DAJK

Great for Missing!! I’m not sure if Searching’s total is achievable (going to have to wait and see how next weekend’s hold is) I think a 8.5/25 run is definitely possible. Great result!

Whatever happened to Salem’s Lot?

I love following and tracking box office, and I’ll do my own calculations here and there. But man, the work some of you put into tracking numbers/making spreadsheets/doing long and time-consuming calculations is downright astounding. And I couldn’t be more thankful for every second you all put into it Much love!

Solid for Missing. The movie’s great BTW, hoping for 8M+.

This was actually pretty good! Doesn't have the novelty that Searching had 4.5 years ago, but I would say it is just as enjoyable. Good lead performance, lots of twists (varying degrees of effectiveness, but quite a few that I didn't see coming), and while it sometimes veers into the "book club thriller" genre, it's a really well-put together and very fun ride. Man, January has been pretty solid.

These would be incredible numbers.

PiB is starting to become an internet meme which could fuel interest beyond kids and families (almost the same way that Minions was one last summer). But this feels different, the "meme" is that the movie is just genuinely really good and people should actually go see it (it's basically the anti-Morbius). For example, a comment on an Instagram post that I saw that made a joke about PiB being a "big brain movie" said "no guys, this isn't a Morbius or Minions situation. Everyone is saying the movie is actually GOATed, you should watch it." The comment itself had like 45k likes.

I'm still not convinced Ant-Man will cross 300. AMATW only made 216 right in the middle of that post-Infinity War, pre-Endgame hype. Yes, this does feel like more of a "MCU Event" film ala MoM than a standalone, but I'm not convinced it goes above 270 or so quite yet. I don't think Puss will quite make it, but it will get close. Other than that, John Wick is a possibility, although my guess is it stays flat (or slightly decreases) from the third. Mario is a 350M+ grosser, Little Mermaid does 300+, Fast X does 150, so yea I guess my money would be on Spiderverse at around 250M.

To be fair, I doubt the writers/directors knew that Ortega would blow up the way she did in the last few months. But in hindsight, they should have definitely focused on her character more in this movie.

I genuinely think this has the potential out-gross Bohemian Rhapsody. A Michael Jackson biopic would be, like, the ULTIMATE Hollywood biopic (at least box office wise). That's the peak. That's it. Nothing has more potential box office-wise than this. Buuuuut Fuqua in the director's chair kind of has me worried. Sure, he directed Denzel to an Oscar. But his movies don't have the glitz and glamour that a MJ biopic would need. For better or for worse, they very much feel conveyor belt, sometimes drab and colourless. It works for the type of film he often makes (Equalizer, Olympus has Fallen, etc.) but I don't know how that would suit a musical biopic. Baz was a great choice for Elvis, Fletcher did an awesome job with Rocketman, and heck even Bohemian Rhapsody had some fun directing. I just don't think Fuqua's style suits this material, but who knows maybe he had a killer pitch. Anyways, this has the potential to gross 300/800 or something crazy like that, if it gets Elvis/BR reception with audiences and has massive marketing campaigns/Oscar pushes. But as it seems to be shaping up so far with the studio/director, I could see it grossing less than This Is It.

One of my favourites of 2022 for sure. Sometimes movies just hit you in a particular way, either because of your own experiences or feelings. A

Anyone have an idea how wide The Son is opening this weekend? I doubt it will make much of a dent, but if it hits 1000 theatres, it could manage a million or so.

M3GAN's looking to fall below Smile this weekend, although I still think 100M is possible. It does have 2 weeks with the horror market nearly to itself until Knock at the Cabin, so I think the drop could be rather minimal this weekend (it isn't touching Smile's 12M but I think 11 is possible). Puss will also be above 10 for the weekend. BOP has Otto at 9... would be awesome if it could hit 10 and we can have 4 movies over double digits this weekend.

I should be surprised at the Otto numbers today, but it had a god-like Tuesday bump last week, so I should have expected the same this week. It's going to drop pretty hard today though I think.

A weakling with a second degree black belt

Not sure I'm on the 100M train fully, but today certainly pushed me closer to boarding. Sales are STRONG, and the only hesitation I have is that Marvel has sort of become notoriously frontloaded post-Endgame, and so I'm wary about applying even recent CBM and MCU comps to sales. That being said, these sales would certainly look like we're in for a 100-120M opener, as long as we don't get Eternals-level reception.

Not that I know of, I know there used to be a site that rated whether a film was worth seeing in 3D or not (but I think that died a few years ago when people stopped going to 3D in general lol). If anyone else knows of one though, I'd kind of like to check it out too.

I'm personally just hoping TGM keeps the domestic crown because I thought it was a better film 🤷‍♂️ That's not a knock against A2, which I also enjoyed very much. I just also really like the idea of a movie that no one saw coming being the year's top grosser as opposed to the movie that pretty much everyone predicted would come out on top. Also put me on the PiB 200M train. I wouldn't put money on it happening, but boy oh boy would I love to see it.

You know, with M3GAN, Plane, and (presumably) Missing getting good-to-great reviews, 2023 really bucked the trend of "crappy January movies getting dumped". Which is a really nice way to start the year.

So what are we thinking for next weekend? Avatwo - $20M M3GAN - $11M Puss - $10.5M Otto - $7.5M Plane - $4.5M Missing - $4M Am I forgetting anything?

PiB is easily going to out-gross the original. Awesome!

January The Tragedy of Macbeth Licorice Pizza The King's Man The Matrix: Resurrections American Underdog The 355 Scream Nightmare Alley February Blacklight Marry Me Death on the Nile Uncharted Parallel Mothers The Worst Person in the World Cyrano Dog March Cyrano Spider-Man: No Way Home The Batman The Batman X The Wolf and the Lion The Outfit The Batman The Lost City Morbius April Sonic 2 Everything Everywhere All At Once Morbius Ambulance Fantastic Beasts - The Secrets of Dumbledore Uncharted The Unbearable Weight of Massive Talent Charlotte All My Puny Sorrows The Bad Guys The Northman Memory May Dr. Strange in the Multiverse of Madness Peace By Chocolate Dr. Strange in the Multiverse of Madness Men Top Gun: Maverick Top Gun: Maverick June Crimes of the Future Top Gun: Maverick Jurassic World: Dominion Lightyear Jurassic World: Dominion Top Gun: Maverick Elvis The Black Phone July Minions: The Rise of Gru Elvis Top Gun: Maverick Thor: Love and Thunder Thor: Love and Thunder Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris Marcel the Shell With Shoes On Where the Crawdads Sing Nope DC League of Superpets August Bullet Train Bodies Bodies Bodies Top Gun: Maverick Emily the Criminal Beast Bullet Train The Invitation Three Thousand Years of Longing September Barbarian See How They Run The Woman King Pearl Don't Worry Darling Bros Smile October Smile Ticket to Paradise Black Adam Till November Banshees of Inisherin 1917 Wakanda Forever The Menu Glass Onion December Devotion She Said Spoiler Alert Violent Night Avatar: The Way of Water I Wanna Dance With Somebody Puss in Boots: The Last Wish The Whale Total: 94 (Other than years affected by the pandemic shutdowns, this is my lowest since... 2014 )

January M3GAN Plane A Man Called Otto

I definitely don’t think Otto would have opened to 50M domestic in any time period

Please repeat this next weekend when people start to melt down because the box office isn’t as high as this weekend. I’m honestly really worried about the meltdowns next weekend.