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Avatree

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Everything posted by Avatree

  1. the china boom has not been as much recently. $200M would be ridiculous to expect from china. The first one did very well so I doubt it will increase much. $150M probably the ceiling although I'm talking out my arse. it will be perfectly fine, audiences have reacted well everywhere. Just because some people say it's not as good as the first one doesn't mean "bad WOM".
  2. so GOTG2 may well be able to clear £45M / $60M, that would be an excellent target.
  3. I agree. £7M for pirates would be extremely generous, I doubt it gets that high at least 3 day.
  4. Huh. On the wikipedia articles for those films they're just listed as being directed by one guy. Animated films in general are pretty pointless for this, as the "director" doesn't have the same job and is rarely used in marketing like directors of live-action films are.
  5. Why would Sam Mendes be included? The only indication of him having some foreign ancestry is his last name. He is English and having seen the guy in real life he is very much white.
  6. ah, I just googled the film and clicked the first result. as for the Robots and Ice Age director - these rules seem rather arbitrary.
  7. Despicable Me, DM2 and Minions - Pierre Coffin and Chris Renaud are both white males with wives, as far as I'm aware? Or do French people count as a minority now? The Matrix - in my opinion shouldn't count as at the time, the filmmakers were straight white males as far as the public was concerned. acclaimed science-fiction film acclaimed science-fiction film acclaimed science-fiction film Gravity & Prisoner of Azkaban -Alfonso Cuaron is foreign but hardly non white. How are you defining white? Doctor Dolittle - Richard Fleischer? Where does he fit in? White man married to a woman... Blair Witch Project - this Eduardo Sanchez guy looks pretty white to me: Ice Age & Robots - the director Chris Wedge is white, male and married to a woman. Interesting idea of a list. as said above you missed out shrek. Are you just defining non-white as non-American?
  8. stanning for bernie tiede the best film of this year. one of my fave movies ever.
  9. Maybe just me but I thought it was really funny... a simple idea well executed. Not sure why you American folks aren't taking to it. That's also reflected in reviews - before US critics wrote up their reviews, it was at like 90% Rotten Tomatoes, now it's 67% and falling.
  10. I thought it was very moving. It moved me very slowly and sweetly, but I thoroughly enjoyed this story. As above, the way it looks is incredible. I didn't take issue like many have with the characters, though.
  11. I don't think it will increase too much from the first one anyway.
  12. Jesus, that's an awful drop for FF8. 58% from a soft 3-day. I agree with @Heretic's view that GOTG2 will decrease from the first one in dollars.
  13. TOP 15 ETC PREDICTION TEMPLATE Below is a helpful template to use for making predictions. All Players who use this template for their predictions will receive 10,000 bonus points for making my life easier when I have to score everything at the end of the game. A: Domestic top 15: 1) Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 – 368M 2) Despicable Me 3 – 350M 3) War for the Planet of the Apes – 243M 4) Spider-Man: Homecoming – 234M 5) Transformers5 - 209M 6) Wonder Woman – 194M 7) Cars 3 – 188M 8) Alien: Covenant – 169M 9) Pirates of the Caribbean 5 – 161M 10) The Emoji Movie – 131M 11) Dunkirk – 118M 12) Captain Underpants – 101M 13) The Mummy – 93M 14) Baywatch – 91M 15) King Arthur: Legend of the Sword – 71M B: Top 7 Domestic OW: 1) Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 – 130M 2) Despicable Me 3 – 114M 3) Spider-Man: Homecoming – 90M 4) War for the Planet of the Apes – 83M 5) Transformers 5 – 80M 6) Wonder Woman – 78M 7) Alien: Covenant – 61M C: Worldwide top 10: 1) Despicable Me 3 – 1240M 2) Transformers 5 – 1102M 3) Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 – 1036M 4) War for the Planet of the Apes – 884M 5) Spider-Man: Homecoming – 755M 6) Pirates of the Caribbean 5 – 724M 7) Alien: Covenant – 469M 8) Cars 3 – 444M 9) Wonder Woman – 441M 10) The Mummy – 413M D: China: 1) Transformers 5 2) War for the Planet of the Apes 3) Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 4) Pirates of the Caribbean 5 5) Spider-Man: Homecoming 6) Alien: Covenant 7) The Mummy E: No More Heroes: South Korea – Transformers 5 Russia – Pirates of the Caribbean 5 Brazil – Despicable Me 3 Mexico – Despicable Me 3 Australia – Despicable Me 3 Italy – Despicable Me 3 F: Total Grosses: Top 15 Dom) 2721M Top 7 W/E) 636M Top 10 WW) 7508M RFQ1: Predict which film will finish closest to each of the following milestones domestically by the end of the game: A: 100M Captain Underpants B: 200M Wonder Woman C: 300M Despicable Me 3 D: 400M Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 E: 500M Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 RFQ2: Predict which film will finish closest to each of the following milestones Worldwide by the end of the game: A: $1.5B Despicable Me 3 B: $1B Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 C: 800M War for the Planet of the Apes D: 600M Wonder Woman E: 400M Dunkirk RFQ3: Predict the top grossing film of each month: A: April (28th releases only) The Circle B: May = Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 C: June – Transformers 5 D: July – War for the Planet of the Apes E: August – Annabelle 2 CHASMMI’s 15 1) Tell me which of these will be the highest grossing film of the summer domestically: 1) King Arthur 2) Alien Covenant 3) The Mummy 4) Dunkirk 2) Tell me which of these will be the lowest grossing film of the summer domestically: 1) Snatched 2) The House 3) Annabelle 2 4) Diary of a Wimpy Kid: Something Something Blah Blah Blah 3) Will at least 3 films make more than 300M domestically by the end of the game? NO 4) Will at least 3 films make more than $1.1B worldwide? NO 5) Will at least 3 films make more than 120M OW domestic? NO 6) Would at least 4 of the March 2017 releases have made it into the Domestic top 15 for the summer game if their runs had been eligible (So if I made a combined top 10 list of the summer Game releases and the March releases, would 4 or more be from March?) YES 7) Will at least 3 sequels, prequels, reboots or anything similar go on to be the highest grossing in their franchise domestic (A film must make at least $20M to qualify)? NO 8) Will at 3 sequels, prequels, reboots or anything similar go on to drop more than 60% domestically from its previous franchise installment? (For this question purpose: Spiderman Homecoming is following ASM2, Despicable Me follows Minions, Wonder Woman follows Suicide Squad, Annabelle 2 follows Conjuring 2, I can’t think of any more that aren’t obvious right now) NO 9) Will any film in the top 15 have a multiplier below 2.3? NO 10)Will Sci-Fi films (anything that BOM lists as Sci-fi or XXX/Sci-fi [so that means GOTG2 for example is not Sci-fi for this question) combine to make more than 700M domestically by the end of the game? YES 11) Will the domestic top 8 make more than $1B combined in China? YES 12) Will at least three out of Luc Besson, Christopher Nolan, Michael Bay, Ridley Scott and Edgar Wright have their highest grossing film not involving Batman or Transformers this summer (obviously with Michael Bay I mean will his 5thTransformers film outgross every non-transformers film he has done?) NO 13) Will Warner Bros have exactly 3 films in the top 15 domestic this summer? YES 14) Will a film finish in the top 10 WW, but fail to make the top 15 domestic? NO 15) Will any film spend 3 weeks at number one domestic this summer? NO JJ8's 14 Q1) Comic Book Adaptions Domestic vs International Grosses (4 films, 8 grosses - positions only) (5k Correct, -3k incorrect) 1) Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 International 2) Spider-Man: Homecoming International 3) Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 Domestic 4) Wonder Woman International 5) Spider-Man Homecoming Domestic 6) Wonder Woman Domestic 7) Valerian International 8) Valerian Domestic Q2) Will Wonder Woman be the #1 opening weekend of the comic book adaptions this summer (Domestically)? NO Q3) The current top 6 "All Time May Open Weekends" (Domestically) occurred on the 1st weekend of the month (in the respective year). In what position will Guardian's of the Galaxy Vol. 2 open in (in the top 6)? (If you don't think it will open in the top 6 then put 7th - remember 6th is Iron Man 2 @ 128m)? 6th Q4) Will Wonder Woman collapse in it's second weekend with a greater than 60% drop like the 2 previous DC Extended Universe Films (Domestic)? NO Q5) Will the total of all the Marvel films make more than double the DC films this summer (Domestic only)? YES Q6) Will Valerian's final total (domestic gross) be less than all of the opening weekends of the other 3 films (Domestic)? YES Q7) Will the total gross of ALL Comic Book adaptions this summer make less than 850m (Domestic)? YES Q8) Will any of the Comic Book Adaptions make 200m or more internationally than the domestic gross? YES Q9) Will a Comic Book Adaption make more than 1 billion worldwide this summer? YES Q10) Will a Comic Book Adaption be the #1 film overall (and it must be released during the game) in ANY of the following markets - United Kingdom, Australia, or China (only 1 is needed) ? YES Q11) Will at least 3 weekends during the summer be led by an animated film (Domestic only)? YES Q12) Will less than 4 animated films make the top 15 films this summer domestically? YES Q13) Both Pirates & Transformers are up to the 5th Film. the 4th film in both Franchises made more than 1 billion worldwide. Can the 5th film in both franchises repeat this performance? NO Q14) Will a film released domestically make more in an International Market (must be a single market such as China, United Kindom, etc) this summer (Both markets must release during the game and be elegible for the top 15 domestic - ie. as per the list of films Chasmmi has posted) ? YES
  14. Yeah, seriously. Compared to another sequence, the submarine looks positively sane.
  15. Lmao this film was ridiculous And the submarine isn't even close to being the most bonkers thing in the movie
  16. I agree, have been looking at the showings around me and none of them are very busy at all.
  17. What do you guys think FF8 will do this week? It has the potential for an amazing opening number... 4 day weekend + 2 extra days opening. I haven't seen much marketing for it though and haven't heard anyone talking about it, but I might just be out of the loop. I thought the same about FF7, didn't hear much interest for it then it did really well.
  18. It's so nice this weekend!!!! No one should be in the cinema!
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