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Quigley

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Everything posted by Quigley

  1. Inside Out made more than Jurassic World on Friday even when you subtract the Thursday-night grosses. I really hope it stays flat on Sat and decreases only slightly on Sun, but even then JW has to do horribly to fall second place for the weekend.
  2. Friday-to-Friday drops are around 50%, maybe less. But its Wednesday and Thursday openings of last week will make the weekend drop more than 50%.
  3. Admittedly the track record is very poor for animated films in June, but those that exist - HTTYD 2 (9x), MU (11.5x) and TS3 (10x), which are all sequels - suggest it won't make much less than 10x its $3.7M late-night gross on Friday. Even 9x would put it at $33M for Friday (incl. late-night gross). That's more than enough to give it a chance at beating JW for Friday (headed, I believe, for around $30M for Friday based on mid-June historical comps), although I think it's too early to talk about beating it for the weekend.
  4. First of all, I've admitted I was wrong (besides, I'm wrong whether I admit it or not - numbers speak for themselves). Secondly, why does it even matter to you what my predictions are? I think I'm perfectly allowed to make any sort of predictions I want. Make fun of me all you want, but I don't HAVE to do anything as long as I follow the rules.
  5. Yeah yeah... keep saying that to yourself as if you knew this one was coming.
  6. In light of JW's record-shattering opening-weekend, I doubt it can reach a lot higher than $400m (around $415M).
  7. I still agree fully with my first paragraph after watching the film (which I did watch, by the way, not because I really wanted to but because of other, social, reasons). I obviously can't agree with the rest of what I wrote at the time. I don't think it's such a big deal. I mean, yeah it is hilarious that my predictions were so ridiculously inaccurate but no one even came close to predicting this level of success anyway.
  8. Honestly, I just want Inside Out to gross more worldwide. Nothing else really matters, but I know that's very unlikely.
  9. As expected, Jurassic World put the last nail on Furous 7's coffin (although Universal is not crying at all, I'm definite about that).
  10. Top 5 movies this year are from Universal and Disney. With Inside Out, Minions and Ant-Man coming out, they could monopolize the Top 8 (Ted 2, MI5 and Fantastic 4 also competing)
  11. Well, on this page, estimates are $97.3M. I can't explain such a big difference
  12. Franchises that have achieved to have 2 films in the top 5 worlwide at at least one point in time: Star Wars^ Lord of the Rings Harry Potter (maybe, not sure - can anyone confirm this?) Pirates of the Caribbean MCU/Avengers James Cameron (technically not a franchise but I think it still counts) ^includes grosses from re-releases
  13. "Next up is Furious 7 and its $1.51B worldwide gross." Geez, Keith Simanton has been a disappointment from day 0.
  14. It dropped more than 50% in both North America and overseas so the suspense over whether it can claim a spot in the top 3 worldwide pantheon remains. A further drop of more than 50% next week (cuz of JW) could severely affect its chances.
  15. It made $2.8M worlwide this weekend and using the trajectory of blockbuster films in North America as a model, the most optimistic prediction for it would $12-13M. Probably less. It could lose a lot of screens next weekend in NA cuz 3 films are opening in more than 3000 theaters. Otherwise, it doesn't seem like it will collapse but the weekend after that will be the biggest challenge.
  16. Hopefully the release of Insidious Chapter 3, Entourage, Jurassic World and the remaining territories for San Andreas in the next two weeks obliterate it. Realistically though it has a legitimate chance at #3 WW.
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