narniadis
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Posts posted by narniadis
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1 minute ago, Jake Gittes said:
Black Adam isn't making 10m off that Friday. Look at 2011 and 2016 IMs. It'll be lucky to reach 8m.
Yeah, its like Deadline has forgotten how Holiday Fridays work 😂
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4 minutes ago, Borobudur said:
Is LLC going to have 2nd consecutive week-to-week gain?
- (7) Lyle, Lyle, Crocodile Sony Pictures $1,125,000 +539% +52% 2,486 $453 $38,764,609 3 Nah, at least not historically speaking when you look at the Veterans Day holiday. Friday is a significantly higher % of the weekend in this case. Could it? Sure, but not likely. Today will be a wash versus the big increases of past weekends.
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Fantastic Friday all around. As always with Holidays, it will be more interesting to see the Saturday turnout all around. Either way, the lack of overall content shows in the holds this weekend, even with a Massive film opening.
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Huh, even 15 years ago in the days of MASSIVE Friday increases for family films (+300% wasnt unusual) Lyle would be an oddity.
Caveat to the comment about Puss in Boots in 2011, that had a last minute release date change that dampened its OW. Hence 2nd weekend was the 1-2 of original release and advertising date AND the post Halloween reshuffle.
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2 minutes ago, exomassey said:
Yeah I know it’s not as easily manipulated but if we’re being honest, general audiences don’t score these things on rotten tomatoes.
But in rare instances, on both extremes, its the rate online crowd that drives ultimate word of mouth anymore. The film has to be bottom barrel bad or double A++ for it to be the general audience crowd and even then, Woman King is a current example of that only going so far.
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Solidish weekend across the board it would appear - strictly talking grosses, not budgets 🤣. Its also weekends like this that highlight how the dirth of product has floated the boats of all, once 2 films of broader appeal open, the rest have to give up screens and seats as evident by the across the board middling holds.
That Halloween Drop though 😂😂😂 while I don't post much anymore, I was definitely in the not gonna touch 80% camp.
Heres to hoping for solid holds for BA and TTP in the weeks ahead.
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@VENOM you do realize its not what your opinion of the film is but how you approach it that matters in discussion? Your posts read like the film killed your puppy. We get that you have a negative view of it's financials but its also a "give it a rest man" from the board.
Doesn't help that you come back in and gripe about your opinion being curbed by the mods, when its not your opinion but your conversation behavior.
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Better than the small increases I expected, kid films obviously seeing the drops per normal.
Its nice to have more than 1 film over 1m during the fall post covid.
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Today should have dips instead of raises, since yesterday was inflated. OR significantly smaller increases than last week. Just be prepared.
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Its also not having a sneaky bad first week, so theres little to discuss. Its not holding out of this world, but so far its not bad either. 🤷♂️
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Solid / Great for TWK. That Friday increase for SuperPets is old school massive 😳 not complaining just cracks me up since we dont usually see +300, let alone +400 anymore.
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Usual request to not feed the trolls.... always annoying that when I block the trolls I can still see their racist crap in everyones quotes....
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Solid for WK - glad for any signs of life.
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Woof, that lack of depth hurts the total 😬 not that its unsurprising but still painful. Nice increase some though.
**ignores the drop for TGM....
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Hazards of a literal "no one cares" weekend. Wasn't even surprised earlier tonight when I saw not even Deadline had said anything yet.. Reminds me of last summer without the desire for positive covid rebuild spin.
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13 minutes ago, Krissykins said:
Minions down over $4m on estimates.
Still a great opening but I wonder if this TikTok trend inflated things and it’s going to have a heavy drop this weekend for an animated film.
I mean, it only feels worse due to the size, but nothing was on point yesterday. And if 2015 was an indication, a massive for animated drop isnt a question, its more of a how much.
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Wouldn't be a holiday weekend around here without drama 😂🤦♂️.
I think there was confusion between Baumers comments i.e. a post being hid and then Empire's stuff. Hence why some were going on about Empires post being hidden when its still there.
Appreciate the early numbers and am glad that Minions is the one breaking expectations in a good way, now for the rest of the films to do the same.
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@Alex SciChannel fyi on the Tmobile stuff - when it does happen, it is usually on Tuesdays, but the type of tickets isnt the same. Sometimes its for day of, sometimes its for anypoint, and its never every week. Usually as frequent as they can work a deal out, but usually at least once a month over the past year or so.
As you follow trends, the tracking thread has had to deal with it when it has impacted films they are tracking, but not released.
@TwoMisfits has been the harbinger of when they happen of late since I believe she has Tmobile for service.
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July 4th as a holiday is always, at least historically, weird. The day itself isnt a help so it deflates the weekend if it falls FSS, and the days around it are odd with other issues. Hence why in the past you usually saw mid-week openings for the bigger films.
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Solid holds all things considered coming off a holiday.
Saw JWD today with the wife and we both throughly enjoyed it. But also went in knowing what yall have griped about. 🤷♂️ I personally think the film followed a natural progression for how "bad" guys would evolve their decisions and focus post the dinos escaping in movie 2.
Can totally understand how the wom isnt strong, but I personally felt it was better than FK. Curious to see how close to Batman it finishes.
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As always, the Gods can give details as the day moves on, but be careful setting hopes for today too high. Particularly since this is the first time we are tracking this new holiday.
@charlie Jatinder thanks for the fresh update.
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I will echo the Tim Allen stuff... while my uber conservative circles have had the mommy groups all up about the Kiss, I have seen much chatter about Tim Allen, from the adult side of the coin, it was/is definitely an issue.
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13 minutes ago, Legion and Thunder said:
It’s an objectively indefensible statistical viewpoint, that’s a bit more extreme than just “I would not prefer” so I would say clarification would be, if not necessary, at least pretty useful. (And I hoped I would get actual clarification— I wouldn’t have bothered asking otherwise)
I like EC but anyone expecting clarification from him can have a stab at buying my ocean front property in Arizona 😂😂 But I get where you are coming from.
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And at this point, it would take an unforeseen situation such as a different TGM breaking out weirdly or the covid shutdowns to stop the train, based soley on the data to this point in its run. Could it happen sure, is it likely, nah. It will be nice to see a totally not normal for the bracket film cross that 600m mark.
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THE OFFICIAL BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER WEEKEND THREAD | 181M OW
in Numbers and Data
Posted
I truly think, echoing @filmlover that the board as a whole doesn't understand how much the specialty landscape changed with the theater closures in LA. Fablemans is fine for how it can be released now, but this would have been vastly different pre-covid with the Specialty Theaters there still open.
Yes, there have been a couple higher PTAs this year, but again, not on the same level of competition for space and its always the case each year that some don't get as high as they could.
Let alone the post covid specialty audience issues that are all well known.
This has definitely been an interesting weekend for examining expectations and realities.