Porthos

If those numbers hold, I will be pretty darn happy over at the Casino.

@Baumer right now: Someone who was actually good at Photoshop could 'shop in a certain picture of a blue fish being shoved off the table to make it perfect.

We arranged via the internet for a "special screening" of Finding Dory for these pervs. Let's see their reaction with our hidden cameras when the trailer for "Pete's Saugage" rolls.

Uh-oh.

I'm not at all surprised at BFG's number, even given the relative lack of buzz. It's just a weird looking film with a strange title, and those can be really random when it comes to initial box office. For every Nightmare Before Christmas, there are a dozen films like James and the Giant Peach out there. Now Tele is absolultely right that the "long tail" might come into play here with home video/streaming/TV showings. And that's presuming that it doesn't do well in walkups this weekend, which we still don't know. And, who knows? Maybe this film just isn't right for its time. Wouldn't be the first time a quality film (if it is a quality film) underperformed in one era only to be re-evaluated in another.

After a long hard thought about this, I've decided that.... .... you haven't had enough reason to say "Fuck that fucking blue fish" in this thread. So, yes, I think I'll take this one as well. Might as well spread out my risk a bit.

Yes, I think I'll take this one as well.

Thanks for the clarification. Just wanted to be sure.

BTW, @CJohn, just to clairfy, was your Purge 3 opening under Purge 2 opening bet 3 day or 4 day? Makes no difference to me, but I wanted to make sure which it was.

I've been mean enough to ID:R lately, so I'll refrain from posting the Strangelove gif again. Though it would be fitting. With it bombing in US and underperforming in China AND what appears to be near-toxic WOM in the domestic market, it looks like Independence Day: Resurgence is the next entry onto this list. Who would have thought that sequels to two 300+ million grossers before adjustment for inflation was taken into account would be the first two entries in this list? Even though I was highly skeptical of ID:R, I didn't dream it'd do THIS badly.

Yes, please. (mostly because it will be frontloaded as all hell )

From the Summer Game (all names stripped because I'm not interested in that): (spoilered for length) For the record: 400+: 3 300+: 7 200+: 20 (250+: 9) 100+: 8 (150+: 7) Sub 100: 1 And I'm fairly sure some of those predicts were adjusted downward as the deadline approached as the overall "meh" reactions were building. Now when the lack of presales and the lack of press screenings hit this last couple of weeks, the predictions in various threads nosedived. THAT'S when the sub 150 predicts came out in force. And maybe even one or two sub 100s. But as of a couple of months ago, most people were still saying 200+ for this movie. Which still would have been pretty bad, IMO.

More people predicted ID:R doing over 400m than under 100m. So, yeah, no. This is a colossal disappointment and anything else is just spin.

*wakes up* *sees ID:R's RT and Audience Score cratering harder than the markets right now* Geez, that Audience Score surprises me. I thought this might be a critically hated movie that still appealed to the General Audience. That this is bombing right out of the gate with the general public (if that auidence score is to be believed) before lots of people get to see it is frankly stunning. I figured at least a 60% audience score. This bodes pretty damn badly for its legs, said Captain Obvious.

@grey ghost Could you confirm the amount of points I have in bets please? You have me listed as having 350 in bets currently made, but I only see 250 on the list. Thanks in advance.

Speaking of The Rock, 538 had a GREAT overview of his movie career so far: The Three Types Of Dwayne ‘The Rock’ Johnson Movies Highly worth reading for anyone who is a fan of his, I think.

Deadline: http://deadline.com/2016/06/finding-dory-box-office-central-intelligence-captain-america-totals-1201774498/ 5TH UPDATE, Saturday 11:55PM: Finding Dory‘s Saturday is coming in at an estimated $44M, down 20% from yesterday’s $55M. That’s a bit steeper than originally expected by some analysts (-15%), but coming off of that frontloaded Friday (bolstered further by a record $9.2M Thursday night) isn’t going to shake Dory from her record animated pic opening, now estimated at $134.9M. Again, Dory ebb on Saturday isn’t a shocker even though it’s a family film. Like superhero movies, Pixarpics have fandom trajectory at the box office where a portion show up on Thursday night, the greatest bulk on Friday, and then dip thereafter. Dory will end the weekend as the highest grossing PLF and XD opening weekend of all time for an animated film with an estimated $10.4M in private label PLF screens and $2.6M in Cinemark XD hubs. Relish Mix reported today that #FindingDory momentum spiked sharply, up six-times from Wednesday, topping out on Friday with 42K hashtags on Twitter and Instagram combined. All of this was triggered by a post from Justin Bieber (83M followers), who gave the film a shoutout. Meanwhile on YouTube, the second Dory trailer went viral with over 200K views in a day which is exceptional per RelishMix. Rev4, which monitors moviegoers’ anticipation to buy tickets based on trailers observed quite far in advance that Dory was bound to be a hit. Similar to The Jungle Book, close to 88% moviegoers cited they had definite plans to buy Dory tickets. PostTrak, which polls throughout the weekend, still sees a majority of women at Dory (62%), however, with a growing under 25 turnout (68% vs. 65%). PostTrak notices that even among kids, girls are outpacing boys in Dory auditoriums, 56% to 44%. Overall positive score for Dory among kids is a huge 91%. Dory has an 81% definite recommend among kids too. Word of mouth ironclad here. Warner Bros./New Line/Universal’s Central Intelligence is outsmarting its $30M projection this weekend with a revised industry FSS of $35.1M, which per industry standards is decent for an action comedy that carries a production cost of $50M. While it’s not a record opening for Dwayne Johnson or Kevin Hart, it’s an opening that’s right within a decent range for them. For Hart, it’s higher than Get Hard ($33.8M) and close to Ride Along 2 ($35.2M), while for Johnson, among his non-Fast & Furious fare, Central Intelligence is above Hercules ($29.8M) and of course well under San Andreas ($54.6M opening). While Johnson has made cameos in such comedies as The Other Guys and Get Smart, Central Intelligence is arguably his first broad adult comedy in a lead role. Previously, whenever the big guy played funny, it’s typically been in family comedies like The Tooth Fairy and The Game Plan. Saturday grosses for Central Intelligence are estimated at $12.3M, a 5% dip from Friday. Men are primary ticket buyers here per PostTrack at 53%, but it’s skewing older in updated polls with 53% over 25. Sixty percent of Central Intelligence‘s audience is comprised of African American, Hispanic, Asian audiences while Caucasians rep 40% of all ticket buyers. Johnson and Hart’s social media push for Central Intelligence is the type of leading star tubthumbing that studio marketing executives dream of. The digital marketing campaign for the film focused on the chemistry between the duo and leveraged their social accounts to reach fans and promote custom social content. The duo launched the first trailer on their social pages. There were also reaction gifs based on some of the best movie moments to making Dwayne/Kevin #NationalBestFriendDay Ambassadors on Twitter. Screenings in such cities as New York, Chicago, Atlanta, Houston, Oakland and Toronto were preceded by a livestream with Johnson and Hart. The duo also participated in the first ever Snapchat HQ Fan Q&A, which was broadcasted via the stars’ Snapchat accounts and highlighted within the Los Angeles Story. A Snapchat lens on release day helped to further boost awareness and ticketing. Central Intelligence carried an anti-bullying message, and that theme was promoted across social with Johnson and Hart partnering with anti-bullying charity The Kind Campaign, in conjunction with OMAZE. ====== (pg 99)

Oh, so YOU'RE the one to blame for the reshoots! Good to know.

Disney when Dory fails to get that 3.6 multiplier:

I too remember when Civil War was 'a lock' to pass AOU. With that opening day and critical WOM and all.

It's still a Disney film, so by the transitive property Marvel can infect it. === Really excitied to see these numbers, BTW. The downfall of the Animation OW record has been a long time coming. I just hope that people can keep their expectations in check because the weekends are rollercoasters more often than not.

You know, when this film SLIGHTLY (and I do mean slightly) underperforms at some point this weekend (as every single film does relative to expectations it seems), the meltdowns are going to be glorious to behold. Just to get ahead of the crowd:

Dory, her power!

Well, Alice 2 is a bomb under most definitons now, I think. It stands at 217.5 WW right now and I don't know how much higher it's actually gonna get. Looks like it only did around $38m in the last reported week of numbers WW (that's just going off of archived numbers from Mojo via the wayback machine). My question to the forum is, what number does ID:R need to pull WW for it not to be labled a bomb? Reports are that it had around a $200m to $250m budget, FWIW. So $400m? $350m? Surely it's going to be able to pass even those meager benchmarks, yes? I want to say that ID:R should easily hit $500m WW but I just don't know given how it's all playing out right now.