KP1025

I wonder if it has enough to pass JW. It made $920,000 OS last weekend, and just $300,000 this weekend. I'm almost certain they are updating/correcting old totals from existing territories, as it as fallen out of Top 10 everywhere and should not have made another $5 million this week.

Beauty and the Beast is now locked to cross Alice in Wonderland as the highest grossing live-action Disney film. It is also very likely to surpass The Wind Rises (¥12.02 billion) to become the 18th highest grossing movie in Japan.

It should finish around $110 million in Japan. With same exchange rates as Alice in Wonderland, it would have made $140 million in Japan. Looks like the final WW total will be around $1.265 billion (OS total $760 million).

I don't think Cars or Cars 2 had a China release, so I'm interested how Cars 3 will perform. It's an animation, but the subject material (sports cars, racing, etc) seems like it will resonate with Chinese audiences much more than DM3. Could it break Pixar's string of underperformances?

I also can't see much higher than $400 million OS for Cars 3, which is around what Moana made. Whether or not it will be released in China is still up in the air (where it could earn a potential $50+ million). Cars 3 will also face huge competition from DM3, which will affect its legs.

Corpse says BatB will lose majority of its theaters/screens when Pirates 5 releases (apparently a Disney tradition to move screens to its biggest opener). Might be out of theaters a few weeks later (Alice left theaters completely after 12 weeks). Beating Alice (11.8B) looks locked though thanks to the holds these past few weeks.

August 25th. No holiday boost from Obon and right when summer vacation is ending. July is super crowded and will be dominated by Pirates 5, but early August would have been much better for WW.

It basically means a film becomes a cultural phenomenon, widely embraced by the general public (including those that rarely go to theaters) on a level way beyond just a big blockbuster.

I'm still not convinced Avatar 2 will drop domestically like so many believe, especially if it is a visual spectacle unlike anything we've ever seen. I think the curiosity factor will be there regardless of people's feelings towards the original film.

I wonder if this will get a China release this time. Otherwise, I think $400 million OS. It's coming in-between two major superhero movies just before and after it, which will probably take away demand from all but the hardcore CBM fans. Han Solo and Jurassic World 2 will further suck away any hype for the film. I think Deadpool 2 will suffer the worst from the crowded release schedule as both initial demand and legs will be affected.

I highly doubt this. Frozen was and still is a cultural phenomenon, and such a drop would be unprecedented. It should easily open over $100 million, and holiday legs will carry it well over $400 million. WW, it might not match the original but should still pass $1 billion with ease thanks to Japan.

And like Avatar, TS3 was also released during a period of extremely favorable exchange rates. Same admissions as TS3 and TS4 still would not cross $1 billion today. True there's inflation in developing markets to account for, but it's not enough to overcome that and the lower 3D share. Also worth mentioning Pixar is a weakening brand in Japan, TS3's largest OS market. Finding Dory dropped almost 40% from Finding Nemo in yen despite being a well-received/anticipated sequel to the beloved original. Accounting for the difference in exchange rates, TS4 could drop in USD 55% from TS3 in Japan alone.

LMAO, looks like they found a missing country's worth of ticket sales. But on a serious note, looks like a typo to me?

It still has Japan left in July, but I doubt it makes more than $10 million there (about the same as Ghost in the Shell).

Courtesy of Corpse: Weekend Actuals 06/03-04)01 (01) ¥306,083,300 ($2.7 million), -12%, ¥10,375,413,600 ($91.9 million), Beauty and the Beast (Disney) WK7 02 (---) ¥163,345,000 ($1.4 million), 0, ¥279,175,900 ($2.5 million), Logan (Fox) NEW 03 (---) ¥126,169,600 ($1.1 million), 0, ¥126,169,600 ($1.1 million), Flower and Sword (Toei) NEW 04 (02) ¥118,749,100 ($1.1 million), -16%, ¥440,663,600 ($3.9 million), To Each His Own (Toho) WK2 05 (03) ¥82,337,300 ($746,000), -38%, ¥450,406,400 ($4.0 million), What a Wonderful Family! 2 (Shochiku) WK2 06 (04) ¥79,271,100 ($718,000), -32%, ¥6,524,530,800 ($58.4 million), Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter (Toho) WK8 07 (07) ¥62,910,500 ($562,000), -32%, ¥454,439,900 ($4.1 million), Peach Girl (Shochiku) WK3 08 (05) ¥55,411,800 ($502,000), -47%, ¥3,859,189,500 ($34.7 million), The Fate of the Furious (Toho-Towa) WK6 09 (08) ¥54,451,050 ($493,000), -36%, ¥403,385,550 ($3.6 million), Your Eyes (Nikkatsu) WK3 10 (09) ¥51,764,600 ($469,000), -33%, ¥1,716,211,100 ($15.2 million), Teiichi: Battle of Supreme High (Toho) WK6>Beauty and the Beast retains its position atop the box office for a seventh-consecutive weekend, and Japanese audiences have made Japan its #1 overseas market over the weekend, surpassing its total in the UK. Disney's latest live-action iteration became the 31st film to ever exceed ¥10 billion uber-blockbuster milestone earlier this week, and begins its journey of challenging Alice in Wonderland (¥11.80 billion) to become Disney's highest-grossing live-action film in the market. It's tracking just 3.1% behind Alice after seven weeks now, following a very similar, but higher (by 1.9%), seventh weekend gross so it's going to be close. >Logan had a pretty disappointing debut in the market, selling 113,600 admissions over the weekend frame across 728 screens. Its debut failed to match the opening weekend of its character predecessors, coming in 12% behind The Wolverine and 11% behind X-Men: Origins It's probably not going to reach the ¥1 billion ($10 million) milestone, and while that mark has become very challenging for the general X-Men franchise recently, it's still disappointing. >Flower and Sword comes in with the typically poor/mediocre debut for this time of year, selling 107,095 admissions over the weekend on 354 screens. Toei has to be somewhat satisfied considering their very poor track record with live-action films. The 16th-century period film based on the novel "Hana Ikusa" by Tadashi Onitsuka is directed by Tetsuo Shinoharad. >Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter became the highest-grossing film in the franchise two weeks ago, and it hit another milestone this weekend by becoming the first film in the series to exceed 5 million admissions, selling 5,087,482 admissions now after eight weeks in release. Incredibly impressive, and it's almost assured to surpass Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them's admissions (5.21 million) to become the second most-attended film of the year so far.

This is the highest quality I can find, but unfortunately it is only a very short preview.

Star Wars and Beauty and the Beast should both comfortably be #1 and #2 respectively (if you're talking this year), but otherwise I agree it is looking like the next 5 films on the list will all be CBMs.

BatB should easily beat AiW's next two weekends, where it dropped over 35% and 47% respectively. AiW made another ¥1.1 billion after its 7th weekend, but it had quite bad holds that point forward. BatB should hold much better until Pirates 5 is released and takes away most of its screens.

I doubt Deadpool and Suicide Squad would have done much more than $100 million in China. Most likely they would have performed similarly to Logan ($106 million) or Batman vs Superman ($96 million). Only the presence of the Avengers can push a CBM above $150 million these days in China. World of Warcraft had a very large and active player base in China, so it was no surprise that it earned what it did. Actually, the Warcraft film performed below expectations in the China forum as many were predicting over $300 million before release.

Even $975 million OS is no easy task. F8 barely crossed $1 billion OS this year but with almost $400 million from China alone. CBMs have kind of stagnated in China, so IW needs to overperform in other markets relative to AoU to make the same OS total ($946 million) because of the worse ER.

That seems very weak for Wonder Woman.

Agreed. It's probably my favorite kaiju.

General summer vacation (which start mid-July) plus Obon (one of the three biggest holiday weeks along with Christmas/New Years and Golden Week) in mid-August.

It goes to show how big the exchange rate disparity POTC5 has versus the previous film. Earning the same amount in yen would translate to only $80 million now. 3D was still a much bigger deal in Japan in 2011, so it's guaranteed to drop in local currency even if admissions are around the same. I hope it can still earn around Fantastic Beasts numbers in Japan.