babz06
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Everything posted by babz06
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Manchester By the Sea(drama) and La La Land(musical romance) aren't general audience type movies. It'll be for older adults and musical lovers. They aren't huge threats, Rogue One is though. A casual movie-goer will either watch Rogue One or Passengers or Sing (if they have children) this Christmas. At any rate, there is room for all of these films to succeed. Manchester By the Sea and La La Land are more likely to affect the straight dramas like Collateral Beauty , A Monster Calls, etc. They've already taken away audience from Loving and Miss Sloane.
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Unforgettable | April 21, 2017 | Warner Bros. | Oscar buzz
babz06 replied to That One Girl's topic in Box Office Discussion
They showed the entire plot...... -
The films that will get a globes/sag nom boost: Manchester, La La Land, Lion, Hidden Figures, and Fences. Loving and Moonlight probably aren't going to expand again until after Oscar nominations, which is where they could get a second wind. Silence could have really used GG/SAG nominations it's going to be tough marketing the film without them. Arrival and Hacksaw Ridge will try to hold onto theaters and take advantage of the X-mas holidays.
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I don't get it either, I know Rogue One is scary but i cant imagine that audience shares alot with La La Land. Good counter-programming survives against tentpoles. Now it's going into the crowded Christmas fray with much more competition. They should have stuck with the original release plan: ny/la Dec-2 limited (400 theaters) -Dec. 9 wide Dec.16
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i hate these fucking teasers to 2min trailers. What is the point?
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They are going wide on different dates throughout January though, so it doesn't really matter. A Monster Calls-Jan 6 Hidden Figures-Jan 6 Silence-Jan 6 Also being released this weekend is Underworld:Blood Wars, which is for a niche audience. So pretty good counter-programming. I would not be surprised if Hidden figures beats it. Live By Night-Jan 13 Patriot's Day-Jan 13 Also being released this weekend is The Bye Bye Man(horror), Monster Trucks(family) and Sleepless(action/thriller). None of these releases are threatening, again would not be surprised if Live by Night and Patriot's Day both top them all. Paterson and 20th Century Women are probably staying in limited release with small expansions depending on how well they do, i dont expect either of them to go into really wide release seeing as they're both small films.
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At least they moved it to a less crowded month. The biggest films in May will be GOTG 2,Alien Covenant and Pirates 5. Let's be honest Gotg2 is the only film that people care about in May, plus it's going to be more family friendly than most marvel films ;so maybe Arthur can find a mature audience. Although I would have pushed it to Memorial Day not the weekend after GOTG2.
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EVERYTHING, EVERYTHING | 05.19.17 | Warner Brothers
babz06 replied to kayumanggi's topic in Box Office Discussion
Maybe it can do Me Before You numbers? -
Transformers: The Last Knight | 6/21/2017 | Big Budget, Weak OW?
babz06 replied to Neo's topic in Box Office Discussion
It's not gonna fall below 100m, i mean even ID:R crossed that mark. It will be below 200m DOM though -
LIFE | 03.24.17 | Sony | final gross ● 30.23M
babz06 replied to kayumanggi's topic in Box Office Discussion
It still doesn't make sense to move it to such a crowded month. April would have made more sense. I do think King Arthur/Power Rangers is likely moving though. -
Highly unlikely. Moonlight is already at 10m before Oscar noms have come out. Whiplash was only at 6m before Oscar noms. Moonlight will lose more theaters during Christmas but it's getting another expansion in January after awards are announced and I'd say it will add another 5 to 10m to it's total. It should be in the high teens possibly low 20s when all is said and done, so far from the lowest grossing Best Picture.
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Their year is actually fine, not great but not horrible and they are actually in profit. Plenty of hits:Sausage Party, Angry Birds, Don't Breath, The Shallows. No huge money-loser with the exception of Ghostbusters, which cost too much. Mag 7 probably cost too much as well(90m) but it performed well for a Western in today's market (93m DOM) . Billy lynn is not going to hurt their pockets considering it cost a meesly 40m, and Inferno's overseas grosses saved it, that budget was also manageable (75m). Passengers i believe cost 120m, so again not too expensive and they should make the budget back domestically at the very least. 2017 looks decent for them: Spiderman:Homecoming, and Jumanji should both be huge; Rock That Body, The Dark Tower and Emoji could be break out hits. It's not all doom and gloom over there even though it seems like it because they have no huge IP properties, they actually look like a "normal" movie studio making different genres and types of films.