KP1025

I would like to see what Mario's drop is next weekend before proclaiming certain milestones as locked. I remember after Incredibles 2 opened and got an A+ Cinemascore people were saying $700 million DOM was locked and that it had a shot at even over Avatar DOM. Then it finished with a 3.33x multiplier which was excellent for a massive summer tentpole but lower than what was expected of an A+ Cinemascore animated film.

Apparently that's the date listed on the iTunes store, although it could be a placeholder.

They decided to make a TV series instead just like with Tangled. 😅

Let's see how Frozen 3, Zootopia 2, or Toy Story 5 perform before declaring Illumination the de facto king of animation, as it would be unfair to pit the performance of Disney's recent original animated films against sequels or existing mega-franchises such as Mario and the Minions. But even sooner, we can see how Migration (Illumination's next original film) fares versus Elemental and Wish.

WDAS bounced back pretty well after being dominated by Pixar in the 2000s. From a box office perspective, they were just as strong if not stronger in the 2010s. They're in a rough patch now, but I don't expect the slump experienced by either Pixar or WDAS to be permanent.

O/U Minions WW for highest-grossing Illumination film?

Frozen 2 with $358.5 million.

In 2019, Pixar, WDAS, WDP, Star Wars, and MCU combined gave Disney seven films over $1 billion WW. With the downward decline of all of these studios at the box office (whether it be from quality, output, or because of Disney+), it might be some time before we see another billion dollar film from one of them. Disney is lucky they have the Avatar franchise, as that is the only one that is capable of the type of box office domination we saw from Disney previously.

It's worth noting that the five other movies in the Top 6 in China right now have Maoyan scores similar to or even higher than Mario, so the effect of positive WOM will probably be lessened and spread out more evenly among the competition.

Just got back from my screening. As a big fan of the Mario games, I enjoyed it but not as much as I hoped. Don't want to spoil anything in the story, but I wasn't fond of some of the creative choices and probably wouldn't rewatch it again until it's on streaming. The humor was very hit or miss for me, although the kids in the audience responded well. By far the best part for me was seeing the beautifully animated fantasy world of Mario on the big screen, as well as all the easter eggs and remixed tracks from the games. Once the initial nostalgia high wears off, the flaws in the movie do become more noticeable.

There doesn’t seem to be a consensus on that issue though. BOM considers it animated, but the Numbers doesn’t include TLK 2019 in the animated records + Disney’s official stance is that it’s live-action. https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office-records/worldwide/all-movies/cumulative/all-time-animated Not that I think Mario will get anywhere near that amount WW.

How wide is the Titanic re-release? It will be interesting to see if it makes more than the Avatar re-release in China.

On top of other factors already mentioned, Avatar 2 also faced a lot more competition than the first film did in Japan. It had to contend with 3 uber-blockbuster local animated films (all of which will gross between ¥10-20 billion) still going strong at the time of its release.

Black Panther was actually $25.2M. https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office-records/domestic/all-movies/previews/any

Domestic Box Office $779,100,388 International Box Office $2,126,524,573 Worldwide Box Office $2,905,624,961 Lifetime cume crossed $2.9 billion WW this weekend too.

So this is pretty much locked to be Cruise's biggest film WW. With China and Russia, Cruise could have had his first billion dollar movie.

I feel that anybody interested in dinosaurs is most likely watching both. For general audiences, I don't think it will matter. People watch the Jurassic franchise not for realism, but for dinosaurs vs humans action. It's one of the reasons Fallen Kingdom did as well as it did while having terrible reviews.

Looks like it is sharing with Lightyear based on my local showtimes.

I'd say Jurassic World's success had less to do with Pratt and much more to do with the hook of finally seeing the park successfully up and running. The JP franchise has never really been character driven, so the main hook of Dominion will be seeing a larger scale version of the San Diego scene from Lost World (dinosaurs rampaging in the real world). Fallen Kingdom had the weakest hook of all, so I'd be really surprised if this drops domestically. Worldwide is a toss-up depending if China release goes smoothly.

Absolutely loved the teaser. Pandora continues to cement itself as the most gorgeous fictional world ever created.

Venom 2 was not given a release either, and the first film was extremely successful in China. I don't think China has a bias against any studio but rather Marvel as a whole. Let's see if that will continue this year... Morbius will be the next one to watch.

They might change it, but Scar's name was revealed as Askari in the Lion Guard series.

What a weird release date for Uncharted. Just 4 days before Batman? 😅

Tomb Raider grossed almost $80 million in China, so something similar for Uncharted wouldn't surprise me. But Batman would need pretty bad WOM to go under $100 million. Moonfall maybe something around $65-75 million? That would put it in the same range as Geostorm and Independence Day: Resurgence.

Joker did extremely well in Japan for a CBM (higher than NWH and Infinity War), so even half of that for Batman would be good and much better than the usual DC film.