top three, plus another 30m to fill out the top twelve, still a decent weekend overall. Makes sense for things to cool down a bit after the last two huuuge weekends and before the fourth of July weekend.

At more locations starting 4 hours earlier it does the same as the first Ted. And last year 22 jump street did 5.5m Thursday and 57m OW. I don't think Ted 2 breaks 50m, might even struggle to hit 45.

I think I see what you're saying now, took me a bit - the officially reported 160.5m overseas weekend isn't FSS everywhere, it's the "weekend" from each territory which is a 3-day in some, a 4-day in others and even a 5-day in a few. I'm still curious if my read on things is correct though: Pre-opening weekend - 70m First weekend - 245m (total 315) Mon-Thurs - 113m (total through thursday 428) Weekend 2 - 155m (583m)

That's $155m overseas for FSS, down just 37% from last weekend's $245m. Crazy.

13 days to a billion for jurassic world.

Two weekends in a row of enormous numbers, almost seems fake.

If the total listed on universal's site does not include chine then before the weekend even starts JW will be at about 724m ww. Dom - 296m China - 126m Rest - 302m Weekend - at least 80m domestic and 100m overeas. At least 900m by the end of this weekend. Edit - fixed a stupid mistake.

http://deadline.com/2015/06/jurassic-world-inside-out-weekend-box-office-dope-1201448898/ It also had 661 theaters for a special screening on tuesday that will be counted with Fridays gross.

Oops, wrong thread