Quigley

How can that be? It's not even midnight yet in Beijing.

Wait what? Is that an estimate or a prediction?

It's so sad that presales are so high (2nd best ever) yet the atmosphere on the thread is as if the film is having an average performance.

It's quite hard. I'd say most likely $400M+ but don't how much higher.

Just so that the mourning is relieved a bit, AoU is still leading Avengers in local currencies by 20%. That is not a number to ignore. Yes, the exchange rates, and thus profits, are low, but it indicates that these films remain immensely, and increasingly, popular around the world. Footnote #1: on the other hand, admissions and ticket sales in North America will fall about 30% compared to the first one, if not more. Footnote #2: With China coming, the lead of AoU in local currnecy can only increase and maybe ultimately compensate for the bigger decrease in North American sales (although when that is converted to dollars it admittedly might not be enough).

If Aou doesn't make $300M in China, Furious 7 will probably win worldwide.

Furious 7's run in China is (finally) ending tomorrow and Japan's Golden Week is over so we can hope that its earnings will drop significantly from now on, preventing it from exceeding $1.150B overseas.

Whoa, calm down. No one said Furious 7 won. It's still got China and Japan. I agree that odds are increasing though.

From bad to worse: Avengers at $875M by Sunday.

By the way, this an EXTREMELY important list required to analyse a movie's success. otherwise the analysis becomes skewed.

Alice in Wonderland made $33M in China. You need to subtract that. http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/china-boxoffice-tops-700-mil-25778

Please tell me they meant Wednesday...

Look, I've chosen to be negative cuz at this point stuff could lean towards either side. If the weekend or China's debut offer any positive indications for the film's trajectory, I'll be the first to celebrate. As for the domestic vs international, people discuss global results here too.

That estimate was according to Deadline. THR has it at $18.7M (an hour later). Even better.

I think by Sunday, AoU will be around $900M ($310M in NA, $590M elsewhere). Massive disappointment considering Avengers had crossed $1B by that point but hopefully China will make up for it.

$695.4M

AoU made $18.3M overseas on Tuesday. Very small drop from Monday presumably due to the holiday in South Korea.

Why does this say May 15 is the release date for AoU in China? http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/china-deng-biopic-superhero-avengers-793785

Whoa, actuals according to Deadline have FF7 at $1,091M instead of $1,098M. That's a substantial overestimation.

Tuesday, May 5 is Children's Day, a national holiday. That means both Monday and Tuesday numbers will be inflated. http://www.timeanddate.com/holidays/south-korea/ These are truly nauseating numbers.

With a $25M wknd, I don't see why it can't get close to $80M if not surpass it.

What's the % drop from OW?

Pffft or not, if they remove all its showtimes once Tomorrowland comes out, there's little than can be done.

I think by the end of its run AoU will be leading Furious 7 in non-China OS by at least $100M (based on individual market comparison). That means it can make a bit less than $300M in China and will still most likely out-gross FF7 OS. Tough but possible. As for WW earnings, there is no question that it will out-gross FF7, cuz the NA total willbe at least $450M.

I'm honestly very impressed. Sorry for being so negative about it not reaching the 7M admission mark by Sunday. I hadn't realised how little films drop on Sunday. I guess 10M is pretty much a given now?