KP1025

Corpse: Weekend Actuals (09/25-26)01 (01) ¥347,653,850 ($3.14 million), -35%, ¥1,854,742,500 ($16.9 million), Masquerade Night (Toho) WK202 (---) ¥x75,000,000 ($679,000), 0, ¥122,841,440 ($1.1 million), The First Gentleman (Toei/Nikkatsu) NEW 03 (02) ¥x60,912,420 ($550,000), -30%, ¥280,929,400 ($2.5 million), Free! The Final Stroke - Part 1 (Shochiku) WK2 04 (03) ¥x52,073,350 ($470,000), -31%, ¥6,270,106,850 ($57.1 million), Belle (Toho) WK11 05 (06) ¥x44,226,650 ($399,000), -26%, ¥3,183,773,400 ($29.0 million), My Hero Academia: World Heroes' Mission (Toho) WK8 06 (04) ¥x36,543,940 ($330,000), -45%, ¥880,924,910 ($8.1 million), Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings (Disney) WK4 07 (08) ¥x31,399,140 ($283,000), -11%, ¥4,380,828,440 ($40.0 million), Tokyo Revengers (Warner Bros.) WK1208 (---) ¥x30,828,070 ($278,000), 0, ¥x58,305,560 ($0.5 million), Blank (Star Sands/Kadokawa) NEW09 (---) ¥x30,000,000 ($271,000), 0, ¥x55,347,210 ($0.5 million), Minamata (Long Ride/Albatross Film) NEW 10 (NA) ¥x29,684,740 ($268,000), N/A, ¥265,551,760 ($2.4 million), Ryoma! Rebirth: The Prince of Tennis (Gaga) WK4 11 (07) ¥x28,269,160 ($255,000), -30%, ¥3,603,318,740 ($32.9 million), F9: The Fast Saga (Toho-Towa) WK8 12 (09) ¥x28,036,000 ($253,000), -17%, ¥937,977,250 ($8.6 million), Kaguya-sama: Love is War Final (Toho) WK6>Masquerade Night is dominating the box office right now, and enjoyed a robust Silver Week holiday frame to bring its 10-day total near ¥2 billion already. It should go on to become the highest-grossing film of the Fall (Sept.-Nov.), likely grossing around ¥4 billion ($35-40 million). >The First Gentleman's weekend gross remains an estimate, but its 4-day total (slipped my mind the openers opened on Thursday last week due to the holiday) was revealed. It sold 95,589 admissions over its first four-days in release. As I said in the estimates, this isn't good by any means, but it's not too far off a standard opening for a smaller film in the Fall. >Free! The Final Stroke - Part 1 held pretty well in its second weekend. Not quite as strong as I estimated, and its 10-day total came down a bit, but it's respectable. If it plays out normally, it'll gross around ¥400 million, but it'll likely receive sort of boost during its run (like new merchandise in theaters or something) to push it a bit higher. >Belle experienced one of its bigger drops to date, but it was also very strong last weekend and throughout Silver Week, too, so a cooldown isn't unusual. Still looking at a finish around ¥6.5 billion (~$60 million), besting Mamoru Hosoda's previous highest grossing film by about 10%. Hosoda and Studio Chizu can claim they had the biggest film of the Summer for the first time, too. >Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings... I said it was still likely to reach ¥1 billion, becoming Disney's first film to reach this mark since 2019, but I don't know now. Both its weekend and total came in below estimates a bit, and while "a bit" shouldn't normally be too impactful, it definitely is when the numbers are at this level. I don't think it's going to reach ¥1 billion. Not impossible, but it's really unlikely heading into October (the weakest month). >Tokyo Revengers has become Warner Bros.'s highest grossing film of 2021 by outgrossing Rurouni Kenshin: The Final Chapter - The Final. The manga has sold over 20 million copies so far this year, and the anime has been popular, but it can still be tricky to find this level of success for a live-action adaptation despite major success in other formats, so big win here for everyone involved. >Blank sold 43,169 admissions over its first 4-days in release, while Minamata sold 41,302 admissions in its first 4-days (its weekend gross above remains an estimate, but its 4-day total was released). >F9: The Fast Saga has outgrossed Furious 7 to become the second highest grossing film in the franchise. Japan also became its second biggest overseas market several weeks ago, but I forgot to mention this in previous update. Its run is winding down though, so expect a finish a little shy of ¥3.7 billion (~$33.5 million). Pretty impressive. I expanded the Top 10 to a Top 12 this weekend and will probably keep it as such for the weaker Fall period.

Corpse: Weekend Actuals (09/18-19)01 (---) ¥536,000,000 ($4.89 million), 0, ¥691,000,000 ($6.3 million), Masquerade Night (Toho) NEW02 (---) ¥x90,000,000 ($820,000), 0, ¥150,000,000 ($1.4 million), Free! The Final Stroke - Part 1 (Shochiku) NEW *Est.* 03 (03) ¥x75,019,600 ($685,000), -10%, ¥6,106,857,550 ($55.6 million), Belle (Toho) WK10 04 (02) ¥x66,838,500 ($610,000), -49%, ¥759,892,440 ($7.0 million), Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings (Disney) WK305 (---) ¥x64,000,000 ($584,000), 0, ¥x85,007,820 ($0.8 million), Reminiscence (Warner Bros.) NEW 06 (01) ¥x60,038,550 ($548,000), -62%, ¥3,051,648,600 ($27.7 million), My Hero Academia: World Heroes' Mission (Toho) WK7 07 (04) ¥x40,138,670 ($366,000), -35%, ¥3,522,157,610 ($32.2 million), F9: The Fast Saga (Toho-Towa) WK7 08 (07) ¥x35,385,540 ($323,000), -27%, ¥4,296,410,480 ($39.3 million), Tokyo Revengers (Warner Bros.) WK11 09 (06) ¥x33,737,250 ($308,000), -37%, ¥856,925,650 ($7.9 million), Kaguya-sama: Love is War Final (Toho) WK5 10 (05) ¥x32,462,240 ($296,000), -44%, ¥379,264,760 ($3.5 million), The Woman of S.R.I.: The Movie (Toei) WK3Again, this is the regular Weekend Actuals updated as usual each week. HOWEVER, the totals in the Top Grossing Films of 2021 below this post will be as of MONDAY, 09/20. >Masquerade Night dominated the box office in its debut, selling a very impressive 374,000 admissions over the weekend frame (5th Biggest Debut of 2021), and 678,000 admissions over its first four days in release. Its opening weekend is 15% below the first film, but its total, thanks to the holiday, is currently running ahead after four days thanks to the holiday. I was expecting the opening to come in below its predecessor, due to the widespread restrictions (theaters closing by 8pm), so to come within 15% is great, and as expected, it more than made up for that over the long four-day holiday weekend. A total north of ¥4 billion (~$40 million) and ~3 million admissions is likely. >Free! The Final Stroke - Part 1 remains an estimate. It debuted in third place in admissions, but I'm expecting its average ticket price to be pretty high, so I'm going to keep it in second place in revenue with its estimated opening here until its figures are (hopefully) released. >Belle held amazingly well (even rising to second place in admissions, and possibly third pending the actuals for Free!). I see no reason not to expect strong weekly holds like it's been having for weeks now for most of the remainder of its run, so look for a finish around ¥6.5 billion (~$60 million) and ~4.6 million admissions or so. >Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings had a hefty decline, but that's to be expected for a Marvel/DC release. What I'm more surprised about is how weak its weekdays have been. Weekdays are very important, more so than weekends, really, in the market, so you need to at least post fair numbers over them. So it's definitely not going to finish nearly as high as I was predicting, and due to the poor weekdays, it's going to end up being on the more frontloaded end of Marvel/DC releases (even by their standards). It's still likely to become Disney's first film in 2 years to reach ¥1 billion (~$10 million), but it'll be a crawl now. >Reminiscence disappointed/bombed, but no real surprise there. The film sold 57,414 admissions over its first three-days in release. I wouldn't expect more than ¥400 million (~$4 million) finish or so. >My Hero Academia: World Heroes' Mission saw a very large drop, but not surprising since it increased 55% last weekend. The third MHA film exceeded the ¥3 billion milestone over the weekend, and is probably aiming for a finish around ¥3.3 billion (~$31 million) or so if it doesn't receive any other giveaways). That will be about 95% of the COMBINED totals of both its predecessors. >F9: The Fast Saga is right on the cusp of surpassing Furious 7 (it's only ¥1.049 million away, or about 700 admissions, after Monday!), and will on Tuesday. One of the better performances this year, and it should be targeting a final total around ¥3.7 billion (~$34 million). >Tokyo Revengers continues its great run, and after Monday, is a mere ¥6.3 million (or about 4,700 admissions) away from outgrossing Rurouni Kenshin: The Final Chapter - The Final to become Warner Bros.'s highest grossing film of 2021. It'll claim this title on Tuesday.

Corpse: Weekend Actuals (09/11-12)01 (02) ¥155,064,200 ($1.41 million), +55%, ¥2,904,730,700 ($26.4 million), My Hero Academia: World Heroes' Mission (Toho) WK6 02 (01) ¥128,684,210 ($1.17 million), -41%, ¥600,700,150 ($5.5 million), Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings (Disney) WK2 03 (03) ¥x83,355,450 ($758,000), -13%, ¥5,958,247,600 ($54.3 million), Belle (Toho) WK9 04 (05) ¥x61,973,100 ($564,000), -23%, ¥3,424,904,810 ($31.3 million), F9: The Fast Saga (Toho-Towa) WK6 05 (04) ¥x57,541,720 ($524,000), -34%, ¥281,307,240 ($2.6 million), The Woman of S.R.I.: The Movie (Toei) WK2 06 (06) ¥x53,052,750 ($482,000), -16%, ¥787,279,150 ($7.2 million), Kaguya-sama: Love is War Final (Toho) WK4 07 (07) ¥x48,349,130 ($440,000), -11%, ¥4,221,248,860 ($38.6 million), Tokyo Revengers (Warner Bros.) WK10 08 (12) ¥x39,578,260 ($360,000), +05%, ¥123,196,000 ($1.1 million), The Prince of Tennis: Ryoma! Rebirth (Gaga) WK2 09 (08) ¥x38,799,980 ($353,000), -26%, ¥649,602,470 ($5.8 million), Last of the Wolves (Toei) WK4 10 (09) ¥x32,508,070 ($296,000), -38%, ¥337,296,450 ($3.1 million), The Method of Repulsing the Dove (Shochiku) WK3I've overestimated the totals of most films in the Weekend Estimates the past two weeks, but I'll make adjustments this upcoming week to get closer to actuals again. I haven't been super off or anything, but the differences are enough to adjust a bit. >My Hero Academia: World Heroes' Mission took advantage of the slow weekend with its third giveaway event, increasing a huge 55% in its sixth weekend. This is its 2nd weekend at #1, its first occurring over its fourth weekend when it expanded to 4DX/MXD locations and started its second giveaway event. The third MHA film will exceed the ¥3 billion milestone later this week, either right before next weekend or on Saturday. The giveaways will give it some life for a bit longer, but it'll also see a nice bump over the 3-day holiday next weekend a well as some of the dailies over Silver Week. Expect a finish near ¥3.5 billion (~$32/33 million), or almost double the combined totals of its two predecessors. >Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings dipped a little hard, slightly better than the average Marvel/DC film. Its weekdays were rather weak though, so it's going to have to make up for those (which it's continuing to have this week so far) with some better weekend holds in the future. It'll likely finish a little above ¥1 billion with ¥1.2 billion ($11 million) or so. Nothing to write home about, but it will become the first Disney film since 2019's Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker to even reach the milestone, so gotta restart somewhere. >Belle enjoyed one of its best holds to date in an impressive list of good holds. It outgrossed The Boy and the Beast to become director Mamoru Hosoda's highest grossing film on Friday ahead of the weekend and is about to exceed the ¥6 billion (~$55 million) milestone now. The biggest film of the summer has yet to leave the weekend top 3. It'll enjoy a healthy Silver Week I'm sure, and then just from playing naturally from there, should be able to finish near the ¥6.5 billion (~$60 million) mark. >F9: The Fast Saga held very well too, and as a result (as well as nice weekdays), has guaranteed that it'll outgross Furious 7 to become the second highest grossing film in the entire Fast & Furious film franchise. It should get there over either after next Sunday or the holiday Monday. And it'll still have a bit in the tank from there, too, with the help of Silver Week, so it could end up finishing with ¥3.7 billion (~$34/35 million) or so, or just 9% shy of The Fate of the Furious, the highest grossing film in the franchise. >The Woman of S.R.I. didn't have as strong of weekdays as I estimated yesterday, so it's not going to make a run at ¥1 billion or get within striking distance, really. >Kagyua-sama: Love is War held great in its fourth weekend, renewing its hopes at reaching/exceeding the ¥1 billion (~$10 million) milestone after it was looking pretty unlikely. And it probably wouldn't get there normally, but Silver Week should go a long way in helping it get there next week. >Tokyo Revengers continues to post incredible holds late in its run. It's only ¥100 million away from outgrossing Rurouni Kenshin: The Final Chapter - The Final to become Warner Bros.'s highest grossing film of the year, which it should achieve over the Silver Week holiday period next week. Can it make a play at ¥4.5 billion (~$41 million)? Possibly. Great run ever since it opened, and has certainly assured that more films will be greenlit to continue adapting the manga/anime for the future. >The Prince of Tennis: Ryoma! Rebirth rises into the Top 10 in its second weekend, and not just in 10th place which I mentioned it had a chance at in the Weekend Estimates, but shot up to 8th place thanks to a weekend increase. Good for it. As I mentioned analyzing a few films above, this upcoming weekend is a 3-day holiday weekend (next Monday being a holiday), as well as the start of Silver Week. The dates don't align for a 5-day holiday period this year, but the extended weekend and additional national holiday in the middle of the week will provide a nice bump for most films. Also, as you can see, no major films opened this weekend with studios waiting until this upcoming weekend to take advantage of the holiday week. So look for next weekend to liven things up. In particular, keep an eye on Masquerade Night to do big numbers. It's the sequel to 2019's Masquerade Hotel which grossed ¥4.64 billion ($42.2 million).

Corpse: Weekend Actuals (09/04-05)01 (---) ¥217,000,000 ($1.97 million), 0, ¥301,138,970 ($2.7 million), Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings (Disney) NEW 02 (01) ¥100,170,000 ($909,000), -51%, ¥2,669,855,850 ($24.3 million), My Hero Academia: World Heroes' Mission (Toho) WK5 03 (02) ¥x95,578,950 ($867,000), -28%, ¥5,791,309,250 ($52.8 million), Belle (Toho) WK804 (---) ¥x85,000,000 ($771,000), 0, ¥119,006,880 ($1.1 million), The Woman of S.R.I.: The Movie (Toei) NEW 05 (03) ¥x80,695,720 ($732,000), -30%, ¥3,283,372,280 ($30.0 million), F9: The Fast Saga (Toho-Towa) WK5 06 (04) ¥x63,106,200 ($573,000), -42%, ¥683,196,300 ($6.3 million), Kaguya-sama: Love is War Final (Toho) WK3 07 (09) ¥x54,199,190 ($492,000), -08%, ¥4,123,355,070 ($37.7 million), Tokyo Revengers (Warner Bros.) WK9 08 (05) ¥x52,484,380 ($476,000), -35%, ¥553,268,820 ($5.0 million), Last of the Wolves (Toei) WK3 09 (06) ¥x52,249,940 ($474,000), -37%, ¥254,164,590 ($2.3 million), The Method of Repulsing the Dove (Shochiku) WK2 10 (08) ¥x40,806,840 ($370,000), -35%, ¥194,463,450 ($1.8 million), Old (Toho-Towa) WK2>Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings debuted atop the weekend box-office, becoming Disney's first film since Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker to debut at #1 in Japan. However, it's not Disney's biggest opener since 2019, having just barely opened below Black Widowfrom earlier this year. The latest entry in the the MCU sold a solid 140,000 admissions over the weekend frame on 779 screens, and 196,414 admissions over its first three-days in release. This debut is about inline with the standard or average Marvel/DC release when you exclude all the Spider-Man and Avengers related films. (Might seem odd to exclude them, but they, especially Spider-Man, perform significantly better than other Marvel/DC franchises.) Disney has yet to have a single film earn over ¥1 billion in Japan since the pandemic, setting them behind many other distributors in the market (I believe they're only around 7th or 8th biggest distributor right now), but Shang-Chi should become their first success since 2019 as it aims to finish a little above the milestone. >My Hero Academia: World Heroes' Mission had a rough drop following its huge 86% increase last weekend, but its fifth weekend still nearly matched its third weekend before the 4DX expansion. It's grossed almost ¥1 billion more than either of its predecessors now, and is less than 20,000 admissions shy of 2 million. >Belle held well again, and is now just ¥69 million away from outgrossing The Boy and the Beast, Mamoru Hosoda's previous highest grossing film. It'll take a few more days than I projected over the weekend, but it'll get there either before or over next weekend. Ultimately, it's on track to exceed the ¥6 billion mark. >F9 has developed good enough legs that its chance of outgrossing Furious 7 to become the second highest grossing film in the Fast and Furious franchise (after The Fate and th Furious) are pretty good. It may take just about its remaining time in theaters to get there, but I expect it'll manage this achievement. >Tokyo Revengers held exceptionally well in its ninth weekend of release, and if it can keep this up, it could outgross Rurouni Kenshin: The Final Chapter - The Final to become Warner Bros.'s highest grossing film of 2021. It's ¥202 million away from this goal, which is certainly doable if its weekends remain strong (weekdays will likely back off a bit now with schools back in session).

On paper, I'd say Shang-Chi has even less going for it than Ant-Man for the general audience. Ant-Man had the unique shrinking/growing gimmick, which made for some creative and funny gags in the trailers. At a cursory glance, Shang-Chi just seems like another martial arts expert, the likes of which have been portrayed many times before on screen.

Seven Samurai has a combined 197 score on RT, which is the highest I've personally seen for any movie.

Corpse: Weekend Actuals (08/28-29)01 (05) ¥204,210,550 ($1.64 million), +86%, ¥2,407,196,800 ($21.9 million), My Hero Academia: World Heroes' Mission (Toho) WK4 02 (03) ¥132,653,100 ($1.21 million), -18%, ¥5,568,867,200 ($50.8 million), Belle (Toho) WK7 03 (01) ¥116,070,460 ($1.06 million), -36%, ¥3,078,729,080 ($28.1 million), F9: The Fast Saga (Toho-Towa) WK4 04 (02) ¥109,611,700 ($999,000), -33%, ¥533,392,800 ($4.9 million), Kaguya-sama: Love is War Final (Toho) WK2 05 (04) ¥x80,468,450 ($733,000), -39%, ¥412,781,720 ($3.8 million), Last of the Wolves (Toei) WK206 (---) ¥x75,000,000 ($683,000), 0, ¥111,000,000 ($1.0 million), The Method of Repulsing the Dove (Shochiku) NEW07 (---) ¥x73,696,350 ($672,000), 0, ¥x73,696,350 ($0.7 million), Earwig and the Witch (Toho) NEW08 (---) ¥x62,000,000 ($565,000), 0, ¥x83,265,010 ($0.8 million), Old (Toho-Towa) NEW 09 (06) ¥x59,098,270 ($539,000), -19%, ¥4,003,312,770 ($36.6 million), Tokyo Revengers (Warner Bros.) WK8 10 (07) ¥x41,067,700 ($374,000), -31%, ¥1,511,441,050 ($13.7 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Shrouded in Mystery! Flowers of Tenkazu Academy(Toho) WK5>My Hero Academia: World Heroes' Mission experienced a huge weekend increase to go from fifth place last weekend, all the way to first place this weekend, its first weekend at #1. It rose a whopping 86% due to its 4DX/MX4D expansion/giveaway event, selling 128,000 admissions over the weekend, bringing its overall admissions up to 1,819,354. The third film in the MHA franchise is going to finish over ¥1 billion higher than either of its predecessor, and just might be able to reach the ¥3 billion milestone. This growth, even if boosted by giveaways, will end up being somewhere around 60/70% above its predecessors which is huge for a pretty well established series now. >Belle continues to hold very well, delivering one of its best holds to date. It's only ¥281 million away now from outgrossing director Mamoru Hosoda's The Boy and the Beast to become his and Studio Chizu's highest grossing film. It also exceeded 4 million admissions with 4,015,626. It'll either claim the title after next weekend, or just a couple of days (maybe just one) afterwards. It'll then exceed ¥6 billion a week later, and probably finish somewhere around ¥6.3 billion (~$58 million) or so with 4.5 million+ admissions. >F9: The Fast Saga surpasses Hobbs & Shaw to become the third highest grossing film in the Fast & Furious film franchise. Its admissions exceeded 2 million with 2,026,035. It also had a pretty good week, and fourth weekend hold, so as long as it can average 30/35% holds or so from this point forward, it will outgross Furious 7. 50/50 chance I'd say, and I'd bet on it managing to do so. >Tokyo Revengers exceed both the ¥4 billion milestone and 3 million admissions with 3,012,624 over its 8th weekend of release, giving Warner Bros. a second nice hit for 2021 after part one of the Rurouni Kenshin finale. This is only the sixth Shonen live-action film to reach the ¥4 billion milestone as well, unless I miss counted. >So, the openers... I think there are some errors, mainly with Earwig and the Witch. Its number above is its reported 3-day total, but it more closely matches what I'd estimate its 2-day opening weekend to be. I can be off, of course, but I don't see how it could be that low for the 3-day. So, I'm putting its reported 3-day total as BOTH its 2-day opening weekend and 3-day opening weekend until its actual opening weekend is reported (I'm pretty confident it's the figure above, and the 2-day was mistakenly updated for the 3-day). The Method of Repulsing the Dove's reported 3-day is the ¥110 million figure, which looks good and a much more reasonable 11% off what I estimated versus the 39%(!) for Earwig. Similar thing with Old. A little lower than estimated, but close enough that the ¥83 million is almost certainly its 3 day total.

To be precise, $2 billion requires around a 77% increase from FFH. I know that seems like an extremely difficult ask for a sequel, but NWH should be treated more like an Avengers-level event at this point rather than just another Spider-Man film. Now it's certainly possible that it underperforms significantly relative to its unprecedented trailer views, but I'll wait until presales start before ruling anything out of the realm of possibility.

What about the record-breaking trailer metrics? While trailer views do not perfectly correlate with potential box office, the fact that NWH destroyed Endgame's old records does seem like it would have performed well above just a standard solo Spider-Man film.

We'll never know for sure how much it could have grossed pre-pandemic, but what are people thinking now for the floor and ceiling WW? Can NWH make it into the Top 10 WW list? Frozen II currently holds the #10 spot at $1.45 billion.

Corpse: Weekend Actuals (08/21-22)01 (01) ¥182,686,350 ($1.66 million), -53%, ¥2,758,155,040 ($25.2 million), F9: The Fast Saga (Toho-Towa) WK302 (---) ¥164,000,000 ($1.49 million), 0, ¥251,789,300 ($2.3 million), Kaguya-sama: Love is War Final (Toho) NEW 03 (02) ¥161,570,250 ($1.47 million), -33%, ¥5,215,649,400 ($47.6 million), Belle (Toho) WK604 (---) ¥131,000,000 ($1.19 million), 0, ¥193,471,090 ($1.8 million), Last of the Wolves (Toei) NEW 05 (03) ¥109,691,500 ($999,000), -50%, ¥2,065,638,350 ($18.8 million), My Hero Academia: World Heroes' Mission (Toho) WK3 06 (05) ¥x73,137,110 ($666,000), -43%, ¥3,845,704,250 ($35.1 million), Tokyo Revengers (Warner Bros.) WK7 07 (06) ¥x59,800,750 ($544,000), -52%, ¥1,394,860,950 ($12.6 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Shrouded in Mystery! Flowers of Tenkazu Academy(Toho) WK4 08 (04) ¥x59,328,780 ($540,000), -54%, ¥399,296,870 ($3.6 million), The Suicide Squad (Warner Bros.) WK209 (---) ¥x55,000,000 ($501,000), 0, ¥x72,319,460 ($0.7 million), Paw Patrol: The Movie (Towa Pictures) NEW 10 (07) x¥53,015,680 ($483,000), -40%, ¥288,657,720 ($2.6 million), Free Guy (Disney) WK2NOTE: This is the post-Obon Festival weekend, so drops are rough as a result. F9: The Fast Saga achieved a third-consecutive weekend atop the box-office, though it definitely felt the post-Obon Festival drop. It sold 113,200 admissions in its third outing, bringing its 17-day admissions up to 1,817,795. The tenth film in the overall series fell harder over the weekend than I would have liked, so it might not surpass Furious 7 to become the second biggest film in the franchise. It's still possible, but it certainly needs to recover this week to do it. Still, it's going to at least become the third biggest film in the franchise, which is probably more than most were expecting.Kaguya-sama: Love is War Final debuted in second place, selling a respectable 124,500 admissions over the weekend frame on 320 screens(which was enough for a #1 debut in admissions), and 195,181 admissions over its first three-days in release. This was a pretty large 48% decline from the first film, although I'm unsure if it was just a natural result from less interest among the fans, or if the expanding restrictions due to COVID may have limited it a bit (such as limiting/postponing stage greetings). It should still get above ¥1 billion (~$10 million) though, so while down a lot, it won't be at a loss or anything. Belle held the best in the Top 10 in its post-Obon Festival weekend, which isn't surprising since it's continued to hold well throughout its entire run so far. It sold 110,000 admissions in its sixth weekend, bringing its total admissions up to 3,760,833 admissions after 38 days. It exceeded the blockbuster milestone of ¥5 billion ahead of the weekend (Friday, day 36), becoming the third film of 2021 to achieve this status. It's also director Mamoru Hosoda's second film to reach blockbuster status, after 2015's The Boy and the Beast. It's ¥635 million away from surpassing that film, which should occur in very early September. Last of the Wolves, either a sequel or follow-up to The Blood of Wolves, debuted in fourth place, selling 90,000 admissions over the weekend frame on 323 screens, and 135,863 admissions after its first three-days in release. Decent enough debut. Probably won't reach the ¥1 billion (~$10 million) milestone, but this opening is high enough to make it a possibility. My Hero Academia: World Heroes' Mission exceeded the ¥2 billion milestone, surpassing both of its predecessors after just three weeks in release, and has become the first MHA film to reach this milestone. Not going to predict where it may be heading until next week though since it's receiving a 4DX/MX4D expansion on August 28th which should increase its ceiling. Tokyo Revengers continues its steady track to the ¥4 billion milestone, and should get there in about two weeks. It'll also exceed 3 million admissions around the same time. I'm sure some of you may correct me, but I can't think of any other film adaptation of a Kodansha property that has earned more than Tokyo Revengers has now. Pretty huge success for them here, as well as for Warner Bros. which continue to have great success this year in Japan with their Japanese productions.

Corpse: Weekend Actuals (08/14-15)01 (01) ¥383,884,950 ($3.51 million), -29%, ¥2,178,197,340 ($19.9 million), F9: The Fast Saga (Toho-Towa) WK2 02 (03) ¥241,777,450 ($2.21 million), +04%, ¥4,740,817,150 ($43.3 million), Belle (Toho) WK5 03 (02) ¥220,691,500 ($2.02 million), -51%, ¥1,673,616,100 ($15.2 million), My Hero Academia: World Heroes' Mission (Toho) WK204 (---) ¥128,076,120 ($1.17 million), 0, ¥210,151,500 ($1.9 million), The Suicide Squad (Warner Bros.) NEW 05 (05) ¥127,711,780 ($1.17 million), -06%, ¥3,598,603,260 ($32.8 million), Tokyo Revengers (Warner Bros.) WK6 06 (04) ¥124,974,150 ($1.14 million), -14%, ¥1,171,715,250 ($10.6 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Shrouded in Mystery! Flowers of Tenkazu Academy(Toho) WK307 (---) x¥89,285,730 ($817,000), 0, ¥131,876,470 ($1.2 million), Free Guy (Disney) NEW08 (---) x¥76,686,550 ($702,000), 0, ¥123,583,400 ($1.1 million), The Great Yokai Wars: Guardians (Toho/Kadokawa) NEW 09 (06) x¥54,036,710 ($493,000), -30%, ¥658,634,920 ($6.0 million), Jungle Cruise (Disney) WK3 10 (NA) x¥43,602,260 ($398,000), N/A, ¥284,935,240 ($2.6 million), It's a Flickering Light (Shochiku) WK2F9: The Fast Saga remained atop the weekend box-office, and enjoyed a good second weekend hold, dropping 29% by selling 243,084 admissions in its sophomore frame. That brings the ninth entry in the main Fast Saga up to 1.43 million admissions after just 10-days thanks to a lucrative Obon Festival holiday week. We need to see how it holds after another week or two post-holiday, but where it stands now, it has a good chance to outgross Furious 7's ¥3.54 billion ($29.2 million) to become the second highest-grossing film in the saga. The Fate of the Furious is the biggest with ¥4.05 billion ($36.2 million), which isn't completely out of reach, but it will require a really, really good week three and four to get there. Still, becoming the second (slight chance at third) biggest film in the series will be a huge accomplishment. Belle saw a weekend increase in its fifth weekend, rising up to second place by selling 169,000 admissions, bringing its 32-day admissions up to 3.41 million. It's ¥1.1 billion away now from outgrossing The Boy and the Beast to become Mamoru Hosoda's highest-grossing film, which is all but assured. Legs have been very good, and with a couple more weeks of summer dailies remaining, it should comfortably get above ¥6 billion (~$55 million) in the next two or three weeks.My Hero Academia: World Heroes' Mission saw a rough 51% drop in its second outing, but that's honestly fairly decent given its a fanbase-driven franchise that also has (had) a major giveaway going on over its opening weekend/first week of release. It sold 161,000 admissions over its second weekend, bringing its 10-day admissions up to 1.28 million. This is very strong, as it's almost matched the total of both its predecessors already. It'll outgross both of them in the coming days, and should be aiming for ¥2.5 billion (~$25 million) or a bit more, or roughly 40/50% higher than its predecessors. Big win here.Crayon Shin-chan: Shrouded in Mystery! Flowers of Tenkazu Academy exceeded ¥1.1 billion over its third weekend of release, surpassing the total of last year's film already after 17-days (it actually surpassed it a few days earlier, around day 14 or 15 perhaps). It will probably get above ¥1.5 billion (~$15 million), which is pretty close to the long-running franchise's average gross. This is a sharp turnaround from last year's film which families avoided due to COVID concerns (like nearly all other young-skewing films in 2020). The Suicide Squad mostly disappointed. Playing very wide on 749 screens, it sold just 81,000 admissions over the weekend frame, and 134,543 admissions over its first three-days in release. It's an extreme 67% lower than the first Suicide Squad, but the first Suicide Squad is actually DC's second biggest opener in Japan. (Will Smith is a good draw.) So it had a high ceiling to fall from. It is at least higher than Wonder Woman 1984 and BARELY higher than Birds of Prey (though it opened on the first weekend where restrictions and closures began in 2020), so some slight progress for the DCEU here.Tokyo Revengers is still doing very well, exceeding ¥3.5 billion and 2.7 million admissions. It's still well on track to reach the ¥4 billion milestone, giving Warner Bros. their second ¥4 billion hit of the year after part one of the Rurouni Kenshin finale. The Great Yokai War: Guardians disappointed, borderline bombing. I'd call it a bomb. Its weekend admissions weren't even released, which is definitely a sign of disappointment considering it was a wide release co-distributed by Toho. It sold 98,724 admissions over its first three-days in release on 374 screens though, which is also really bad. I don't know the budget here, but it looks like something that probably cost a fair bit (perhaps upwards of ¥1 billion). Toho can afford a bomb once in awhile, but definitely a hit for Kadokawa. Free Guy basically bombed, but...maybe performed okay? I personally think it performed a little better than I would have predicted before seeing the numbers anyway. It's Disney's widest release since 2019 due to not being boycotted (since it didn't debut on Disney+), playing on 524 screens. Weekend admissions aren't available, but it did sell 86,870 admissions over its first three days. Again, not particularly good or anything close, but a film such as this probably wouldn't be doing too much better anyway, in my opinion, in Japan. Just annoying that THIS is the one Disney film that didn't debut on Disney+. Any other film would have performed better (a LOT better due to the boycott) without Disney+ in the market.

F9 also opened in Taiwan this weekend ($1.77 million), but that's still a decent hold from existing markets. Speaking of Japan, it couldn't have asked for a better release date with two consecutive holiday periods—including one of the biggest of the year in Obon.

It looks like there was a mix-up. Actuals were significantly lower than the figure above.

Just to clear a bit of confusion, the poster you are quoting is not the source of that information. It was copied and pasted from Corpse at World of KJ. Nothing against that by the way (Corpse encourages it), just giving credit where it's properly due. http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=55322&start=16900

Probably unlikely. There's a Detective Conan next year, which has the potential to earn ¥10 billion (the previous two films both crossed ¥9 billion).

Actual drop in seats is more like 42% for Demon Slayer, at least in the reported locations per Mimorin. Last Friday: 497106 This Friday: 289288

Anything better than a 40% drop this weekend would be amazing.

September is a good month to release horror films though. Just look at how much the IT films grossed. Even creepy themed family films like Hotel Transylvania (1 & 2) did really well.

I'm really curious how much these re-releases can actually make considering how rampant piracy is. If there are no additional/exclusive scenes, I'm not sure how many will pay for what they can already watch for free at home.

Will Endgame finally be pushed above $2.8 billion?

Thanks for the quick answer. Though IT 2 did have previews that Thursday, so I'd go back to September 4. https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office-chart/daily/2019/09/05

I wonder when was the last day there wasn't a single film over $1 million nationwide?

Looking at TROS' recent OS update, there is no need for Hildur concerts for Joker to win WW. With coronavirus set to shut everything down, these numbers are probably close to final.

This is probably one of the last updates for TROS before theaters shut down. Will fall shy of Joker WW regardless of the Hildur concerts. DOMESTIC (48%) $515,192,185 INTERNATIONAL (52%) $558,941,706 WORLDWIDE $1,074,133,891