The Panda

I bet Guardians is over TMNT this weekend 100 points 2 people.

I'll take this.

How? All GOTG is a bigger Friday increase (which is likely given how dailies have gone) and it wins. It's also still summer, Turtles plays more towards families thus it should have a smaller Friday increases than if it weren't summer.

You underestimated Guardians then, I just made general comments throughout the week how it was looking possible for Guardians to overtake Turtles. I remember distinctly you saying there wasn't a chance for that to happen.

Yeah, I wasn't saying anything about your predictions for those. I was just making a general comment that I found it amusing how the comic book movies turned out.

Imagine if it were over the Dark Knight, the outrage people would have.

That wasn't aimed towards you. (The comic book movie part)But you have continually overestimated turtles this week, just like you said there wouldn't be a chance for Guardians to catch Turtles and well it just kind of did today.

How can we not?

Be prepared to be wrong again, like you have been this entire week. Guardians has been holding better than Turtles each day, there's no reason for it to stop now.What's also funny is earlier this year the most common predictions for the top comic book movies were1.Spidey 22.X-Men: DOFP3.Cap 24.GotgAnd it's going to be the exact opposite now.

Lol, there is no reason to think it could win by that much. It'd have to have an unprecedented Friday increase (and guardians will already have a larger one due to easier competition and last weekend not having 11m in previews) and be able to out-marvel Guardians' Saturday increase.Face it, TMNT is in for a nice 60%+ drop.

Since nobody is voting Before Sunset I should edit my number 1 to space chimps 2

I hope actuals put guardians on top, even though they're so close it hardly matters.

Let's see how Avengers 2 does, but no Avatar 2 won't touch the first.

Mission Impossible V will be lucky and extremely successful to have 35-40m opening. It won't get much over that given the franchise, the spot, and being in Star Wars' second weekend.

1.Gone Girl 2.Interstellar 3.Exodus: Gods and Kings 4.Unbroken 5.Big Hero 6 6.American Sniper 7.Into the Woods 8.The Avengers: Age of Ultron 9.Tomorrowland 10.The Judge

Baumer, your statements on Turtles and GOTG's runs have been continually wrong, it's dropping 60%+ with that Thursday.

Fifty Shades of Grey has much more OW potential than LEGO and TMNT

I thought it's been pretty much proven this year big openings can happen anywhere as long as you have the right movie. Besides Passion of the Christ adjusts to 110m, 50 Shades is opening on an inflated Valentines Day weekend and is an extremely popular book that's going to be frontloaded and has gotten tons of coverage already. 100m seems very likely. Star Wars is a wild card, I personally think a lot of people are undershooting it, but it could open anywhere.

The Good Dinosaur opens on a Wednesday during Thanksgiving, a 40s opening is very good for that frame. (5 day would be in the high 50s to low 60s) The Conjuring had fantastic reception for a horror movie, put it in October where they historically have huge openings and it can get a Paranormal Activity effect. Don't doubt how hyped 50 Shades is, it'll have a huge OD and then with Valentines Day on Saturday it'll keep up the demand, it'll then follow with a spectacularly large Sunday drop.

January 9th Taken 3 - 34.7m Selma - 17.6m 16th The Wedding Ringer - 42.3m American Sniper - 24.5m blackhat - 17.6m 23rd The Boy Next Door - 15.4m Black Sea - 12.1m 30th Project Almanac - 14.2m Lazarus - 8.4m Max - 7.8m 6th Jupiter Ascending - 31.4m The Seventh Son - 17.8m Mortdecai - 7.4m 13th Fifty Shades of Grey - 115.4m SpongeBob: Sponge Out of Water - 37.8m Kingsman: The Secret Service - 15.2m 20th Jane Got a Gun - 14.7m The DUFF - 12.4m The Gunman - 7.2m 27th Focus - 25.4m Hitman: Agent 47 - 18.7m The Vatican Tapes - 15.2m Little Boy - 12.4m March 6th Chappie - 28.4m The Transporter Legacy - 24.7m Business or Pleasure - 17.4m 13th Cinderella - 65.7m In the Heart of the Sea - 15.7m Scouts vs Zombies - 12.8m 20th The Divergent Series: Insurgent - 60.5m Desert Dancer - 7.2m 27th Get Hard - 43.2m Home - 24.3m April 3rd Fast and Furious 7 - 125.7m 10th The Longest Ride - 17.2m 17th Paul Blart: Mall Cop - 24.2m Child 44 - 17.8m Monkey Kingdom - 5.4m May 1st The Avengers: Age of Ultron - 217.4m 8th Don't Mess With Texas - 12.4m 15th Pitch Perfect 2 - 54.3m Mad Max: Fury Road - 23.4m 2nd Tomorrowland - 72.5m Spy - 35.4m 29th Insidious Chapter 3 - 27.4m Monster Trucks - 15.7m June 5th B.O.O; Bureau of Otherworld Operation - 32.5m San Andreas 3D - 24.1m 12th Jurassic World - 95.6m Entourage - 5.7m 19th Inside Out - 67.3m The Fantastic Four - 50.4m 26th Ted 2 - 69m Ricky and the Flash - 13.2m July 3rd Magic Mike XXL - 46.3m Terminator Genisys - 27.4m 10th Minions - 112.4m 17th Ant-Man - 87.4m Pan - 14.2m 24th Pixels - 32.1m Trainwreck - 25.4m Poltergeist - 18.7m 31st Paper Towns - 40.8m Point Break - 15.4m Grimsby - 10.7m 7th Goosebumps - 52.3m 14th The Man From U.N.C.L.E - 25.4m 21st Sinister 2 - 24.8m Me Before You - 17.2m 28th Regression - 7.4m September 18th Everest - 17.8m Black Mass - 15.2m 25th Hotel Transylvania 2 - 45.7m The Intern - 15.2m October 2nd London Has Fallen - 30.2m Frankenstein - 21.4m 9th The Jungle Book - 53.8m 16th Crimson Peak - 27.9m 23rd The Conjuring 2 - 51.4m November 6th James Bond 28 - 105.4m The Peanuts - 36.2m 13th Friday the 13th - 31.9m 20th The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 2 - 172.4m 27th The Good Dinosaur - 42.5m The Martian - 21.6m Midnight Special - 15.2m December 18th Star Wars: Episode VII - 152.7m Inferno - 18.3m 25th Mission Impossible V - 35.2m Kung Fu Panda 3 - 27.8m Weekend Rankings 1.The Avengers: Age of Ultron - 217.4m 2.The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 2 - 172.4m 3.Star Wars: Episode VII - 152.7m 4.Fast and Furious 7 - 125.7m 5.Fifty Shades of Grey - 115.4m 6.Minions - 112.4m 7.James Bond 28 - 105.4m 8.Jurassic World - 95.6m 9.Ant-Man - 87.4m 10.Tomorrowland - 72.5m 11.Ted 2 - 69m 12.Inside Out - 67.3m 13.Cinderella - 65.7m 14.The Divergent Series: Insurgent - 60.5m 15.Pitch Perfect 2 - 54.3m 16.The Jungle Book - 53.8m 17.Goosebumps - 52.3m 18.The Conjuring 2 - 51.4m 19.The Fantastic Four - 50.4m 20.Magic Mike XXL - 46.3m 21.Hotel Transylvania - 45.7m 22.Get Hard - 43.2m 23.The Good Dinosaur - 42.5m 24.The Wedding Ringer - 42.3m 25.Paper Towns - 40.8m

Really depends on the marketing and where they place it, it should be put in August.

Cap 2s success sure didn't help spidey

If it isn't including previews maybe it's actually 5m? LBC really needed it to be 5m to have a good chance at success. But kudos to Guardians, number 1 for the weekend may be possible.

What were you saying about there being no chance of GOTG getting over Turtles this weekend?

The movies you like and dislike baffle me more and more each day