Hunch

Probably. A sequel to a panned underperforming film a year later is always a recipe for disaster.

They should cut their losses and sell it to Netflix. Otherwise this is going to be a huge bomb if released in theatres, audiences simply don't care about giant monsters anymore.

Audiences hated Unbreakable?? Why?! I get The Village hate (although personally I love it and think it's very misunderstood), but Unbreakable is so neat and audience-friendly and classic Shyamalan.

Honestly these films getting made so far in advance and endlessly postponed doesn't exactly spark confidence. Avatar is 10 years old at this point and feels kind of forgotten. Force Awakens and the recent huge Marvel films have shown that kind of box office performance isn't impossible or once-in-a-lifetime anymore. And the new Star Wars films went from $920M domestic to $215M domestic in the space of 2.5 years so those initial huge numbers don't guarantee prolonged interest either. I do wonder if they've jumped the gun a bit.

Beyonce hasn't had a big solo hit since "Halo" literally 10 years ago. She's not a threat.

OW officially lower than the 1999 film adjusted (and that one opened on Wednesday so it's even more embarrassing). a FAILURE.

Detective Pikachu: $78M

This probably means big rewrites and reshoots? Weren't all four films in production simultaneously? I think DisneyFox may be overestimating how beloved and iconic the 2009 film is. Telling people there are going to be four films over an 8 year period from the get-go seems too much. I'm already exhausted and we haven't seen a second of footage.

Why do people still pay attention to this website? They have no insider information. It's not actual industry tracking, which is done by professional companies based on polling, research, pre-sales, etc. and costs a lot of money. This is literally some dude on his website who has convinced people to pay attention to him. #enough

A potential hurdle to Gaga's future acting career may be that she seems to be effectively banned from China due to comments about Tibet. This may keep her from getting a role in a big franchise film.

This does not look as essential as the other films in the series. I'm thinking a $100m/$300-$330m run might be in store. Could go lower.

Called it.

$65M OW This will play like a sequel to Get Out

They have pretty deep pockets, and BR2049 did not fail because Villenueve didn't do his job. It failed because the marketing made the bone-headed decision not to reveal anything about the plot or explain anything to the uninitiated. It assumed Blade Runner was Star Wars-level popular when it's a cult film. I'm sure they learned their lesson and the Dune trailer will introduce the audience to the world and explain who everyone is. Plus, Warner Bros executives, unlike Disney executives, actually seem to like films and seem to take pride in creating big budget spectacles that are also intellectually stimulating.

This decade has been something of a golden age for sci-fi. I think there is still room for quality sci-fi to succeed, but it might have to move away from the from 'pure sci-fi' of films like Interstellar. Last year's A Quiet Place and Ready Player One are good examples. One of them is more of a horror film, the other has a YA feel.

The tweet calling him the new Spielberg lmao. More like the new M. Night Shyamalan. He needs to make huge acclaimed films in a variety of genres before he can be the new Spielberg.

I hope this breaks out. Lupita is a star and it's ridiculous that it took THIS long to have her headline a major film after winning the Oscar.

Oh wow those are huge numbers. I was totally wrong about this lol, I guess I underestimated just how much people love Marvel.

I thought it would get around a 60%, it looks basic as hell to me. A high 80s score is enough to create hype by itself and convince people on the fence.

Updated prediction after 86% certified fresh reviews: $108M

Captain Marvel: $97M

I don't think so. This film was big enough that executives might think she has potential as a box office draw. I see her getting a star vehicle in some kind of comedy/drama where she plays an Italian woman in New York or something. I think she could've been great in a Woody Allen film, but he's been "cancelled" now. Let's see if he stays that way. She's very savvy and has a great manager so I could see her as a high profile supporting role in a tentpole franchise. Someone suggested Ursula in The Little Mermaid. I don't think another Oscar nom for Actress is out of the question. It would take the right film, but she seems to have a lot of goodwill in the industry.

This whole project is such a triumph for her and a real comeback. I haven't heard this many people talking about Lady Gaga since 2011.

This is now third fiddle in May after Avengers and Pikachu. Families won't be willing to shell out $100 for a night out for the kids (between tickets, popcorn, soda, gas) three times in a row. It's about to get Solo'd.

The Mona Lisa is worth $620 million. At a $237 million budget (that includes work hours) with a 2hrs 40min running time at 24 frames per second, each frame of Avatar cost about $1029. So no.