KP1025

Those are decent but not great numbers for Japan considering the strength of Marvel (especially Avengers) in other countries. A film has to do roughly over $50 million to be considered blockbuster status in Japan. In any case, the Avengers are much more popular than the Guardians of the Galaxy as a group.

It will probably do quite poorly since Marvel is not a huge brand in Japan. The first film made only $9.5 million in Japan under better exchange rates. Look for an opening weekend around $2 million or so.

UPI updated with numbers today. $952,679,880. Lower than BOM but higher than The Numbers.

¥1.98 billion ($17.6 million) / 1.33 million [44 Days in Release] - Kong: Skull Island (Warner Bros.)

Anime. It's too bad the series tends to be so frontloaded. It opened higher than BatB but might only get half of its gross.

I think 20% drop post-Golden Week is pretty good for Beauty and the Beast. Alice in Wonderland dropped over 52% after Golden Week, although it was in its 4th weekend then. As long as it continues to outpace Alice, over 11.8 billion yen is good.

I think it will depend if the Pirates franchise is still as strong as it was before. It's been such a long gap, and Depp isn't as popular as before. We've seen sequels to 10+ billion yen earners disappoint recently in Japan (Finding Dory and Alice 2).

Zero chance. BatB is looking at approaching Frozen while F8 is looking at IM3 as a ceiling.

Beauty and the Beast worldwide gross is going to finish close to Frozen's. It will be interesting to see if late legs from Japan will push it above, though I suspect not.

The only actuals are on http://www.upi-boxoffice.com/ and F8 is listed as $919,307,138. This is higher than the amount BOM had estimated last Sunday, but I don't know if Universal updated midweek or not. I do think its weekly gross will drop sharply next week with the absence of holidays, so it might fall short of $1B OS. I can't believe Gitesh thinks it will pass Jurassic World OS.

Japan added about $14 million from April 30 to May 7, leaving about $45 million to be added from remaining OS-C nations this week. Do we know how much it made weekly in the remaining biggest markets like Brazil, UK, and Mexico?

This weekend and next weekend's drops will give us a much better estimate of BatB's potential. Alice in Wonderland dropped 52.1% on the weekend post Golden Week.

A Labor Day weekend expansion is pretty common for Disney and usually happens for their biggest summer blockbuster regardless of reaching milestones. Univeral also has done it in the past with Jurassic World, although I suspect that was deliberate to push it above $650M. An expansion for Rogue One might be too late to have a major effect because of the Blu-Ray/DVD release. But I can see it happening for BatB if it is $1 or $2 million short of $500M.

Ghost in the Shell looks like it's barely going to make even $10 million in Japan, so I think it's very likely they will shun Power Rangers too.

A Dog's Purpose was a total surprise too. Didn't think it would surpass domestic gross.

Agreed. There was definitely a huge base to tap into in Asia, especially considering there is some overlap between the people who like Transformers and people who would potentially be interested in this film.

That would be a truly beyond abysmal performance in China. I still remember that one PR fan who was adamant that it would do $300 million from China+Japan+South Korea. If Japan bombs as bad as the others, PR might not even get $10 million total combined from the three.

Corpse is predicting a sharper drop on Sunday, so it's possible BatB still finishes above 1 billion yen. Weekend Forecast (05/06-07) 01 (01) ¥986,000,000 ($8.7 million), -12%, ¥7,025,000,000 ($62.4 million), Beauty and the Beast (Disney) WK3 02 (03) ¥479,000,000 ($4.3 million), -18%, ¥5,400,000,000 ($48.3 million), Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter (Toho) WK4 03 (02) ¥424,000,000 ($3.8 million), -33%, ¥2,350,000,000 ($21.5 million), The Fate of the Furious (Toho-Towa) WK2 04 (---) ¥180,000,000 ($1.6 million), 0, ¥180,000,000 ($1.6 million), Memory (Toho) NEW 05 (04) ¥169,000,000 ($1.5 million), -21%, ¥725,000,000 ($6.4 million), Teiichi: Battle of Supreme High (Toho) WK2 06 (06) ¥147,000,000 ($1.3 million), -17%, ¥1,325,000,000 ($11.8 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Invasion!! Alien Shiriri (Toho) WK4 07 (---) ¥130,000,000 ($1.1 million), 0, ¥325,000,000 ($2.8 million), The Last Cop: The Movie (Shochiku) NEW 08 (05) ¥102,000,000 ($905,000), -46%, ¥800,000,000 ($7.1 million), Blade of the Immortal (Warner Bros.) WK2 09 (07) ¥57,000,000 ($505,000), -16%, ¥4,925,000,000 ($44.1 million), Sing (Toho-Towa) WK8 10 (09) ¥38,000,000 ($335,000), -22%, ¥5,075,000,000 ($45.4 million), Moana (Disney) WK9 Saturday was off to an excellent start, and afternoon ticket sales also look strong. So far, numbers are indicating a very good weekend, though it'll come down to how Sunday performs, since it has a good chance of being down a lot compared to last week. Beauty and the Beast will be aiming for a potential third-consecutive weekend above the ¥1 billion mark, and not too many films have been able to achieve that in the past. It'll also be very close to, or slightly above, ¥7 billion in total after three weeks in release, and even if it would experience harsh declines post-Golden Week (a decline yes, but a harsh decline is unlikely) it's pretty much locked up a ¥10 billion ($90 million+) total. Disney's latest live-action re-imagining is performing very similarly to Alice in Wonderland (release dates, opening weekends, Golden Week results, 3 weekends above ¥1 billion (maybe), etc.), and like it, should remain atop the box office into June. If it continues to follow a similar trajectory at the box office, it'll be aiming for a ¥12 billion (~$105 million) finish. Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter will climb back to second place in its fourth weekend, and exceed the blockbuster milestone of ¥5 billion in the process. Detective Conan films fall quickly after Golden Week, but the 21st entry in the long-running franchise is targeting a total over ¥6.5 billion (~$60 million), setting another record for the franchise - for the fifth consecutive year. There's a very good chance it'll be 2017's highest-grossing animated film. The Fate of the Furious will have one of the biggest drops over the weekend, but thanks to healthy Golden Week dailies, is well on track to at least match the gross of Furious 7, and has a fair enough chance of even outgrossing it, too. Look for it to finish around ¥3.5 billion ($30 million+). _________________

Also, Rogue One has been out on Blu-ray/DVD for over a month now. I'm actually surprised it hasn't left theaters completely. Would a re-release even have a great impact after a film's out for purchase already?

They didn't even push Alice 2 above $300M WW, even though it was ~500K away in the end. I hope they do push Beauty and the Beast above $500M though.

It will be a tight race for sure. I have its trajectory finishing under the $1 billion OS mark based on its past weekly drops.

Its opening weekend and dailies were inflated substantially by Golden Week. I wouldn't be surprised by a >50% drop next weekend. Corpse says to expect a total close to $30 million since F&F films have weak legs in Japan.

Thank you. I see it listed at $29,917,315 on BOM, so it looks like different ER was applied at varying parts of its run? Do you think it has enough to go over the mark with BOM's method of reporting?

Has Beauty and the Beast surpassed $30 million yet?

Sing overperformed expectations (Corpse thought it wouldn't do well in Japan because of the Western songs being unfamiliar), and Moana underperformed (much weaker legs than Frozen, BH6, and Zootopia).