DAJK

Since people are starting to talk about May, I’m going to throw my hat in the ring with some predictions. Omen - 10/25 Monkey Man - 15/45 Civil War - 25/60 Ministry of Guy Ritchie - 6/15 Challengers - 12/30 Fall Guy - 60/185 Apes - 36/100 If - 28/90 Garfield - 45/150 Furiosa - 40/120 Bad Boys - 50/130 Inside Out - 125/400 Bikeriders - 10/35 Horizon 1 - 25/70 Quiet Place - 50/130 Despicable Me - 80/115/325 Twisters - 55/150 Deadpool - 160/420 Harold and the Crayon - 11/35 Borderlands - 18/45 Alien - 30/80 Horizon 2 - 20/60 Kraven - 30/60

Yes.

These walkups that I’m seeing… I still think it’s too early to call, but if late eve shows hold up, I wouldn’t be surprised to say that 10M is in play…

Strong start so far here on the West Coast. Walkup % is very good too. Don’t know how much forecasts have accounted for walk-ups, but strong west coast walkups (usually) mean we’ll see an increase from the earliest estimates.

I’m genuinely curious how this will play outside of America. I remember Joker playing much stronger OS than anyone anticipated, and I wonder if this can have a similar (smaller scale) effect. A lot of people I know here in Canada are interested in this since it appears to be a scathing critique of America (which tbh much of the world is already laughing at while also looking at it with trepidatious concern).

I mean hey, directors have been known to rebound from Planet of the Apes movies. Burton went from Apes to Big Fish. Reeves went from War (great movie but I remember many saying it was a box office disappointment) to Batman.

Honestly, I just want another member of the 100M club for 2024. As long as Frozen Empire can hit that, I'm happy.

Wow, so this is pretty good huh? Still don't feel like there's enough buzz, and I'm more or less expecting a run similar to Flanagan's Ouija prequel. This and Monkey Man will be a pretty sweet double feature.

I’ll sadly admit to having partaken in some of the #notmyRoderick. Now, I definitely didn’t spew any of the vitriol that I saw some doing on the internet (plus I was a teenager and stupid). But it really goes to show that none of this is ever the actor’s fault. They take the fall, and it really really sucks. I hope the guy is doing well.

I’ll have more time to do proper updates over the weekdays but GxK is looking really strong. 7M+ previews if Canada is any indicator.

I agree with @charlie Jatinder at least with what I’m seeing in Canada. Ghostbusters is playing like gangbusters (wink wink) for matinees. Wouldn’t be surprised at all if we see an increase from Friday+previews.

While I don’t disagree with some of the negativity of posters like @Cmasterclay (and I’m not saying negativity like it’s a bad thing), I do think that the box office, and audiences themselves, simply is in a state of transition. The Marvel dominance is coming to an end, and we are in this transition period before another franchise or genre fills the now-open niche. The 2000’s were when CGI finally caught up to fantasy storytelling, and you had big blockbuster franchises emerging from that. The 2010s was the proliferation and continuation of those franchises with endless sequels and reboots. But now since the pandemic, those franchises are mostly played out. Audiences need something else, and Hollywood hasn’t quite caught up yet (makes sense since movies do admittedly take years to make). I do hope we are going back to a 1990s era where prestige filmmakers get to make high-concept films with big budgets, and in doing so bring in big box office and awards. But we’ll see how the next few years go.

We really did have it good in 2014. Looking back a decade later, it might be my favourite year movie-wise since I started “getting into movies” in 2012.

Luca and TR have very dedicated core fans, and I think they would have done decently in non-Covid environments (although I think they would have grossed closer to Elemental domestically). Soul is a great movie but I really have my doubts it could have been another Inside Out. It’s almost “too” adult and I don’t think families would have bought into it.

Hot take but Onward is my favourite Pixar from the 2020s.

Yea that’s not a great number for Panda. Still, 185M or so should happen, which is far better than anyone had it a month ago.

This week Spring Break. I took that into account when looking at my Thursday ratios.

Settling on 4.1M for Ghostbusters based off of its performance in Canada.

Hahaha one of my best friends works in their head office And nothing where I am at least snow-wise (although I’m on the west coast). Not sure about the other provinces.

Hahaha don’t worry I contacted some friends at head office of the company. A few emails had been sent out already, but it’s back up and running Anyways, walkups pretty bad for Ghostbusters tonight. But pre-sales were pretty strong, so I’d say that 4-4.5M is still possible. But I’d likely rule out 40+ for the weekend if walkups continue at this pace.

I’ll echo what pretty much everyone else on here has said. Looks good in a “back to the basics” kind of way that Prey was. Honestly, I don’t see why this can’t open at least as well as 2018’s (awful) Predator.

Canada didn’t get Uncut Gems or Ritchie’s last 2 movies, but we did get Saltburn. Any idea whether this is getting a Canadian release? It’s the only non-Deadpool movie this year that my dad wants to see.

I feel like, with some exceptions (Eric and Timothy, 13 year old boys and Sydney Sweeney, dedicated “fandoms” which themselves don’t constitute a huge portion of the moviegoing public) actors are less draws themselves and it’s more of a “actor + role” type of thing. Margot Robbie AS Barbie. Tom Cruise AS Maverick (let’s be honest, random Cruise military movie wouldn’t have made 700M nor would a Cruise-less Top Gun). Gosling’s follow up to Barbie wouldn’t be predicted as this massive breakout the way Fall Guy is if the role wasn’t what people were looking for from him (essentially, the Ken-ification of Gosling).

Honestly, I could see Gladiator 2 ending up like Dial of Destiny at the box office. 170M domestic is nothing to scoff at, but with a budget so big and lofty expectations...

Obviously this is a troll post, but I’m genuinely curious how on Earth you think that could happen. Give us the daily breakdown for each movie and explain what on Earth is going through your mind.