The Panda

Oh gosh... WB is going to go full Ethan on us, isn't he?

So... After all of the jokes, Star Wars condoms DO exist! I actually want that R2-D2 Car Charger... And the Admiral Ackbar Fish... And dang it practically all of it.

I was doing to for the fun of it. I realize these are two different eras, but it's fun to see how big it would have been with a roughly modern sized population. Thats assuming the ratio stuck.

Thats an interesting thing to take into consideration. So the 72m admissions is equivalent 103.4m admissions in today's time. So it would have made 890.3m first run when you adjust it to inflation. So if you take the total admissions, adjust it to inflation, and account for difference in population, that's a 2.451b dollar gross. A domestic total bigger than every movie worldwide besides Avatar.

How do you put somebody on ignore? I've never done it, but this guys new and I've yet to see him post something that doesn't sound like a meaner Kal who can form sentences a little better. Also, coming into a mod's well-made rant thread and doing the exact thing they're ranting about is rude. You should at least have the decency to take it to another thread.

Stop. You and Kal are two of the primary reasons this rant had to be said to begin with.

It's had good showings at all of the major precursors so far. It's in the AFI top 10, nominated for the SAG (and one of the two SAG nominees that has a strong Oscar nomination shot), a good number of Critics Choice noms (only needed a decent presence there), a strong Globes showing and now it's having a pretty good Box Office rollout (will likely be a slow leggy run, similar to Imitation Game). Spotlight does feel like Zero Dark Thirty or Boyhood in a way, very strong with the critic circles, but doesn't seem to have the steam to go the full distance. Add to that, nothing else this year is much competition. Room and Carol are too small, Spies and Brooklyn have no momentum, Mad Max and Star Wars will be happy with a nomination, The Martian didn't get any SAG nominations, Inside Out is animation, and Inarritu won last year with Birdman so Revenant won't win (nor does it have the steam to). Spotlight may have peaked too early, as the Big Short seems to have a lot of latecomer momentum going for it. Not to mention, it has a strong political message that'll play well in election season, and I'm sure there are a lot of Academy members that would love to cash in on that. Paramount should start campaigning hard.

I'd disagree, mostly because they aren't comparable (kind of the point of Baumer's rant). Both were unprecedented and phenomenal runs. Also, I'd say SW is most definitely surprising. Everyone knew it was going to be big, but clubs like "Over Mockingjay Part 2 in a week" were completely laughed at until both of the movies released. I'd prefer not to start an AS vs. SW7 argument though. We have enough box office comparison arguments going around right now as it is.

It depends for me. As much as I like big numbers, it's more interesting for me to see a film perform great in context. Meaning, In context, Gravity's run for me was a lot more fun to track than Age of Ultron's was. Gravity was doing the unexpected in a good way, and Age of Ultron was boringly doing well enough to not be a massive disappointment, but not good enough to really get excited about either. Or say American Sniper, "only" an 89m opening, but the most impressive/interesting run of the year until we got to Force Awakens. Even more so than Jurassic World, imo.

Question, if I want to upgrade to Premium over silver, would I pay 2 extra now, or wait until I am scheduled to pay next to switch?

If the Big Short takes the sag and gets a DGA nod, I think it's winning.

Great post Baumer

Pitch Perfect 2?

Now, time to see what films Ethan mistakenly put above Inside Out

Currently, my lists are looking like this (they might change some though, it's a very rough list)

Supporting actor is incredibly stacked, there's at least 7 that I think really deserve a nomination and I haven't seen Hardy in Revenant yet. Also, FYC Benicio Del Torro (Sicario)

At this point Disney could just pull TFA from theaters WW completely and their profits would still be off the charts.

Thats a good point, I feel like the weekdays have burned off a lot of the weekend demand these last two weeks.

I still fail to see how a 40% drop after a 149m Christmas weekend would be bad? With numbers that huge (especially 247.9m) so much demand is burned off. It only indicates that a very large amount of people have already seen the film within 2 weeks. We have no idea what the modern box office cap for a movie was, especially since incredibly leggy runs like Titanic and Avatar are slowly becoming extinct due to a variety of reasons.

That rotting corpse is still going to be the number 1 domestic film of all time, so jokes on you.

I thought there was hope for you after number 10, and all that hope was crushed with this pick, young Padawan. And even though I wasn't big on Cinderella, at least it's more inspired than Ultron

A 44% drop on Sunday is incredibly steep, even for a Sunday after New Years. I think 35-40% is more likely.

I think Disney is being too conservative on that Sunday estimate. It should be around 90m. Next weekend should be in a 45-55% drop range, so don't cry flop when/if it happens