Quigley

What about IW drop?

@Rthanos posted a single number (6.5) yesterday that was enough to ruin everyone's hopes for $2bn and a day later he posts another number (13) that has put everyone's hopes back in place. Honestly, when's this run gonna be over so we can sit back and relax...

I do miss the time of sincere movies. By sincere I mean movies that were internally consistent, did not break the fourth wall and didn't have self-references and meta-humor. I'm not saying that I don't like movies like Deadpool or Guardians of the Galaxy but it just gets a bit tiring occasionally.

DP2's Friday without previews is $34.7M, which is a tad higher than DP's $34.64M Friday. DP2 had a much higher preview/OD ratio, which makes it more frontloaded. And don't forget that DP actually increased on Sunday. This is definitely not gonna happen for DP2 so I think we should be expecting an opening around $125M, with a range of $122-128M.

$28M is the low end of expectations I think. It looks the movie was hit badly by Deadpool 2's arrival but it is recovering. Even the fact that @Rthanos said it would make $6.5M when it ended up making $7.25M suggests that it has exceeded its expected trajectory within the day (correct if I'm wrong). This means it has been recovering during the day and will continue to recover over the weekend. So a multiple above 4x is not out of the question.

The movie would have been released in the midst of Solo and Jurassic World. There's no guarantee that it would have worked out well.

Have people come down to earth yet and given up on the 2 billion gross? I told everyone that it was NEVER happening. I mean with Deadpool and Solo it’s beyond me why anyone ever thought it would make it

It made $81M last weekend. in OS – China. I would say it has chances of dropping less than 50%. $42M + $48M in China = $90M weekend. Another $30M from NA means that the film would be around $1.820 billion by Sunday.

I think the 50% drop in 'Others' is purely an artefact because of rounding numbers up/down. Presumably each country's number is rounded the nearest 0.1M, and the 'Others' figure is produced by subtracting all individual countries' rounded figures from the daily total. That can lead to huge day-to-day discrepancies.

I hope so, but there's Solo to consider too... How many theaters will IW give up for that film. I do want it to get to $700M but it's getting harder to keep your hopes up. If this weekend stays above $30M, there is definitely a chance.

So it's been falling by two thirds each week?

Why did Disney even decide to release this movie a few months after The Last Jedi? They should have just released it in December as usual.

I don't think we disagree. We are just saying the same thing in different ways.

By Thursday, IW will become the highest-grossing Disney film overseas – surpassing The Force Awakens ($1,131.6M) By Sunday or early next week, IW will have achieved the second-highest initial OS run ever, beating Titanic's $1,242.4M. However, including its 3D re-release, Titanic's gross is $1,528.1M, which is far from IW's reach, so it will settle for third place all time. It is guaranteed to reach 4th place domestically and WW. It may also achieve 3rd place domestically and WW, but that is less likely the way things are looking at the moment.

Deadpool numbers?

I must note that "opening weekend" is defined as the amount a film earned up to its first Sunday in each country. The massive differences near the top of the chart are due mainly to the fact that each film opened on a different day of the week in China. IW, FF8, HP7-P2, TFA, CA-CW: Friday AoU: Tuesday FF7: Sunday IM3: Wednesday etc.

I've added up all opening weekends from all countries (except US & Canada) for various movies and I am presenting here the ones whose opening added up to more than $250M: Ranking Film Gross (millions) 1 Avengers: Infinity War $601.50 2 The Fate of the Furious $457.52 3 Avengers: Age of Ultron $429.01 4 Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows – Part 2 $343.72 5 Star Wars: The Force Awakens $336.47 6 Fast and Furious 7 $333.76 7 Captain America: Civil War $331.20 8 Jurassic World $328.40 9 Iron Man 3 $314.57 10 Transformers: Age of Extinction $303.69 11 Transformers: Dark of the Moon $295.29 12 Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides $260.87 13 Star Wars: The Last Jedi $259.51 14 Marvel's the Avengers $259.08 15 Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice $256.50 16 Despicable Me 3 $252.46

Entgroup and BOM report different numbers in yuan, but they also use different exchange rates EntGroup: $211.2M and 1,315.9M yuan http://english.entgroup.cn/boxoffice/cn/Default.aspx?week=1001 BOM: $200.49M and 1,269.9M yuan http://www.boxofficemojo.com/intl/china/?yr=2018&wk=19&p=.htm which is the right one? and if neither is right, who else is right? Deadline reported 1262M yuan and $199.3M. Does a reliable source even exist?

Voldermort is a much more iconic villain though. Thanos's appearance is quite underwhelming for such an invincible villain.

Is the interest in this film so non-existent? lol

Weekend 10–13/05/2018 Ranking Title Weekend admissions % change from last weekend Total admissions Week 1 Avengers: Infinity War 22,929 -57.4% 326,615 3 2 The Nut Job 2: Nutty by Nature 5,618 – 5,618 1 3 Beirut 4,507 – 4,507 1 4 Truth or Dare 4,493 -44.2% 18,630 2 5 Ghostland [English-language Canadian–French] 3,897 – 3,897 1 6 Blockers 3,172 – 3,172 1 7 Chappaquiddick 1,650 – 1,650 1 8 Gauguin – Voyage de Tahiti [French] 1,638 – 1,638 1 9 Les as de la jungle [French] 1,578 -68.8% 13,813 3 10 Overboard 1,356 -61.0% 7,356 2 Source: http://freecinema.gr/greek-box-office-defeated-again/ Marvel's epic superhero mash-up finished in first place for a 3rd consecutive weekend. It saw another massive drop, although weekdays, which have accounted for 36% of its weekly earnings, have really helped this film push past all expectations. None of this would've been presumed probable following its opening. It is almost a foregone conclusion by now that it will top both 'Dark Knight' sequels to become the 3rd biggest superhero film, only behind 'Spider-Man 3' and 'Spider-Man 2', with around 350K admissions. In fact, if its drops are not very big from now on it could go even higher, although with 'Deadpool 2' and 'Solo' coming up, it is quite unlikely. The film has objectively performed better and better each week, even though its weekend drops may seem a bit inconsistent with its success. If it reaches 350K admissions, it will have achieved a total that is 2.5 times the average for an MCU film so far (much better than its US performance) and its total will be 100 times more than the second-biggest film of the series, 'Marvel's the Avengers', which sold 242,565 admissions. By all standards, this is truly a terrific result and it shows how successfully Marvel's model has worked out. The market has otherwise been abysmally quiet. Cumulative admissions were 58,385, the third-lowest result for the year (and second-lowest when excluding Easter weekend). I don't even think that any of the other films merit a discussion. Horrible averages for openers, horrible drops for holdovers. Everyone's attention is now shifting to the opening of 'Deadpool 2'. The original opened to an unexpectedly high 77.8K admissions in February 2016 and ended with 217.8K admissions, so let's see if this one can beat its predecessor and if it can cross the 100K-admission milestone during its opening.

A bit like Alice in Wonderland, in a way. I'm not implying that the drop will be as catastrophic as Alice 2's drop but it feels like the buzz has been completely absent.

All these country records are in local currency

Well it was fun as long as it lasted. I'm done though. Move on, guys, and ignore her.

Lol, she's an imbecile.