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Everything posted by DAJK
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Sonic the Hedgehog 3 | December 20, 2024
DAJK replied to Eric the IF's topic in Box Office Discussion
I remember enjoying both Sonic movies, but for the life of me I couldn’t tell you a single thing that happens in either of them. Might be in for a rewatch. -
Not sure why marketing has been so non-existent for this. Either Universal has dropped the ball completely, or they know they have a total stinker on their hands.
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Not gonna lie, Argylle’s internal multiplier is pretty strong. If it actually did 2.5M previews like many trackers were suggesting was possible before this week totally fell apart, that would adjust to a 27M opening or so.
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Obviously a good box office run would be BETTER for Apple, but I gotta give it to them for putting out three “buzzy” titles in a row. Sure, they cost too much and didn’t generate enough returns, but Killers got a lot of awards buzz (plus Marty + Leo + DeNiro), Napoleon clearly had audience interest looking at its box office numbers, before the WOM became toxic. And Argylle essentially became a meme. People are talking about titles on Apple TV+. Get big stars over to your platform, and audiences will eventually follow.
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6.5 Friday for Argylle seems much more walkup-friendly than I was expecting based on WOM. Good sign I guess(?) although it’ll crash and burn next weekend with the Super Bowl.
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The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
DAJK replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Yep, not to pile on to an already-dead horse, but Argylle has pretty much had zero walkups today. The 5:30 show ended with just as many tickets as it had sold last night. The main 6:30 IMAX show is at 3 tickets more than it was at 7:30 this morning. Late evenings are at nothing lmao. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
DAJK replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
I know, but the hits need to keep coming (not that there has been a bona fide hit yet) to justify these releases. Napoleon doing over 200M WW despite pretty bad WOM is a good start. Argylle matching it’s numbers would be nice to see. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
DAJK replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Seriously, I just really hope Argylle does well enough for Apple to justify putting more of their films in theaters. Movies like this flopping will just make streamers forego theatrical releases, which is bad for all of us. -
I'd say among general audiences, Cavill was pretty well-liked in MI6. Lots of people remember the fist-guns, and at least anecdotally my dad and uncle refer to Fallout as "the one with Superman". Plus, while Enola Holmes are Netflix, they were well-reviewed and well-liked. Witcher was also a pretty beloved hit among its core audience. I wouldn't say Cavill is A-list, but he's done pretty well for himself.
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The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
DAJK replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
The thing people need to keep in mind for Madame Webb is that Wednesday is VDay meaning OD will probably be strong. That being said, Thursday will drop off HARD, and if the movie isn’t any good, the weekend isn’t going to recover once WOM hits. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
DAJK replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Jokes aside Madame Webb is doing absolutely nothing here. 4 theaters I’m tracking, 3 haven’t sold a thing yet The fourth theater has 2 tickets sold Wed-Fri total. *sigh* Argylle kept chugging along, albeit slowly. Thinking 2-3M previews (probably the lower end now though) unless reviews skew heavily one way or the other. Dune continues to do well, with IMAX and PLF very very strong while regular shows are more tepid. Not sold on 10M+ previews yet, but if what I’m seeing is any indication, it could get close with the Sunday EA shows added in. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
DAJK replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Dang Madame Webb’s already sold out every single show in my area. Argylle week 2 got canceled for more shows, Oscar ceremony pushed back a month so as not to have to compete with fourth weekend, and they’ve already begun constructing a new theater in my town. -
You underestimating the power of Gosling.
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The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
DAJK replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Argylle isn’t having a bad start around here. 3 theaters each have presales that could suggest something like 2-3M previews, with Friday/Saturday holding up nicely. I think 20M could happen if reviews are good. Dune’s also very strong, and very very leggy throughout the weekend. For now, I’m going with a run comparable to Logan. -
Any OS/WW update for Mean Girls/Beekeeper?
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96th Annual Academy Awards nominations thread
DAJK replied to filmlover's topic in And The Winner Is...
Was subbing for a senior drama class, and of course this was all any of these high school theater kids were talking about until this one girl who had just been silent on her phone until that moment piped up and said “Can everyone just shut the f*** up???” Well said girl, well said. -
96th Annual Academy Awards nominations thread
DAJK replied to filmlover's topic in And The Winner Is...
Anatomy, Things, and Zone are the three I haven’t yet seen. As far as the BP nominees and my personal ranking: 1. Oppenheimer 2. Holdovers 3. Barbie 4. American Fiction 5. Past Lives 6. Killers 7. Maestro Maestro’s probably the only one I’d say I disliked. I’m still kinda bummed Iron Claw got nothing, it’s fantastic. -
Weekdays Thread | #WED - Mean Girls $1.4M &Beekeeper $1.1M
DAJK replied to Issac Newton's topic in Numbers and Data
FWIW ISS in my area numbers would suggest 2.2M Friday including previews. -
Weekdays Thread | #WED - Mean Girls $1.4M &Beekeeper $1.1M
DAJK replied to Issac Newton's topic in Numbers and Data
ABY definitely peaked on Tiktok last week. I think it's still got some gas in the tank, but 100M is dead. Hoping for 80M at this point which, considering it opened to 6M, is still fantastic. -
Weekdays Thread | #WED - Mean Girls $1.4M &Beekeeper $1.1M
DAJK replied to Issac Newton's topic in Numbers and Data
Seems like ABY is having a harsher drop than Wonka this week. With much of the continent covered in snow last weekend/these past few days, I could see drops being really, REALLY good this weekend.