BadAtGender

Frozen versus TLK is a harsh matchup. That's what I'd like to see in the finals, probably.

Crazy train would be another 250m or so, then it could pass HP7.5.

His two previous efforts for WDAS are fine. WiR has some really nice bits.

Why the hate for Henry Jackman?

TD YD Title (Click to View) Studio Daily Gross % +/- YD / LW Theaters / Avg Gross To-Date Day 1 1 Noah Par. $2,610,467 -28% - 3,567 $732 $53,040,776 6 2 2 Divergent LG/S $1,560,425 -20% -53% 3,936 $396 $99,544,682 13 3 3 God's Not Dead Free $771,172 -5% -21% 1,178 $655 $24,063,799 13 4 4 The Grand Budapest Hotel FoxS $711,709 -12% +4% 977 $728 $26,385,327 27 5 5 Muppets Most Wanted BV $651,948 -16% -43% 3,194 $204 $35,215,549 13 6 6 Mr. Peabody & Sherman Fox $576,658 -15% -46% 3,299 $175 $96,342,327 27 7 7 Sabotage (2014) ORF $365,442 -23% - 2,486 $147 $6,547,960 6 8 8 300: Rise of An Empire WB $363,259 -21% -53% 2,601 $140 $102,272,245 27 9 9 Need for Speed BV $318,740 -27% -53% 2,705 $118 $38,736,279 20 10 10 Non-Stop Uni. $301,755 -17% -49% 2,515 $120 $86,059,290 34 11 11 The LEGO Movie WB $232,465 -18% -47% 2,001 $116 $248,981,712 55 12 12 Bad Words Focus $206,315 -18% +222% 842 $245 $4,144,687 20 13 13 Cesar Chavez LGF $136,285 -33% - 664 $205 $3,502,853 6 14 14 Son of God Fox $95,753 -13% -65% 1,277 $75 $58,154,596 34 15 15 Tyler Perry's The Single Moms Club LGF $83,175 -18% -65% 1,139 $73 $15,267,369 20 - - Frozen BV $35,843 -7% -52% 387 $93 $398,500,962 132 - - The Nut Job ORF $31,248 -13% -39% 294 $106 $63,200,635 76 - - Ride Along Uni. $25,350 +0% -56% 360 $70 $133,735,110 76 - - 3 Days to Kill Rela. $21,481 -22% -71% 340 $63 $30,301,501 41 - - Veronica Mars WB $16,643 -5% -65% 210 $79 $3,232,373 20 - - 12 Years a Slave FoxS $14,767 -15% -73% 228 $65 $56,422,558 167 - - Gravity WB $12,106 -13% -51% 135 $90 $273,351,709 181 - - The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug WB $9,964 -1% -37% 185 $54 $258,236,396 111 - - The Wolf of Wall Street Par. $9,172 -1% -60% 134 $68 $116,892,676 99 - - Lone Survivor Uni. $9,055 -9% -46% 165 $55 $124,993,476 99 - - Her (2013) WB $7,472 -3% -8% 110 $68 $25,481,216 106 - - Jack Ryan: Shadow Recruit Par. $7,158 -3% -37% 107 $67 $50,569,833 76 - - Dom Hemingway FoxS $5,499 - - 4 $1,375 $5,499 1 - - The Hunger Games: Catching Fire LGF $5,382 -11% -57% 158 $34 $424,662,174 132 - - Dallas Buyers Club Focus $5,277 -18% -67% 99 $53 $27,207,918 153 - - That Awkward Moment Focus $4,673 -20% -42% 68 $69 $26,063,478 62 - - 50 to 1 10F $4,203 +7% -41% 18 $234 $158,355 13 - - Winter's Tale WB $2,371 +30% -62% 85 $28 $12,597,433 48 - - Walking with Dinosaurs Fox $2,238 +11% -28% 42 $53 $36,057,765 104

Tele better post a reminder for next year's awards because that's in the running for funniest post of the year. Damn.

Even if it wouldn't hurt, if it's not going to specifically help, why bother doing it? At this point, the only reason is to appease people who are likely to see it anyway. For the wider audience, there are too many things coming out between now and November that are distractions. It's better to wait. (Also, they did release that setting footage.)

There's pretty much no reason for them to advertise or announce anything earlier.

TF4 stands a good chance of hitting 1b, but it's not guaranteed to outgross TF3. The domestic gross is very likely to drop, perhaps more than $50m. And while some markets may see a rise, I do believe the dollar is currently weaker than it was in 2011, so even if those markets see an increase in local currency, they could gross less in dollars, leading to a lower OS total. Ultimately, while there are several films that could gross over a billion, I don't think anything until Avengers 2 will see a higher WW total than Frozen.

Alice in Wonderland made over a billion dollars. Frozen is looking to finish somewhere between 1.1 and 1.2 billion. It's certainly higher, but not astronomically so. If Maleficent does a billion, it's certainly within the range of Frozen's appeal.

Yes, but the market counted on BOM is the UK, Ireland, and Malta. Just like the Domestic market is the US and Canada. Or New Zealand is really New Zealand and Fiji.

From the Australian box office thread, someone said the average ticket price is about $12.20, which would give Frozen about 2,545,750 admissions. The country's population is estimated at 23,435,007. So that'd be a ratio of 10.86%. For Denmark, assuming the exchange rate hasn't changed drastically in the past four months since it was released, the average ticket price of 90 kr is about $16.61. That would account for about 467,650 admissions. It's population is estimated at 5,627,235, so the ratio is 8.31% For the UK (plus Ireland and Malta), the average ticket price is 8 pounds, or about $13.33 for 4,847,150 admissions. The population is estimated at 68,745,767 for 7.05%. However, this is a really rough calculation on my part. I can't claim any expertise on the markets in any of these countries. The UK could be really suspect, since there's three countries (sort of) and two currencies involved.

Oh, nice list, Henry I. I hope we get the chance to fill it out further. I believe it's the highest grossing animated film in history in Denmark, for instance, though I don't know what the admissions are like. And it seemed like the Australian performance was quite impressive relative to population.

The Disney artists I spoke to at ECCC (Brittney Lee and Victoria Ying) both seemed quite enthused about BH6. Ying indicated that TJ Miller as Fred is amazing.

Tom Cruise was a producer of Jack Reacher, though, so he's probably got a bit more vested than just the actor paycheck. Also, hasn't a sequel for it been announced already?

Reacher's probably most likely. It's a toss-up between Ryan and Robo for least likely. I don't expect one from either, unless there's a substantial success on video. They both got pretty poor earnings to production cost ratios. Reacher cost the same as Ryan while doing significantly better. NFS I could see getting a sequel. It's a pretty frugal production by Dreamworks.

The timing was really unlucky as well. Lone Survivor broke out huge and took the action audience. I wonder if it would have been better to leave it on the original Christmas release.

Pretty much everything was overestimated: Est. / Act. Diff Movie Title (click to view) Studio Studio Est. / Actual Diff % Diff Theaters Est. Total Actual Wk 1 1 - Noah Par. $44,000,000 $43,720,472 $-279,528 -0.6% 3,567 $44,000,000 $43,720,472 1 2 2 - Divergent LG/S $26,500,000 $25,619,578 $-880,422 -3.3% 3,936 $95,260,000 $94,379,586 2 3 3 - Muppets Most Wanted BV $11,373,000 $11,279,128 $-93,872 -0.8% 3,194 $33,210,000 $33,116,817 2 4 4 - Mr. Peabody & Sherman Fox $9,500,000 $9,070,635 $-429,365 -4.5% 3,299 $94,909,000 $94,479,448 4 5 5 - God's Not Dead Free $9,075,000 $8,797,666 $-277,334 -3.1% 1,178 $22,028,000 $21,750,684 2 6 6 - The Grand Budapest Hotel FoxS $8,825,000 $8,539,795 $-285,205 -3.2% 977 $24,457,000 $24,171,610 4 7 7 - Sabotage (2014) ORF $5,330,000 $5,272,444 $-57,556 -1.1% 2,486 $5,330,000 $5,272,444 1 8 8 - Need for Speed BV $4,335,000 $4,226,216 $-108,784 -2.5% 2,705 $37,753,000 $37,644,237 3 9 9 - 300: Rise of An Empire WB $4,300,000 $4,209,290 $-90,710 -2.1% 2,601 $101,145,000 $101,054,704 4 10 10 - Non-Stop Uni. $4,087,000 $4,010,885 $-76,115 -1.9% 2,515 $85,167,000 $85,091,060 5 11 11 - The LEGO Movie WB $3,105,000 $3,018,060 $-86,940 -2.8% 2,001 $248,304,000 $248,216,780 8 12 12 - Cesar Chavez LGF $3,000,000 $2,861,528 $-138,472 -4.6% 664 $3,000,000 $2,861,528 1 13 13 - Bad Words Focus $2,645,000 $2,560,186 $-84,814 -3.2% 842 $3,564,000 $3,478,876 3 14 14 - Tyler Perry's The Single Moms Club LGF $1,160,000 $1,121,830 $-38,170 -3.3% 1,139 $15,038,000 $14,999,935 3 15 15 - Son of God Fox $1,070,000 $1,064,201 $-5,799 -0.5% 1,277 $57,861,000 $57,854,943 5 - 16 - The Monuments Men Sony $440,000 $428,787 $-11,213 -2.5% 501 $76,599,000 $76,588,248 8 - 17 - Frozen BV $348,000 $337,736 $-10,264 -2.9% 387 $398,402,000 $398,391,611 19 - 18 - Ride Along Uni. $335,000 $318,390 $-16,610 -5.0% 360 $133,676,000 $133,659,265 11 - 19 - The Nut Job ORF $322,000 $312,530 $-9,470 -2.9% 294 $63,116,000 $63,106,258 11 - 20 - The Lunchbox SPC $313,000 $287,430 $-25,570 -8.2% 73 $911,000 $885,451 5 - 21 - Le Week-End MBox $225,000 $215,387 $-9,613 -4.3% 50 $483,000 $472,901 3 - 22 - 3 Days to Kill Rela. $212,000 $211,705 $-295 -0.1% 340 $30,234,000 $30,233,978 6 - - - The Raid 2 SPC $177,000 $165,292 $-11,708 -6.6% 7 $177,000 $165,292 1 - - - 12 Years a Slave FoxS $137,000 $134,083 $-2,917 -2.1% 228 $56,831,000 $56,378,410 24 - - - Enemy A24 $132,000 $124,578 $-7,422 -5.6% 120 $778,000 $769,889 3 - - - Philomena Wein. $111,000 $106,001 $-4,999 -4.5% 202 $37,330,000 $37,325,124 19 - - - American Hustle Sony $110,000 $107,603 $-2,397 -2.2% 188 $150,020,000 $150,017,421 16 - - - Tim's Vermeer SPC $96,800 $90,463 $-6,337 -6.5% 94 $1,430,400 $1,424,001 9 - - - Lone Survivor Uni. $90,800 $89,925 $-875 -1.0% 165 $124,965,300 $124,964,476 14 - - - The Wolf of Wall Street Par. $90,000 $86,772 $-3,228 -3.6% 134 $116,870,000 $116,866,727 14 - - - Mistaken for Strangers Abr. $81,800 $87,743 $+5,943 +7.3% 9 $81,800 $87,743 1 - - - Particle Fever Abr. $74,800 $68,796 $-6,004 -8.0% 27 $448,600 $442,595 4 - - - Jack Ryan: Shadow Recruit Par. $72,000 $75,482 $+3,482 +4.8% 107 $50,546,000 $50,549,107 11 - - - The Hunger Games: Catching Fire LGF $69,000 $63,523 $-5,477 -7.9% 158 $424,651,100 $424,645,577 19 - - - On My Way Cohen $60,200 $59,236 $-964 -1.6% 31 $150,600 $149,613 3 - - - Dallas Buyers Club Focus $60,000 $56,477 $-3,523 -5.9% 99 $27,195,200 $27,191,666 22 - - - That Awkward Moment Focus $41,000 $42,143 $+1,143 +2.8% 68 $26,047,900 $26,049,082 9 - - - Jodorowsky's Dune SPC $36,700 $36,034 $-666 -1.8% 7 $91,300 $90,688 2 - - - Rob the Mob MNE $25,600 $22,364 $-3,236 -12.6% 5 $43,600 $40,326 2 - - - Stalingrad (2014) Sony $10,000 $11,244 $+1,244 +12.4% 66 $1,003,000 $1,004,142 5 - - - Big Men Abr. $9,600 $9,402 $-198 -2.1% 3 $35,600 $35,406 3 - - - 20 Feet from Stardom RTWC $1,500 $1,628 $+128 +8.5% 4 $4,937,900 $1,938,075 42

The Dark Knight Rises v Pirates Of The Caribbean 2The Lord Of The Rings: The Fellowship Of The Ring v Skyfall Titanic v The Avengers [Abstain] Lord Of The Rings: Return Of The King v Inception Harry Potter And The Deathly Hallows Part 2 v The Hunger Games: Catching Fire Jurassic Park v Toy Story 3 Shrek 2 v Finding Nemo Harry Potter And The Half Blood Prince v The Dark Knight Despicable Me 2 v Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers Frozen v The Lion King

I think it will be quite some time before another animated movie outearns Frozen WW. Finding Dory is probably the only forthcoming release that looks like it could do so, but even there it seems a tall order. It's not even assured of $1B WW. TF4 stands the best chance of hitting $1b this year. Hobbit TABA could do it, but I'm not sure it's going to see a large rise above Smaug. HTTYD3 and Mockingjay 1 are both pretty fringy. I don't think any film before Avengers 2 will outgross Frozen.

Reserved because I probably should give this a try. It can't go any worse for me than the Casino. Top 15 DOM: 1. How to Train your Dragon 2 - 3202. Transformers Age of Extinction - 2903. X-Men: Days of Future Past - 2554. The Amazing Spider-Man 2 - 2406. Dawn of the Planet of the Apes - 2106. Godzilla - 1957. Maleficent - 1758. The Fault in our Stars - 1559. 22 Jump Street - 15010. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles - 14011. Guardians of the Galaxy - 13512. Tammy - 12513. Neighbors - 11014. Planes: Fire and Rescue - 10515. Think Like a Man Too - 105 Alt. Edge of Tomorrow - 100Alt. Blended - 90 Top 10 Worldwide:1. Trans4mers: Age of Extinction - 1030m2. How to Train Your Dragon 2 - 889m3. The Amazing Spider-Man 2 - 760m4. X-Men: Days of Future Past - 655m5. Godzilla - 570m6. Dawn of the Planet of the Apes - 495m7. Maleficent - 475m8. Guardians of the Galaxy - 4059. Edge of Tomorrow - 35010. TMNT - 320 Top 5 Biggest Weekends Worldwide:1. Trans4mers: Age of Extinction - 2202. Godzilla - 1603. X-Men: Days of Future Past - 1504. How to Train Your Dragon 2 - 1355. Edge of Tomorrow - 105 Top 5 Biggest Opening Weekends: 1. Trans4mers: Age of Extinction - 1452. How to Train Your Dragon 2 - 1053. X-Men: Days of Future Past - 1004. Godzilla - 95 5 The Amazing Spider-Man 2 - 92.5 Bottom 5 Lowest Grossing:The Hundred Foot JourneyAs Above, So BelowEarth to EchoThe Fluffy MovieSnowpiercer Bonus 1 - Step Up: All In - 31mBonus 2 - Maleficent - 177Bonus 3 - HTTYD2 - 569mTriple Bonus:Q1 - YesQ2 - YesQ3 - YesQ4 - YesQ5 - YesQ6 - YesQ7 - NoQ8 - YesQ9 - NoQ10 - BQ11 - YesQ12 - NoQ13 - YesQ14 - NoQ15 - YesQ16, Bonus of Bonus: 1) No, 2) Yes, 3) Yes, 4) NoQ17:, A) No, Yes, C) No, D) YesQ18:, May - Neighbors - 110, June - 22 Jump Street - 150, July - Tammy - 125, Next - Think Like a Man Too - 105Q19:, 1) 16, 2) 5, 3) 405, 4) 5, 5) No, 6) No, 7) Yes, 8) Maleficent, if it’s counted as a May release, otherwise Neighbors, 9) No, 10) No, 11) Yes, 12) 1, 13) Yes, 14) Yes, 15) No, 16) GotG, 17) Yes, 18) No, 19) Yes, 20) 8Q20: 1) 22 Jump Street, 2) Yes, 3) Sex Tape, 4) No, 5) Yes, 6) Yes, 7) No, 8) Yes, 9) No, 10) No, 11) Yes, 12) No, 13) Yes, 14) Yes, 15) A

I guess we can never talk about Star Wars again.

Same. Even though I just did it, it was a lot of fun.

1. The Raid: Berandal2. How to Train Your Dragon 23. Big Hero 64. The Boxtrolls5. Edge of Tomorrow6. Maleficent7. Jupiter Ascending8. Cinderella9. Home10. Chappie

I remember checking this a little while ago, and I couldn't find one. It's possible there's a country where Frozen was already a fringe release that Lego could do better, but I haven't seen one. In Lego's best markets, Frozen pretty handily outperformed it.