Agreed sadly.
Reminds me of when United 93 with almost 100% reviews underperformed. Even that didn't open too badly compared to this when Universal debuted it in 1800 theaters. PD is even worse when it sold less tickets and opened in 67% more than U93.
Not that it's a lock yet, but Braveheart was snubbed by SAG Ensemble (didn't get a single other nomination at the SAGs back then); yet, it won best picture. LLL can still win. Also, Birdman had a few worse reviews than Boyhood but still won.
However, I do agree that PGA and DGA will determine where LLL is at. For now, I'm staying optimistic for LLL.
A Dog's Purpose may open very well at like $20M. Split will do well too with like Light Out to The Visit numbers. Universal have promoted them very well.
The rest do look terrible until February 10.
I'm thinking this will open to around what Nanny McPhee did adjusted for inflation ($19M) or more. If this happens, it may be #1 (2 weeks in a row because Rings and TSBU will not open more than $11M) until The Lego Movie releases.
If it follows SLP's trajectory, probably around $175-180M. At minimum, it will end up with $150 million. It doesn't have much competition until Oscar season is over besides Fifty Shades of Darker (which will drop from its predecessor by at least 40%).
$12.1M 4-day for La La Land? No Way.
It's already at $2.3M Tuesday. Even if it drops 30% today and stays at $1.7M tomorrow, it has a better chance of getting that prediction or more in 3 days. #ByeFelicia
No pros for Monster Trucks at all I can think of except Jane Levy (the co-star) is coming hot off of Don't Breathe but MT will still flop.
$83.9M according to http://deadline.com/2017/01/rogue-one-crosses-900-million-china-sing-passengers-dangal-international-box-office-weekend-1201880724/
$100M OS isn't out of the question yet but $90M+ is certain.