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Quigley

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Everything posted by Quigley

  1. Toy Story 3 made more than Harry Potter. So happy.
  2. How does it compare to Skyfall's second Friday?
  3. It looks as if they're finally getting their sh*t together. Although I still don't read the weekend articles.
  4. Well that's because Monday and Tuesday were weekdays. Friday and Saturday would definitely generate more business than those two days.
  5. Holy shit I just read this sentence and I'm mind-blown: "According to WSJ, co-financing and marketing and releasing Skyfall brought Sony $57 million on a film that grossed $1.1 billion globally. MGM, in turn, made $175 million, while Danjaq made $109 million." https://deadline.com/2015/10/daniel-craig-james-bond-sony-warner-bros-mgm-daniel-craig-1201528241/ $57M is nothing to complain about but you'd expect a studio to make more than 5% profit out of a billion-dollar film.
  6. Yes, I had to choose a definition for opening weekend so this was my only choice. In-depth analysis over at Jurassic World's thread: http://forums.boxofficetheory.com/topic/16909-jurassic-world-os-1013b-os-1664b-ww-china-228m-united-kingdom-1004m/?do=findComment&comment=2261913
  7. Ahead of Toy Story 3, nearly as much as Up. It's a shame cuz of the exchange rate, but otherwise well done.
  8. To add a bit more perspective, if we look at total-gross-to-opening-weekend ratios: HP7 - P2: 2.79 JW: 3.09 FF7: 3.48 FF7 has a much bigger mutliplier. However, HP7 - P2 and JW had a full 3-day weekend in China (and possibly previews - can't remember about HP7 - P2). FF7 had a single-day opening in China (Sunday). If it had been released on Friday, it would now hold the overseas opening-weekend record but it would also have a lower multiplier. Therefore this mulitplier doesn't indicate less front-loadedness. If anything, it demonstrates how much China can influence the numbers because it is a really big market. We can work backwards to show this might be the case: FF7 grossed $390.91M in China. If it had had a 3-day opening, its Chinese multiplier would have been, let's say, 2.8. Therefore to earn $390M in total, its 3-day opening should have been $139.61M (=390.91/2.8), instead of $64.32M Sunday opening. That adds up to a $409.05M (=333.76-64.32+139.61) overseas opening weekend and a 2.84 multiplier (=1162/409.05), which makes much more sense for a blockbuster and is in line with the values for HP7- P2 and JW.
  9. Now that the first trailer is out: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OiEG3Zr_Jxs we can discuss a bit more on its potential. Although, the story does seem significantly different, they are sticking to the same dark formula and the same characters (with Mr. Time being an exception). The cheshire cat is narrating, Depp is as weird and unfathomable as ever, the evil queen laughs, the good queen looks helpless and Alice will come to save the day. Business as usual. A drop is definitely more likely than not at this point.
  10. Dunno if anyone's interested but I added up all the openings of Furious 7 and Jurassic World in all countries outside North America (I defined "opening" as anything earned by the film up to its first Sunday). The results are: Furious 7: $333.76M Jurassic World: $328.4M Pretty close but still Furious 7 is the winner. They are second and third all time respectively, behind none other than Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows - Part 2 which made $343.72M.
  11. Dunno if anyone's interested but I added up all the openings of Furious 7 and Jurassic World in all countries outside North America (I defined opening as anything earned by the film up to its first Sunday). The results are: Furious 7: $333.76M Jurassic World: $328.4M Pretty close but still Furious 7 is the winner. They are second and third all time respectively, behind none other than Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows - Part 2 which made $343.72M.
  12. BY THE WAY, a record no one pointed out (or at least, that I didn't notice anyone pointing out), is that Minions broke the record for the fastest animated film to reach $1 billion, achieving it in 72 days. Toy Story 3, the previous record holder, achieved it in 73 days.
  13. It's a shame for Ant-Man. It was doing so well. Sub-50% drops and whatnot.
  14. It all sounds exciting to me. If the Good Dinosaur also reaches $800M (like Inside Out) and Star Wars 7 out-grosses Jurassic World, then Disney can really dominate the end-of-year headlines. I still think Universal will be #1 in yearly studio gross, but if Star Wars 7 can leave Jurassic World in the dust, no one will care. The thing is I'd rather not belive the hype for SW7 yet. Better to be surprised than disappointed. As for the UK, I'm not really a fan of either Bond (especially Spectre) or Star Wars, so whichever finishes in first place, it's fine by me.
  15. If anyone was hoping for 'Fast & Furious 7' to surpass 'Marvel's the Avengers' at the worldwide box office, that hope has now been annihilated. Furious 7 numbers, both domestic and overseas, were updated recently (between a few minutes and a few days ago): http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=fast7.htm The numbers also make it clear that Inside Out is safely ahead of Furious 7 in North America by about $3 million.
  16. Ranking Title Weekend admissions % Change from last weekend Total admissions Week 1 Hotel Transylvania 2 26,531 -42.1% 107,764 2 2 Crimson Peak 14,435 -44.7% 60,002 2 3 The Last Witch Hunter 14,361 n/a 14,361 1 4 No Escape 11,022 n/a 11,022 1 5 Pan 10,003 -41.8% 38,205 2 6 Ο Αστακός (O Astakos or The Lobster) [GR] 8,968 -18.5% 28,104 2 7 Youth 6,791 -9.3% 32,206 3 8 Ο Κλέαρχος, η Μαρίνα και ο Κοντός (O Klearhos, i Marina kai o Kontos) [GR] 6,614 -51.9% 29,842 2 9 Burnt 5,959 -32.3% 22,118 2 10 Minions 5,766 -32.7% 273,777 6 Source: http://www.grandmagazine.gr/ngine/article/2761/ena-polu-halloween-box-office-gia-to-4hmero-29-10-01-11-15 The mid-week holidays really boosted the box office. Newcomers failed to attract viewers, leaving holdovers 'Hotel Transylvania 2' and 'Crimson Peak' to reign. Italian film 'Youth' and Greek film 'The Lobster' have been doing great business in limited release (17 and 9 theaters respectively). 'Inside Out' had a 13% drop and is now at 293,749 admissions. 300,000 is very likely to be reached. Both that film and 'Minions' have performed exceptionally: 'Inside Out' is the most successful Pixar film since 'Ratatouille' by a large margin. 'Minions' outgrossed 'Despicable Me 2' by more than 40%. By next week, 'Inside Out', 'Minions' and 'Transylvania' will be 3 out of the 4 highest-grossing films of the past 2 months. This is just a point made to demonstrate that kids are one of the main driving forces in the cinema market and that competition is not as important a factor as we think. All three of these films have been quite successful which means that making a good or attractive film is at least as important as competition, if not more important. Several films come out next week, including 'The Peanuts Movie', but none of them are expected to do significant business, especially since 'Spectre' is being released on November 12. Let me remind you that 'Skyfall' was the highest-grossing film of 2012 with 580,000 admissions, the biggest amount since 'Avatar'...
  17. OTHER NOTABLE CUMES Inside Out: $491.3M international, $846.9M global. My estimate for the weekend is about $3.1M, a drop of 33% from last weekend's $4.6M tally. Can't stop hoping for a $500M final gross but it needs to have drops of 33% (at most) from now on to achieve that. Side note: it has reached $60M in the UK and Ireland thanks to half-term school holidays.
  18. This weekend's new releases: Μαριονέτες (Marionetes - AKA Muppets) [GR] The Last Witch Hunter Antigang No Escape
  19. So Wed's gross virtually identical to Tue's? That's sick. $60M 6.5-day opening possible.
  20. Ant-Man's drop from last Thur is ~48%. Hopefully the drop in screen share doesn't affect this wknd's drop too much. Hoping for <50%.
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