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Eric Lasagna

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Everything posted by Eric Lasagna

  1. 1. La La Land 2. Fences 3. Moonlight 4. Doctor Strange 5. Rogue One 6. Moana 7. Fantastic Beasts 8. Lego Batman 9. Silence 10. John Wick: Chapter Two
  2. Nah. Most unfinished leaked footage is usually taken down within a couple of hours, is pretty much only talked about by fanboy websites (aka not the GA), and usually is release a couple of months before the actual marketing takes place. No need to panic.
  3. Overperform Well I'm the one who has the "Fantastic Beasts over Half-Blood Prince" club, so I clearly think Beasts will oveperform and be #2 this winter behind Rogue One. It's got the Harry Potter brand, a brand that's still insanely popular and well-respected I might add, easy 4-quad appeal, and it will have appeal to people who didn't join the Potter craze, by virtue of being an original story. This movie hasn't gotten much discussion, if at all, but I feel Rock That Body has potential to be the biggest comedy next summer. The premise seems very Hangover-like, its script was in a huge bidding war, and it has a stellar cast, with its leading lady being Scarlett Johannson, and a supporting cast including four potential rising stars, one of them being an Emmy winner I might add. The only real speed bump with that movie could be The House, but if RTB strikes a chord and ends up being really funny, I think it could be a real surprise. Most people think that Ninjago will do around Hotel Transylvania numbers, but I think it could be the first September movie to cross $200M. Lego Movie was a smash hit, and Lego Batman will do the same, and Tsujihara is reportedly focusing on Lego being a huge moneymaker for WB, so with that brand recognition, WB's marketing powah, and it being one of the most popular toylines currently for Lego Group, this movie's gon' explode. Underperform Next March looks to be YUGE, but I feel Logan could get hurt by it. With Kong and Beauty and the Beast being the main attractions for moviegoers, Logan wasn't going to be a huge hit regardless, but I feel that it has potential to be the lowest-rated X-Men movie. Its title doesn't scream "X-Men" to me, and its R rating could potentially be a hinderance. Yeah yeah yeah, I know about Deadpool, but that had the virtues of being much more unique in the superhero landscape, thanks to lampooning the genre and its oddball character. It'll still do good, but around Origins: Wolverine numbers, or even Apocalypse numbers? Nah. War for the Planet of the Apes I just don't see crossing $200M. Dawn's only major competition it had to face was Transformers 4, which severely underperformed, and Lucy, which did just a cool $125M. War will be surrounded by Despicable Me 3, Spider-Man, and Dunkirk. Yeah, Dawn had amazing reception, and War could be the same, yadda yadda yadda, but Dawn's explosion was largely in part because there was nothing else out in theaters when it was released IMO. War won't have that benefit, so it'll probably chill in the $160-190M range. This is all I have so far.
  4. http://collider.com/spider-man-spin-off-movies-the-dark-tower-trailer/#passengers-images Tom Rothman was interviewed at the Inferno premiere. Most of the interview focuses on Spidey and Passengers, but Dark Tower stuff was talked about. Good news: The movie reportedly satisfies both fans and newcomers, Idris Elba kicks ass as Roland, and Stephen King is completely gun-ho about his casting. Bad news: The first teaser or trailer for the movie will come out around Christmastime.
  5. TOP 15 ETC PREDICTION TEMPLATE Below is a helpful template to use for making predictions. All Players who use this template for their predictions will receive 10,000 bonus points for making my life easier when I have to score everything at the end of the game. A: Domestic top 15: 1) Rogue One: A Star Wars Story: $480M2) Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them: $305M3) Sing: $300M4) Moana: $290M5) Doctor Strange: $230 6) The Lego Batman Movie: $185M7) Passengers: $180M8) Trolls: $130M9) La La Land: $130M10) Arrival: $110M 11) Fifty Shades Darker: $100M12) Inferno: $95M 13) Fences: $90M14) Live By Night: $90M15) Why Him: $85M B: Top 7 Domestic OW: 1) Rogue One: A Star Wars Story: $140M2) Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them: $110M3) Moana: $80M4) Doctor Strange: $75M5) Sing: $75M 6) Lego Batman Movie: $70M7) Fifty Shades Darker: $60M C: Worldwide top 10: 1) Rogue One: A Star Wars Story: $1.3B2) Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them: $955M3) Moana: $890M4) Sing: $780M 5) Doctor Strange: $775M 6) The Lego Batman Movie: $540M7) Passengers: $530M8) The Great Wall: $470M9) Fifty Shades Darker: $435M10) Trolls: $380M D: Total Grosses: Top 15 Dom) $2.9B Top 7 W/E) $590M Top 10 WW) $7.055B E: And the Winner Is…: 1) Moana2) La La Land 3) Arrival 4) Fences5) Lion 6) Jackie7) Loving F: Assassin's Greed: 1) China2) Russia3) Australia4) U.K.5) France 6) Mexico Pre-season Questions: A: 100M Fifty Shades Darker B: 200M Passengers C: 300M Sing D: 400M Rouge One: A Star Wars Story E: 500M Rouge One: A Star Wars Story Each correctly predicted film scores you 15,000 points, get all five correct and receive 25,000 bonus points for 100k total. (This is the only preseason question where there is no penalty for being wrong so enjoy it). 1) Tell me which of these will be the highest grossing film of the winter domestically:1) Dr. Strange2) Fantastic Beasts: $305M3) Moana 4) Assassin’s Creed Answer correctly: 12,000 points Answer incorrectly: -5,000 points State that you abstain: 2,000 points Correctly predict the films gross to within 20M and receive a 13,000 point bonus, Predict to within 10M and receive 23,000 points bonus. 2) Tell me which of these will be the lowest grossing film of the winter domestically:1) Rings: $30M2) Ouija 23) Split4) Resident Evil Answer correctly: 12,000 points Answer incorrectly: -5,000 points State that you abstain: 2,000 points Correctly predict the films gross to within 10M and receive a 13,000 point bonus, Predict to within 5M and receive 23,000 points bonus 3) Will at least 3 films make more than 250M domestically by the end of the game? YES Answer correctly: 15,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 10,000 points State that you abstain: 3,000 points 4) Will animated films combine to make more than 700M domestically by the end of the game? YES Answer correctly: 15,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 10,000 points State that you abstain: 3,000 points 5) Will at least 3 films make more than 80M OW domestic? YES Answer correctly: 15,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 10,000 points State that you abstain: 4,000 points 6) Will any film with a title containing any of the words Christmas, Santa or Halloween make more than $75M domestic? YES Answer correctly: 20,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 12,000 points State that you abstain: 4,000 points 7) Will at least 3 of the top 5 domestic films of the summer be non-sequels set in existing film universes (e.g Marvel, Potter and Star Wars)? YES Answer correctly: 20,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 12,000 points State that you abstain: 4,000 points 8) Will any film from the Ouija, Friday 13th, Ring, Underworld or Resident Evil franchise become the highest grossing film in its respective franchise? NO Answer correctly: 20,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 15,000 points State that you abstain: 4,000 points 9) Typically on Valentine’s Day (excluding 2016 thanks to Deadpool….) a Romance, Romantic Comedy or Drama has lead chart on Valentine’s Day. Will a Romance, Romantic Comedy or a Drama (as per BOM) be the #1 film on 14th February 2017 (Valentine’s Day)? NO Answer correctly: 20,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 15,000 points State that you abstain: 4,000 points 10) Will any film have an Opening weekend below $10M for have a final gross above $125M by the end of the game? NO Answer correctly: 25,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 15,000 points State that you abstain: 5,000 points 11) Will the Great Wall make over $100M in China? YES Answer correctly: 25,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 15,000 points State that you abstain: 5,000 points 12) Will any film not owned by the greater Disney conglomerate make more than $800M Worldwide? YES Answer correctly: 25,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 20,000 points State that you abstain: 5,000 points 13)Animated films have had a stellar year. But can it continue… Will an animated film land (domestic gross) in the top 3 films for the game? YES Answer correctly: 25,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 20,000 points State that you abstain: 5,000 points 14)Will Paramount have 3 or more films in the Domestic top 15 list by the end of the game? NO Answer correctly: 25,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 20,000 points State that you abstain: 5,000 points 15)Will any film in the top 15 Domestic have a multiplier below 2.4? YES Answer correctly: 25,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 20,000 points State that you abstain: 5,000 points 16) Will Fifty Shades Darker’s drop from its predecessor be higher than Rogue One’s drop from Force Awakens? NO Answer correctly: 25,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 20,000 points State that you abstain: 5,000 points 17)Thor opened on the same Weekend back in 2011 to 65m. Will Dr. Strange’s opening weekend be larger than Thor (85.7m)? NO Answer correctly: 30,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 25,000 points State that you abstain: 6,000 points 18)Similar to Tangled, Moana faces a Potter Universe film in its second weekend amongst other competition. Can Moana do what neither Tangled or for that matter, Frozen managed on opening weekend and open to the top spot over thanksgiving (3 day results)? YES Answer correctly: 30,000 points Answer incorrectly: 25,000 points State that you abstain: 6,000 points 19) Will the same film finish top of both the domestic and Worldwide gross charts? YES Answer correctly: 30,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 25,000 points State that you abstain: 6,000 points 20) Will any film on the Worldwide top 10 list fail to make the domestic top 15? YES Answer correctly: 30,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 25,000 points State that you abstain: 6,000 points 21)Will at least 2 films in the top 15 win Oscars? YES Answer correctly: 30,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 25,000 points State that you abstain: 6,000 points 22)Will Universal have the second highest grossing animated movie domestically of the Winter Game? NO Answer correctly: 30,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 25,000 points State that you abstain: 6,000 points 23) Will XXX gross more domestically than Riddick ($42M)? YES Answer correctly: 30,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 25,000 points State that you abstain: 6,000 points 24) Will films starring the cast from Xmen Apocalypse combine to gross more than $275M domestic (Cameos not included)? YES Answer correctly: 35,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 25,000 points State that you abstain: 6,000 points 25) Will any of the top 5 grossing horror films have a second weekend drop below 52.5%? NO Answer correctly: 35,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 25,000 points State that you abstain: 6,000 points 26)We don’t have a worldwide weekend chart this game, however, I thought it would be fun to have a question here. Take the top 5 Domestic Weekends and top 5 international weekends (remember a film can only appear once on each list) and merge the charts into a single chart (this may mean we have a domestic weekend and international weekend for a movie which is ok). Which Chart (Domestic or International Weekends) has more in the top 5 films of the combined chart? I ABSTAIN Answer correctly: 40,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 25,000 points State that you abstain: 6,000 points 27) Which combination of films will gross the most amount of money domestically during the game? 1) Rogue One, Hacksaw Ridge, Dark Tower, Edge of Seventeen 2) Fantastic Beasts, Arrival, Why Him?, John Wick 2 3) Moana, Sing, Trolls. Rock Dog 4) Dr. Strange, Asassin’s Creed, Inferno, Allied Answer correctly: 40,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 25,000 points State that you abstain: 6,000 points 28)Which combination of films will gross the least amount of money domestically during the game? 1) Boo! Madea Halloween, Almost Christmas, Office Christmas, Bad Santa 2 2) Ouija 2, Rings, Underworld, Bye Bye Man 3) Jack Reacher 2, Shut In, Space Between Us, The Lake 4) Billy Lynn’s Halftime Walk, Lion, The Founder, Sleepless Answer correctly: 40,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 25,000 points State that you abstain: 6,000 points 29)Which of the following release dates will have the highest combined 3 day weekend gross for new releases on that date? * 1) November 25th (Wednesday releases only count the 3day totals still) 2) December 16th 3) December 23rd (Wednesday releases only count the 3day totals still) 4) February 10th Answer correctly: 40,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 30,000 points State that you abstain: 5,000 points 30) Which of the following release dates will have the lowest combined 3 day weekend gross for new releases on that date? * 1) October 28th 2) December 2nd 3) January 13th 4) March 24th Answer correctly: 40,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 30,000 points State that you abstain: 5,000 points And Finally… The Jajang Jajang something something questions: 1) HIGHER 2) LOWER 3) HIGHER 4) LOWER 5) LOWER 6) HIGHER 7) HIGHER 8) HIGHER 9) YES 10) NO 11) YES 12) YES 13) NO 14) NO 15) YES 16) NO 17) ROGUE ONE 18) #5 19) 3 20) ROGUE ONE REMEMBER!!! USE THIS TEMPLATE AND RECEIVE 20,000 BONUS POINTS ABSOLUTELY FREE!!! Like this
  6. This is the one that always amazes me: Forrest Gump. This nearly 2.5 hour-long drama focusing on a mentally slow Tom Hanks going through and experiencing the cultural mood swings of 40s-80s America would probably gross around $100M at most today, and I'm being generous. But not only did it gross almost $330M, not only did it have the legs of 13.5, but it was the biggest movie of the year, beating out Disney's 90s magnum opus, and a Schwarzenegger-Cameron joint. Did Hanks' Oscar goodwill and Zemeckis' BttF success really make it that big of a hit? There's also Pirates of the Carribean 1. Think about it: This was a movie based on a theme park ride and a genre that was completely abandoned after Cutthroat Island crashed and burned, it was Disney's first foray into the PG-13 rating (excluding Touchstone of course), and it costed $140M to make, at a time when that budget wasn't the Hollywood norm. And yet, it made over $305M off of a $70.6M 5-day opener, and didn't drop above hard until week 22. It even grossed more than movies with bigger brand recognition at the time (Matrix Reloaded, Terminator 3, X-Men 2, etc.) Now that's something you don't see everyday.
  7. No. The last two (I think) are Boss Baby in March and Captain Underpants in June. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  8. It costs $8.5M to make, and it has family legs. It would take a lot for it to fail.
  9. I don't think Inferno has a decent shot of breaking out per se, but I believe it will do better than what a lot of the forum thinks. It's still an incredibly popular book, and Hanks has a strong audience of followers. It has even more chance of doing better now that every other adult-skewing movie minus Sully has underperformed. It won't do phenomenal, but I think it'll do above $90M, and there's a chance that it could do above $100M.
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