BadAtGender

1) Will Think Like a Man Too make more than 40 mill? NO 2) Will Think Like a Man Too make more than 3.05 mill for Thurs? NO 3) Will The Jersey Boys make more than 14.5 mill? NO 4) Will 22 Jump Street fall more than 55%? NO 5) Will HTTYD2 decline less than 40%? YES 6) Will 22JS finish second? NO 7) Will Fault in our Stars drop more than 45%? NO 8) Will EOT have a Friday increase of more than 75%? NO 9) Will any film increase on Thurs? NO 10) Will any film decrease my less than 20% on Sunday? YES 11) Will any film decrease by less than 30%? YES 12) Will Frozen finish first in Japan, again? YES 13) Will FIOS drop on Saturday? NO 14) Will Maleficent finish higher than Jersey Boys? YES 12/14 3000 13/14 5000 15/15 7000 What finishes in spots: (to make up for last week) 2000 each, if you get all 8 spots, 25,000 pts If you get the spots 10-11-12-13, then you get a bonus of 10,000 No, you cannot get a bonus of 35,000, it's either or. 4 Maleficent5 Jersey Boys6 Edge of Tomorrow7 The Fault in Our Stars10 Godzilla11 Neighbors12 1 Million Ways13 Blended Bonus 1: What will the top ten cume be? 5000 $152.2m Bonus 2: What will the drop be for Blended? 5000 59.8% Bonus 3: What will 22JS make on Friday? 5000 $8.34m

I should probably stop reading Leviathan Wakes and make dinner or something. I also need to get my writing quota in for the day.

I've been slowly making headway. I'd kinda like to get to 4k likes right around the time I get to 4k posts. But HTTYD2's opening depressed me so much I kinda stopped trying in the past week.

Disney usually stops reporting theater counts when they stop reporting dailies, so we'll only be able to know how wide it is when they post the weekend estimate.

Welcome to the forums! Yes, it has a chance. It is, unfortunately, not guaranteed.

I really should try to get out to one of the drive-ins in the state this year. I think there's only three or four left.

I'm trying to figure out if my desire for more likes than posts is greater than my apathy. Because I may have to do a project like this.Except different. Completely different.

I'm not sure I understand the breakdown. Do you mean one 400m film and then two other 300m films? Which are which? Same for June and July, actually. I'm curious which you think are which.

So, looking again at the slate of DWA films that have been announced, I'm wondering about which ones could get dropped or slotted further down. The Penguins of Madagascar Fox 11/26/14Home (2014) Fox 3/27/15B.O.O.: Bureau of Otherworldly Operations Fox 6/5/15Kung Fu Panda 3 Fox 12/23/15 I'd generally assume that anything that's slotted through the end of next year is at the very least going to happen. However, it's possible that there could be delays. Home will probably stick with that slot, and I actually like KFP3 right at Christmas. It's not a common slot for big animation, and it could pay off well. If it gets to Chipmunks numbers, that would be very solid. So does B.O.O. keep to next summer? Maybe it could get shuffled to 2016. Boss Baby Fox 3/18/16 How to Train Your Dragon 3 Fox 6/17/16Trolls Fox 11/4/16 At this point, I kinda doubt they're going to keep these release dates. If one of the 2015 films gets shuffled to '16 (probably in the March slot), they may drop one of these entirely. HTTYD3 should get moved to at least November or December (assuming KFP3 works out), and possibly to '17. Maybe they kill both Boss Baby (based on a book?) and Trolls (based on the doll?) entirely. If B.O.O. gets moved to '16, that still leaves them with two for the year. Captain Underpants Fox 1/13/17Untitled Kevin Lima Bollywood Musical Fox 3/10/17The Croods 2 Fox 11/3/17 Weird breakdown. Given the release date for Captain Underpants, I wonder if it's a deliberate attempt at a lower budget film. I'm actually still pretty excited about the Bollywood Musical, if it happens. And The Croods 2 is a pretty solid bet. Still if any of these gets cut, I bet it's Bollywood. Larrikins Fox 2/16/18Madagascar 4 Fox 5/18/18Puss in Boots 2: Nine Lives & 40 Thieves Fox 11/2/18 Larrikins is another film with very little information. Maybe it gets cut, too? The other two are safe sequel bets, though neither looks like it'll break out. That's a 6-year gap between Madagascar films (although only four after Penguins), and 7 years for Puss in Boots. So taking the biggest cuts, that would be: 2014 - Penguins 2015 - Home, KFP3 2016 - BOO, HTTYD3 2017 - Captain Underpants, Croods 2 2018 - Madagascar 4, Puss in Boots 2 One advantage of this is that it keeps two films a year, but it switches up between doing a sequel and doing something more original each year (until 2018), so they can attempt to build franchises without going overboard in either direction.

When did Sony and Marvel restructure their licensing deal? Because it looks worse and worse for Sony that they don't get any of the merchandising.

The DC line could probably close the gap on the Marvel line, given time and exposure. And there might be something roughly analogous between the two companies' evergreen characters (Mickey, Bugs, etc.) But WB really doesn't have anything to contend with Star Wars or the Disney Princess lineup.

Still haven't seen it. But given the mixed response to Maleficent and how much I enjoyed that, I probably should give Godzilla a shot. That pretty much perfectly describes my feelings about CA2.

Yeah. It's been a weirdly positive year for enjoyment.

Well, yes and no. As someone pointed out, it's not that we're getting so many more animated movies now than we did several years ago, but at this point, there's a ton that are top tier, tentpole-like films. Everything WDAS and Pixar does. Everything Dreamworks does. Every Illumination/Universal film. Sony is more mid-range, and Blue Sky is, too, at least, DOM, but there's a ton of friction at the top. Add to that the likelihood that WB's future efforts are also going to aim at the top tier, and Paramount might do that as well. The problem is that much like how mid-budget films have mostly disappeared from the live action side, the same is true for animation as well. Either go big or don't try at all. DWA probably could survive in abstract if they dropped their budgets by about 20-30%. However, I'm not sure the environment that exists would be wiling to accept such a change.

400m is already an improvement OS. The last one did 277. Hopefully this one can get further, though. I'm not feeling optimistic at the moment.

At this point, if HTTYD2 can match The Croods (187 DOM, 400 OS) it could probably be called a winner. (Weirdly, that's roughly the same business as Tangled, too.)

And I'm the 4th.

I'm not sure what the original color-coded superteam was, but it might have been Science Ninja Team Gatchaman in 1972. (Released in the US as Battle of the Planets and G-Force.) Live action superhero shows existed at least as far back as the 60s (Ultraman is a notable example), and giant mecha shows such as Tetsujin-28 and Giant Robo were also in that era. Really, there's a ton of precedent material for both Voltron and Power Rangers.

There is an argument that desensitizing people to violent acts is a problem, and the pervasiveness of it in media is a problem, but it's not really an issue on a specific film level. (See also the constant objectification of women in media and how that shapes societal beliefs and gender issues.) There are a lot of forces at play that can key into a person's development, and people don't develop in the same way or the same speed as others. While some kids are perfectly fine with R-rated films early in life, others will not be. The key to knowing the difference is going to primarily be the job of the parents. The reason theaters are going to have hard and fast rules about who can or cannot get into an R-rated film is because they do not want to be parents to the children. By forcing parents to show up with their kids (or with someone who is legally responsible, hence the 21 or older companion requirement), the theater gets away from dealing with any pesky issues of being blamed for letting a kid into a movie. Now, whether the rating of films is at all accurate or worthwhile is an entirely separate issue. One too many fucks or show a breast, and you've got an R, but there's a shit ton of violence that can show up in PG-13. There's a lot of screwy stuff going on there.

I've been going back year by year to find an R-rated film I saw in the theater. I know I saw Eraser and Broken Arrow in '96, Die Hard 3 in '95, Speed in '94, and Schindler's List in '93. Schindler was with my dad (and was rather harrowing, IIRC). I'm pretty sure Speed was just with friends, though.

Tony Bancroft posted this on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/thebancroftbros (I've added paragraph breaks) But also: http://www.awn.com/news/dreamworks-animation-secures-rights-felix-cat

It looked like HTTYD2 was positioned perfectly as well.

I was going to read through the thread, but a quick scan of the first few pages shows that Mojoguy is still being a dick. (Ooh! Has he said it won't cross a billion yet? Again?) Was there anything else that I missed?

Well, it didn't have an effect in the US. Jan 17–23 5 $18,148,844 +0.6% 2,979 -260 $6,092 $338,780,205 9 Jan 24–30 5 $11,922,124 -34.3% 2,757 -222 $4,324 $350,702,329 10 Jan 31–Feb 6 3 $11,062,297 -7.2% 2,754 -3 $4,017 $361,764,626 11 Feb 7–13 4 $8,426,588 -23.8% 2,460 -294 $3,425 $370,191,214 12 Feb 14–20 7 $9,513,121 +12.9% 2,101 -359 $4,528 $379,704,335 13 Feb 21–27 8 $5,420,808 -43.0% 1,891 -210 $2,867 $385,125,143 14 Feb 28–Mar 6 8 $4,914,971 -9.3% 1,746 -145 $2,815 $390,040,114 15 Mar 7–13 8 $4,198,736 -14.6% 1,660 -86 $2,529 $394,238,850 16 Mar 14–20 10 $2,770,411 -34.0% 1,466 -194 $1,890 $397,009,261 17 Mar 21–27 13 $1,044,614 -62.3% 1,069 -397 $977 $398,053,875 18 Mar 28–Apr 3 17 $485,138 -53.6% 387 -682 $1,254 $398,539,013 19 I don't remember exactly when the DVD announcement came out. It may have been in January that we first got wind of it, though. In any case: What Frozen established in January and February was a pattern of solid holds followed by larger drops, but overall it held up extremely strong. The biggest drop came after the Presidents/Valentines weekend. That was also coincidentally right after the VOD release, but if you check out the early March holds, it still remained strong. It was only right after the DVD release on March 18 that it started to drop precipitously. Up to that point, people were perfectly willing to go watch it. And note it was still playing extremely wide in first run theaters, so it's not like families could go see the film for $10 as a group or anything. And competition wasn't key, either. The openings of The Nut Job, The Lego Movie, and Mr. Peabody & Sherman all came during this span and Frozen was only negligibly affected by any of them.