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chuck0

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Everything posted by chuck0

  1. chuck0
    Aw damn... i guess then i will have to go with something like with 252,252,252$ in order to squeeze in between the other predictions... and i am preparing myself for a harsh drop this weekend... though i would hope that the next WE holds typical frozen style
  2. chuck0
    I guess i could up mine to 243.81 after all
  3. chuck0
    let it snow, let it snow?
  4. chuck0
    Well i guess it is a perpetual up and down... Pixar had the crown for a while now and since they did not really deliver on their last movies i guess it is just fair that the crown changes ownership. Though i think WDAS still has to prove that its revival is really lasting. BH6 will be interesting
  5. chuck0
    Thanks, and i guess ill stay with $240M for now... that might be on the lower end, but since i created a club that probably needs something a bit closer to $300M to succeed i want to hedge my bets a little
  6. chuck0
    That would be a pretty steep increase from the first (that did not even break $500M WW)... while i really love HTTYD i doubt that it will come close to Frozens numbers...
  7. chuck0
    Just wanted to mention that i think my pre GW number is $240M... i upped from $190M after i saw that there were so many below $200M estimates (see http://forums.boxoffice.com/index.php?/topic/3478-japan-box-office-elsa-reigns/page-219#entry1358975 ) btwhttp://forums.boxoffice.com/index.php?/topic/14728-frozens-japanese-bo-gross-among-top-3-dom-summer-movies/
  8. chuck0
    the amount of crap similies in this thread is pretty staggering... and i love it careful... the next thing he will lock is DH2 WW
  9. chuck0
    and another for good measure
  10. chuck0
    Will be really hard to miss by this point
  11. chuck0
    Phew... glad that i dont have to imagine that
  12. chuck0
    Hehe yep... those numbers quieted things down quite a bit... only a few movies can disappoint by bringing in "only" what they made during their opening in their 7th weekend
  13. chuck0
    Am i too late for the gw guesstimate? If not,24.98M
  14. chuck0
    I guess mfantin will say that it is a lock The next two or three weeks are probably going to decide whether it will happen or not. It still has not begun to drop in a proper pattern so projecting where it might end up with any kind of precision is pretty hard (and the span between minimum and maximum is huge). But at least from how the coming weekend is developing i would assume it is more likely than not going to get that crown. I think the $190M it needs for that might not be the floor (harsh unforseen drops can happen anytime) but probably pretty close to it... would guess it would end up somewhere around $170M if everything goes completely wrong from here on out
  15. chuck0
    Regarding spiderman... this one might have a bit better legs than the last one since it did not get this huge amount of screens on its opening (was it in this thread that somebody mentioned that Amazing Siderman opened with the most screens for a hollywood movie? ). So it will have a lower opening but maybe a bit better legs than the first ones multiplier might suggest... as for Frozen... i am going for a nice and round 9M weekend and up my total guesstimate to $240M since others have now made enough sub 200 estimates to keep this thread sane ...and damn, without having reached any kind of plateau coming up with numbers for this movie is a bit difficult... btw, if saturday shows are already close to being sold out (as mentioned by Olive) i have the feeling that this is going to be epic
  16. chuck0
    Anybody know what kind of multipier asm1 had? If it opens to 3.7m then asm2 doing 37m total might be difficult...
  17. chuck0
    if asm2 is lucky it will open to half of what frozen will do in its 7th we
  18. chuck0
    just frozen being frozen... seems like it was in the media a bit and wom as always :-)
  19. chuck0
    Neat... if they really pull many seats from frozen then there might be quite a few sellouts... that should help push the ticket price up since people will have to settle for 3D if 2D is sold out
  20. chuck0
    in some of those charts yen were converted into todays dollar... maybe thats why the numbers looked that much higher :-)
  21. chuck0
    I guess we have been spoiled a little by the last few weeks... a small decrease in seats for a six week old holdover is pretty amazing. Especially when considering that it is facing huge competition from all sides (local and global). I am getting a little flashback to the week just before the DOM singalong release where quite a few people hoped for an increase in TC and revenue... anyways this weekend is going to be a real nail biter
  22. chuck0
    Hehe, i thought that there would only be 200+ estimates... thats why i wanted to provide a "conservative" floor... but since i am not the lowest anymore i guess ill go quite a bit higher after seeing a bit more of the week... it is especially encouraging that the seat count held that well
  23. chuck0
    If those GW projections hold (basically whether the 3D and singalong gambles really pay off) i will start believing in that kind of development Until then i think i will still hold onto my conservative $190M... somebody has to stay under $200M for the sake of sanity Btw i really want those number to become reality! And i think one of the advantages Frozen has over local animation is that multiple versions are available that might encourage repeat business which is usually not really a factor.
  24. chuck0
    probably highly addictive
  25. chuck0
    I am not directly from Germany, but Austria is basically its little brother... probably a bit like USA and UK nowadays. Anyways i think in general there is not too much interest in boxoffice numbers here... That is really impressive... two animated movies beyound 7.5M in one weekend.
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